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Transformer-Based Models Aid Prediction of Transient Production of Oil Wells

#artificialintelligence

The authors apply a novel deep-learning algorithm called a transformer to build surrogate models for simulations of well performance. Transformer architecture initially was developed for natural-language processing problems. However, in recent years, researchers have adapted transformers for time-series forecasting.


Satellite-derived solar radiation for intra-hour and intra-day applications: Biases and uncertainties by season and altitude

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurate estimates of the surface solar radiation (SSR) are a prerequisite for intra-day forecasts of solar resources and photovoltaic power generation. Intra-day SSR forecasts are of interest to power traders and to operators of solar plants and power grids who seek to optimize their revenues and maintain the grid stability by matching power supply and demand. Our study analyzes systematic biases and the uncertainty of SSR estimates derived from Meteosat with the SARAH-2 and HelioMont algorithms at intra-hour and intra-day time scales. The satellite SSR estimates are analyzed based on 136 ground stations across altitudes from 200 m to 3570 m Switzerland in 2018. We find major biases and uncertainties in the instantaneous, hourly and daily-mean SSR. In peak daytime periods, the instantaneous satellite SSR deviates from the ground-measured SSR by a mean absolute deviation (MAD) of 110.4 and 99.6 W/m2 for SARAH-2 and HelioMont, respectively. For the daytime SSR, the instantaneous, hourly and daily-mean MADs amount to 91.7, 81.1, 50.8 and 82.5, 66.7, 42.9 W/m2 for SARAH-2 and HelioMont, respectively. Further, the SARAH-2 instantaneous SSR drastically underestimates the solar resources at altitudes above 1000 m in the winter half year. A possible explanation in line with the seasonality of the bias is that snow cover may be misinterpreted as clouds at higher altitudes.


Machine Learning Diffusion Monte Carlo Energies

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present two machine learning methodologies that are capable of predicting diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) energies with small datasets (~60 DMC calculations in total). The first uses voxel deep neural networks (VDNNs) to predict DMC energy densities using Kohn-Sham density functional theory (DFT) electron densities as input. The second uses kernel ridge regression (KRR) to predict atomic contributions to the DMC total energy using atomic environment vectors as input (we used atom centred symmetry functions, atomic environment vectors from the ANI models, and smooth overlap of atomic positions). We first compare the methodologies on pristine graphene lattices, where we find the KRR methodology performs best in comparison to gradient boosted decision trees, random forest, gaussian process regression, and multilayer perceptrons. In addition, KRR outperforms VDNNs by an order of magnitude. Afterwards, we study the generalizability of KRR to predict the energy barrier associated with a Stone-Wales defect. Lastly, we move from 2D to 3D materials and use KRR to predict total energies of liquid water. In all cases, we find that the KRR models are more accurate than Kohn-Sham DFT and all mean absolute errors are less than chemical accuracy.


Exploiting Sentiment and Common Sense for Zero-shot Stance Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The stance detection task aims to classify the stance toward given documents and topics. Since the topics can be implicit in documents and unseen in training data for zero-shot settings, we propose to boost the transferability of the stance detection model by using sentiment and commonsense knowledge, which are seldom considered in previous studies. Our model includes a graph autoencoder module to obtain commonsense knowledge and a stance detection module with sentiment and commonsense. Experimental results show that our model outperforms the state-of-the-art methods on the zero-shot and few-shot benchmark dataset--VAST. Meanwhile, ablation studies prove the significance of each module in our model. Analysis of the relations between sentiment, common sense, and stance indicates the effectiveness of sentiment and common sense.


From Intelligent Agents to Trustworthy Human-Centred Multiagent Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Agents, Interaction and Complexity research group at the University of Southampton has a long track record of research in multiagent systems (MAS). We have made substantial scientific contributions across learning in MAS, game-theoretic techniques for coordinating agent systems, and formal methods for representation and reasoning. We highlight key results achieved by the group and elaborate on recent work and open research challenges in developing trustworthy autonomous systems and deploying human-centred AI systems that aim to support societal good.


