Energy
RAP: Risk-Aware Prediction for Robust Planning
Nishimura, Haruki, Mercat, Jean, Wulfe, Blake, McAllister, Rowan, Gaidon, Adrien
In safety-critical and interactive control tasks such as autonomous driving, the robot must successfully account for uncertainty of the future motion of surrounding humans. To achieve this, many contemporary approaches decompose the decision-making pipeline into prediction and planning modules [1-5] for maintainability, debuggability, and interpretability. A prediction module, often learned from data, first produces likely future trajectories of surrounding agents, which are then consumed by a planning module for computing safe robot actions. Recent works [6, 7] further propose to couple prediction with risk-sensitive planning for enhanced safety, wherein the planner computes and minimizes a risk measure [8] of its planned trajectory based on probabilistic forecasts of human motion from the data-driven predictor. A risk measure is a functional that maps a cost distribution to a deterministic real number, which lies between the expected cost and the worst-case cost [9].
Towards a unified nonlocal, peridynamics framework for the coarse-graining of molecular dynamics data with fractures
You, Huaiqian, Xu, Xiao, Yu, Yue, Silling, Stewart, D'Elia, Marta, Foster, John
Molecular dynamics (MD) has served as a powerful tool for designing materials with reduced reliance on laboratory testing. However, the use of MD directly to treat the deformation and failure of materials at the mesoscale is still largely beyond reach. Herein, we propose a learning framework to extract a peridynamic model as a mesoscale continuum surrogate from MD simulated material fracture datasets. Firstly, we develop a novel coarse-graining method, to automatically handle the material fracture and its corresponding discontinuities in MD displacement dataset. Inspired by the Weighted Essentially Non-Oscillatory scheme, the key idea lies at an adaptive procedure to automatically choose the locally smoothest stencil, then reconstruct the coarse-grained material displacement field as piecewise smooth solutions containing discontinuities. Then, based on the coarse-grained MD data, a two-phase optimization-based learning approach is proposed to infer the optimal peridynamics model with damage criterion. In the first phase, we identify the optimal nonlocal kernel function from datasets without material damage, to capture the material stiffness properties. Then, in the second phase, the material damage criterion is learnt as a smoothed step function from the data with fractures. As a result, a peridynamics surrogate is obtained. Our peridynamics surrogate model can be employed in further prediction tasks with different grid resolutions from training, and hence allows for substantial reductions in computational cost compared with MD. We illustrate the efficacy of the proposed approach with several numerical tests for single layer graphene. Our tests show that the proposed data-driven model is robust and generalizable: it is capable in modeling the initialization and growth of fractures under discretization and loading settings that are different from the ones used during training.
Teleoperation of Humanoid Robots: A Survey
Darvish, Kourosh, Penco, Luigi, Ramos, Joao, Cisneros, Rafael, Pratt, Jerry, Yoshida, Eiichi, Ivaldi, Serena, Pucci, Daniele
Teleoperation of humanoid robots enables the integration of the cognitive skills and domain expertise of humans with the physical capabilities of humanoid robots. The operational versatility of humanoid robots makes them the ideal platform for a wide range of applications when teleoperating in a remote environment. However, the complexity of humanoid robots imposes challenges for teleoperation, particularly in unstructured dynamic environments with limited communication. Many advancements have been achieved in the last decades in this area, but a comprehensive overview is still missing. This survey paper gives an extensive overview of humanoid robot teleoperation, presenting the general architecture of a teleoperation system and analyzing the different components. We also discuss different aspects of the topic, including technological and methodological advances, as well as potential applications. A web-based version of the paper can be found at https://humanoid-teleoperation.github.io/.
