Government
Differential Privacy in Machine Learning: From Symbolic AI to LLMs
Aguilera-Martínez, Francisco, Berzal, Fernando
Machine learning models should not reveal particular information that is not otherwise accessible. Differential privacy provides a formal framework to mitigate privacy risks by ensuring that the inclusion or exclusion of any single data point does not significantly alter the output of an algorithm, thus limiting the exposure of private information. This survey paper explores the foundational definitions of differential privacy, reviews its original formulations and tracing its evolution through key research contributions. It then provides an in-depth examination of how DP has been integrated into machine learning models, analyzing existing proposals and methods to preserve privacy when training ML models. Finally, it describes how DP-based ML techniques can be evaluated in practice. %Finally, it discusses the broader implications of DP, highlighting its potential for public benefit, its real-world applications, and the challenges it faces, including vulnerabilities to adversarial attacks. By offering a comprehensive overview of differential privacy in machine learning, this work aims to contribute to the ongoing development of secure and responsible AI systems.
Physically-informed change-point kernels for structural dynamics
Pitchforth, Daniel James, Jones, Matthew Rhys, Gibson, Samuel John, Cross, Elizabeth Jane
The relative balance between physics and data within any physics-informed machine learner is an important modelling consideration to ensure that the benefits of both physics and data-based approaches are maximised. An over reliance on physical knowledge can be detrimental, particularly when the physics-based component of a model may not accurately represent the true underlying system. An underutilisation of physical knowledge potentially wastes a valuable resource, along with benefits in model interpretability and reduced demand for expensive data collection. Achieving an optimal physics-data balance is a challenging aspect of model design, particularly if the level varies through time; for example, one might have a physical approximation, only valid within particular regimes, or a physical phenomenon may be known to only occur when given conditions are met (e.g. at high temperatures). This paper develops novel, physically-informed, change-point kernels for Gaussian processes, capable of dynamically varying the reliance upon available physical knowledge. A high level of control is granted to a user, allowing for the definition of conditions in which they believe a phenomena should occur and the rate at which the knowledge should be phased in and out of a model. In circumstances where users may be less certain, the switching reliance upon physical knowledge may be automatically learned and recovered from the model in an interpretable and intuitive manner. Variation of the modelled noise based on the physical phenomena occurring is also implemented to provide a more representative capture of uncertainty alongside predictions. The capabilities of the new kernel structures are explored through the use of two engineering case studies: the directional wind loading of a cable-stayed bridge and the prediction of aircraft wing strain during in-flight manoeuvring.
Subjective Experience in AI Systems: What Do AI Researchers and the Public Believe?
Dreksler, Noemi, Caviola, Lucius, Chalmers, David, Allen, Carter, Rand, Alex, Lewis, Joshua, Waggoner, Philip, Mays, Kate, Sebo, Jeff
We surveyed 582 AI researchers who have published in leading AI venues and 838 nationally representative US participants about their views on the potential development of AI systems with subjective experience and how such systems should be treated and governed. When asked to estimate the chances that such systems will exist on specific dates, the median responses were 1% (AI researchers) and 5% (public) by 2024, 25% and 30% by 2034, and 70% and 60% by 2100, respectively. The median member of the public thought there was a higher chance that AI systems with subjective experience would never exist (25%) than the median AI researcher did (10%). Both groups perceived a need for multidisciplinary expertise to assess AI subjective experience. Although support for welfare protections for such AI systems exceeded opposition, it remained far lower than support for protections for animals or the environment. Attitudes toward moral and governance issues were divided in both groups, especially regarding whether such systems should be created and what rights or protections they should receive. Y et a majority of respondents in both groups agreed that safeguards against the potential risks from AI systems with subjective experience should be implemented by AI developers now, and if created, AI systems with subjective experience should treat others well, behave ethically, and be held accountable. Overall, these results suggest that both AI researchers and the public regard the emergence of AI systems with subjective experience as a possibility this century, though substantial uncertainty and disagreement remain about the timeline and appropriate response. Noemi Dreksler (corresponding author) can be reached under noemi.dreksler@governance.ai.
Spectral Estimation with Free Decompression
Ameli, Siavash, van der Heide, Chris, Hodgkinson, Liam, Mahoney, Michael W.
