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Sequential Controlled Langevin Diffusions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

An effective approach for sampling from unnormalized densities is based on the idea of gradually transporting samples from an easy prior to the complicated target distribution. Two popular methods are (1) Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), where the transport is performed through successive annealed densities via prescribed Markov chains and resampling steps, and (2) recently developed diffusion-based sampling methods, where a learned dynamical transport is used. Despite the common goal, both approaches have different, often complementary, advantages and drawbacks. The resampling steps in SMC allow focusing on promising regions of the space, often leading to robust performance. While the algorithm enjoys asymptotic guarantees, the lack of flexible, learnable transitions can lead to slow convergence. On the other hand, diffusion-based samplers are learned and can potentially better adapt themselves to the target at hand, yet often suffer from training instabilities. In this work, we present a principled framework for combining SMC with diffusion-based samplers by viewing both methods in continuous time and considering measures on path space. This culminates in the new Sequential Controlled Langevin Diffusion (SCLD) sampling method, which is able to utilize the benefits of both methods and reaches improved performance on multiple benchmark problems, in many cases using only 10% of the training budget of previous diffusion-based samplers.


Off-Policy Maximum Entropy RL with Future State and Action Visitation Measures

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a new maximum entropy reinforcement learning framework based on the distribution of states and actions visited by a policy. More precisely, an intrinsic reward function is added to the reward function of the Markov decision process that shall be controlled. For each state and action, this intrinsic reward is the relative entropy of the discounted distribution of states and actions (or features from these states and actions) visited during the next time steps. We first prove that an optimal exploration policy, which maximizes the expected discounted sum of intrinsic rewards, is also a policy that maximizes a lower bound on the state-action value function of the decision process under some assumptions. We also prove that the visitation distribution used in the intrinsic reward definition is the fixed point of a contraction operator. Following, we describe how to adapt existing algorithms to learn this fixed point and compute the intrinsic rewards to enhance exploration. A new practical off-policy maximum entropy reinforcement learning algorithm is finally introduced. Empirically, exploration policies have good state-action space coverage, and high-performing control policies are computed efficiently.


Enhancing radioisotope identification in gamma spectra with transfer learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning methods in gamma spectroscopy have the potential to provide accurate, real-time classification of unknown radioactive samples. However, obtaining sufficient experimental training data is often prohibitively expensive and time-consuming, and models trained solely on synthetic data can struggle to generalize to the unpredictable range of real-world operating scenarios. In this work, we pretrain a model using physically derived synthetic data and subsequently leverage transfer learning techniques to fine-tune the model for a specific target domain. This paradigm enables us to embed physical principles during the pretraining step, thus requiring less data from the target domain compared to classical machine learning methods. Results of this analysis indicate that fine-tuned models significantly outperform those trained exclusively on synthetic data or solely on target-domain data, particularly in the intermediate data regime (${\approx} 10^4$ training samples). This conclusion is consistent across four different machine learning architectures (MLP, CNN, Transformer, and LSTM) considered in this study. This research serves as proof of concept for applying transfer learning techniques to application scenarios where access to experimental data is limited.


Space to Policy: Scalable Brick Kiln Detection and Automatic Compliance Monitoring with Geospatial Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Air pollution kills 7 million people annually. The brick kiln sector significantly contributes to economic development but also accounts for 8-14\% of air pollution in India. Policymakers have implemented compliance measures to regulate brick kilns. Emission inventories are critical for air quality modeling and source apportionment studies. However, the largely unorganized nature of the brick kiln sector necessitates labor-intensive survey efforts for monitoring. Recent efforts by air quality researchers have relied on manual annotation of brick kilns using satellite imagery to build emission inventories, but this approach lacks scalability. Machine-learning-based object detection methods have shown promise for detecting brick kilns; however, previous studies often rely on costly high-resolution imagery and fail to integrate with governmental policies. In this work, we developed a scalable machine-learning pipeline that detected and classified 30638 brick kilns across five states in the Indo-Gangetic Plain using free, moderate-resolution satellite imagery from Planet Labs. Our detections have a high correlation with on-ground surveys. We performed automated compliance analysis based on government policies. In the Delhi airshed, stricter policy enforcement has led to the adoption of efficient brick kiln technologies. This study highlights the need for inclusive policies that balance environmental sustainability with the livelihoods of workers.


Enhancing operational wind downscaling capabilities over Canada: Application of a Conditional Wasserstein GAN methodology

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Wind downscaling is essential for improving the spatial resolution of weather forecasts, particularly in operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). This study advances wind downscaling by extending the DownGAN framework introduced by Annau et al.,to operational datasets from the Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS) and High-Resolution Deterministic Prediction System (HRDPS), covering the entire Canadian domain. We enhance the model by incorporating high-resolution static covariates, such as HRDPS-derived topography, into a Conditional Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network with Gradient Penalty, implemented using a UNET-based generator. Following the DownGAN framework, our methodology integrates low-resolution GDPS forecasts (15 km, 10-day horizon) and high-resolution HRDPS forecasts (2.5 km, 48-hour horizon) with Frequency Separation techniques adapted from computer vision. Through robust training and inference over the Canadian region, we demonstrate the operational scalability of our approach, achieving significant improvements in wind downscaling accuracy. Statistical validation highlights reductions in root mean square error (RMSE) and log spectral distance (LSD) metrics compared to the original DownGAN. High-resolution conditioning covariates and Frequency Separation strategies prove instrumental in enhancing model performance. This work underscores the potential for extending high-resolution wind forecasts beyond the 48-hour horizon, bridging the gap to the 10-day low resolution global forecast window.


