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 Energy


Streamlining Energy Transition Scenarios to Key Policy Decisions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Uncertainties surrounding the energy transition often lead modelers to present large sets of scenarios that are challenging for policymakers to interpret and act upon. An alternative approach is to define a few qualitative storylines from stakeholder discussions, which can be affected by biases and infeasibilities. Leveraging decision trees, a popular machine-learning technique, we derive interpretable storylines from many quantitative scenarios and show how the key decisions in the energy transition are interlinked. Specifically, our results demonstrate that choosing a high deployment of renewables and sector coupling makes global decarbonization scenarios robust against uncertainties in climate sensitivity and demand. Also, the energy transition to a fossil-free Europe is primarily determined by choices on the roles of bioenergy, storage, and heat electrification. Our transferrable approach translates vast energy model results into a small set of critical decisions, guiding decision-makers in prioritizing the key factors that will shape the energy transition.


Five-Tiered Route Planner for Multi-AUV Accessing Fixed Nodes in Uncertain Ocean Environments

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This article introduces a five-tiered route planner for accessing multiple nodes with multiple autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) that enables efficient task completion in stochastic ocean environments. First, the pre-planning tier solves the single-AUV routing problem to find the optimal giant route (GR), estimates the number of required AUVs based on GR segmentation, and allocates nodes for each AUV to access. Second, the route planning tier plans individual routes for each AUV. During navigation, the path planning tier provides each AUV with physical paths between any two points, while the actuation tier is responsible for path tracking and obstacle avoidance. Finally, in the stochastic ocean environment, deviations from the initial plan may occur, thus, an auction-based coordination tier drives online task coordination among AUVs in a distributed manner. Simulation experiments are conducted in multiple different scenarios to test the performance of the proposed planner, and the promising results show that the proposed method reduces AUV usage by 7.5% compared with the existing methods. When using the same number of AUVs, the fleet equipped with the proposed planner achieves a 6.2% improvement in average task completion rate.


De-SaTE: Denoising Self-attention Transformer Encoders for Li-ion Battery Health Prognostics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The usage of Lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries has gained widespread popularity across various industries, from powering portable electronic devices to propelling electric vehicles and supporting energy storage systems. A central challenge in Li-ion battery reliability lies in accurately predicting their Remaining Useful Life (RUL), which is a critical measure for proactive maintenance and predictive analytics. This study presents a novel approach that harnesses the power of multiple denoising modules, each trained to address specific types of noise commonly encountered in battery data. Specifically, a denoising auto-encoder and a wavelet denoiser are used to generate encoded/decomposed representations, which are subsequently processed through dedicated self-attention transformer encoders. After extensive experimentation on NASA and CALCE data, a broad spectrum of health indicator values are estimated under a set of diverse noise patterns. The reported error metrics on these data are on par with or better than the state-of-the-art reported in recent literature.


Semantics-Empowered Communication: A Tutorial-cum-Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Along with the springing up of the semantics-empowered communication (SemCom) research, it is now witnessing an unprecedentedly growing interest towards a wide range of aspects (e.g., theories, applications, metrics and implementations) in both academia and industry. In this work, we primarily aim to provide a comprehensive survey on both the background and research taxonomy, as well as a detailed technical tutorial. Specifically, we start by reviewing the literature and answering the "what" and "why" questions in semantic transmissions. Afterwards, we present the ecosystems of SemCom, including history, theories, metrics, datasets and toolkits, on top of which the taxonomy for research directions is presented. Furthermore, we propose to categorize the critical enabling techniques by explicit and implicit reasoning-based methods, and elaborate on how they evolve and contribute to modern content & channel semantics-empowered communications. Besides reviewing and summarizing the latest efforts in SemCom, we discuss the relations with other communication levels (e.g., conventional communications) from a holistic and unified viewpoint. Subsequently, in order to facilitate future developments and industrial applications, we also highlight advanced practical techniques for boosting semantic accuracy, robustness, and large-scale scalability, just to mention a few. Finally, we discuss the technical challenges that shed light on future research opportunities.


Stochastic First-Order Learning for Large-Scale Flexibly Tied Gaussian Mixture Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) are one of the most potent parametric density models used extensively in many applications. Flexibly-tied factorization of the covariance matrices in GMMs is a powerful approach for coping with the challenges of common GMMs when faced with high-dimensional data and complex densities which often demand a large number of Gaussian components. However, the expectation-maximization algorithm for fitting flexibly-tied GMMs still encounters difficulties with streaming and very large dimensional data. To overcome these challenges, this paper suggests the use of first-order stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm on the manifold of orthogonal matrices. Through numerous empirical results on both synthetic and real datasets, we observe that stochastic optimization methods can outperform the expectation-maximization algorithm in terms of attaining better likelihood, needing fewer epochs for convergence, and consuming less time per each epoch.


