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Industrial-scale Prediction of Cement Clinker Phases using Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cement production, exceeding 4.1 billion tonnes and contributing 2.4 tonnes of CO2 annually, faces critical challenges in quality control and process optimization. While traditional process models for cement manufacturing are confined to steady-state conditions with limited predictive capability for mineralogical phases, modern plants operate under dynamic conditions that demand real-time quality assessment. Here, exploiting a comprehensive two-year operational dataset from an industrial cement plant, we present a machine learning framework that accurately predicts clinker mineralogy from process data. Our model achieves unprecedented prediction accuracy for major clinker phases while requiring minimal input parameters, demonstrating robust performance under varying operating conditions. Through post-hoc explainable algorithms, we interpret the hierarchical relationships between clinker oxides and phase formation, providing insights into the functioning of an otherwise black-box model. This digital twin framework can potentially enable real-time optimization of cement production, thereby providing a route toward reducing material waste and ensuring quality while reducing the associated emissions under real plant conditions. Our approach represents a significant advancement in industrial process control, offering a scalable solution for sustainable cement manufacturing.


A survey on pioneering metaheuristic algorithms between 2019 and 2024

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With innovation accelerating, selecting the most effective algorithms has become increasingly demanding for researchers and practitioners alike. Recognizing this, we conducted an in-depth review of metaheuristics introduced in the past six years, focusing on their influence and effectiveness. We evaluated these algorithms across essential criteria: citation frequency, diversity in tackled problem types, code availability, ease of parameter tuning, introduction of novel mechanisms, and resilience to issues like stagnation and early convergence. Out of 158 algorithms, we identified 23 that set themselves apart, each contributing unique solutions to long-standing optimization challenges. These algorithms stand out for their versatility and innovation, positioning them as valuable assets for advancing research and addressing complex real-world problems. Our review offers a detailed analysis of these algorithms, comparing their strengths, limitations, similarities, and applications, while highlighting promising trends and future pathways in metaheuristic research.


Learning physical unknowns from hydrodynamic shock and material interface features in ICF capsule implosions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In high energy density physics (HEDP) and inertial confinement fusion (ICF), predictive modeling is complicated by uncertainty in parameters that characterize various aspects of the modeled system, such as those characterizing material properties, equation of state (EOS), opacities, and initial conditions. Typically, however, these parameters are not directly observable. What is observed instead is a time sequence of radiographic projections using X-rays. In this work, we define a set of sparse hydrodynamic features derived from the outgoing shock profile and outer material edge, which can be obtained from radiographic measurements, to directly infer such parameters. Our machine learning (ML)-based methodology involves a pipeline of two architectures, a radiograph-to-features network (R2FNet) and a features-to-parameters network (F2PNet), that are trained independently and later combined to approximate a posterior distribution for the parameters from radiographs. We show that the estimated parameters can be used in a hydrodynamics code to obtain density fields and hydrodynamic shock and outer edge features that are consistent with the data. Finally, we demonstrate that features resulting from an unknown EOS model can be successfully mapped onto parameters of a chosen analytical EOS model, implying that network predictions are learning physics, with a degree of invariance to the underlying choice of EOS model.


Time-Series Foundation Model for Value-at-Risk Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study is the first to explore the performance of a time-series foundation model for Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting. Foundation models, pre-trained on vast and varied datasets, can be used in a zero-shot setting with relatively minimal data or further improved through finetuning. We compare the performance of Google's model, called TimesFM, against conventional parametric and non-parametric models, including GARCH, Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS), and empirical quantile estimates, using daily returns from the S\&P 100 index and its constituents over 19 years. Our backtesting results indicate that in terms of the actual-over-expected ratio, the fine-tuned TimesFM model consistently outperforms traditional methods. Regarding the quantile score loss function, it achieves performance comparable to the best econometric approach, the GAS model. Overall, the foundation model is either the best or among the top performers in forecasting VaR across the 0.01, 0.025, 0.05, and 0.1 VaR levels. Fine-tuning significantly improves accuracy, indicating that zero-shot use is not optimal for VaR forecasting.


Toward Scalable Multirobot Control: Fast Policy Learning in Distributed MPC

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Distributed model predictive control (DMPC) is promising in achieving optimal cooperative control in multirobot systems (MRS). However, real-time DMPC implementation relies on numerical optimization tools to periodically calculate local control sequences online. This process is computationally demanding and lacks scalability for large-scale, nonlinear MRS. This article proposes a novel distributed learning-based predictive control (DLPC) framework for scalable multirobot control. Unlike conventional DMPC methods that calculate open-loop control sequences, our approach centers around a computationally fast and efficient distributed policy learning algorithm that generates explicit closed-loop DMPC policies for MRS without using numerical solvers. The policy learning is executed incrementally and forward in time in each prediction interval through an online distributed actor-critic implementation. The control policies are successively updated in a receding-horizon manner, enabling fast and efficient policy learning with the closed-loop stability guarantee. The learned control policies could be deployed online to MRS with varying robot scales, enhancing scalability and transferability for large-scale MRS. Furthermore, we extend our methodology to address the multirobot safe learning challenge through a force field-inspired policy learning approach. We validate our approach's effectiveness, scalability, and efficiency through extensive experiments on cooperative tasks of large-scale wheeled robots and multirotor drones. Our results demonstrate the rapid learning and deployment of DMPC policies for MRS with scales up to 10,000 units.


