This paper deals with the identification of the stochastic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process error model, which is characterized by an inverse time constant, and the unknown variances of the process and observation noises. Although the availability of the explicit expression of the log-likelihood function allows one to obtain the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), this entails evaluating the nontrivial gradient and also often struggles with local optima. To address these limitations, we put forth a sample-efficient global optimization approach based on the Bayesian optimization (BO) framework, which relies on a Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model for the objective function that effectively balances exploration and exploitation to select the query points. Specifically, each evaluation of the objective is implemented efficiently through the Kalman filter (KF) recursion. Comprehensive experiments on various parameter settings and sampling intervals corroborate that BO-based estimator consistently outperforms MLE implemented by the steady-state KF approximation and the expectation-maximization algorithm (whose derivation is a side contribution) in terms of root mean-square error (RMSE) and statistical consistency, confirming the effectiveness and robustness of the BO for identification of the stochastic OU process. Notably, the RMSE values produced by the BO-based estimator are smaller than the classical Cram\'{e}r-Rao lower bound, especially for the inverse time constant, estimating which has been a long-standing challenge. This seemingly counterintuitive result can be explained by the data-driven prior for the learning parameters indirectly injected by BO through the GP prior over the objective function.

With recent dramatic increases in AI system capabilities, there has been growing interest in utilizing machine learning for reasoning-heavy, quantitative tasks, particularly mathematics. While there are many resources capturing mathematics at the high-school, undergraduate, and graduate level, there are far fewer resources available that align with the level of difficulty and open endedness encountered by professional mathematicians working on open problems. To address this, we introduce a new collection of datasets, the Algebraic Combinatorics Dataset Repository (ACD Repo), representing either foundational results or open problems in algebraic combinatorics, a subfield of mathematics that studies discrete structures arising from abstract algebra. Further differentiating our dataset collection is the fact that it aims at the conjecturing process. Each dataset includes an open-ended research-level question and a large collection of examples (up to 10M in some cases) from which conjectures should be generated. We describe all nine datasets, the different ways machine learning models can be applied to them (e.g., training with narrow models followed by interpretability analysis or program synthesis with LLMs), and discuss some of the challenges involved in designing datasets like these.

In the rapidly evolving digital era, comprehending the intricate dynamics influencing server power consumption, efficiency, and performance is crucial for sustainable data center operations. However, existing models lack the ability to provide a detailed and reliable understanding of these intricate relationships. This study employs a machine learning-based approach, using the SPECPower_ssj2008 database, to facilitate user-friendly and generalizable server modeling. The resulting models demonstrate high accuracy, with errors falling within approximately 10% on the testing dataset, showcasing their practical utility and generalizability. Through meticulous analysis, predictive features related to hardware availability date, server workload level, and specifications are identified, providing insights into optimizing energy conservation, efficiency, and performance in server deployment and operation. By systematically measuring biases and uncertainties, the study underscores the need for caution when employing historical data for prospective server modeling, considering the dynamic nature of technology landscapes. Collectively, this work offers valuable insights into the sustainable deployment and operation of servers in data centers, paving the way for enhanced resource use efficiency and more environmentally conscious practices.

To adapt to real-world data streams, continual learning (CL) systems must rapidly learn new concepts while preserving and utilizing prior knowledge. When it comes to adding new information to continually-trained deep neural networks (DNNs), classifier weights for newly encountered categories are typically initialized randomly, leading to high initial training loss (spikes) and instability. Consequently, achieving optimal convergence and accuracy requires prolonged training, increasing computational costs. Inspired by Neural Collapse (NC), we propose a weight initialization strategy to improve learning efficiency in CL. In DNNs trained with mean-squared-error, NC gives rise to a Least-Square (LS) classifier in the last layer, whose weights can be analytically derived from learned features. Our method mitigates initial loss spikes and accelerates adaptation to new tasks. We evaluate our approach in large-scale CL settings, demonstrating faster adaptation and improved CL performance. Deep learning models excel in static environments where the data follows an independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption. However, in real-world scenarios, data distributions shift over time (non-IID), and new data arrives sequentially. Conventional deep neural networks (DNNs) struggle under such conditions, often requiring periodic re-training from scratch, which is not only computationally expensive but also contributes significantly to the carbon footprint of AI (Schwartz et al., 2020). Despite frequent retraining from scratch, real-world models still suffer up to 40% accuracy drops (Mallick et al., 2022). Continual learning (CL) aims to address this inefficiency by enabling models to learn from evolving data streams while preserving previously acquired knowledge (Parisi et al., 2019). CL is a promising solution to model decay, where predictive performance deteriorates over time due to concept drift--a shift in the meaning or distribution of target variables (Tsymbal, 2004; Gama et al., 2014; Lu et al., 2018).