From ChatGPT to diverting asteroids: These scientific breakthroughs give us hope for 2023
After a year in which war ravaged Ukraine, stubbornly high inflation brought the global economy to the brink of recession, a "tripledemic" revived pandemic fears, and limited progress was made on the climate crisis, it would be understandable to approach 2023 with a sense of unease. And yet a series of scientific breakthroughs in 2022 are bringing reasons for optimism for the new year. From fusion energy to improved vaccines and organ transplants, an artificial intelligence revolution to diverted asteroids, technologies previously found only in science fiction came to fruition. Those landmark discoveries, some the culmination of decades of work, offer grounds for hope. Why do heatwaves in the UK feel hotter than abroad?
Differentiable, learnable, regionalized process-based models with physical outputs can approach state-of-the-art hydrologic prediction accuracy
Feng, Dapeng, Liu, Jiangtao, Lawson, Kathryn, Shen, Chaopeng
Predictions of hydrologic variables across the entire water cycle have significant value for water resource management as well as downstream applications such as ecosystem and water quality modeling. Recently, purely data-driven deep learning models like long short-term memory (LSTM) showed seemingly-insurmountable performance in modeling rainfall-runoff and other geoscientific variables, yet they cannot predict untrained physical variables and remain challenging to interpret. Here we show that differentiable, learnable, process-based models (called {\delta} models here) can approach the performance level of LSTM for the intensively-observed variable (streamflow) with regionalized parameterization. We use a simple hydrologic model HBV as the backbone and use embedded neural networks, which can only be trained in a differentiable programming framework, to parameterize, enhance, or replace the process-based model modules. Without using an ensemble or post-processor, {\delta} models can obtain a median Nash Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.732 for 671 basins across the USA for the Daymet forcing dataset, compared to 0.748 from a state-of-the-art LSTM model with the same setup. For another forcing dataset, the difference is even smaller: 0.715 vs. 0.722. Meanwhile, the resulting learnable process-based models can output a full set of untrained variables, e.g., soil and groundwater storage, snowpack, evapotranspiration, and baseflow, and later be constrained by their observations. Both simulated evapotranspiration and fraction of discharge from baseflow agreed decently with alternative estimates. The general framework can work with models with various process complexity and opens up the path for learning physics from big data.
Survey of Deep Learning for Autonomous Surface Vehicles in the Marine Environment
Qiao, Yuanyuan, Yin, Jiaxin, Wang, Wei, Duarte, Fábio, Yang, Jie, Ratti, Carlo
Within the next several years, there will be a high level of autonomous technology that will be available for widespread use, which will reduce labor costs, increase safety, save energy, enable difficult unmanned tasks in harsh environments, and eliminate human error. Compared to software development for other autonomous vehicles, maritime software development, especially on aging but still functional fleets, is described as being in a very early and emerging phase. This introduces very large challenges and opportunities for researchers and engineers to develop maritime autonomous systems. Recent progress in sensor and communication technology has introduced the use of autonomous surface vehicles (ASVs) in applications such as coastline surveillance, oceanographic observation, multi-vehicle cooperation, and search and rescue missions. Advanced artificial intelligence technology, especially deep learning (DL) methods that conduct nonlinear mapping with self-learning representations, has brought the concept of full autonomy one step closer to reality. This paper surveys the existing work regarding the implementation of DL methods in ASV-related fields. First, the scope of this work is described after reviewing surveys on ASV developments and technologies, which draws attention to the research gap between DL and maritime operations. Then, DL-based navigation, guidance, control (NGC) systems and cooperative operations, are presented. Finally, this survey is completed by highlighting the current challenges and future research directions.
