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Analog Bayesian neural networks are insensitive to the shape of the weight distribution

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recent work has demonstrated that Bayesian neural networks (BNN's) trained with mean field variational inference (MFVI) can be implemented in analog hardware, promising orders of magnitude energy savings compared to the standard digital implementations. However, while Gaussians are typically used as the variational distribution in MFVI, it is difficult to precisely control the shape of the noise distributions produced by sampling analog devices. This paper introduces a method for MFVI training using real device noise as the variational distribution. Furthermore, we demonstrate empirically that the predictive distributions from BNN's with the same weight means and variances converge to the same distribution, regardless of the shape of the variational distribution. This result suggests that analog device designers do not need to consider the shape of the device noise distribution when hardware-implementing BNNs performing MFVI.


A High-accuracy Calibration Method of Transient TSEPs for Power Semiconductor Devices

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The thermal sensitive electrical parameter (TSEP) method is crucial for enhancing the reliability of power devices through junction temperature monitoring. The TSEP method comprises three key processes: calibration, regression, and application. While significant efforts have been devoted to improving regression algorithms and increasing TSEP sensitivity to enhance junction temperature monitoring accuracy, these approaches have reached a bottleneck. In reality, the calibration method significantly influences monitoring accuracy, an aspect often overlooked in conventional TSEP methods. To address this issue, we propose a high-accuracy calibration method for transient TSEPs. First, a temperature compensation strategy based on thermal analysis is introduced to mitigate the temperature difference caused by load current during dual pulse tests. Second, the impact of stray parameters is analyzed to identify coupled parameters, which are typically neglected in existing methods. Third, it is observed that random errors follow a logarithm Gaussian distribution, covering a hidden variable. A neural network is used to obtain the junction temperature predictive model. The proposed calibration method is experimental validated in threshold voltage as an example. Compared with conventional calibration methods, the mean absolute error is reduced by over 30%. Moreover, this method does not require additional hardware cost and has good generalization.


A Multi-Layer CNN-GRUSKIP model based on transformer for spatial TEMPORAL traffic flow prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Traffic flow prediction remains a cornerstone for intelligent transportation systems ITS, influencing both route optimization and environmental efforts. While Recurrent Neural Networks RNN and traditional Convolutional Neural Networks CNN offer some insights into the spatial temporal dynamics of traffic data, they are often limited when navigating sparse and extended spatial temporal patterns. In response, the CNN-GRUSKIP model emerges as a pioneering approach. Notably, it integrates the GRU-SKIP mechanism, a hybrid model that leverages the Gate Recurrent Unit of GRU capabilities to process sequences with the SKIP feature of ability to bypass and connect longer temporal dependencies, making it especially potent for traffic flow predictions with erratic and extended patterns. Another distinctive aspect is its non-standard 6-layer CNN, meticulously designed for in-depth spatiotemporal correlation extraction. The model comprises (1) the specialized CNN feature extraction, (2) the GRU-SKIP enhanced long-temporal module adept at capturing extended patterns, (3) a transformer module employing encoder-decoder and multi-attention mechanisms to hone prediction accuracy and trim model complexity, and (4) a bespoke prediction module. When tested against real-world datasets from California of Caltrans Performance Measurement System PeMS, specifically PeMS districts 4 and 8, the CNN-GRUSKIP consistently outperformed established models such as ARIMA, Graph Wave Net, HA, LSTM, STGCN, and APTN. With its potent predictive prowess and adaptive architecture, the CNN-GRUSKIP model stands to redefine ITS applications, especially where nuanced traffic dynamics are in play.


Generative Flow Networks: Theory and Applications to Structure Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Without any assumptions about data generation, multiple causal models may explain our observations equally well. To avoid selecting a single arbitrary model that could result in unsafe decisions if it does not match reality, it is therefore essential to maintain a notion of epistemic uncertainty about our possible candidates. This thesis studies the problem of structure learning from a Bayesian perspective, approximating the posterior distribution over the structure of a causal model, represented as a directed acyclic graph (DAG), given data. It introduces Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets), a novel class of probabilistic models designed for modeling distributions over discrete and compositional objects such as graphs. They treat generation as a sequential decision making problem, constructing samples of a target distribution defined up to a normalization constant piece by piece. In the first part of this thesis, we present the mathematical foundations of GFlowNets, their connections to existing domains of machine learning and statistics such as variational inference and reinforcement learning, and their extensions beyond discrete problems. In the second part of this thesis, we show how GFlowNets can approximate the posterior distribution over DAG structures of causal Bayesian Networks, along with the parameters of its causal mechanisms, given observational and experimental data.


TimeDP: Learning to Generate Multi-Domain Time Series with Domain Prompts

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Time series generation models are crucial for applications like data augmentation and privacy preservation. Most existing time series generation models are typically designed to generate data from one specified domain. While leveraging data from other domain for better generalization is proved to work in other application areas, this approach remains challenging for time series modeling due to the large divergence in patterns among different real world time series categories. In this paper, we propose a multi-domain time series diffusion model with domain prompts, named TimeDP. In TimeDP, we utilize a time series semantic prototype module which defines time series prototypes to represent time series basis, each prototype vector serving as "word" representing some elementary time series feature. A prototype assignment module is applied to extract the extract domain specific prototype weights, for learning domain prompts as generation condition. During sampling, we extract "domain prompt" with few-shot samples from the target domain and use the domain prompts as condition to generate time series samples. Experiments demonstrate that our method outperforms baselines to provide the state-of-the-art in-domain generation quality and strong unseen domain generation capability.