Node embedding is a key technique for representing graph nodes as vectors while preserving structural and relational properties, which enables machine learning tasks like feature extraction, clustering, and classification. While classical methods such as DeepWalk, node2vec, and graph convolutional networks learn node embeddings by capturing structural and relational patterns in graphs, they often require significant computational resources and struggle with scalability on large graphs. Quantum computing provides a promising alternative for graph-based learning by leveraging quantum effects and introducing novel optimization approaches. Variational quantum circuits and quantum kernel methods have been explored for embedding tasks, but their scalability remains limited due to the constraints of noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) hardware. In this paper, we investigate quantum annealing (QA) as an alternative approach that mitigates key challenges associated with quantum gate-based models. We propose several formulations of the node embedding problem as a quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) instance, making it compatible with current quantum annealers such as those developed by D-Wave. We implement our algorithms on a D-Wave quantum annealer and evaluate their performance on graphs with up to 100 nodes and embedding dimensions of up to 5. Our findings indicate that QA is a viable approach for graph-based learning, providing a scalable and efficient alternative to previous quantum embedding techniques.

Using the information theory, this study provides insights into how the construction of latent space of autoencoder (AE) using deep neural network (DNN) training finds a smooth low-dimensional manifold in the stiff dynamical system. Our recent study [1] reported that an autoencoder (AE) combined with neural ODE (NODE) as a surrogate reduced order model (ROM) for the integration of stiff chemically reacting systems led to a significant reduction in the temporal stiffness, and the behavior was attributed to the identification of a slow invariant manifold by the nonlinear projection of the AE. The present work offers fundamental understanding of the mechanism by employing concepts from information theory and better mixing. The learning mechanism of both the encoder and decoder are explained by plotting the evolution of mutual information and identifying two different phases. Subsequently, the density distribution is plotted for the physical and latent variables, which shows the transformation of the \emph{rare event} in the physical space to a \emph{highly likely} (more probable) event in the latent space provided by the nonlinear autoencoder. Finally, the nonlinear transformation leading to density redistribution is explained using concepts from information theory and probability.

This paper proposes an accelerated consensus-based distributed iterative algorithm for resource allocation and scheduling. The proposed gradient-tracking algorithm introduces an auxiliary variable to add momentum towards the optimal state. We prove that this solution is all-time feasible, implying that the coupling constraint always holds along the algorithm iterative procedure; therefore, the algorithm can be terminated at any time. This is in contrast to the ADMM-based solutions that meet constraint feasibility asymptotically. Further, we show that the proposed algorithm can handle possible link nonlinearity due to logarithmically-quantized data transmission (or any sign-preserving odd sector-bound nonlinear mapping). We prove convergence over uniformly-connected dynamic networks (i.e., a hybrid setup) that may occur in mobile and time-varying multi-agent networks. Further, the latency issue over the network is addressed by proposing delay-tolerant solutions. To our best knowledge, accelerated momentum-based convergence, nonlinear linking, all-time feasibility, uniform network connectivity, and handling (possible) time delays are not altogether addressed in the literature. These contributions make our solution practical in many real-world applications.

Despite a plethora of anomaly detection models developed over the years, their ability to generalize to unseen anomalies remains an issue, particularly in critical systems. This paper aims to address this challenge by introducing Swift Hydra, a new framework for training an anomaly detection method based on generative AI and reinforcement learning (RL). Through featuring an RL policy that operates on the latent variables of a generative model, the framework synthesizes novel and diverse anomaly samples that are capable of bypassing a detection model. These generated synthetic samples are, in turn, used to augment the detection model, further improving its ability to handle challenging anomalies. Swift Hydra also incorporates Mamba models structured as a Mixture of Experts (MoE) to enable scalable adaptation of the number of Mamba experts based on data complexity, effectively capturing diverse feature distributions without increasing the model's inference time. Empirical evaluations on ADBench benchmark demonstrate that Swift Hydra outperforms other state-of-the-art anomaly detection models while maintaining a relatively short inference time. From these results, our research highlights a new and auspicious paradigm of integrating RL and generative AI for advancing anomaly detection.

Despite the significance of probabilistic time-series forecasting models, their evaluation metrics often involve intractable integrations. The most widely used metric, the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS), is a strictly proper scoring function; however, its computation requires approximation. We found that popular CRPS estimators--specifically, the quantile-based estimator implemented in the widely used GluonTS library and the probability-weighted moment approximation--both exhibit inherent estimation biases. These biases lead to crude approximations, resulting in improper rankings of forecasting model performance when CRPS values are close. To address this issue, we introduced a kernel quadrature approach that leverages an unbiased CRPS estimator and employs cubature construction for scalable computation. Empirically, our approach consistently outperforms the two widely used CRPS estimators.

The year is 1962 and you've just woken up in the shadow of the Windscale (now Sellafield) nuclear power station in Cumbria, five years after its catastrophic meltdown. Trapped in the sizeable quarantine zone surrounding the accident site, you must stay alive long enough to figure out how to escape – a task made rather more challenging by the presence of aggressive cultists, irradiated monsters and highly territorial terror bees. Imagine Stalker, but set in northern England, and you're edging towards what Oxford-based developer Rebellion has in store. Fallout may seem like another obvious inspiration for this irradiated game world, but after playing a two-hour demo, it's clear the game draws more from classic British sci-fi. Here you are, stuck in the picturesque Lake District, with its lush woodlands, gurgling rivers and dry-stone walls.