Energy
Distributed Coverage Control for Time-Varying Spatial Processes
Pratissoli, Federico, Mantovani, Mattia, Prorok, Amanda, Sabattini, Lorenzo
Multi-robot systems are essential for environmental monitoring, particularly for tracking spatial phenomena like pollution, soil minerals, and water salinity, and more. This study addresses the challenge of deploying a multi-robot team for optimal coverage in environments where the density distribution, describing areas of interest, is unknown and changes over time. We propose a fully distributed control strategy that uses Gaussian Processes (GPs) to model the spatial field and balance the trade-off between learning the field and optimally covering it. Unlike existing approaches, we address a more realistic scenario by handling time-varying spatial fields, where the exploration-exploitation trade-off is dynamically adjusted over time. Each robot operates locally, using only its own collected data and the information shared by the neighboring robots. To address the computational limits of GPs, the algorithm efficiently manages the volume of data by selecting only the most relevant samples for the process estimation. The performance of the proposed algorithm is evaluated through several simulations and experiments, incorporating real-world data phenomena to validate its effectiveness.
Private Low-Rank Approximation for Covariance Matrices, Dyson Brownian Motion, and Eigenvalue-Gap Bounds for Gaussian Perturbations
Mangoubi, Oren, Vishnoi, Nisheeth K.
We consider the problem of approximating a $d \times d$ covariance matrix $M$ with a rank-$k$ matrix under $(\varepsilon,\delta)$-differential privacy. We present and analyze a complex variant of the Gaussian mechanism and obtain upper bounds on the Frobenius norm of the difference between the matrix output by this mechanism and the best rank-$k$ approximation to $M$. Our analysis provides improvements over previous bounds, particularly when the spectrum of $M$ satisfies natural structural assumptions. The novel insight is to view the addition of Gaussian noise to a matrix as a continuous-time matrix Brownian motion. This viewpoint allows us to track the evolution of eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the matrix, which are governed by stochastic differential equations discovered by Dyson. These equations enable us to upper bound the Frobenius distance between the best rank-$k$ approximation of $M$ and that of a Gaussian perturbation of $M$ as an integral that involves inverse eigenvalue gaps of the stochastically evolving matrix, as opposed to a sum of perturbation bounds obtained via Davis-Kahan-type theorems. Subsequently, again using the Dyson Brownian motion viewpoint, we show that the eigenvalues of the matrix $M$ perturbed by Gaussian noise have large gaps with high probability. These results also contribute to the analysis of low-rank approximations under average-case perturbations, and to an understanding of eigenvalue gaps for random matrices, both of which may be of independent interest.
Advancing climate model interpretability: Feature attribution for Arctic melt anomalies
Ale, Tolulope, Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne, Janeja, Vandana P.
The focus of our work is improving the interpretability of anomalies in climate models and advancing our understanding of Arctic melt dynamics. The Arctic and Antarctic ice sheets are experiencing rapid surface melting and increased freshwater runoff, contributing significantly to global sea level rise. Understanding the mechanisms driving snowmelt in these regions is crucial. ERA5, a widely used reanalysis dataset in polar climate studies, offers extensive climate variables and global data assimilation. However, its snowmelt model employs an energy imbalance approach that may oversimplify the complexity of surface melt. In contrast, the Glacier Energy and Mass Balance (GEMB) model incorporates additional physical processes, such as snow accumulation, firn densification, and meltwater percolation/refreezing, providing a more detailed representation of surface melt dynamics. In this research, we focus on analyzing surface snowmelt dynamics of the Greenland Ice Sheet using feature attribution for anomalous melt events in ERA5 and GEMB models. We present a novel unsupervised attribution method leveraging counterfactual explanation method to analyze detected anomalies in ERA5 and GEMB. Our anomaly detection results are validated using MEaSUREs ground-truth data, and the attributions are evaluated against established feature ranking methods, including XGBoost, Shapley values, and Random Forest. Our attribution framework identifies the physics behind each model and the climate features driving melt anomalies. These findings demonstrate the utility of our attribution method in enhancing the interpretability of anomalies in climate models and advancing our understanding of Arctic melt dynamics.
