Several techniques have been proposed over the years for automatic hypocenter localization. While those techniques have pros and cons that trade-off computational efficiency and the susceptibility of getting trapped in local minima, an alternate approach is needed that allows robust localization performance and holds the potential to make the elusive goal of real-time microseismic monitoring possible. Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have appeared on the scene as a flexible and versatile framework for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) along with the associated initial or boundary conditions. We develop HypoPINN -- a PINN-based inversion framework for hypocenter localization and introduce an approximate Bayesian framework for estimating its predictive uncertainties. This work focuses on predicting the hypocenter locations using HypoPINN and investigates the propagation of uncertainties from the random realizations of HypoPINN's weights and biases using the Laplace approximation. We train HypoPINN to obtain the optimized weights for predicting hypocenter location. Next, we approximate the covariance matrix at the optimized HypoPINN's weights for posterior sampling with the Laplace approximation. The posterior samples represent various realizations of HypoPINN's weights. Finally, we predict the locations of the hypocenter associated with those weights' realizations to investigate the uncertainty propagation that comes from those realisations. We demonstrate the features of this methodology through several numerical examples, including using the Otway velocity model based on the Otway project in Australia.

Frost & Sullivan has released its annual Top 50 emerging technologies that are poised to generate multi-billion-dollar markets and set new growth opportunities worldwide. The emerging technologies are distributed across nine key clusters and represent the bulk of the R&D and innovation activity happening today, Frost & Sullivan said. Some of the emerging technologies noted by the market research company include: Flash lidar, graphene sensors, 5G materials, smart object security, carbon upcycling, battery recycling, grid-scale energy storage, autonomous mobile robots, robotic exoskeletons, cognitive manufacturing and behavioral biometrics. Other emerging tech listed include digital biomarkers, hyperspectral imaging, solid-state batteries, multi-cloud automation, sub-millimeter wave sensing, adaptive computing and accelerated storage. Frost & Sullivan will be hosting a webinar called "The 2021 Top 50 Technologies Transforming the Future," on April 27 at 11 a.m. EDT, discussing these converging technologies and how companies will be able to take advantage of the opportunities for growth.

Significant investments and research developments in artificial intelligence (AI) have made the technology a powerful asset in many industries -- including environmental studies. AI isn't a new technology, but businesses and consumers feel its impact and witness it seep into everyday life. AI is becoming more advanced and autonomous, and it's also broader in its use and impact. More use cases for AI are emerging, and if implemented responsibly, it can greatly benefit society. It's likely to play a role in tackling issues like climate change -- but how? Here's how AI is expected to impact the environment and usher in positive changes for a more sustainable future. It's critical to understand the breadth of environmental problems right now.

Abstract: Non-holonomic vehicles are of immense practical value and increasingly subject to automation. However, controlling them accurately, e.g., when parking, is known to be challenging for automatic control methods, including model predictive control (MPC). Combining results from MPC theory and sub-Riemannian geometry in the form of homogeneous nilpotent system approximations, this paper proposes a comprehensive, ready-to-apply design procedure for MPC controllers to steer controllable, driftless non-holonomic vehicles into given setpoints. It can be ascertained that the resulting controllers nominally asymptotically stabilize the setpoint for a large-enough prediction horizon. The design procedure is exemplarily applied to four vehicles, including the kinematic car and a differentially driven mobile robot with up to two trailers.

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) of subsurface two-phase flow usually requires numerous executions of forward simulations under varying conditions. In this work, a novel coupled theory-guided neural network (TgNN) based surrogate model is built to facilitate computation efficiency under the premise of satisfactory accuracy. The core notion of this proposed method is to bridge two separate blocks on top of an overall network. They underlie the TgNN model in a coupled form, which reflects the coupling nature of pressure and water saturation in the two-phase flow equation. The TgNN model not only relies on labeled data, but also incorporates underlying scientific theory and experiential rules (e.g., governing equations, stochastic parameter fields, boundary and initial conditions, well conditions, and expert knowledge) as additional components into the loss function. The performance of the TgNN-based surrogate model for two-phase flow problems is tested by different numbers of labeled data and collocation points, as well as the existence of data noise. The proposed TgNN-based surrogate model offers an effective way to solve the coupled nonlinear two-phase flow problem and demonstrates good accuracy and strong robustness when compared with the purely data-driven surrogate model. By combining the accurate TgNN-based surrogate model with the Monte Carlo method, UQ tasks can be performed at a minimum cost to evaluate statistical quantities. Since the heterogeneity of the random fields strongly impacts the results of the surrogate model, corresponding variance and correlation length are added to the input of the neural network to maintain its predictive capacity. The results show that the TgNN-based surrogate model achieves satisfactory accuracy, stability, and efficiency in UQ problems of subsurface two-phase flow.

