Energy
The Machine Ethics podcast – DeepDive: AI and the environment
Hosted by Ben Byford, The Machine Ethics Podcast brings together interviews with academics, authors, business leaders, designers and engineers on the subject of autonomous algorithms, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and technology's impact on society. This is our 100th episode! A super special look at AI and the environment, we interviewed four experts for this DeepDive episode. We chatted about water stress, the energy usage of AI systems and data centres, using AI for fossil fuel discovery, the geo-political nature of AI, GenAI vs other ML algorithms for energy use, demanding transparency on energy usage for training and operating AI, more AI regulation for carbon consumption, things we can change today like picking renewable hosting solutions, publishing your data, when doing "responsible AI" you must include the environment, considering who are the controllers of the technology and what do they want, and more… Hannah Smith is Director of Operations for Green Web Foundation and co-founder of Green Tech South West. She has a background in Computer Science.
FAuNO: Semi-Asynchronous Federated Reinforcement Learning Framework for Task Offloading in Edge Systems
Metelo, Frederico, Oliveira, Alexandre, Racković, Stevo, Costa, Pedro Ákos, Soares, Cláudia
Edge computing addresses the growing data demands of connected-device networks by placing computational resources closer to end users through decentralized infrastructures. This decentralization challenges traditional, fully centralized orchestration, which suffers from latency and resource bottlenecks. We present \textbf{FAuNO} -- \emph{Federated Asynchronous Network Orchestrator} -- a buffered, asynchronous \emph{federated reinforcement-learning} (FRL) framework for decentralized task offloading in edge systems. FAuNO adopts an actor-critic architecture in which local actors learn node-specific dynamics and peer interactions, while a federated critic aggregates experience across agents to encourage efficient cooperation and improve overall system performance. Experiments in the \emph{PeersimGym} environment show that FAuNO consistently matches or exceeds heuristic and federated multi-agent RL baselines in reducing task loss and latency, underscoring its adaptability to dynamic edge-computing scenarios.
A novel sensitivity analysis method for agent-based models stratifies in-silico tumor spheroid simulations
Rohr, Edward H., Nardini, John T.
Agent-based models (ABMs) are widely used in biology to understand how individual actions scale into emergent population behavior. Modelers employ sensitivity analysis (SA) algorithms to quantify input parameters' impact on model outputs, however, it is hard to perform SA for ABMs due to their computational and complex nature. In this work, we develop the Simulate, Summarize, Reduce, Cluster, and Analyze (SSRCA) methodology, a machine-learning based pipeline designed to facilitate SA for ABMs. In particular, SSRCA can achieve the following tasks for ABMS: 1) identify sensitive model parameters, 2) reveal common output model patterns, and 3) determine which input parameter values generate these patterns. We use an example ABM of tumor spheroid growth to showcase how SSRCA provides similar SA results to the popular Sobol' Method while also identifying four common patterns from the ABM and the parameter regions that generate these outputs. This analysis could streamline data-driven tasks, such as parameter estimation, for ABMs by reducing parameter space. While we highlight these results with an ABM on tumor spheroid formation, the SSRCA methodology is broadly applicable to biological ABMs.
$whittlehurst$: A Python package implementing Whittle's likelihood estimation of the Hurst exponent
Csanády, Bálint, Nagy, Lóránt, Lukács, András
This paper presents $whittlehurst$, a Python package implementing Whittle's likelihood method for estimating the Hurst exponent in fractional Brownian motion (fBm). While the theoretical foundations of Whittle's estimator are well-established, practical and computational considerations are critical for effective use. We focus explicitly on assessing our implementation's performance across several numerical approximations of the fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) spectral density, comparing their computational efficiency, accuracy, and consistency across varying input sequence lengths. Extensive empirical evaluations show that our implementation achieves state-of-the-art estimation accuracy and computational speed. Additionally, we benchmark our method against other popular Hurst exponent estimation techniques on synthetic and real-world data, emphasizing practical considerations that arise when applying these estimators to financial and biomedical data.
Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasting with Covariates via In-Context Learning
Auer, Andreas, Parthipan, Raghul, Mercado, Pedro, Ansari, Abdul Fatir, Stella, Lorenzo, Wang, Bernie, Bohlke-Schneider, Michael, Rangapuram, Syama Sundar
Pretrained time series models, capable of zero-shot forecasting, have demonstrated significant potential in enhancing both the performance and accessibility of time series forecasting. However, existing pretrained models either do not support covariates or fail to incorporate them effectively. We introduce COSMIC, a zero-shot forecasting model that utilizes covariates via in-context learning. To address the challenge of data scarcity, we propose Informative Covariate Augmentation, which enables the training of COSMIC without requiring any datasets that include covariates. COSMIC achieves state-of-the-art performance in zero-shot forecasting, both with and without covariates. Our quantitative and qualitative analysis demonstrates that COSMIC effectively leverages covariates in zero-shot forecasting.