Advancing Heat Demand Forecasting with Attention Mechanisms: Opportunities and Challenges
Ramachandran, Adithya, Neergaard, Thorkil Flensmark B., Maier, Andreas, Bayer, Siming
Global leaders and policymakers are unified in their unequivocal commitment to decarbonization efforts in support of Net-Zero agreements. District Heating Systems (DHS), while contributing to carbon emissions due to the continued reliance on fossil fuels for heat production, are embracing more sustainable practices albeit with some sense of vulnerability as it could constrain their ability to adapt to dynamic demand and production scenarios. As demographic demands grow and renewables become the central strategy in decarbonizing the heating sector, the need for accurate demand forecasting has intensified. Advances in digitization have paved the way for Machine Learning (ML) based solutions to become the industry standard for modeling complex time series patterns. In this paper, we focus on building a Deep Learning (DL) model that uses deconstructed components of independent and dependent variables that affect heat demand as features to perform multi-step ahead forecasting of head demand. The model represents the input features in a time-frequency space and uses an attention mechanism to generate accurate forecasts. The proposed method is evaluated on a real-world dataset and the forecasting performance is assessed against LSTM and CNN-based forecasting models. Across different supply zones, the attention-based models outperforms the baselines quantitatively and qualitatively, with an Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.105 with a standard deviation of 0.06kW h and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 5.4% with a standard deviation of 2.8%, in comparison the second best model with a MAE of 0.10 with a standard deviation of 0.06kW h and a MAPE of 5.6% with a standard deviation of 3%.
Learning Effective Dynamics across Spatio-Temporal Scales of Complex Flows
Gao, Han, Kaltenbach, Sebastian, Koumoutsakos, Petros
Modeling and simulation of complex fluid flows with dynamics that span multiple spatio-temporal scales is a fundamental challenge in many scientific and engineering domains. Full-scale resolving simulations for systems such as highly turbulent flows are not feasible in the foreseeable future, and reduced-order models must capture dynamics that involve interactions across scales. In the present work, we propose a novel framework, Graph-based Learning of Effective Dynamics (Graph-LED), that leverages graph neural networks (GNNs), as well as an attention-based autoregressive model, to extract the effective dynamics from a small amount of simulation data. GNNs represent flow fields on unstructured meshes as graphs and effectively handle complex geometries and non-uniform grids. The proposed method combines a GNN based, dimensionality reduction for variable-size unstructured meshes with an autoregressive temporal attention model that can learn temporal dependencies automatically. We evaluated the proposed approach on a suite of fluid dynamics problems, including flow past a cylinder and flow over a backward-facing step over a range of Reynolds numbers. The results demonstrate robust and effective forecasting of spatio-temporal physics; in the case of the flow past a cylinder, both small-scale effects that occur close to the cylinder as well as its wake are accurately captured.
Cognify: Supercharging Gen-AI Workflows With Hierarchical Autotuning
He, Zijian, Abhyankar, Reyna, Srivatsa, Vikranth, Zhang, Yiying
Today's gen-AI workflows that involve multiple ML model calls, tool/API calls, data retrieval, or generic code execution are often tuned manually in an ad-hoc way that is both time-consuming and error-prone. In this paper, we propose a systematic approach for automatically tuning gen-AI workflows. Our key insight is that gen-AI workflows can benefit from structure, operator, and prompt changes, but unique properties of gen-AI workflows require new optimization techniques. We propose AdaSeek, an adaptive hierarchical search algorithm for autotuning gen-AI workflows. AdaSeek organizes workflow tuning methods into different layers based on the user-specified total search budget and distributes the budget across different layers based on the complexity of each layer. During its hierarchical search, AdaSeek redistributes the search budget from less useful to more promising tuning configurations based on workflow-level evaluation results. We implement AdaSeek in a workflow autotuning framework called Cognify and evaluate Cognify using six types of workflows such as RAG-based QA and text-to-SQL transformation. Overall, Cognify improves these workflows' generation quality by up to 2.8x, reduces execution monetary cost by up to 10x, and reduces end-to-end latency by 2.7x.
Quantification of model error for inverse problems in the Weak Neural Variational Inference framework
Scholz, Vincent C., Koutsourelakis, P. S.