Modeling Continuous Spatial-temporal Dynamics of Turbulent Flow with Test-time Refinement

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The precise simulation of turbulent flows holds immense significance across various scientific and engineering domains, including climate science, freshwater science, and energy-efficient manufacturing. Within the realm of simulating turbulent flows, large eddy simulation (LES) has emerged as a prevalent alternative to direct numerical simulation (DNS), offering computational efficiency. However, LES cannot accurately capture the full spectrum of turbulent transport scales and is present only at a lower spatial resolution. Reconstructing high-fidelity DNS data from the lower-resolution LES data is essential for numerous applications, but it poses significant challenges to existing super-resolution techniques, primarily due to the complex spatio-temporal nature of turbulent flows. This paper proposes a novel flow reconstruction approach that leverages physical knowledge to model flow dynamics. Different from traditional super-resolution techniques, the proposed approach uses LES data only in the testing phase through a degradation-based refinement approach to enforce physical constraints and mitigate cumulative reconstruction errors over time. Furthermore, a feature sampling strategy is developed to enable flow data reconstruction across different resolutions. The results on two distinct sets of turbulent flow data indicate the effectiveness of the proposed method in reconstructing high-resolution DNS data, preserving the inherent physical attributes of flow transport, and achieving DNS reconstruction at different resolutions.


Numerical solutions of fixed points in two-dimensional Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation expedited by reinforcement learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a combined approach to enhancing the effectiveness of Jacobian-Free Newton-Krylov (JFNK) method by deep reinforcement learning (DRL) in identifying fixed points within the 2D Kuramoto-Sivashinsky Equation (KSE). JFNK approach entails a good initial guess for improved convergence when searching for fixed points. With a properly defined reward function, we utilise DRL as a preliminary step to enhance the initial guess in the converging process. We report new results of fixed points in the 2D KSE which have not been reported in the literature. Additionally, we explored control optimization for the 2D KSE to navigate the system trajectories between known fixed points, based on parallel reinforcement learning techniques. This combined method underscores the improved JFNK approach to finding new fixed-point solutions within the context of 2D KSE, which may be instructive for other high-dimensional dynamical systems.


Deep ReLU networks -- injectivity capacity upper bounds

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study deep ReLU feed forward neural networks (NN) and their injectivity abilities. The main focus is on \emph{precisely} determining the so-called injectivity capacity. For any given hidden layers architecture, it is defined as the minimal ratio between number of network's outputs and inputs which ensures unique recoverability of the input from a realizable output. A strong recent progress in precisely studying single ReLU layer injectivity properties is here moved to a deep network level. In particular, we develop a program that connects deep $l$-layer net injectivity to an $l$-extension of the $\ell_0$ spherical perceptrons, thereby massively generalizing an isomorphism between studying single layer injectivity and the capacity of the so-called (1-extension) $\ell_0$ spherical perceptrons discussed in [82]. \emph{Random duality theory} (RDT) based machinery is then created and utilized to statistically handle properties of the extended $\ell_0$ spherical perceptrons and implicitly of the deep ReLU NNs. A sizeable set of numerical evaluations is conducted as well to put the entire RDT machinery in practical use. From these we observe a rapidly decreasing tendency in needed layers' expansions, i.e., we observe a rapid \emph{expansion saturation effect}. Only $4$ layers of depth are sufficient to closely approach level of no needed expansion -- a result that fairly closely resembles observations made in practical experiments and that has so far remained completely untouchable by any of the existing mathematical methodologies.


Feedback Design and Implementation for Integrated Posture Manipulation and Thrust Vectoring

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This MS thesis outlines my contributions to the closed loop control and system integration of two robotic platforms: 1) Aerobat, a flapping wing robot stabilized by air jets, and 2) Harpy, a bipedal robot equipped with dual thrusters. Both systems share a common theme of the integration of posture manipulation and thrust vectoring to achieve stability and controlled movement. For Aerobat, I developed the software and control architecture that enabled its first untethered flights. The control system combines flapping wing dynamics with multiple air jet stabilization to maintain roll, pitch and yaw stability. These results were published in the IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems (IROS). For Harpy, I implemented a closed-loop control framework that incorporates active thruster assisted frontal dynamics stabilization . My work led to preliminary untethered dynamic walking. This approach demonstrates how thrust assisted stability can enhance locomotion in legged robots which has not been explored before.


Pivoting B2B platform business models: From platform experimentation to multi-platform integration to ecosystem envelopment

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The landscape of digital servitization in the manufacturing sector is evolving, marked by a strategic shift from traditional product-centric to platform business models (BMs). Manufacturing firms often employ a blend of approaches to develop business-to-business (B2B) platforms, leading to significant reconfigurations in their BMs. However, they frequently encounter failures in their B2B platform development initiatives, leading them to abandon initial efforts and pivot to alternative platform strategies. Therefore, this study, through an in-depth case study of a manufacturer in the energy sector, articulates a three-phase pivoting framework for B2B platform BMs, including platform development and platform strategy. Initially, the manufacturer focused on asset-based product sales supplemented by asset maintenance services and followed an emergent platformization strategy characterized by the rise of multiple, independent B2B platforms catering to diverse functions. Next, focusing on the imposed customer journey strategy, the firm shifted towards a strategic multi-platform integration into an all-encompassing platform supported by artificial intelligence (AI), signaling a maturation of the platform BM to combine a wide range of services into an energy-performance-based contract. Finally, the last step of the firm's platform BM evolution consisted of a deliberate platform strategy open to external stakeholders and enveloping its data-driven offerings within a broader platform ecosystem. This article advances B2B platform BMs and digital servitization literature, highlighting the efficacy of a progressive approach and strategic pivoting.