Smartflow: Enabling Scalable Spatiotemporal Geospatial Research
McVicar, David, Avant, Brian, Gould, Adrian, Torrejon, Diego, Della Porta, Charles, Mukherjee, Ryan
BlackSky introduces Smartflow, a cloud-based framework enabling scalable spatiotemporal geospatial research built on open-source tools and technologies. Using STAC-compliant catalogs as a common input, heterogeneous geospatial data can be processed into standardized datacubes for analysis and model training. Model experimentation is managed using a combination of tools, including ClearML, Tensorboard, and Apache Superset. Underpinning Smartflow is Kubernetes, which orchestrates the provisioning and execution of workflows to support both horizontal and vertical scalability. This combination of features makes Smartflow well-suited for geospatial model development and analysis over large geographic areas, time scales, and expansive image archives. We also present a novel neural architecture, built using Smartflow, to monitor large geographic areas for heavy construction. Qualitative results based on data from the IARPA Space-based Machine Automated Recognition Technique (SMART) program are presented that show the model is capable of detecting heavy construction throughout all major phases of development.
AI-Driven Vehicle Condition Monitoring with Cell-Aware Edge Service Migration
Kalalas, Charalampos, Mulinka, Pavol, Belmonte, Guillermo Candela, Fornell, Miguel, Dalgitsis, Michail, Vera, Francisco Paredes, Sánchez, Javier Santaella, Villares, Carmen Vicente, Sedar, Roshan, Datsika, Eftychia, Antonopoulos, Angelos, Ojea, Antonio Fernández, Payaro, Miquel
Artificial intelligence (AI) has been increasingly applied to the condition monitoring of vehicular equipment, aiming to enhance maintenance strategies, reduce costs, and improve safety. Leveraging the edge computing paradigm, AI-based condition monitoring systems process vast streams of vehicular data to detect anomalies and optimize operational performance. In this work, we introduce a novel vehicle condition monitoring service that enables real-time diagnostics of a diverse set of anomalies while remaining practical for deployment in real-world edge environments. To address mobility challenges, we propose a closed-loop service orchestration framework where service migration across edge nodes is dynamically triggered by network-related metrics. Our approach has been implemented and tested in a real-world race circuit environment equipped with 5G network capabilities under diverse operational conditions. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework in ensuring low-latency AI inference and adaptive service placement, highlighting its potential for intelligent transportation and mobility applications.
Think Twice, Act Once: A Co-Evolution Framework of LLM and RL for Large-Scale Decision Making
Wan, Xu, Xu, Wenyue, Yang, Chao, Sun, Mingyang
Recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) and Reinforcement Learning (RL) have shown significant promise in decision-making tasks. Nevertheless, for large-scale industrial decision problems, both approaches face distinct challenges: LLMs lack real-time long-sequence decision-making capabilities, while RL struggles with sample efficiency in vast action spaces. To bridge this gap, we propose Agents Co-Evolution (ACE), a synergistic framework between LLMs and RL agents for large-scale decision-making scenarios. ACE introduces a dual-role trajectory refinement mechanism where LLMs act as both Policy Actor and Value Critic during RL's training: the Actor refines suboptimal actions via multi-step reasoning and environment validation, while the Critic performs temporal credit assignment through trajectory-level reward shaping. Concurrently, RL agent enhances LLMs' task-specific decision-making with high-quality fine-tuning datasets generated via prioritized experience replay. Through extensive experiments across multiple power grid operation challenges with action spaces exceeding 60K discrete actions, ACE demonstrates superior performance over existing RL methods and LLM-based methods.
AERO: A Redirection-Based Optimization Framework Inspired by Judo for Robust Probabilistic Forecasting
Optimization remains a fundamental pillar of machine learning, yet existing methods often struggle to maintain stability and adaptability in dynamic, non linear systems, especially under uncertainty. We introduce AERO (Adversarial Energy-based Redirection Optimization), a novel framework inspired by the redirection principle in Judo, where external disturbances are leveraged rather than resisted. AERO reimagines optimization as a redirection process guided by 15 interrelated axioms encompassing adversarial correction, energy conservation, and disturbance-aware learning. By projecting gradients, integrating uncertainty driven dynamics, and managing learning energy, AERO offers a principled approach to stable and robust model updates. Applied to probabilistic solar energy forecasting, AERO demonstrates substantial gains in predictive accuracy, reliability, and adaptability, especially in noisy and uncertain environments. Our findings highlight AERO as a compelling new direction in the theoretical and practical landscape of optimization.
Fairly Wired: Towards Leximin-Optimal Division of Electricity
Hartman, Eden, Baghel, Dinesh Kumar, Segal-Halevi, Erel
In many parts of the world - particularly in developing countries - the demand for electricity exceeds the available supply. In such cases, it is impossible to provide electricity to all households simultaneously. This raises a fundamental question: how should electricity be allocated fairly? In this paper, we explore this question through the lens of egalitarianism - a principle that emphasizes equality by prioritizing the welfare of the worst-off households. One natural rule that aligns with this principle is to maximize the egalitarian welfare - the smallest utility across all households. We show that computing such an allocation is NP-hard, even under strong simplifying assumptions. Leximin is a stronger fairness notion that generalizes the egalitarian welfare: it also requires to maximize the smallest utility, but then, subject to that, the second-smallest, then the third, and so on. The hardness results extends directly to leximin as well. Despite this, we present a Fully Polynomial-Time Approximation Scheme (FPTAS) for leximin in the special case where the network connectivity graph is a tree. This means that we can efficiently approximate leximin - and, in particular, the egalitarian welfare - to any desired level of accuracy.