While several recent works have identified societal-scale and extinction-level risks to humanity arising from artificial intelligence, few have attempted an {\em exhaustive taxonomy} of such risks. Many exhaustive taxonomies are possible, and some are useful -- particularly if they reveal new risks or practical approaches to safety. This paper explores a taxonomy based on accountability: whose actions lead to the risk, are the actors unified, and are they deliberate? We also provide stories to illustrate how the various risk types could each play out, including risks arising from unanticipated interactions of many AI systems, as well as risks from deliberate misuse, for which combined technical and policy solutions are indicated.

The sun is highly complex in nature and its observatory imagery features is one of the most important sources of information about the sun activity, space and Earth's weather conditions. The NASA, solar Dynamics Observatory captures approximately 70,000 images of the sun activity in a day and the continuous visual inspection of this solar observatory images is challenging. In this study, we developed a technique of tracking the sun's activity using 2D circular kernel time series transformation, statistical and entropy measures, with machine learning approaches. The technique involves transforming the solar observatory image section into 1-Dimensional time series (1-DTS) while the statistical and entropy measures (Approach 1) and direct classification (Approach 2) is used to capture the extraction features from the 1-DTS for machine learning classification into 'solar storm' and 'no storm'. We found that the potential accuracy of the model in tracking the activity of the sun is approximately 0.981 for Approach 1 and 0.999 for Approach 2. The stability of the developed approach to rotational transformation of the solar observatory image is evident. When training on the original dataset for Approach 1, the match index (T90) of the distribution of solar storm areas reaches T90 ~ 0.993, and T90 ~ 0.951 for Approach 2. In addition, when using the extended training base, the match indices increased to T90 ~ 0.994 and T90 ~ 1, respectively. This model consistently classifies areas with swirling magnetic lines associated with solar storms and is robust to image rotation, glare, and optical artifacts.

Reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a promising approach to automating decision processes. This paper explores the application of RL techniques to optimise the polynomial order in the computational mesh when using high-order solvers. Mesh adaptation plays a crucial role in improving the efficiency of numerical simulations by improving accuracy while reducing the cost. Here, actor-critic RL models based on Proximal Policy Optimization offer a data-driven approach for agents to learn optimal mesh modifications based on evolving conditions. The paper provides a strategy for p-adaptation in high-order solvers and includes insights into the main aspects of RL-based mesh adaptation, including the formulation of appropriate reward structures and the interaction between the RL agent and the simulation environment. We discuss the impact of RL-based mesh p-adaptation on computational efficiency and accuracy. We test the RL p-adaptation strategy on a 1D inviscid Burgers' equation to demonstrate the effectiveness of the strategy. The RL strategy reduces the computational cost and improves accuracy over uniform adaptation, while minimising human intervention.

Symbolic Regression (SR) allows for the discovery of scientific equations from data. To limit the large search space of possible equations, prior knowledge has been expressed in terms of formal grammars that characterize subsets of arbitrary strings. However, there is a mismatch between context-free grammars required to express the set of syntactically correct equations, missing closure properties of the former, and a tree structure of the latter. Our contributions are to (i) compactly express experts' prior beliefs about which equations are more likely to be expected by probabilistic Regular Tree Expressions (pRTE), and (ii) adapt Bayesian inference to make such priors efficiently available for symbolic regression encoded as finite state machines. Our scientific case studies show its effectiveness in soil science to find sorption isotherms and for modeling hyper-elastic materials.

We introduce GHP-MOFassemble, a Generative artificial intelligence (AI), High Performance framework to accelerate the rational design of metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) with high CO2 capacity and synthesizable linkers. Our framework combines a diffusion model, a class of generative AI, to generate novel linkers that are assembled with one of three pre-selected nodes into MOFs in a primitive cubic (pcu) topology. The CO2 capacities of these AI-generated MOFs are predicted using a modified version of the crystal graph convolutional neural network model. We then use the LAMMPS code to perform molecular dynamics simulations to relax the AI-generated MOF structures, and identify those that converge to stable structures, and maintain their porous properties throughout the simulations. Among 120,000 pcu MOF candidates generated by the GHP-MOFassemble framework, with three distinct metal nodes (Cu paddlewheel, Zn paddlewheel, Zn tetramer), a total of 102 structures completed molecular dynamics simulations at 1 bar with predicted CO2 capacity higher than 2 mmol/g at 0.1 bar, which corresponds to the top 5% of hMOFs in the hypothetical MOF (hMOF) dataset in the MOFX-DB database. Among these candidates, 18 have change in density lower than 1% during molecular dynamics simulations, indicating their stability. We also found that the top five GHP-MOFassemble's MOF structures have CO2 capacities higher than 96.9% of hMOF structures. This new approach combines generative AI, graph modeling, large-scale molecular dynamics simulations, and extreme scale computing to open up new pathways for the accelerated discovery of novel MOF structures at scale.

