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Generalized Constraints as A New Mathematical Problem in Artificial Intelligence: A Review and Perspective

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this comprehensive review, we describe a new mathematical problem in artificial intelligence (AI) from a mathematical modeling perspective, following the philosophy stated by Rudolf E. Kalman that "Once you get the physics right, the rest is mathematics". The new problem is called "Generalized Constraints (GCs)", and we adopt GCs as a general term to describe any type of prior information in modelings. To understand better about GCs to be a general problem, we compare them with the conventional constraints (CCs) and list their extra challenges over CCs. In the construction of AI machines, we basically encounter more often GCs for modeling, rather than CCs with well-defined forms. Furthermore, we discuss the ultimate goals of AI and redefine transparent, interpretable, and explainable AI in terms of comprehension levels about machines. We review the studies in relation to the GC problems although most of them do not take the notion of GCs. We demonstrate that if AI machines are simplified by a coupling with both knowledge-driven submodel and data-driven submodel, GCs will play a critical role in a knowledge-driven submodel as well as in the coupling form between the two submodels. Examples are given to show that the studies in view of a generalized constraint problem will help us perceive and explore novel subjects in AI, or even in mathematics, such as generalized constraint learning (GCL).


pymgrid: An Open-Source Python Microgrid Simulator for Applied Artificial Intelligence Research

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Microgrids, self contained electrical grids that are capable of disconnecting from the main grid, hold potential in both tackling climate change mitigation via reducing CO2 emissions and adaptation by increasing infrastructure resiliency. Due to their distributed nature, microgrids are often idiosyncratic; as a result, control of these systems is nontrivial. While microgrid simulators exist, many are limited in scope and in the variety of microgrids they can simulate. We propose pymgrid, an open-source Python package to generate and simulate a large number of microgrids, and the first open-source tool that can generate more than 600 different microgrids. pymgrid abstracts most of the domain expertise, allowing users to focus on control algorithms. In particular, pymgrid is built to be a reinforcement learning (RL) platform, and includes the ability to model microgrids as Markov decision processes. pymgrid also introduces two pre-computed list of microgrids, intended to allow for research reproducibility in the microgrid setting.


How AI Will Make Nuclear Energy More Affordable

#artificialintelligence

Nuclear power is one of the cheapest forms of generating carbon-free energy but is instead known for being the opposite. While constructing a nuclear plant is expensive and recent projects in the US and EU have suffered from overruns, operating it is cheaper than many other energy sources. It also turns out that the reason for expensive construction is not entirely technical and often has political factors outside the control of the maker. So how can these costs be reduced? A nuclear plant's costs are made up from capital and operation costs.


It's time to talk about the carbon footprint of artificial intelligence

#artificialintelligence

Artificial intelligence is an increasingly important element of science, medicine, and even the minutiae of our daily lives. Chatbots, digital assistants, and movie and music recommendations from streaming services all depend on "deep learning"--a process by which computer models are trained to recognize patterns in data. That training requires powerful computers and lots and lots of energy--and associated carbon emissions. One of the most elaborate deep learning models, designed to produce human-like language and known as GPT-3, requires an amount of energy equivalent to the yearly consumption of 126 Danish homes and creates a carbon footprint equivalent to traveling 700,000 kilometers by car for a single training session. Still, the computing power used in deep learning grew 300,000-fold between 2012 and 2018, and if that pace of growth continues it's not hard to see how artificial intelligence could have a major climate impact.


Machine Learning Advances Materials for Separations, Adsorption, and Catalysis -- Agenparl

#artificialintelligence

Metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) are a class of porous and crystalline materials that are synthesized from inorganic metal ions or clusters connected to organic ligands. Shown are two such materials, HKUST-1 and MIL-100(Fe). An artificial intelligence technique -- machine learning -- is helping accelerate the development of highly tunable materials known as metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) that have important applications in chemical separations, adsorption, catalysis, and sensing. Utilizing data about the properties of more than 200 existing MOFs, the machine learning platform was trained to help guide the development of new materials by predicting an often-essential property: water stability. Using guidance from the model, researchers can avoid the time-consuming task of synthesizing and then experimentally testing new candidate MOFs for their aqueous stability.


