Energy
Real-Time 2D Temperature Field Prediction in Metal Additive Manufacturing Using Physics-Informed Neural Networks
Sajadi, Pouyan, Dehaghani, Mostafa Rahmani, Tang, Yifan, Wang, G. Gary
Accurately predicting the temperature field in metal additive manufacturing (AM) processes is critical to preventing overheating, adjusting process parameters, and ensuring process stability. While physics-based computational models offer precision, they are often time-consuming and unsuitable for real-time predictions and online control in iterative design scenarios. Conversely, machine learning models rely heavily on high-quality datasets, which can be costly and challenging to obtain within the metal AM domain. Our work addresses this by introducing a physics-informed neural network framework specifically designed for temperature field prediction in metal AM. This framework incorporates a physics-informed input, physics-informed loss function, and a Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) architecture. Utilizing real-time temperature data from the process, our model predicts 2D temperature fields for future timestamps across diverse geometries, deposition patterns, and process parameters. We validate the proposed framework in two scenarios: full-field temperature prediction for a thin wall and 2D temperature field prediction for cylinder and cubic parts, demonstrating errors below 3% and 1%, respectively. Our proposed framework exhibits the flexibility to be applied across diverse scenarios with varying process parameters, geometries, and deposition patterns.
A comprehensive survey of research towards AI-enabled unmanned aerial systems in pre-, active-, and post-wildfire management
Boroujeni, Sayed Pedram Haeri, Razi, Abolfazl, Khoshdel, Sahand, Afghah, Fatemeh, Coen, Janice L., ONeill, Leo, Fule, Peter Z., Watts, Adam, Kokolakis, Nick-Marios T., Vamvoudakis, Kyriakos G.
Wildfires have emerged as one of the most destructive natural disasters worldwide, causing catastrophic losses in both human lives and forest wildlife. Recently, the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in wildfires, propelled by the integration of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) and deep learning models, has created an unprecedented momentum to implement and develop more effective wildfire management. Although some of the existing survey papers have explored various learning-based approaches, a comprehensive review emphasizing the application of AI-enabled UAV systems and their subsequent impact on multi-stage wildfire management is notably lacking. This survey aims to bridge these gaps by offering a systematic review of the recent state-of-the-art technologies, highlighting the advancements of UAV systems and AI models from pre-fire, through the active-fire stage, to post-fire management. To this aim, we provide an extensive analysis of the existing remote sensing systems with a particular focus on the UAV advancements, device specifications, and sensor technologies relevant to wildfire management. We also examine the pre-fire and post-fire management approaches, including fuel monitoring, prevention strategies, as well as evacuation planning, damage assessment, and operation strategies. Additionally, we review and summarize a wide range of computer vision techniques in active-fire management, with an emphasis on Machine Learning (ML), Reinforcement Learning (RL), and Deep Learning (DL) algorithms for wildfire classification, segmentation, detection, and monitoring tasks. Ultimately, we underscore the substantial advancement in wildfire modeling through the integration of cutting-edge AI techniques and UAV-based data, providing novel insights and enhanced predictive capabilities to understand dynamic wildfire behavior.
Towards an Adaptable and Generalizable Optimization Engine in Decision and Control: A Meta Reinforcement Learning Approach
Yang, Sungwook, Pei, Chaoying, Dai, Ran, Sun, Chuangchuang
Sampling-based model predictive control (MPC) has found significant success in optimal control problems with non-smooth system dynamics and cost function. Many machine learning-based works proposed to improve MPC by a) learning or fine-tuning the dynamics/ cost function, or b) learning to optimize for the update of the MPC controllers. For the latter, imitation learning-based optimizers are trained to update the MPC controller by mimicking the expert demonstrations, which, however, are expensive or even unavailable. More significantly, many sequential decision-making problems are in non-stationary environments, requiring that an optimizer should be adaptable and generalizable to update the MPC controller for solving different tasks. To address those issues, we propose to learn an optimizer based on meta-reinforcement learning (RL) to update the controllers. This optimizer does not need expert demonstration and can enable fast adaptation (e.g., few-shots) when it is deployed in unseen control tasks. Experimental results validate the effectiveness of the learned optimizer regarding fast adaptation.
Moving-Horizon Estimators for Hyperbolic and Parabolic PDEs in 1-D
Bhan, Luke, Shi, Yuanyuan, Karafyllis, Iasson, Krstic, Miroslav, Rawlings, James B.
Observers for PDEs are themselves PDEs. Therefore, producing real time estimates with such observers is computationally burdensome. For both finite-dimensional and ODE systems, moving-horizon estimators (MHE) are operators whose output is the state estimate, while their inputs are the initial state estimate at the beginning of the horizon as well as the measured output and input signals over the moving time horizon. In this paper we introduce MHEs for PDEs which remove the need for a numerical solution of an observer PDE in real time. We accomplish this using the PDE backstepping method which, for certain classes of both hyperbolic and parabolic PDEs, produces moving-horizon state estimates explicitly. Precisely, to explicitly produce the state estimates, we employ a backstepping transformation of a hard-to-solve observer PDE into a target observer PDE, which is explicitly solvable. The MHEs we propose are not new observer designs but simply the explicit MHE realizations, over a moving horizon of arbitrary length, of the existing backstepping observers. Our PDE MHEs lack the optimality of the MHEs that arose as duals of MPC, but they are given explicitly, even for PDEs. In the paper we provide explicit formulae for MHEs for both hyperbolic and parabolic PDEs, as well as simulation results that illustrate theoretically guaranteed convergence of the MHEs.