Non-contrastive representation learning for intervals from well logs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The representation learning problem in the oil & gas industry aims to construct a model that provides a representation based on logging data for a well interval. Previous attempts are mainly supervised and focus on similarity task, which estimates closeness between intervals. We desire to build informative representations without using supervised (labelled) data. One of the possible approaches is self-supervised learning (SSL). In contrast to the supervised paradigm, this one requires little or no labels for the data. Nowadays, most SSL approaches are either contrastive or non-contrastive. Contrastive methods make representations of similar (positive) objects closer and distancing different (negative) ones. Due to possible wrong marking of positive and negative pairs, these methods can provide an inferior performance. Non-contrastive methods don't rely on such labelling and are widespread in computer vision. They learn using only pairs of similar objects that are easier to identify in logging data. We are the first to introduce non-contrastive SSL for well-logging data. In particular, we exploit Bootstrap Your Own Latent (BYOL) and Barlow Twins methods that avoid using negative pairs and focus only on matching positive pairs. The crucial part of these methods is an augmentation strategy. Our augmentation strategies and adaption of BYOL and Barlow Twins together allow us to achieve superior quality on clusterization and mostly the best performance on different classification tasks. Our results prove the usefulness of the proposed non-contrastive self-supervised approaches for representation learning and interval similarity in particular.


StrainTensorNet: Predicting crystal structure elastic properties using SE(3)-equivariant graph neural networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurately predicting the elastic properties of crystalline solids is vital for computational materials science. However, traditional atomistic scale ab initio approaches are computationally intensive, especially for studying complex materials with a large number of atoms in a unit cell. We introduce a novel data-driven approach to efficiently predict the elastic properties of crystal structures using SE(3)-equivariant graph neural networks (GNNs). This approach yields important scalar elastic moduli with the accuracy comparable to recent data-driven studies. Importantly, our symmetry-aware GNNs model also enables the prediction of the strain energy density (SED) and the associated elastic constants, the fundamental tensorial quantities that are significantly influenced by a material's crystallographic group. The model consistently distinguishes independent elements of SED tensors, in accordance with the symmetry of the crystal structures. Finally, our deep learning model possesses meaningful latent features, offering an interpretable prediction of the elastic properties.


Beyond expectations: Residual Dynamic Mode Decomposition and Variance for Stochastic Dynamical Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Koopman operators linearize nonlinear dynamical systems, making their spectral information of crucial interest. Numerous algorithms have been developed to approximate these spectral properties, and Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) stands out as the poster child of projection-based methods. Although the Koopman operator itself is linear, the fact that it acts in an infinite-dimensional space of observables poses challenges. These include spurious modes, essential spectra, and the verification of Koopman mode decompositions. While recent work has addressed these challenges for deterministic systems, there remains a notable gap in verified DMD methods for stochastic systems, where the Koopman operator measures the expectation of observables. We show that it is necessary to go beyond expectations to address these issues. By incorporating variance into the Koopman framework, we address these challenges. Through an additional DMD-type matrix, we approximate the sum of a squared residual and a variance term, each of which can be approximated individually using batched snapshot data. This allows verified computation of the spectral properties of stochastic Koopman operators, controlling the projection error. We also introduce the concept of variance-pseudospectra to gauge statistical coherency. Finally, we present a suite of convergence results for the spectral information of stochastic Koopman operators. Our study concludes with practical applications using both simulated and experimental data. In neural recordings from awake mice, we demonstrate how variance-pseudospectra can reveal physiologically significant information unavailable to standard expectation-based dynamical models.


Parameterized Convex Minorant for Objective Function Approximation in Amortized Optimization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Parameterized convex minorant (PCM) method is proposed for the approximation of the objective function in amortized optimization. In the proposed method, the objective function approximator is expressed by the sum of a PCM and a nonnegative gap function, where the objective function approximator is bounded from below by the PCM convex in the optimization variable. The proposed objective function approximator is a universal approximator for continuous functions, and the global minimizer of the PCM attains the global minimum of the objective function approximator. Therefore, the global minimizer of the objective function approximator can be obtained by a single convex optimization. As a realization of the proposed method, extended parameterized log-sum-exp network is proposed by utilizing a parameterized log-sum-exp network as the PCM. Numerical simulation is performed for parameterized non-convex objective function approximation and for learning-based nonlinear model predictive control to demonstrate the performance and characteristics of the proposed method. The simulation results support that the proposed method can be used to learn objective functions and to find a global minimizer reliably and quickly by using convex optimization algorithms.


Turbulence Scaling from Deep Learning Diffusion Generative Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Complex spatial and temporal structures are inherent characteristics of turbulent fluid flows and comprehending them poses a major challenge. This comprehesion necessitates an understanding of the space of turbulent fluid flow configurations. We employ a diffusion-based generative model to learn the distribution of turbulent vorticity profiles and generate snapshots of turbulent solutions to the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. We consider the inverse cascade in two spatial dimensions and generate diverse turbulent solutions that differ from those in the training dataset. We analyze the statistical scaling properties of the new turbulent profiles, calculate their structure functions, energy power spectrum, velocity probability distribution function and moments of local energy dissipation. All the learnt scaling exponents are consistent with the expected Kolmogorov scaling and have lower errors than the training ones. This agreement with established turbulence characteristics provides strong evidence of the model's capability to capture essential features of real-world turbulence.