The agricultural sector currently faces significant challenges in water resource conservation and crop yield optimization, primarily due to concerns over freshwater scarcity. Traditional irrigation scheduling methods often prove inadequate in meeting the needs of large-scale irrigation systems. To address this issue, this paper proposes a predictive irrigation scheduler that leverages the three paradigms of machine learning to optimize irrigation schedules. The proposed scheduler employs the k-means clustering approach to divide the field into distinct irrigation management zones based on soil hydraulic parameters and topology information. Furthermore, a long short-term memory network is employed to develop dynamic models for each management zone, enabling accurate predictions of soil moisture dynamics. Formulated as a mixed-integer model predictive control problem, the scheduler aims to maximize water uptake while minimizing overall water consumption and irrigation costs. To tackle the mixed-integer optimization challenge, the proximal policy optimization algorithm is utilized to train a reinforcement learning agent responsible for making daily irrigation decisions. To evaluate the performance of the proposed scheduler, a 26.4-hectare field in Lethbridge, Canada, was chosen as a case study for the 2015 and 2022 growing seasons. The results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed scheduler compared to a traditional irrigation scheduling method in terms of water use efficiency and crop yield improvement for both growing seasons. Notably, the proposed scheduler achieved water savings ranging from 6.4% to 22.8%, along with yield increases ranging from 2.3% to 4.3%.

Learned visual dynamics models have proven effective for robotic manipulation tasks. Yet, it remains unclear how best to represent scenes involving multi-object interactions. Current methods decompose a scene into discrete objects, but they struggle with precise modeling and manipulation amid challenging lighting conditions as they only encode appearance tied with specific illuminations. In this work, we propose using object-centric neural scattering functions (OSFs) as object representations in a model-predictive control framework. OSFs model per-object light transport, enabling compositional scene re-rendering under object rearrangement and varying lighting conditions. By combining this approach with inverse parameter estimation and graph-based neural dynamics models, we demonstrate improved model-predictive control performance and generalization in compositional multi-object environments, even in previously unseen scenarios and harsh lighting conditions.

Hybrid Optimization Software Suite (HOSS), which is a combined finite-discrete element method (FDEM), is one of the advanced approaches to simulating high-fidelity fracture and fragmentation processes but the application of pure HOSS simulation is computationally expensive. At the same time, machine learning methods, shown tremendous success in several scientific problems, are increasingly being considered promising alternatives to physics-based models in the scientific domains. Thus, our goal in this work is to build a new data-driven methodology to reconstruct the crack fracture accurately in the spatial and temporal fields. We leverage physical constraints to regularize the fracture propagation in the long-term reconstruction. In addition, we introduce perceptual loss and several extra pure machine learning optimization approaches to improve the reconstruction performance of fracture data further. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method through both extrapolation and interpolation experiments. The results confirm that our proposed method can reconstruct high-fidelity fracture data over space and time in terms of pixel-wise reconstruction error and structural similarity. Visual comparisons also show promising results in long-term

The energy transition has increased the reliance on intermittent energy sources, destabilizing energy markets and causing unprecedented volatility, culminating in the global energy crisis of 2021. In addition to harming producers and consumers, volatile energy markets may jeopardize vital decarbonization efforts. Traders play an important role in stabilizing markets by providing liquidity and reducing volatility. Several mathematical and statistical models have been proposed for forecasting future returns. However, developing such models is non-trivial due to financial markets' low signal-to-noise ratios and nonstationary dynamics. This thesis investigates the effectiveness of deep reinforcement learning methods in commodities trading. It formalizes the commodities trading problem as a continuing discrete-time stochastic dynamical system. This system employs a novel time-discretization scheme that is reactive and adaptive to market volatility, providing better statistical properties for the sub-sampled financial time series. Two policy gradient algorithms, an actor-based and an actor-critic-based, are proposed for optimizing a transaction-cost- and risk-sensitive trading agent. The agent maps historical price observations to market positions through parametric function approximators utilizing deep neural network architectures, specifically CNNs and LSTMs. On average, the deep reinforcement learning models produce an 83 percent higher Sharpe ratio than the buy-and-hold baseline when backtested on front-month natural gas futures from 2017 to 2022. The backtests demonstrate that the risk tolerance of the deep reinforcement learning agents can be adjusted using a risk-sensitivity term. The actor-based policy gradient algorithm performs significantly better than the actor-critic-based algorithm, and the CNN-based models perform slightly better than those based on the LSTM.

Locomotion is a primary task for human beings and an essential component for a rich quality of life. There might be diverse (neurological or muscular) causes that limit the locomotion ability in humans, especially the efficiency and effectiveness of gait. Among all multi-body segments and muscles involved in walking, those related to the ankle joint are major contributors to perform the required mechanical work (Moltedo et al., 2018; Conner et al., 2022; Vaughan et al., 1999). Over the last decades, wearable assistive ankle-foot orthoses (AAFOs) have been developed and applied to assist ankle motion in humans. The main aim of these devices is to either reinforce and enhance the mobility in able-bodied subjects (Moltedo et al., 2018), or to restore, assist or rehabilitate lost functions of people with motor disorders (Moltedo et al., 2018; Alam et al., 2014; Bayón et al., 2023; Shorter et al., 2013). Despite the end goal to be achieved with the AAFO, a major distinction between these devices can be made according to their working principle. Passive AAFOs are those devices that rely on passive elements such as dampers or springs to store and release energy during gait, containing no control or electronics. Quasi-passive (or semi-active) AAFOs use computer control to adjust the performance of a passive element, and sometimes also hold a small motor to modulate their stiffness.