Leaps and Bounds: The Breakneck Progress of Robot Agility

#artificialintelligence

When Charles Rosen, the A.I. pioneer who founded SRI International's Artificial Intelligence Center, was asked to come up with a name for the world's first general -purpose mobile robot, he thought for a moment and then said: "Well, it shakes like hell when it moves. Let's just call it Shakey." Some variation of this idea has pervaded for much of the history of modern robotics. Robots, we often assume, are clunky machines with as much grace as an atheist's Sunday lunch. Even science fiction movies have repeatedly imagined robots as ungainly creations that walk with slow, halting steps. Recently, a group of researchers from the Dynamic Robotics Laboratory at Oregon State took one of the university's Cassie robots, a pair of walking robot legs that resembles the lower extremities of an ostrich, to a sports field to try out the lab's latest "bipedal gait" algorithms.


An Embedded Model Estimator for Non-Stationary Random Functions using Multiple Secondary Variables

arXiv.org Machine Learning

An algorithm for non-stationary spatial modelling using multiple secondary variables is developed. It combines Geostatistics with Quantile Random Forests to give a new interpolation and stochastic simulation algorithm. This paper introduces the method and shows that it has consistency results that are similar in nature to those applying to geostatistical modelling and to Quantile Random Forests. The method allows for embedding of simpler interpolation techniques, such as Kriging, to further condition the model. The algorithm works by estimating a conditional distribution for the target variable at each target location. The family of such distributions is called the envelope of the target variable. From this, it is possible to obtain spatial estimates, quantiles and uncertainty. An algorithm to produce conditional simulations from the envelope is also developed. As they sample from the envelope, realizations are therefore locally influenced by relative changes of importance of secondary variables, trends and variability.


On-the-fly Closed-loop Autonomous Materials Discovery via Bayesian Active Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Active learning - the field of machine learning (ML) dedicated to optimal experiment design, has played a part in science as far back as the 18th century when Laplace used it to guide his discovery of celestial mechanics [1]. In this work we focus a closed-loop, active learning-driven autonomous system on another major challenge, the discovery of advanced materials against the exceedingly complex synthesis-processes-structure-property landscape. We demonstrate autonomous research methodology (i.e. autonomous hypothesis definition and evaluation) that can place complex, advanced materials in reach, allowing scientists to fail smarter, learn faster, and spend less resources in their studies, while simultaneously improving trust in scientific results and machine learning tools. Additionally, this robot science enables science-over-the-network, reducing the economic impact of scientists being physically separated from their labs. We used the real-time closed-loop, autonomous system for materials exploration and optimization (CAMEO) at the synchrotron beamline to accelerate the fundamentally interconnected tasks of rapid phase mapping and property optimization, with each cycle taking seconds to minutes, resulting in the discovery of a novel epitaxial nanocomposite phase-change memory material.


Energy consumption forecasting using a stacked nonparametric Bayesian approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, the process of forecasting household energy consumption is studied within the framework of the nonparametric Gaussian Process (GP), using multiple short time series data. As we begin to use smart meter data to paint a clearer picture of residential electricity use, it becomes increasingly apparent that we must also construct a detailed picture and understanding of consumer's complex relationship with gas consumption. Both electricity and gas consumption patterns are highly dependent on various factors, and the intricate interplay of these factors is sophisticated. Moreover, since typical gas consumption data is low granularity with very few time points, naive application of conventional time-series forecasting techniques can lead to severe over-fitting. Given these considerations, we construct a stacked GP method where the predictive posteriors of each GP applied to each task are used in the prior and likelihood of the next level GP. We apply our model to a real-world dataset to forecast energy consumption in Australian households across several states. We compare intuitively appealing results against other commonly used machine learning techniques. Overall, the results indicate that the proposed stacked GP model outperforms other forecasting techniques that we tested, especially when we have a multiple short time-series instances.


Domain adaptation techniques for improved cross-domain study of galaxy mergers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In astronomy, neural networks are often trained on simulated data with the prospect of being applied to real observations. Unfortunately, simply training a deep neural network on images from one domain does not guarantee satisfactory performance on new images from a different domain. The ability to share cross-domain knowledge is the main advantage of modern deep domain adaptation techniques. Here we demonstrate the use of two techniques -- Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) and adversarial training with Domain Adversarial Neural Networks (DANN) -- for the classification of distant galaxy mergers from the Illustris-1 simulation, where the two domains presented differ only due to inclusion of observational noise. We show how the addition of either MMD or adversarial training greatly improves the performance of the classifier on the target domain when compared to conventional machine learning algorithms, thereby demonstrating great promise for their use in astronomy.