Energy
Differentiable modeling to unify machine learning and physical models and advance Geosciences
Shen, Chaopeng, Appling, Alison P., Gentine, Pierre, Bandai, Toshiyuki, Gupta, Hoshin, Tartakovsky, Alexandre, Baity-Jesi, Marco, Fenicia, Fabrizio, Kifer, Daniel, Li, Li, Liu, Xiaofeng, Ren, Wei, Zheng, Yi, Harman, Ciaran J., Clark, Martyn, Farthing, Matthew, Feng, Dapeng, Kumar, Praveen, Aboelyazeed, Doaa, Rahmani, Farshid, Beck, Hylke E., Bindas, Tadd, Dwivedi, Dipankar, Fang, Kuai, Höge, Marvin, Rackauckas, Chris, Roy, Tirthankar, Xu, Chonggang, Mohanty, Binayak, Lawson, Kathryn
Process-Based Modeling (PBM) and Machine Learning (ML) are often perceived as distinct paradigms in the geosciences. Here we present differentiable geoscientific modeling as a powerful pathway toward dissolving the perceived barrier between them and ushering in a paradigm shift. For decades, PBM offered benefits in interpretability and physical consistency but struggled to efficiently leverage large datasets. ML methods, especially deep networks, presented strong predictive skills yet lacked the ability to answer specific scientific questions. While various methods have been proposed for ML-physics integration, an important underlying theme -- differentiable modeling -- is not sufficiently recognized. Here we outline the concepts, applicability, and significance of differentiable geoscientific modeling (DG). "Differentiable" refers to accurately and efficiently calculating gradients with respect to model variables, critically enabling the learning of high-dimensional unknown relationships. DG refers to a range of methods connecting varying amounts of prior knowledge to neural networks and training them together, capturing a different scope than physics-guided machine learning and emphasizing first principles. Preliminary evidence suggests DG offers better interpretability and causality than ML, improved generalizability and extrapolation capability, and strong potential for knowledge discovery, while approaching the performance of purely data-driven ML. DG models require less training data while scaling favorably in performance and efficiency with increasing amounts of data. With DG, geoscientists may be better able to frame and investigate questions, test hypotheses, and discover unrecognized linkages.
Event-based Shape from Polarization with Spiking Neural Networks
Kang, Peng, Banerjee, Srutarshi, Chopp, Henry, Katsaggelos, Aggelos, Cossairt, Oliver
Recent advances in event-based shape determination from polarization offer a transformative approach that tackles the trade-off between speed and accuracy in capturing surface geometries. In this paper, we investigate event-based shape from polarization using Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs), introducing the Single-Timestep and Multi-Timestep Spiking UNets for effective and efficient surface normal estimation. Specificially, the Single-Timestep model processes event-based shape as a non-temporal task, updating the membrane potential of each spiking neuron only once, thereby reducing computational and energy demands. In contrast, the Multi-Timestep model exploits temporal dynamics for enhanced data extraction. Extensive evaluations on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our models match the performance of state-of-the-art Artifical Neural Networks (ANNs) in estimating surface normals, with the added advantage of superior energy efficiency. Our work not only contributes to the advancement of SNNs in event-based sensing but also sets the stage for future explorations in optimizing SNN architectures, integrating multi-modal data, and scaling for applications on neuromorphic hardware.
Sliding Mode Control for 3-D Uncalibrated and Constrained Vision-based Shape Servoing within Input Saturation
This paper designs a servo control system based on sliding mode control for the shape control of elastic objects. In order to solve the effect of non-smooth and asymmetric control saturation, a Gaussian-based continuous differentiable asymmetric saturation function is used for this goal. The proposed detection approach runs in a highly real-time manner. Meanwhile, this paper uses sliding mode control to prove that the estimation stability of the deformation Jacobian matrix and the system stability of the controller are combined, which verifies the control stability of the closed-loop system including estimation. Besides, an integral sliding mode function is designed to avoid the need for second-order derivatives of variables, which enhances the robustness of the system in actual situations. Finally, the Lyapunov theory is used to prove the consistent final boundedness of all variables of the system.