Ocean wave climate has a significant impact on near-shore and off-shore human activities, and its characterisation can help in the design of ocean structures such as wave energy converters and sea dikes. Therefore, engineers need long time series of ocean wave parameters. Numerical models are a valuable source of ocean wave data; however, they are computationally expensive. Consequently, statistical and data-driven approaches have gained increasing interest in recent decades. This work investigates the spatio-temporal relationship between North Atlantic wind and significant wave height (Hs) at an off-shore location in the Bay of Biscay, using a two-stage deep learning model. The first step uses convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to extract the spatial features that contribute to Hs. Then, long short-term memory (LSTM) is used to learn the long-term temporal dependencies between wind and waves.

Transfer learning is a promising approach to creating predictive models that incorporate simulation and experimental data into a common framework. In this technique, a neural network is first trained on a large database of simulations, then partially retrained on sparse sets of experimental data to adjust predictions to be more consistent with reality. Previously, this technique has been used to create predictive models of Omega and NIF inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments that are more accurate than simulations alone. In this work, we conduct a transfer learning driven hypothetical ICF campaign in which the goal is to maximize experimental neutron yield via Bayesian optimization. The transfer learning model achieves yields within 5% of the maximum achievable yield in a modest-sized design space in fewer than 20 experiments. Furthermore, we demonstrate that this method is more efficient at optimizing designs than traditional model calibration techniques commonly employed in ICF design. Such an approach to ICF design could enable robust optimization of experimental performance under uncertainty.

This paper presents a solution to a predict then optimise problem which goal is to reduce the electricity cost of a university campus. The proposed methodology combines a multi-dimensional time series forecast and a novel approach to large-scale optimization. Gradient-boosting method is applied to forecast both generation and consumption time-series of the Monash university campus for the month of November 2020. For the consumption forecasts we employ log transformation to model trend and stabilize variance. Additional seasonality and trend features are added to the model inputs when applicable. The forecasts obtained are used as the base load for the schedule optimisation of university activities and battery usage. The goal of the optimisation is to minimize the electricity cost consisting of the price of electricity and the peak electricity tariff both altered by the load from class activities and battery use as well as the penalty of not scheduling some optional activities. The schedule of the class activities is obtained through evolutionary optimisation using the covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy and the genetic algorithm. This schedule is then improved through local search by testing possible times for each activity one-by-one. The battery schedule is formulated as a mixed-integer programming problem and solved by the Gurobi solver. This method obtains the second lowest cost when evaluated against 6 other methods presented at an IEEE competition that all used mixed-integer programming and the Gurobi solver to schedule both the activities and the battery use. The code and data used for the paper are publicly available.

The rapid development of X-ray micro-computed tomography (micro-CT) opens new opportunities for 3D analysis of particle and grain-size characterisation, determination of particle densities and shape factors, estimation of mineral associations and liberation and locking. Current practices in mineral liberation analysis are based on 2D representations leading to systematic errors in the extrapolation to volumetric properties. New quantitative methods based on tomographic data are therefore urgently required for characterisation of mineral deposits, mineral processing, characterisation of tailings, rock typing, stratigraphic refinement, reservoir characterisation for applications in the resource industry, environmental and material sciences. To date, no simple non-destructive method exists for 3D mineral liberation analysis. We present a new development based on combining micro-CT with micro-X-ray fluorescence (micro-XRF) using deep learning. We demonstrate successful semi-automated multi-modal analysis of a crystalline magmatic rock where the new technique overcomes the difficult task of differentiating feldspar from quartz in micro-CT data set. The approach is universal and can be extended to any multi-modal and multi-instrument analysis for further refinement. We conclude that the combination of micro-CT and micro-XRF already provides a new opportunity for robust 3D mineral liberation analysis in both field and laboratory applications.

A type of artificial intelligence called machine learning can help scale up manufacturing of perovskite solar cells. Perovskite materials would be superior to silicon in PV cells, but manufacturing such cells at scale is a huge hurdle. Perovskites are a family of materials that are currently the leading contender to replace the silicon-based solar photovoltaics that are in broad use today. They carry the promise of panels that are far lighter and thinner, that could be made in large volumes with ultra-high throughput at room temperature instead of at hundreds of degrees, and that are easier and cheaper to transport and install. But bringing these materials from small laboratory experiments into a product that can be manufactured competitively has been a protracted struggle.