Computing eigenvalues of very large matrices is a critical task in many machine learning applications, including the evaluation of log-determinants, the trace of matrix functions, and other important metrics. As datasets continue to grow in scale, the corresponding covariance and kernel matrices become increasingly large, often reaching magnitudes that make their direct formation impractical or impossible. Existing techniques typically rely on matrix-vector products, which can provide efficient approximations, if the matrix spectrum behaves well. However, in settings like distributed learning, or when the matrix is defined only indirectly, access to the full data set can be restricted to only very small sub-matrices of the original matrix. In these cases, the matrix of nominal interest is not even available as an implicit operator, meaning that even matrix-vector products may not be available. In such settings, the matrix is "impalpable," in the sense that we have access to only masked snapshots of it. We draw on principles from free probability theory to introduce a novel method of "free decompression" to estimate the spectrum of such matrices. Our method can be used to extrapolate from the empirical spectral densities of small submatrices to infer the eigenspectrum of extremely large (impalpable) matrices (that we cannot form or even evaluate with full matrix-vector products). We demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach through a series of examples, comparing its performance against known limiting distributions from random matrix theory in synthetic settings, as well as applying it to submatrices of real-world datasets, matching them with their full empirical eigenspectra.
Decadal sink-source shifts of forest aboveground carbon since 1988
Qian, Zhen, Bathiany, Sebastian, Liu, Teng, Blaschke, Lana L., Teo, Hoong Chen, Boers, Niklas
As enduring carbon sinks, forest ecosystems are vital to the terrestrial carbon cycle and help moderate global warming. However, the long-term dynamics of aboveground carbon (AGC) in forests and their sink-source transitions remain highly uncertain, owing to changing disturbance regimes and inconsistencies in observations, data processing, and analysis methods. Here, we derive reliable, harmonized AGC stocks and fluxes in global forests from 1988 to 2021 at high spatial resolution by integrating multi-source satellite observations with probabilistic deep learning models. Our approach simultaneously estimates AGC and associated uncertainties, showing high reliability across space and time. We find that, although global forests remained an AGC sink of 6.2 PgC over 30 years, moist tropical forests shifted to a substantial AGC source between 2001 and 2010 and, together with boreal forests, transitioned toward a source in the 2011-2021 period. Temperate, dry tropical and subtropical forests generally exhibited increasing AGC stocks, although Europe and Australia became sources after 2011. Regionally, pronounced sink-to-source transitions occurred in tropical forests over the past three decades. The interannual relationship between global atmospheric CO2 growth rates and tropical AGC flux variability became increasingly negative, reaching Pearson's r = -0.63 (p < 0.05) in the most recent decade. In the Brazilian Amazon, the contribution of deforested regions to AGC losses declined from 60% in 1989-2000 to 13% in 2011-2021, while the share from untouched areas increased from 33% to 76%. Our findings suggest a growing role of tropical forest AGC in modulating variability in the terrestrial carbon cycle, with anthropogenic climate change potentially contributing increasingly to AGC changes, particularly in previously untouched areas.
Attention-based Adversarial Robust Distillation in Radio Signal Classifications for Low-Power IoT Devices
Zhang, Lu, Lambotharan, Sangarapillai, Zheng, Gan, Liao, Guisheng, AsSadhan, Basil, Roli, Fabio
--Due to great success of transformers in many applications such as natural language processing and computer vision, transformers have been successfully applied in automatic modulation classification. We have shown that transformer-based radio signal classification is vulnerable to imperceptible and carefully crafted attacks called adversarial examples. Therefore, we propose a defense system against adversarial examples in transformer-based modulation classifications. Considering the need for computationally efficient architecture particularly for Internet of Things (IoT)-based applications or operation of devices in environment where power supply is limited, we propose a compact transformer for modulation classification. The advantages of robust training such as adversarial training in transformers may not be attainable in compact transformers. By demonstrating this, we propose a novel compact transformer that can enhance robustness in the presence of adversarial attacks. The new method is aimed at transferring the adversarial attention map from the robustly trained large transformer to a compact transformer . The proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art techniques for the considered white-box scenarios including fast gradient method and projected gradient descent attacks. We have provided reasoning of the underlying working mechanisms and investigated the transferability of the adversarial examples between different architectures. The proposed method has the potential to protect the transformer from the transferability of adversarial examples.
Rethinking Technological Readiness in the Era of AI Uncertainty
Browne, S. Tucker, Bailey, Mark M.
Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) promise enhanced c apabilities for military combat systems, from autonomous drones to decision-support algorithms.[2] These benefits c ome with new risks: AI systems can behave unpredictably, lack transparency, and perform inconsistently outside of c ontrolled settings.[3] To overcome these challenges, a ded - icated AI Readiness Framework is needed to systematically a ssess whether AI-enabled military systems are truly prepared for deployment. This article contends that defens e organizations should adopt an AI-specific readiness asses s-ment, analogous to (but more comprehensive than) tradition al metrics like Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs),[1] to ensure justified confidence in AI systems before they are fie lded. W e begin by examining the limitations of current readiness assessment metrics (such as TRLs) when applied to AI. W e then introduce a new framework with specific criteria designed to evaluate AI system maturity, explaini ng our rationale for each criterion and discussing implementation considerations.[4] Next, we analyze how the prop osed framework addresses critical AI system challenges, including "hallucinations," lack of explainability, and p erformance variability in operational scenarios. Finally, we outline the framework's applicability to current military AI p rograms and conclude with recommendations for integrating this approach into defense technology management.