We present a novel extension of the Weak Neural Variational Inference (WNVI) framework for probabilistic material property estimation that explicitly quantifies model errors in PDE-based inverse problems. Traditional approaches assume the correctness of all governing equations, including potentially unreliable constitutive laws, which can lead to biased estimates and misinterpretations. Our proposed framework addresses this limitation by distinguishing between reliable governing equations, such as conservation laws, and uncertain constitutive relationships. By treating all state variables as latent random variables, we enforce these equations through separate sets of residuals, leveraging a virtual likelihood approach with weighted residuals. This formulation not only identifies regions where constitutive laws break down but also improves robustness against model uncertainties without relying on a fully trustworthy forward model. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in the context of elastography, showing that it provides a structured, interpretable, and computationally efficient alternative to traditional model error correction techniques. Our findings suggest that the proposed framework enhances the accuracy and reliability of material property estimation by offering a principled way to incorporate uncertainty in constitutive modeling.
Corporate Greenwashing Detection in Text - a Survey
Calamai, Tom, Balalau, Oana, Guenedal, Théo Le, Suchanek, Fabian M.
This increased awareness has translated into guidelines, laws, and investments, such as the European Green Deal [84] or the Inflation Reduction Act in the US [106]. Many companies have used the financial incentives offered by states, and the guidelines and legislation to make significant steps towards sustainability [109]. At the same time, this growing attention also generated an advertising opportunity for companies that aim to promote themselves as environmentally aware and responsible. Indeed, some companies have been found to deliberately manipulate their data and statistics to appear more environment-friendly. The Diesel Scandal around the Volkswagen car company is a prominent example [116]. However, such cases are not the norm. More commonly, companies avoid outright data manipulation but present themselves in a misleadingly positive light regarding their environmental impact - a practice called greenwashing.
Robotic In-Hand Manipulation for Large-Range Precise Object Movement: The RGMC Champion Solution
Yu, Mingrui, Jiang, Yongpeng, Chen, Chen, Jia, Yongyi, Li, Xiang
In-hand manipulation using multiple dexterous fingers is a critical robotic skill that can reduce the reliance on large arm motions, thereby saving space and energy. This letter focuses on in-grasp object movement, which refers to manipulating an object to a desired pose through only finger motions within a stable grasp. The key challenge lies in simultaneously achieving high precision and large-range movements while maintaining a constant stable grasp. To address this problem, we propose a simple and practical approach based on kinematic trajectory optimization with no need for pretraining or object geometries, which can be easily applied to novel objects in real-world scenarios. Adopting this approach, we won the championship for the in-hand manipulation track at the 9th Robotic Grasping and Manipulation Competition (RGMC) held at ICRA 2024. Implementation details, discussion, and further quantitative experimental results are presented in this letter, which aims to comprehensively evaluate our approach and share our key takeaways from the competition. Supplementary materials including video and code are available at https://rgmc-xl-team.github.io/ingrasp_manipulation .
Integrating Physics and Data-Driven Approaches: An Explainable and Uncertainty-Aware Hybrid Model for Wind Turbine Power Prediction
Gijón, Alfonso, Eiraudo, Simone, Manjavacas, Antonio, Schiera, Daniele Salvatore, Molina-Solana, Miguel, Gómez-Romero, Juan
The rapid growth of the wind energy sector underscores the urgent need to optimize turbine operations and ensure effective maintenance through early fault detection systems. While traditional empirical and physics-based models offer approximate predictions of power generation based on wind speed, they often fail to capture the complex, non-linear relationships between other input variables and the resulting power output. Data-driven machine learning methods present a promising avenue for improving wind turbine modeling by leveraging large datasets, enhancing prediction accuracy but often at the cost of interpretability. In this study, we propose a hybrid semi-parametric model that combines the strengths of both approaches, applied to a dataset from a wind farm with four turbines. The model integrates a physics-inspired submodel, providing a reasonable approximation of power generation, with a non-parametric submodel that predicts the residuals. This non-parametric submodel is trained on a broader range of variables to account for phenomena not captured by the physics-based component. The hybrid model achieves a 37% improvement in prediction accuracy over the physics-based model. To enhance interpretability, SHAP values are used to analyze the influence of input features on the residual submodel's output. Additionally, prediction uncertainties are quantified using a conformalized quantile regression method. The combination of these techniques, alongside the physics grounding of the parametric submodel, provides a flexible, accurate, and reliable framework. Ultimately, this study opens the door for evaluating the impact of unmodeled variables on wind turbine power generation, offering a basis for potential optimization.