Application of machine learning to gas flaring
Currently in the petroleum industry, operators often flare the produced gas instead of commodifying it. The flaring magnitudes are large in some states, which constitute problems with energy waste and CO2 emissions. In North Dakota, operators are required to estimate and report the volume flared. The questions are, how good is the quality of this reporting, and what insights can be drawn from it? Apart from the company-reported statistics, which are available from the North Dakota Industrial Commission (NDIC), flared volumes can be estimated via satellite remote sensing, serving as an unbiased benchmark. Since interpretation of the Landsat 8 imagery is hindered by artifacts due to glow, the estimated volumes based on the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) are used. Reverse geocoding is performed for comparing and contrasting the NDIC and VIIRS data at different levels, such as county and oilfield. With all the data gathered and preprocessed, Bayesian learning implemented by MCMC methods is performed to address three problems: county level model development, flaring time series analytics, and distribution estimation. First, there is heterogeneity among the different counties, in the associations between the NDIC and VIIRS volumes. In light of such, models are developed for each county by exploiting hierarchical models. Second, the flaring time series, albeit noisy, contains information regarding trends and patterns, which provide some insights into operator approaches. Gaussian processes are found to be effective in many different pattern recognition scenarios. Third, distributional insights are obtained through unsupervised learning. The negative binomial and GMMs are found to effectively describe the oilfield flare count and flared volume distributions, respectively. Finally, a nearest-neighbor-based approach for operator level monitoring and analytics is introduced.
Towards Microstructural State Variables in Materials Systems
Sundararaghavan, Veera, Shah, Megna N., Simmons, Jeff P.
The vast combination of material properties seen in nature are achieved by the complexity of the material microstructure. Advanced characterization and physics based simulation techniques have led to generation of extremely large microstructural datasets. There is a need for machine learning techniques that can manage data complexity by capturing the maximal amount of information about the microstructure using the least number of variables. This paper aims to formulate dimensionality and state variable estimation techniques focused on reducing microstructural image data. It is shown that local dimensionality estimation based on nearest neighbors tend to give consistent dimension estimates for natural images for all p-Minkowski distances. However, it is found that dimensionality estimates have a systematic error for low-bit depth microstructural images. The use of Manhattan distance to alleviate this issue is demonstrated. It is also shown that stacked autoencoders can reconstruct the generator space of high dimensional microstructural data and provide a sparse set of state variables to fully describe the variability in material microstructures.
Evaluation of physics constrained data-driven methods for turbulence model uncertainty quantification
Matha, Marcel, Kucharczyk, Karsten, Morsbach, Christian
In order to achieve a virtual certification process and robust designs for turbomachinery, the uncertainty bounds for Computational Fluid Dynamics have to be known. The formulation of turbulence closure models implies a major source of the overall uncertainty of Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes simulations. We discuss the common practice of applying a physics constrained eigenspace perturbation of the Reynolds stress tensor in order to account for the model form uncertainty of turbulence models. Since the basic methodology often leads to overly generous uncertainty estimates, we extend a recent approach of adding a machine learning strategy. The application of a data-driven method is motivated by striving for the detection of flow regions, which are prone to suffer from a lack of turbulence model prediction accuracy. In this way any user input related to choosing the degree of uncertainty is supposed to become obsolete. This work especially investigates an approach, which tries to determine an a priori estimation of prediction confidence, when there is no accurate data available to judge the prediction. The flow around the NACA 4412 airfoil at near-stall conditions demonstrates the successful application of the data-driven eigenspace perturbation framework. Furthermore, we especially highlight the objectives and limitations of the underlying methodology.
Imbalanced Classification In Faulty Turbine Data: New Proximal Policy Optimization
Modirrousta, Mohammad Hossein, Shoorehdeli, Mahdi Aliyari, Yari, Mostafa, Ghahremani, Arash
There is growing importance to detecting faults and implementing the best methods in industrial and real-world systems. We are searching for the most trustworthy and practical data-based fault detection methods proposed by artificial intelligence applications. In this paper, we propose a framework for fault detection based on reinforcement learning and a policy known as proximal policy optimization. As a result of the lack of fault data, one of the significant problems with the traditional policy is its weakness in detecting fault classes, which was addressed by changing the cost function. Using modified Proximal Policy Optimization, we can increase performance, overcome data imbalance, and better predict future faults. When our modified policy is implemented, all evaluation metrics will increase by $3\%$ to $4\%$ as compared to the traditional policy in the first benchmark, between $20\%$ and $55\%$ in the second benchmark, and between $6\%$ and $14\%$ in the third benchmark, as well as an improvement in performance and prediction speed compared to previous methods.