Energy
Evaluating uncertainties in electrochemical impedance spectra of solid oxide fuel cells
Žnidarič, Luka, Nusev, Gjorgji, Morel, Bertrand, Mougin, Julie, Juričić, Đani, Boškoski, Pavle
Electrochemical impedance spectra is a widely used tool for characterization of fuel cells and electrochemical conversion systems in general. When applied to the on-line monitoring in context of in-field applications, the disturbances, drifts and sensor noise may cause severe distortions in the evaluated spectra, especially in the low-frequency part. Failure to account for the random effects can implicate difficulties in interpreting the spectra and misleading diagnostic reasoning. In the literature, this fact has been largely ignored. In this paper, we propose a computationally efficient approach to the quantification of the spectral uncertainty by quantifying the uncertainty of the equivalent circuit model (ECM) parameters by means of the Variational Bayes (VB) approach. To assess the quality of the VB posterior estimates, we compare the results of VB approach with those obtained with the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. Namely, MCMC algorithm is expected to return accurate posterior distributions, while VB approach provides the approximative distributions. By using simulated and real data we show that VB approach generates approximations, which although slightly over-optimistic, are still pretty close to the more realistic MCMC estimates. A great advantage of the VB method for online monitoring is low computational load, which is several orders of magnitude lighter than that of MCMC. The performance of VB algorithm is demonstrated on a case of ECM parameters estimation in a 6 cell solid-oxide fuel cell stack. The complete numerical implementation for recreating the results can be found at https://repo.ijs.si/lznidaric/variational-bayes-supplementary-material.
Scalable Optimization for Wind Farm Control using Coordination Graphs
Verstraeten, Timothy, Daems, Pieter-Jan, Bargiacchi, Eugenio, Roijers, Diederik M., Libin, Pieter J. K., Helsen, Jan
Wind farms are a crucial driver toward the generation of ecological and renewable energy. Due to their rapid increase in capacity, contemporary wind farms need to adhere to strict constraints on power output to ensure stability of the electricity grid. Specifically, a wind farm controller is required to match the farm's power production with a power demand imposed by the grid operator. This is a non-trivial optimization problem, as complex dependencies exist between the wind turbines. State-of-the-art wind farm control typically relies on physics-based heuristics that fail to capture the full load spectrum that defines a turbine's health status. When this is not taken into account, the long-term viability of the farm's turbines is put at risk. Given the complex dependencies that determine a turbine's lifetime, learning a flexible and optimal control strategy requires a data-driven approach. However, as wind farms are large-scale multi-agent systems, optimizing control strategies over the full joint action space is intractable. We propose a new learning method for wind farm control that leverages the sparse wind farm structure to factorize the optimization problem. Using a Bayesian approach, based on multi-agent Thompson sampling, we explore the factored joint action space for configurations that match the demand, while considering the lifetime of turbines. We apply our method to a grid-like wind farm layout, and evaluate configurations using a state-of-the-art wind flow simulator. Our results are competitive with a physics-based heuristic approach in terms of demand error, while, contrary to the heuristic, our method prolongs the lifetime of high-risk turbines.
Internet of Predictable Things (IoPT) Framework to Increase Cyber-Physical System Resiliency
Cali, Umit, Kuzlu, Murat, Sharma, Vinayak, Pipattanasomporn, Manisa, Catak, Ferhat Ozgur
During the last two decades, distributed energy systems, especially renewable energy sources (RES), have become more economically viable with increasing market share and penetration levels on power systems. In addition to decarbonization and decentralization of energy systems, digitalization has also become very important. The use of artificial intelligence (AI), advanced optimization algorithms, Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), and other digitalization frameworks makes modern power system assets more intelligent, while vulnerable to cybersecurity risks. This paper proposes the concept of the Internet of Predictable Things (IoPT) that incorporates advanced data analytics and machine learning methods to increase the resiliency of cyber-physical systems against cybersecurity risks. The proposed concept is demonstrated using a cyber-physical system testbed under a variety of cyber attack scenarios as a proof of concept (PoC).
Meta-Reinforcement Learning for Adaptive Motor Control in Changing Robot Dynamics and Environments
Anne, Timothée, Wilkinson, Jack, Li, Zhibin
This work developed a meta-learning approach that adapts the control policy on the fly to different changing conditions for robust locomotion. The proposed method constantly updates the interaction model, samples feasible sequences of actions of estimated the state-action trajectories, and then applies the optimal actions to maximize the reward. To achieve online model adaptation, our proposed method learns different latent vectors of each training condition, which are selected online given the newly collected data. Our work designs appropriate state space and reward functions, and optimizes feasible actions in an MPC fashion which are then sampled directly in the joint space considering constraints, hence requiring no prior design of specific walking gaits. We further demonstrate the robot's capability of detecting unexpected changes during interaction and adapting control policies quickly. The extensive validation on the SpotMicro robot in a physics simulation shows adaptive and robust locomotion skills under varying ground friction, external pushes, and different robot models including hardware faults and changes.
Elon Musk unveils Tesla Roadrunner production line and tabless battery in new video
Tesla has given the first look at its new tabless battery cell, dubbed 4680, and Roadrunner production line that, according to CEO Elon Musk, 'will make full-size cars in the same way to cars are made.' The tabless battery was first unveiled in September during the firm's Battery Day, but was only shown by Musk via a PowerPoint presentation. Now, the time has come for Musk to show the world what Tesla has been working on at its pilot battery factory in Fremont, Texas. The one-minute clip shows the white and blue battery moving through different assembly stages with the help of armed and wheeled robots. Tesla also used this opportunity to announce it is taking applications for manufacturing jobs at its planned battery facilities in Berlin and Texas.
