Graph-based deep learning methods have become popular tools to process collections of correlated time series. Differently from traditional multivariate forecasting methods, neural graph-based predictors take advantage of pairwise relationships by conditioning forecasts on a (possibly dynamic) graph spanning the time series collection. The conditioning can take the form of an architectural inductive bias on the neural forecasting architecture, resulting in a family of deep learning models called spatiotemporal graph neural networks. Such relational inductive biases enable the training of global forecasting models on large time-series collections, while at the same time localizing predictions w.r.t. each element in the set (i.e., graph nodes) by accounting for local correlations among them (i.e., graph edges). Indeed, recent theoretical and practical advances in graph neural networks and deep learning for time series forecasting make the adoption of such processing frameworks appealing and timely. However, most of the studies in the literature focus on proposing variations of existing neural architectures by taking advantage of modern deep learning practices, while foundational and methodological aspects have not been subject to systematic investigation. To fill the gap, this paper aims to introduce a comprehensive methodological framework that formalizes the forecasting problem and provides design principles for graph-based predictive models and methods to assess their performance. At the same time, together with an overview of the field, we provide design guidelines, recommendations, and best practices, as well as an in-depth discussion of open challenges and future research directions.

This study presents a collection of purely data-driven workflows for constructing reduced-order models (ROMs) for distributed dynamical systems. The ROMs we focus on, are data-assisted models inspired by, and templated upon, the theory of Approximate Inertial Manifolds (AIMs); the particular motivation is the so-called post-processing Galerkin method of Garcia-Archilla, Novo and Titi. Its applicability can be extended: the need for accurate truncated Galerkin projections and for deriving closed-formed corrections can be circumvented using machine learning tools. When the right latent variables are not a priori known, we illustrate how autoencoders as well as Diffusion Maps (a manifold learning scheme) can be used to discover good sets of latent variables and test their explainability. The proposed methodology can express the ROMs in terms of (a) theoretical (Fourier coefficients), (b) linear data-driven (POD modes) and/or (c) nonlinear data-driven (Diffusion Maps) coordinates. Both Black-Box and (theoretically-informed and data-corrected) Gray-Box models are described; the necessity for the latter arises when truncated Galerkin projections are so inaccurate as to not be amenable to post-processing. We use the Chafee-Infante reaction-diffusion and the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky dissipative partial differential equations to illustrate and successfully test the overall framework.

Electric load forecasting is an indispensable component of electric power system planning and management. Inaccurate load forecasting may lead to the threat of outages or a waste of energy. Accurate electric load forecasting is challenging when there is limited data or even no data, such as load forecasting in holiday, or under extreme weather conditions. As high-stakes decision-making usually follows after load forecasting, model interpretability is crucial for the adoption of forecasting models. In this paper, we propose an interactive GAM which is not only interpretable but also can incorporate specific domain knowledge in electric power industry for improved performance. This boosting-based GAM leverages piecewise linear functions and can be learned through our efficient algorithm. In both public benchmark and electricity datasets, our interactive GAM outperforms current state-of-the-art methods and demonstrates good generalization ability in the cases of extreme weather events. We launched a user-friendly web-based tool based on interactive GAM and already incorporated it into our eForecaster product, a unified AI platform for electricity forecasting.

Keeping track of all relevant recent publications and experimental results for a research area is a challenging task. Prior work has demonstrated the efficacy of information extraction models in various scientific areas. Recently, several datasets have been released for the yet understudied materials science domain. However, these datasets focus on sub-problems such as parsing synthesis procedures or on sub-domains, e.g., solid oxide fuel cells. In this resource paper, we present MuLMS, a new dataset of 50 open-access articles, spanning seven sub-domains of materials science. The corpus has been annotated by domain experts with several layers ranging from named entities over relations to frame structures. We present competitive neural models for all tasks and demonstrate that multi-task training with existing related resources leads to benefits.

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is crucial for the daily operation of power grids. However, the non-linearity, non-stationarity, and randomness characterizing electricity demand time series renders STLF a challenging task. Various forecasting approaches have been proposed for improving STLF, including neural network (NN) models which are trained using data from multiple electricity demand series that may not necessary include the target series. In the present study, we investigate the performance of this special case of STLF, called transfer learning (TL), by considering a set of 27 time series that represent the national day-ahead electricity demand of indicative European countries. We employ a popular and easy-to-implement NN model and perform a clustering analysis to identify similar patterns among the series and assist TL. In this context, two different TL approaches, with and without the clustering step, are compiled and compared against each other as well as a typical NN training setup. Our results demonstrate that TL can outperform the conventional approach, especially when clustering techniques are considered.

