Energy
Upstream flow geometries can be uniquely learnt from single-point turbulence signatures
Karunanethy, Mukesh, Rengaswamy, Raghunathan, Panchagnula, Mahesh V
We test the hypothesis that the microscopic temporal structure of near-field turbulence downstream of a sudden contraction contains geometry-identifiable information pertaining to the shape of the upstream obstruction. We measure a set of spatially sparse velocity time-series data downstream of differently-shaped orifices. We then train random forest multiclass classifier models on a vector of invariants derived from this time-series. We test the above hypothesis with 25 somewhat similar orifice shapes to push the model to its extreme limits. Remarkably, the algorithm was able to identify the orifice shape with 100% accuracy and 100% precision. This outcome is enabled by the uniqueness in the downstream temporal evolution of turbulence structures in the flow past orifices, combined with the random forests' ability to learn subtle yet discerning features in the turbulence microstructure. We are also able to explain the underlying flow physics that enables such classification by listing the invariant measures in the order of increasing information entropy. We show that the temporal autocorrelation coefficients of the time-series are most sensitive to orifice shape and are therefore informative. The ability to identify changes in system geometry without the need for physical disassembly offers tremendous potential for flow control and system identification. Furthermore, the proposed approach could potentially have significant applications in other unrelated fields as well, by deploying the core methodology of training random forest classifiers on vectors of invariant measures obtained from time-series data.
Global Estimation of Subsurface Eddy Kinetic Energy of Mesoscale Eddies Using a Multiple-input Residual Neural Network
Xie, Chenyue, Gao, An-Kang, Lu, Xiyun
Oceanic eddy kinetic energy (EKE) is a key quantity for measuring the intensity of mesoscale eddies and for parameterizing eddy effects in ocean climate models. Three decades of satellite altimetry observations allow a global assessment of sea surface information. However, the subsurface EKE with spatial filter has not been systematically studied due to the sparseness of subsurface observational data. The subsurface EKE can be inferred both theoretically and numerically from sea surface observations but is limited by the issue of decreasing correlation with sea surface variables as depth increases. In this work, inspired by the Taylor-series expansion of subsurface EKE, a multiple-input neural network approach is proposed to reconstruct the subsurface monthly mean EKE from sea surface variables and subsurface climatological variables (e.g., horizontal filtered velocity gradients). Four neural networks are trained on a high-resolution global ocean reanalysis dataset, namely, surface-input fully connected neural network model (FCNN), surface-input Residual neural network model (ResNet), multiple-input fully connected neural network model (MI-FCNN), and multiple-input residual neural network model (MI-ResNet). The proposed MI-FCNN and MI-ResNet models integrate the surface input variables and the vertical profiles of subsurface variables. The MI-ResNet model outperforms the FCNN, ResNet, and MI-FCNN models, and traditional physics-based models in both regional and global reconstruction of subsurface EKE in the upper 2000 m. In addition, the MI-ResNet model performs well for both regional and global observational data based on transfer learning. These findings reveal the potential of the MI-ResNet model for efficient and accurate reconstruction of subsurface oceanic variables.
Magnisketch Drone Control
Kline, Ashley, Elangovan, Abirami, Escandon, Dominique, Wade, Scott, Gupta, Aatish
The use of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) for aerial tasks and environmental manipulation is increasingly desired. This can be demonstrated via art tasks. This paper presents the development of Magnasketch, capable of translating image inputs into art on a magnetic drawing board via a Bitcraze Crazyflie 2.0 quadrotor. Optimal trajectories were generated using a Model Predictive Control (MPC) formulation newly incorporating magnetic force dynamics. A Z-compliant magnetic drawing apparatus was designed for the quadrotor. Experimental results of the novel controller tested against the existing Position High Level Commander showed comparable performance. Although slightly outperformed in terms of error, with average errors of 3.9 cm, 4.4 cm, and 0.5 cm in x, y, and z respectively, the Magnasketch controller produced smoother drawings with the added benefit of full state control.