Pursuit of a Discriminative Representation for Multiple Subspaces via Sequential Games

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider the problem of learning discriminative representations for data in a high-dimensional space with distribution supported on or around multiple low-dimensional linear subspaces. That is, we wish to compute a linear injective map of the data such that the features lie on multiple orthogonal subspaces. Instead of treating this learning problem using multiple PCAs, we cast it as a sequential game using the closed-loop transcription (CTRL) framework recently proposed for learning discriminative and generative representations for general low-dimensional submanifolds. We prove that the equilibrium solutions to the game indeed give correct representations. Our approach unifies classical methods of learning subspaces with modern deep learning practice, by showing that subspace learning problems may be provably solved using the modern toolkit of representation learning. In addition, our work provides the first theoretical justification for the CTRL framework, in the important case of linear subspaces. We support our theoretical findings with compelling empirical evidence. We also generalize the sequential game formulation to more general representation learning problems. Our code, including methods for easy reproduction of experimental results, is publically available on GitHub.


PaLM: Scaling Language Modeling with Pathways

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large language models have been shown to achieve remarkable performance across a variety of natural language tasks using few-shot learning, which drastically reduces the number of task-specific training examples needed to adapt the model to a particular application. To further our understanding of the impact of scale on few-shot learning, we trained a 540-billion parameter, densely activated, Transformer language model, which we call Pathways Language Model PaLM. We trained PaLM on 6144 TPU v4 chips using Pathways, a new ML system which enables highly efficient training across multiple TPU Pods. We demonstrate continued benefits of scaling by achieving state-of-the-art few-shot learning results on hundreds of language understanding and generation benchmarks. On a number of these tasks, PaLM 540B achieves breakthrough performance, outperforming the finetuned state-of-the-art on a suite of multi-step reasoning tasks, and outperforming average human performance on the recently released BIG-bench benchmark. A significant number of BIG-bench tasks showed discontinuous improvements from model scale, meaning that performance steeply increased as we scaled to our largest model. PaLM also has strong capabilities in multilingual tasks and source code generation, which we demonstrate on a wide array of benchmarks. We additionally provide a comprehensive analysis on bias and toxicity, and study the extent of training data memorization with respect to model scale. Finally, we discuss the ethical considerations related to large language models and discuss potential mitigation strategies.


Altair Announces Digital Twin Solution

#artificialintelligence

TROY, MI, Oct 4, 2022 โ€“ Altair, a global leader in computational science and artificial intelligence (AI), announced the launch of its broad digital twin solution that features the market's most connected, cross-functional capabilities that can be deployed through any and every stage of a product lifecycle. "Altair offers the market's premier digital twin solution that can transform the way people and organizations design, develop, implement, and improve products and processes," said Sam Mahalingam, chief technology officer, Altair. "Moving forward, we will continue establishing our digital twin leadership to provide further democratized, more accessible digital twin solutions." Combining Altair's leading simulation, high-performance computing (HPC), AI, data analytics, and Internet of Things (IoT) capabilities, companies can apply digital twin technology at any stage of the product lifecycle -- from concept through in-service -- as part of a cross-functional, enterprise-wide effort that advances collaboration and eliminates departmental silos. Additionally, Altair's open, vendor-agnostic digital twin solution is the premier offering that gives customers the flexibility to run Altair software anywhere โ€“ whether on-site, in the cloud, hybrid, or via plug-and-play appliances โ€“ and the freedom to choose from a comprehensive toolset through a cost-effective, units-based licensing model called Altair Units.


4 Steps to Start Monetizing Your Company's Data

#artificialintelligence

Today, companies everywhere are generating unprecedented amounts of data. While data has always grown naturally as a byproduct of economic and business activity, these days, as more and more of our personal and work lives take place online, humans are creating an abundance of data daily. In fact, 90% of all the world's internet data has been created since 2016. For more than a decade, only the so-called FAANG companies (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, and Google) were in the position to take advantage of collecting vast amounts of data at scale. For these companies, data is the prime product and inherent to their value proposition, so they invested early in AI teams, servers, network infrastructure, and more.


The Download: the AI Bill of Rights, and fixing the Nord Stream pipelines

MIT Technology Review

The news: US President Biden has today unveiled a new AI Bill of Rights, which outlines five protections Americans should have in the AI age. Biden has in the past called for better privacy safeguards and for tech companies to stop collecting data. But the US -- home to some of the world's biggest tech and AI companies -- has so far been one of the only Western nations without clear guidance on how to protect its citizens against AI harms. Why it matters: AI is a powerful technology that is transforming our societies. The announcement is the White House's vision of how the US government as well as technology companies and citizens should work together to hold AI accountable.