The continuous development of the photovoltaic (PV) industry has raised high requirements for the quality of monocrystalline of PV module cells. When learning to segment defect regions in PV module cell images, Tiny Hidden Cracks (THC) lead to extremely-imbalanced samples. The ratio of defect pixels to normal pixels can be as low as 1:2000. This extreme imbalance makes it difficult to segment the THC of PV module cells, which is also a challenge for semantic segmentation. To address the problem of segmenting defects on extremely-imbalanced THC data, the paper makes contributions from three aspects: (1) it proposes an explicit measure for output imbalance; (2) it generalizes a distribution-based loss that can handle different types of output imbalances; and (3) it introduces a compound loss with our adaptive hyperparameter selection algorithm that can keep the consistency of training and inference for harmonizing the output imbalance on extremelyimbalanced input data. The proposed method is evaluated on four widely-used deep learning architectures and four datasets with varying degrees of input imbalance. The experimental results show that the proposed method outperforms existing methods.

Training dynamic agents from datasets of expert examples, known as imitation learning, promises to take advantage of the plentiful demonstrations available in the modern data environment, in an analogous manner to the recent successes of language models conducting unsupervised learning on enormous corpora of text [68, 71]. Imitation learning is especially exciting in robotics, where mass stores of pre-recorded demonstrations on Youtube [1] or cheaply collected simulated trajectories [43, 20] can be converted into learned robotic policies. For imitation learning to be a viable path toward generalist robotic behavior, it needs to be able to both represent and execute the complex behaviors exhibited in the demonstrated data. An approach that has shown tremendous promise is generative behavior cloning: fitting generative models, such as diffusion models [2, 19, 34], to expert demonstrations with pure supervised learning. In this paper, we ask: Under what conditions can generative behavior cloning imitate arbitrarily complex expert behavior? In this paper, we are interested in how algorithmic choices interface with the dynamics of the agent's environment to render imitation possible. The key challenge separating imitation learning from vanilla supervised learning is one of compounding error: when the learner executes the trained behavior in its environment, small mistakes can accumulate into larger ones; this in turn may bring the agent to regions of state space not seen during training, leading to larger-still deviations from intended trajectories.

Model-based Reinforcement Learning and Control have demonstrated great potential in various sequential decision making problem domains, including in robotics settings. However, real-world robotics systems often present challenges that limit the applicability of those methods. In particular, we note two problems that jointly happen in many industrial systems: 1) Irregular/asynchronous observations and actions and 2) Dramatic changes in environment dynamics from an episode to another (e.g. varying payload inertial properties). We propose a general framework that overcomes those difficulties by meta-learning adaptive dynamics models for continuous-time prediction and control. The proposed approach is task-agnostic and can be adapted to new tasks in a straight-forward manner. We present evaluations in two different robot simulations and on a real industrial robot.

Compensating for slip and skid is crucial for mobile robots navigating outdoor terrains. In these challenging environments, slipping and skidding introduce uncertainties into trajectory tracking systems, potentially compromising the safety of the vehicle. Despite research in this field, having a real-world feasible online slip and skid compensation remains challenging due to the complexity of wheel-terrain interaction in outdoor environments. This paper proposes a novel trajectory tracking technique featuring real-world feasible online slip and skid compensation at the vehicle level for skid-steering mobile robots operating outdoors. The approach employs sliding-mode control to design a robust trajectory tracking system, accounting for the inherent uncertainties in this type of robot. To estimate the robot's slipping and undesired skidding and compensate for them in real-time, two previously developed deep learning models are integrated into the control-feedback loop. The main advantages of the proposed technique are that it (1) considers two slip-related parameters for the entire robot, as opposed to the conventional approach involving two slip components for each wheel along with the robot's skidding, and (2) has an online real-world feasible slip and skid compensator, reducing the tracking errors in unforeseen environments. Experimental results demonstrate a significant improvement, enhancing the trajectory tracking system's performance by over 27%.

This paper introduces a new IncidentAI dataset for safety prevention. Different from prior corpora that usually contain a single task, our dataset comprises three tasks: named entity recognition, cause-effect extraction, and information retrieval. The dataset is annotated by domain experts who have at least six years of practical experience as high-pressure gas conservation managers. We validate the contribution of the dataset in the scenario of safety prevention. Preliminary results on the three tasks show that NLP techniques are beneficial for analyzing incident reports to prevent future failures. The dataset facilitates future research in NLP and incident management communities. The access to the dataset is also provided (the IncidentAI dataset is available at: https://github.com/Cinnamon/incident-ai-dataset).