WWW: What, When, Where to Compute-in-Memory
Sharma, Tanvi, Ali, Mustafa, Chakraborty, Indranil, Roy, Kaushik
Compute-in-memory (CiM) has emerged as a compelling solution to alleviate high data movement costs in von Neumann machines. CiM can perform massively parallel general matrix multiplication (GEMM) operations in memory, the dominant computation in Machine Learning (ML) inference. However, re-purposing memory for compute poses key questions on 1) What type of CiM to use: Given a multitude of analog and digital CiMs, determining their suitability from systems perspective is needed. 2) When to use CiM: ML inference includes workloads with a variety of memory and compute requirements, making it difficult to identify when CiM is more beneficial than standard processing cores. 3) Where to integrate CiM: Each memory level has different bandwidth and capacity, that affects the data movement and locality benefits of CiM integration. In this paper, we explore answers to these questions regarding CiM integration for ML inference acceleration. We use Timeloop-Accelergy for early system-level evaluation of CiM prototypes, including both analog and digital primitives. We integrate CiM into different cache memory levels in an Nvidia A100-like baseline architecture and tailor the dataflow for various ML workloads. Our experiments show CiM architectures improve energy efficiency, achieving up to 0.12x lower energy than the established baseline with INT-8 precision, and upto 4x performance gains with weight interleaving and duplication. The proposed work provides insights into what type of CiM to use, and when and where to optimally integrate it in the cache hierarchy for GEMM acceleration.
SAMSGL: Series-Aligned Multi-Scale Graph Learning for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Zou, Xiaobei, Xiong, Luolin, Tang, Yang, Kurths, Jurgen
Spatio-temporal forecasting in various domains, like traffic prediction and weather forecasting, is a challenging endeavor, primarily due to the difficulties in modeling propagation dynamics and capturing high-dimensional interactions among nodes. Despite the significant strides made by graph-based networks in spatio-temporal forecasting, there remain two pivotal factors closely related to forecasting performance that need further consideration: time delays in propagation dynamics and multi-scale high-dimensional interactions. In this work, we present a Series-Aligned Multi-Scale Graph Learning (SAMSGL) framework, aiming to enhance forecasting performance. In order to handle time delays in spatial interactions, we propose a series-aligned graph convolution layer to facilitate the aggregation of non-delayed graph signals, thereby mitigating the influence of time delays for the improvement in accuracy. To understand global and local spatio-temporal interactions, we develop a spatio-temporal architecture via multi-scale graph learning, which encompasses two essential components: multi-scale graph structure learning and graph-fully connected (Graph-FC) blocks. The multi-scale graph structure learning includes a global graph structure to learn both delayed and non-delayed node embeddings, as well as a local one to learn node variations influenced by neighboring factors. The Graph-FC blocks synergistically fuse spatial and temporal information to boost prediction accuracy. To evaluate the performance of SAMSGL, we conduct experiments on meteorological and traffic forecasting datasets, which demonstrate its effectiveness and superiority.
Learning robust marking policies for adaptive mesh refinement
Gillette, Andrew, Keith, Brendan, Petrides, Socratis
In this work, we revisit the marking decisions made in the standard adaptive finite element method (AFEM). Experience shows that a na\"{i}ve marking policy leads to inefficient use of computational resources for adaptive mesh refinement (AMR). Consequently, using AFEM in practice often involves ad-hoc or time-consuming offline parameter tuning to set appropriate parameters for the marking subroutine. To address these practical concerns, we recast AMR as a Markov decision process in which refinement parameters can be selected on-the-fly at run time, without the need for pre-tuning by expert users. In this new paradigm, the refinement parameters are also chosen adaptively via a marking policy that can be optimized using methods from reinforcement learning. We use the Poisson equation to demonstrate our techniques on $h$- and $hp$-refinement benchmark problems, and our experiments suggest that superior marking policies remain undiscovered for many classical AFEM applications. Furthermore, an unexpected observation from this work is that marking policies trained on one family of PDEs are sometimes robust enough to perform well on problems far outside the training family. For illustration, we show that a simple $hp$-refinement policy trained on 2D domains with only a single re-entrant corner can be deployed on far more complicated 2D domains, and even 3D domains, without significant performance loss. For reproduction and broader adoption, we accompany this work with an open-source implementation of our methods.
iPhone 150! Experts predict what smartphones will look like in the future - from self-repairing screens to solar-powered charging
It might only feel like yesterday that the new iPhone 15 was released, but experts have already begun to image the phones of the future. Using AI imaging, Mobiles.co.uk has predicted five different ways that smartphones might develop in the future From flexible phones to self-repairing devices, your iPhone may one day look and feel a lot different. While some of the ideas might sound like Star Trek props, the experts say these technologies could be just around the corner. So, do you think these ideas are the future of phones, or are they doomed to die on the drawing board? Your phone will be able to bend into new shapes to avoid damage.