Cartridges: Lightweight and general-purpose long context representations via self-study
Eyuboglu, Sabri, Ehrlich, Ryan, Arora, Simran, Guha, Neel, Zinsley, Dylan, Liu, Emily, Tennien, Will, Rudra, Atri, Zou, James, Mirhoseini, Azalia, Re, Christopher
Large language models are often used to answer queries grounded in large text corpora (e.g. codebases, legal documents, or chat histories) by placing the entire corpus in the context window and leveraging in-context learning (ICL). Although current models support contexts of 100K-1M tokens, this setup is costly to serve because the memory consumption of the KV cache scales with input length. We explore an alternative: training a smaller KV cache offline on each corpus. At inference time, we load this trained KV cache, which we call a Cartridge, and decode a response. Critically, the cost of training a Cartridge can be amortized across all the queries referencing the same corpus. However, we find that the naive approach of training the Cartridge with next-token prediction on the corpus is not competitive with ICL. Instead, we propose self-study, a training recipe in which we generate synthetic conversations about the corpus and train the Cartridge with a context-distillation objective. We find that Cartridges trained with self-study replicate the functionality of ICL, while being significantly cheaper to serve. On challenging long-context benchmarks, Cartridges trained with self-study match ICL performance while using 38.6x less memory and enabling 26.4x higher throughput. Self-study also extends the model's effective context length (e.g. from 128k to 484k tokens on MTOB) and surprisingly, leads to Cartridges that can be composed at inference time without retraining.
Training RL Agents for Multi-Objective Network Defense Tasks
Molina-Markham, Andres, Robaina, Luis, Steinle, Sean, Trivedi, Akash, Tsui, Derek, Potteiger, Nicholas, Brandt, Lauren, Winder, Ransom, Ridley, Ahmad
Open-ended learning (OEL) -- which emphasizes training agents that achieve broad capability over narrow competency -- is emerging as a paradigm to develop artificial intelligence (AI) agents to achieve robustness and generalization. However, despite promising results that demonstrate the benefits of OEL, applying OEL to develop autonomous agents for real-world cybersecurity applications remains a challenge. We propose a training approach, inspired by OEL, to develop autonomous network defenders. Our results demonstrate that like in other domains, OEL principles can translate into more robust and generalizable agents for cyber defense. To apply OEL to network defense, it is necessary to address several technical challenges. Most importantly, it is critical to provide a task representation approach over a broad universe of tasks that maintains a consistent interface over goals, rewards and action spaces. This way, the learning agent can train with varying network conditions, attacker behaviors, and defender goals while being able to build on previously gained knowledge. With our tools and results, we aim to fundamentally impact research that applies AI to solve cybersecurity problems. Specifically, as researchers develop gyms and benchmarks for cyber defense, it is paramount that they consider diverse tasks with consistent representations, such as those we propose in our work.
Machine Learning Fairness in House Price Prediction: A Case Study of America's Expanding Metropolises
Almajed, Abdalwahab, Tabar, Maryam, Najafirad, Peyman
As a basic human need, housing plays a key role in enhancing health, well-being, and educational outcome in society, and the housing market is a major factor for promoting quality of life and ensuring social equity. To improve the housing conditions, there has been extensive research on building Machine Learning (ML)-driven house price prediction solutions to accurately forecast the future conditions, and help inform actions and policies in the field. In spite of their success in developing high-accuracy models, there is a gap in our understanding of the extent to which various ML-driven house price prediction approaches show ethnic and/or racial bias, which in turn is essential for the responsible use of ML, and ensuring that the ML-driven solutions do not exacerbate inequity. To fill this gap, this paper develops several ML models from a combination of structural and neighborhood-level attributes, and conducts comprehensive assessments on the fairness of ML models under various definitions of privileged groups. As a result, it finds that the ML-driven house price prediction models show various levels of bias towards protected attributes (i.e., race and ethnicity in this study). Then, it investigates the performance of different bias mitigation solutions, and the experimental results show their various levels of effectiveness on different ML-driven methods. However, in general, the in-processing bias mitigation approach tends to be more effective than the pre-processing one in this problem domain. Our code is available at https://github.com/wahab1412/housing_fairness.