Augmenting the action space with conventions to improve multi-agent cooperation in Hanabi

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The card game Hanabi is considered a strong medium for the testing and development of multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) algorithms, due to its cooperative nature, hidden information, limited communication and remarkable complexity. Previous research efforts have explored the capabilities of MARL algorithms within Hanabi, focusing largely on advanced architecture design and algorithmic manipulations to achieve state-of-the-art performance for a various number of cooperators. However, this often leads to complex solution strategies with high computational cost and requiring large amounts of training data. For humans to solve the Hanabi game effectively, they require the use of conventions, which often allows for a means to implicitly convey ideas or knowledge based on a predefined, and mutually agreed upon, set of ``rules''. Multi-agent problems containing partial observability, especially when limited communication is present, can benefit greatly from the use of implicit knowledge sharing. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to augmenting the action space using conventions, which act as special cooperative actions that span over multiple time steps and multiple agents, requiring agents to actively opt in for it to reach fruition. These conventions are based on existing human conventions, and result in a significant improvement on the performance of existing techniques for self-play and cross-play across a various number of cooperators within Hanabi.


Social Media Informatics for Sustainable Cities and Societies: An Overview of the Applications, associated Challenges, and Potential Solutions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the modern world, our cities and societies face several technological and societal challenges, such as rapid urbanization, global warming & climate change, the digital divide, and social inequalities, increasing the need for more sustainable cities and societies. Addressing these challenges requires a multifaceted approach involving all the stakeholders, sustainable planning, efficient resource management, innovative solutions, and modern technologies. Like other modern technologies, social media informatics also plays its part in developing more sustainable and resilient cities and societies. Despite its limitations, social media informatics has proven very effective in various sustainable cities and society applications. In this paper, we review and analyze the role of social media informatics in sustainable cities and society by providing a detailed overview of its applications, associated challenges, and potential solutions. This work is expected to provide a baseline for future research in the domain.


Tracking control of latent dynamic systems with application to spacecraft attitude control

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

When intelligent spacecraft or space robots perform tasks in a complex environment, the controllable variables are usually not directly available and have to be inferred from high-dimensional observable variables, such as outputs of neural networks or images. While the dynamics of these observations are highly complex, the mechanisms behind them may be simple, which makes it possible to regard them as latent dynamic systems. For control of latent dynamic systems, methods based on reinforcement learning suffer from sample inefficiency and generalization problems. In this work, we propose an asymptotic tracking controller for latent dynamic systems. The latent variables are related to the high-dimensional observations through an unknown nonlinear function. The dynamics are unknown but assumed to be affine nonlinear. To realize asymptotic tracking, an identifiable latent dynamic model is learned to recover the latents and estimate the dynamics. This training process does not depend on the goals or reference trajectories. Based on the learned model, we use a manually designed feedback linearization controller to ensure the asymptotic tracking property of the closed-loop system. After considering fully controllable systems, the results are extended to the case that uncontrollable environmental latents exist. As an application, simulation experiments on a latent spacecraft attitude dynamic model are conducted to verify the proposed methods, and the observation noise and control deviation are taken into consideration.


Conformal Uncertainty Quantification of Electricity Price Predictions for Risk-Averse Storage Arbitrage

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper proposes a risk-averse approach to energy storage price arbitrage, leveraging conformal uncertainty quantification for electricity price predictions. The method addresses the significant challenges posed by the inherent volatility and uncertainty of real-time electricity prices, which create substantial risks of financial losses for energy storage participants relying on future price forecasts to plan their operations. The framework comprises a two-layer prediction model to quantify real-time price uncertainty confidence intervals with high coverage. The framework is distribution-free and can work with any underlying point prediction model. We evaluate the quantification effectiveness through storage price arbitrage application by managing the risk of participating in the real-time market. We design a risk-averse policy for profit-maximization of energy storage arbitrage to find the safest storage schedule with very minimal losses. Using historical data from New York State and synthetic price predictions, our evaluations demonstrate that this framework can achieve good profit margins with less than $35\%$ purchases.


Some Best Practices in Operator Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A neural operator is a neural network that is intended to approximate an operator between function spaces [1-3]. An example of an output function for a neural operator is a solution to a differential equation. Examples of input functions for a neural operator are the initial conditions or the boundary conditions for the differential equation. The study of neural operators is called operator learning. Various choices of hyperparameters and training strategies are made when training a neural network. Limiting such choices to known robust choices can significantly improve the speed of hyperparameters searches. This paper studies the effect of some of these choices in operator learning, that is, it tries to find some best practices in operator learning. This is not a comparison between different architectures. In order, this paper studies the choice of activation function, the use of dropout, the use of stochastic weight averaging and the use of a learning rate finder.