Data-driven decision-focused surrogate modeling
We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex, surrogate optimization model that is trained to minimize the decision prediction error, which is defined as the difference between the optimal solutions of the original and the surrogate optimization models. The learning problem, formulated as a bilevel program, can be viewed as a data-driven inverse optimization problem to which we apply a decomposition-based solution algorithm from previous work. We validate our framework through numerical experiments involving the optimization of common nonlinear chemical processes such as chemical reactors, heat exchanger networks, and material blending systems. We also present a detailed comparison of decision-focused surrogate modeling with standard data-driven surrogate modeling methods and demonstrate that our approach is significantly more data-efficient while producing simple surrogate models with high decision prediction accuracy.
AI-Based Energy Transportation Safety: Pipeline Radial Threat Estimation Using Intelligent Sensing System
Zhu, Chengyuan, Yang, Yiyuan, Yang, Kaixiang, Zhang, Haifeng, Yang, Qinmin, Chen, C. L. Philip
The application of artificial intelligence technology has greatly enhanced and fortified the safety of energy pipelines, particularly in safeguarding against external threats. The predominant methods involve the integration of intelligent sensors to detect external vibration, enabling the identification of event types and locations, thereby replacing manual detection methods. However, practical implementation has exposed a limitation in current methods - their constrained ability to accurately discern the spatial dimensions of external signals, which complicates the authentication of threat events. Our research endeavors to overcome the above issues by harnessing deep learning techniques to achieve a more fine-grained recognition and localization process. This refinement is crucial in effectively identifying genuine threats to pipelines, thus enhancing the safety of energy transportation. This paper proposes a radial threat estimation method for energy pipelines based on distributed optical fiber sensing technology. Specifically, we introduce a continuous multi-view and multi-domain feature fusion methodology to extract comprehensive signal features and construct a threat estimation and recognition network. The utilization of collected acoustic signal data is optimized, and the underlying principle is elucidated. Moreover, we incorporate the concept of transfer learning through a pre-trained model, enhancing both recognition accuracy and training efficiency. Empirical evidence gathered from real-world scenarios underscores the efficacy of our method, notably in its substantial reduction of false alarms and remarkable gains in recognition accuracy. More generally, our method exhibits versatility and can be extrapolated to a broader spectrum of recognition tasks and scenarios.
GenCast: Diffusion-based ensemble forecasting for medium-range weather
Price, Ilan, Sanchez-Gonzalez, Alvaro, Alet, Ferran, Ewalds, Timo, El-Kadi, Andrew, Stott, Jacklynn, Mohamed, Shakir, Battaglia, Peter, Lam, Remi, Willson, Matthew
Probabilistic weather forecasting is critical for decision-making in high-impact domains such as flood forecasting, energy system planning or transportation routing, where quantifying the uncertainty of a forecast -- including probabilities of extreme events -- is essential to guide important cost-benefit trade-offs and mitigation measures. Traditional probabilistic approaches rely on producing ensembles from physics-based models, which sample from a joint distribution over spatio-temporally coherent weather trajectories, but are expensive to run. An efficient alternative is to use a machine learning (ML) forecast model to generate the ensemble, however state-of-the-art ML forecast models for medium-range weather are largely trained to produce deterministic forecasts which minimise mean-squared-error. Despite improving skills scores, they lack physical consistency, a limitation that grows at longer lead times and impacts their ability to characterize the joint distribution. We introduce GenCast, a ML-based generative model for ensemble weather forecasting, trained from reanalysis data. It forecasts ensembles of trajectories for 84 weather variables, for up to 15 days at 1 degree resolution globally, taking around a minute per ensemble member on a single Cloud TPU v4 device. We show that GenCast is more skillful than ENS, a top operational ensemble forecast, for more than 96\% of all 1320 verification targets on CRPS and Ensemble-Mean RMSE, while maintaining good reliability and physically consistent power spectra. Together our results demonstrate that ML-based probabilistic weather forecasting can now outperform traditional ensemble systems at 1 degree, opening new doors to skillful, fast weather forecasts that are useful in key applications.