Design and Control of a Bipedal Robotic Character

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Legged robots have achieved impressive feats in dynamic locomotion in challenging unstructured terrain. However, in entertainment applications, the design and control of these robots face additional challenges in appealing to human audiences. This work aims to unify expressive, artist-directed motions and robust dynamic mobility for legged robots. To this end, we introduce a new bipedal robot, designed with a focus on character-driven mechanical features. We present a reinforcement learning-based control architecture to robustly execute artistic motions conditioned on command signals. During runtime, these command signals are generated by an animation engine which composes and blends between multiple animation sources. Finally, an intuitive operator interface enables real-time show performances with the robot. The complete system results in a believable robotic character, and paves the way for enhanced human-robot engagement in various contexts, in entertainment robotics and beyond.


Dexterous Manipulation of Deformable Objects via Pneumatic Gripping: Lifting by One End

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Manipulating deformable objects in robotic cells is often costly and not widely accessible. However, the use of localized pneumatic gripping systems can enhance accessibility. Current methods that use pneumatic grippers to handle deformable objects struggle with effective lifting. This paper introduces a method for the dexterous lifting of textile deformable objects from one edge, utilizing a previously developed gripper designed for flexible and porous materials. By precisely adjusting the orientation and position of the gripper during the lifting process, we were able to significantly reduce necessary gripping force and minimize object vibration caused by airflow. This method was tested and validated on four materials with varying mass, friction, and flexibility. The proposed approach facilitates the lifting of deformable objects from a conveyor or automated line, even when only one edge is accessible for grasping. Future work will involve integrating a vision system to optimize the manipulation of deformable objects with more complex shapes.


Explainable AI based System for Supply Air Temperature Forecast

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper explores the application of Explainable AI (XAI) techniques to improve the transparency and understanding of predictive models in control of automated supply air temperature (ASAT) of Air Handling Unit (AHU). The study focuses on forecasting of ASAT using a linear regression with Huber loss. However, having only a control curve without semantic and/or physical explanation is often not enough. The present study employs one of the XAI methods: Shapley values, which allows to reveal the reasoning and highlight the contribution of each feature to the final ASAT forecast. In comparison to other XAI methods, Shapley values have solid mathematical background, resulting in interpretation transparency. The study demonstrates the contrastive explanations--slices, for each control value of ASAT, which makes it possible to give the client objective justifications for curve changes.


Advancing ALS Applications with Large-Scale Pre-training: Dataset Development and Downstream Assessment

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The pre-training and fine-tuning paradigm has revolutionized satellite remote sensing applications. However, this approach remains largely underexplored for airborne laser scanning (ALS), an important technology for applications such as forest management and urban planning. In this study, we address this gap by constructing a large-scale ALS point cloud dataset and evaluating its impact on downstream applications. Our dataset comprises ALS point clouds collected across the contiguous United States, provided by the United States Geological Survey's 3D Elevation Program. To ensure efficient data collection while capturing diverse land cover and terrain types, we introduce a geospatial sampling method that selects point cloud tiles based on land cover maps and digital elevation models. As a baseline self-supervised learning model, we adopt BEV-MAE, a state-of-the-art masked autoencoder for 3D outdoor point clouds, and pre-train it on the constructed dataset. The pre-trained models are subsequently fine-tuned for downstream tasks, including tree species classification, terrain scene recognition, and point cloud semantic segmentation. Our results show that the pre-trained models significantly outperform their scratch counterparts across all downstream tasks, demonstrating the transferability of the representations learned from the proposed dataset. Furthermore, we observe that scaling the dataset using our geospatial sampling method consistently enhances performance, whereas pre-training on datasets constructed with random sampling fails to achieve similar improvements. These findings highlight the utility of the constructed dataset and the effectiveness of our sampling strategy in the pre-training and fine-tuning paradigm. The source code and pre-trained models will be made publicly available at \url{https://github.com/martianxiu/ALS_pretraining}.


A Text-Based Knowledge-Embedded Soft Sensing Modeling Approach for General Industrial Process Tasks Based on Large Language Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Data-driven soft sensors (DDSS) have become mainstream methods for predicting key performance indicators in process industries. However, DDSS development requires complex and costly customized designs tailored to various tasks during the modeling process. Moreover, DDSS are constrained to a single structured data modality, limiting their ability to incorporate additional contextual knowledge. Furthermore, DDSSs' limited representation learning leads to weak predictive performance with scarce data. To address these challenges, we propose a general framework named LLM-TKESS (large language model for text-based knowledge-embedded soft sensing), harnessing the powerful general problem-solving capabilities, cross-modal knowledge transfer abilities, and few-shot capabilities of LLM for enhanced soft sensing modeling. Specifically, an auxiliary variable series encoder (AVS Encoder) is proposed to unleash LLM's potential for capturing temporal relationships within series and spatial semantic relationships among auxiliary variables. Then, we propose a two-stage fine-tuning alignment strategy: in the first stage, employing parameter-efficient fine-tuning through autoregressive training adjusts LLM to rapidly accommodate process variable data, resulting in a soft sensing foundation model (SSFM). Subsequently, by training adapters, we adapt the SSFM to various downstream tasks without modifying its architecture. Then, we propose two text-based knowledge-embedded soft sensors, integrating new natural language modalities to overcome the limitations of pure structured data models. Furthermore, benefiting from LLM's pre-existing world knowledge, our model demonstrates outstanding predictive capabilities in small sample conditions. Using the thermal deformation of air preheater rotor as a case study, we validate through extensive experiments that LLM-TKESS exhibits outstanding performance.