#326: Deep Sea Mining, with Benjamin Pietro Filardo
In this episode, Abate follows up with Benjamin Pietro Filardo, founder of Pliant Energy Systems and NACROM, the North American Consortium for Responsible Ocean Mining. Pietro discusses the current proposed solutions for deep sea mining which are environmentally destructive, and he offers an alternative solution using swarm robots which could mine the depths of the ocean while creating minimal disturbance to this mysterious habitat. Benjamin "Pietro" Filardo After several years in the architectural profession, Pietro founded Pliant Energy Systems to explore renewable energy concepts he first pondered while earning his first degree in marine biology and oceanography. With funding from four federal agencies he has broadened the application of these concepts into marine propulsion and a highly novel robotics platform.
The Autonomous Saildrone Surveyor Preps for Its Sea Voyage
If you happen to be crossing the San Francisco Bay or Golden Gate bridges this week, look for a massive surfboard with a red sail on top cruising slowly across the water. Don't flinch if you don't see anyone on board. It's actually an autonomous research vessel known as the Saildrone Surveyor and it's being steered remotely from shore. The 72-foot-long vessel is launching this week into the bay from its dock at a former naval base in Alameda, California. It is designed to spend months at sea mapping the seafloor with powerful sonar devices, while simultaneously scanning the ocean surface for genetic material to identify fish and other marine organisms swimming below.
Consistency of random-walk based network embedding algorithms
Random-walk based network embedding algorithms like node2vec and DeepWalk are widely used to obtain Euclidean representation of the nodes in a network prior to performing down-stream network inference tasks. Nevertheless, despite their impressive empirical performance, there is a lack of theoretical results explaining their behavior. In this paper we studied the node2vec and DeepWalk algorithms through the perspective of matrix factorization. We analyze these algorithms in the setting of community detection for stochastic blockmodel graphs; in particular we established large-sample error bounds and prove consistent community recovery of node2vec/DeepWalk embedding followed by k-means clustering. Our theoretical results indicate a subtle interplay between the sparsity of the observed networks, the window sizes of the random walks, and the convergence rates of the node2vec/DeepWalk embedding toward the embedding of the true but unknown edge probabilities matrix. More specifically, as the network becomes sparser, our results suggest using larger window sizes, or equivalently, taking longer random walks, in order to attain better convergence rate for the resulting embeddings. The paper includes numerical experiments corroborating these observations.
Autonomous synthesis of metastable materials
Ament, Sebastian, Amsler, Maximilian, Sutherland, Duncan R., Chang, Ming-Chiang, Guevarra, Dan, Connolly, Aine B., Gregoire, John M., Thompson, Michael O., Gomes, Carla P., van Dover, R. Bruce
Autonomous experimentation enabled by artificial intelligence (AI) offers a new paradigm for accelerating scientific discovery. Non-equilibrium materials synthesis is emblematic of complex, resource-intensive experimentation whose acceleration would be a watershed for materials discovery and development. The mapping of non-equilibrium synthesis phase diagrams has recently been accelerated via high throughput experimentation but still limits materials research because the parameter space is too vast to be exhaustively explored. We demonstrate accelerated synthesis and exploration of metastable materials through hierarchical autonomous experimentation governed by the Scientific Autonomous Reasoning Agent (SARA). SARA integrates robotic materials synthesis and characterization along with a hierarchy of AI methods that efficiently reveal the structure of processing phase diagrams. SARA designs lateral gradient laser spike annealing (lg-LSA) experiments for parallel materials synthesis and employs optical spectroscopy to rapidly identify phase transitions. Efficient exploration of the multi-dimensional parameter space is achieved with nested active learning (AL) cycles built upon advanced machine learning models that incorporate the underlying physics of the experiments as well as end-to-end uncertainty quantification. With this, and the coordination of AL at multiple scales, SARA embodies AI harnessing of complex scientific tasks. We demonstrate its performance by autonomously mapping synthesis phase boundaries for the Bi$_2$O$_3$ system, leading to orders-of-magnitude acceleration in establishment of a synthesis phase diagram that includes conditions for kinetically stabilizing $\delta$-Bi$_2$O$_3$ at room temperature, a critical development for electrochemical technologies such as solid oxide fuel cells.
E Pluribus Unum Ex Machina: Learning from Many Collider Events at Once
Nachman, Benjamin, Thaler, Jesse
There have been a number of recent proposals to enhance the performance of machine learning strategies for collider physics by combining many distinct events into a single ensemble feature. To evaluate the efficacy of these proposals, we study the connection between single-event classifiers and multi-event classifiers under the assumption that collider events are independent and identically distributed (IID). We show how one can build optimal multi-event classifiers from single-event classifiers, and we also show how to construct multi-event classifiers such that they produce optimal single-event classifiers. This is illustrated for a Gaussian example as well as for classification tasks relevant for searches and measurements at the Large Hadron Collider. We extend our discussion to regression tasks by showing how they can be phrased in terms of parametrized classifiers. Empirically, we find that training a single-event (per-instance) classifier is more effective than training a multi-event (per-ensemble) classifier, as least for the cases we studied, and we relate this fact to properties of the loss function gradient in the two cases. While we did not identify a clear benefit from using multi-event classifiers in the collider context, we speculate on the potential value of these methods in cases involving only approximate independence, as relevant for jet substructure studies.