TERA: A Simulation Environment for Terrain Excavation Robot Autonomy
Aluckal, Christo, Lal, Roopesh Vinodh Kumar, Courtney, Sean, Turkar, Yash, Dighe, Yashom, Kim, Young-Jin, Gemerek, Jake, Dantu, Karthik
Developing excavation autonomy is challenging given the environments where excavators operate, the complexity of physical interaction and the degrees of freedom of operation of the excavator itself. Simulation is a useful tool to build parts of the autonomy without the complexity of experimentation. Traditional excavator simulators are geared towards high fidelity interactions between the joints or between the terrain but do not incorporate other challenges such as perception required for end to end autonomy. A complete simulator should be capable of supporting real time operation while providing high fidelity simulation of the excavator(s), the environment, and their interaction. In this paper we present TERA (Terrain Excavation Robot Autonomy), a simulator geared towards autonomous excavator applications based on Unity3D and AGX that provides the extensibility and scalability required to study full autonomy. It provides the ability to configure the excavator and the environment per the user requirements. We also demonstrate realistic dynamics by incorporating a time-varying model that introduces variations in the system's responses. The simulator is then evaluated with different scenarios such as track deformation, velocities on different terrains, similarity of the system with the real excavator and the overall path error to show the capabilities of the simulation.
GeoConformal prediction: a model-agnostic framework of measuring the uncertainty of spatial prediction
Lou, Xiayin, Luo, Peng, Meng, Liqiu
Spatial prediction is a fundamental task in geography. In recent years, with advances in geospatial artificial intelligence (GeoAI), numerous models have been developed to improve the accuracy of geographic variable predictions. Beyond achieving higher accuracy, it is equally important to obtain predictions with uncertainty measures to enhance model credibility and support responsible spatial prediction. Although geostatistic methods like Kriging offer some level of uncertainty assessment, such as Kriging variance, these measurements are not always accurate and lack general applicability to other spatial models. To address this issue, we propose a model-agnostic uncertainty assessment method called GeoConformal Prediction, which incorporates geographical weighting into conformal prediction. We applied it to two classic spatial prediction cases, spatial regression and spatial interpolation, to evaluate its reliability. First, in the spatial regression case, we used XGBoost to predict housing prices, followed by GeoConformal to calculate uncertainty. Our results show that GeoConformal achieved a coverage rate of 93.67%, while Bootstrap methods only reached a maximum coverage of 81.00% after 2000 runs. Next, we applied GeoConformal to spatial interpolation models. We found that the uncertainty obtained from GeoConformal aligned closely with the variance in Kriging. Finally, using GeoConformal, we analyzed the sources of uncertainty in spatial prediction. We found that explicitly including local features in AI models can significantly reduce prediction uncertainty, especially in areas with strong local dependence. Our findings suggest that GeoConformal holds potential not only for geographic knowledge discovery but also for guiding the design of future GeoAI models, paving the way for more reliable and interpretable spatial prediction frameworks.
Adopting Explainable-AI to investigate the impact of urban morphology design on energy and environmental performance in dry-arid climates
Eshraghi, Pegah, Talami, Riccardo, Dehnavi, Arman Nikkhah, Mirdamadi, Maedeh, Zomorodian, Zahra-Sadat
In rapidly urbanizing regions, designing climate-responsive urban forms is crucial for sustainable development, especially in dry arid-climates where urban morphology has a significant impact on energy consumption and environmental performance. This study advances urban morphology evaluation by combining Urban Building Energy Modeling (UBEM) with machine learning methods (ML) and Explainable AI techniques, specifically Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). Using Tehran's dense urban landscape as a case study, this research assesses and ranks the impact of 30 morphology parameters at the urban block level on key energy metrics (cooling, heating, and lighting demand) and environmental performance (sunlight exposure, photovoltaic generation, and Sky View Factor). Among seven ML algorithms evaluated, the XGBoost model was the most effective predictor, achieving high accuracy (R2: 0.92) and a training time of 3.64 seconds. Findings reveal that building shape, window-to-wall ratio, and commercial ratio are the most critical parameters affecting energy efficiency, while the heights and distances of neighboring buildings strongly influence cooling demand and solar access. By evaluating urban blocks with varied densities and configurations, this study offers generalizable insights applicable to other dry-arid regions. Moreover, the integration of UBEM and Explainable AI offers a scalable, data-driven framework for developing climate-responsive urban designs adaptable to high-density environments worldwide.
Predicting Internet Connectivity in Schools: A Feasibility Study Leveraging Multi-modal Data and Location Encoders in Low-Resource Settings
Doerksen, Kelsey, Fibaek, Casper, Schneider, Rochelle, Kim, Do-Hyung, Tingzon, Isabelle
Internet connectivity in schools is critical to provide students with the digital literary skills necessary to compete in modern economies. In order for governments to effectively implement digital infrastructure development in schools, accurate internet connectivity information is required. However, traditional survey-based methods can exceed the financial and capacity limits of governments. Open-source Earth Observation (EO) datasets have unlocked our ability to observe and understand socio-economic conditions on Earth from space, and in combination with Machine Learning (ML), can provide the tools to circumvent costly ground-based survey methods to support infrastructure development. In this paper, we present our work on school internet connectivity prediction using EO and ML. We detail the creation of our multi-modal, freely-available satellite imagery and survey information dataset, leverage the latest geographically-aware location encoders, and introduce the first results of using the new European Space Agency phi-lab geographically-aware foundational model to predict internet connectivity in Botswana and Rwanda. We find that ML with EO and ground-based auxiliary data yields the best performance in both countries, for accuracy, F1 score, and False Positive rates, and highlight the challenges of internet connectivity prediction from space with a case study in Kigali, Rwanda. Our work showcases a practical approach to support data-driven digital infrastructure development in low-resource settings, leveraging freely available information, and provide cleaned and labelled datasets for future studies to the community through a unique collaboration between UNICEF and the European Space Agency phi-lab.
SonicBoom: Contact Localization Using Array of Microphones
Lee, Moonyoung, Yoo, Uksang, Oh, Jean, Ichnowski, Jeffrey, Kantor, George, Kroemer, Oliver
In cluttered environments where visual sensors encounter heavy occlusion, such as in agricultural settings, tactile signals can provide crucial spatial information for the robot to locate rigid objects and maneuver around them. We introduce SonicBoom, a holistic hardware and learning pipeline that enables contact localization through an array of contact microphones. While conventional sound source localization methods effectively triangulate sources in air, localization through solid media with irregular geometry and structure presents challenges that are difficult to model analytically. We address this challenge through a feature engineering and learning based approach, autonomously collecting 18,000 robot interaction sound pairs to learn a mapping between acoustic signals and collision locations on the robot end effector link. By leveraging relative features between microphones, SonicBoom achieves localization errors of 0.42cm for in distribution interactions and maintains robust performance of 2.22cm error even with novel objects and contact conditions. We demonstrate the system's practical utility through haptic mapping of occluded branches in mock canopy settings, showing that acoustic based sensing can enable reliable robot navigation in visually challenging environments.
Pretrained Event Classification Model for High Energy Physics Analysis
Ho, Joshua, Roberts, Benjamin Ryan, Han, Shuo, Wang, Haichen
We introduce a foundation model for event classification in high-energy physics, built on a Graph Neural Network architecture and trained on 120 million simulated proton-proton collision events spanning 12 distinct physics processes. The model is pretrained to learn a general and robust representation of collision data using challenging multiclass and multilabel classification tasks. Its performance is evaluated across five event classification tasks, which include both physics processes used during pretraining and new processes not encountered during pretraining. Fine-tuning the pretrained model significantly improves classification performance, particularly in scenarios with limited training data, demonstrating gains in both accuracy and computational efficiency. To investigate the underlying mechanisms behind these performance improvements, we employ a representational similarity evaluation framework based on Centered Kernel Alignment. This analysis reveals notable differences in the learned representations of fine-tuned pretrained models compared to baseline models trained from scratch.
Pre-Deployment Information Sharing: A Zoning Taxonomy for Precursory Capabilities
Pistillo, Matteo, Stix, Charlotte
There is a growing consensus that information is the "lifeblood of good governance" (Kolt et al., 2024) and that information sharing should be one of the "natural initial target[s]" of AI governance (Bommasani et al., 2024). Up-to-date and reliable information about AI systems' capabilities and how capabilities will develop in the future can help developers, governments, and researchers advance safety evaluations (Frontier Model Forum, 2024), develop best practices (UK DSIT, 2023), and respond effectively to the new risks posed by frontier AI (Kolt et al., 2024). Information sharing also supports regulatory visibility (Anderljung et al., 2023) and can thus enable better-informed AI governance (O'Brien et al., 2024). Further, access to knowledge about AI systems' potential risks allows AI systems claims to be scrutinized more effectively (Brundage et al., 2020). By contrast, information asymmetries could lead regulators to miscalibrated over-regulation--or under-regulation--of AI (Ball & Kokotajlo, 2024) and could contribute to the "pacing problem," a situation in which government oversight consistently lags behind technology development (Marchant et al., 2011). In short, there is a strong case for information sharing being one "key to making AI go well" (Ball & Kokotajlo, 2024). The Frontier AI Safety Commitments ("FAISC") are an important step towards more comprehensive information sharing by AI developers.