Sensitivity Analysis in the Presence of Intrinsic Stochasticity for Discrete Fracture Network Simulations
Murph, Alexander C., Strait, Justin D., Moran, Kelly R., Hyman, Jeffrey D., Viswanathan, Hari S., Stauffer, Philip H.
Large-scale discrete fracture network (DFN) simulators are standard fare for studies involving the sub-surface transport of particles since direct observation of real world underground fracture networks is generally infeasible. While these simulators have seen numerous successes over several engineering applications, estimations on quantities of interest (QoI) - such as breakthrough time of particles reaching the edge of the system - suffer from a two distinct types of uncertainty. A run of a DFN simulator requires several parameter values to be set that dictate the placement and size of fractures, the density of fractures, and the overall permeability of the system; uncertainty on the proper parameter choices will lead to some amount of uncertainty in the QoI, called epistemic uncertainty. Furthermore, since DFN simulators rely on stochastic processes to place fractures and govern flow, understanding how this randomness affects the QoI requires several runs of the simulator at distinct random seeds. The uncertainty in the QoI attributed to different realizations (i.e. different seeds) of the same random process leads to a second type of uncertainty, called aleatoric uncertainty. In this paper, we perform a Sensitivity Analysis, which directly attributes the uncertainty observed in the QoI to the epistemic uncertainty from each input parameter and to the aleatoric uncertainty. We make several design choices to handle an observed heteroskedasticity in DFN simulators, where the aleatoric uncertainty changes for different inputs, since the quality makes several standard statistical methods inadmissible. Beyond the specific takeaways on which input variables affect uncertainty the most for DFN simulators, a major contribution of this paper is the introduction of a statistically rigorous workflow for characterizing the uncertainty in DFN flow simulations that exhibit heteroskedasticity.
Migrating Birds Optimization-Based Feature Selection for Text Classification
Kaya, Cem, Kilimci, Zeynep Hilal, Uysal, Mitat, Kaya, Murat
This research introduces a novel approach, MBO-NB, that leverages Migrating Birds Optimization (MBO) coupled with Naive Bayes as an internal classifier to address feature selection challenges in text classification having large number of features. Focusing on computational efficiency, we preprocess raw data using the Information Gain algorithm, strategically reducing the feature count from an average of 62221 to 2089. Our experiments demonstrate MBO-NB's superior effectiveness in feature reduction compared to other existing techniques, emphasizing an increased classification accuracy. The successful integration of Naive Bayes within MBO presents a well-rounded solution. In individual comparisons with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), MBO-NB consistently outperforms by an average of 6.9% across four setups. This research offers valuable insights into enhancing feature selection methods, providing a scalable and effective solution for text classification
Characterizing Satellite Geometry via Accelerated 3D Gaussian Splatting
Nguyen, Van Minh, Sandidge, Emma, Mahendrakar, Trupti, White, Ryan T.
The accelerating deployment of spacecraft in orbit have generated interest in on-orbit servicing (OOS), inspection of spacecraft, and active debris removal (ADR). Such missions require precise rendezvous and proximity operations in the vicinity of non-cooperative, possible unknown, resident space objects. Safety concerns with manned missions and lag times with ground-based control necessitate complete autonomy. This requires robust characterization of the target's geometry. In this article, we present an approach for mapping geometries of satellites on orbit based on 3D Gaussian Splatting that can run on computing resources available on current spaceflight hardware. We demonstrate model training and 3D rendering performance on a hardware-in-the-loop satellite mock-up under several realistic lighting and motion conditions. Our model is shown to be capable of training on-board and rendering higher quality novel views of an unknown satellite nearly 2 orders of magnitude faster than previous NeRF-based algorithms. Such on-board capabilities are critical to enable downstream machine intelligence tasks necessary for autonomous guidance, navigation, and control tasks.
Long-term Fairness For Real-time Decision Making: A Constrained Online Optimization Approach
Du, Ruijie, Muthirayan, Deepan, Khargonekar, Pramod P., Shen, Yanning
Machine learning (ML) has demonstrated remarkable capabilities across many real-world systems, from predictive modeling to intelligent automation. However, the widespread integration of machine learning also makes it necessary to ensure machine learning-driven decision-making systems do not violate ethical principles and values of society in which they operate. As ML-driven decisions proliferate, particularly in cases involving sensitive attributes such as gender, race, and age, to name a few, the need for equity and impartiality has emerged as a fundamental concern. In situations demanding real-time decision-making, fairness objectives become more nuanced and complex: instantaneous fairness to ensure equity in every time slot, and long-term fairness to ensure fairness over a period of time. There is a growing awareness that real-world systems that operate over long periods and require fairness over different timelines. However, existing approaches mainly address dynamic costs with time-invariant fairness constraints, often disregarding the challenges posed by time-varying fairness constraints. To bridge this gap, this work introduces a framework for ensuring long-term fairness within dynamic decision-making systems characterized by time-varying fairness constraints. We formulate the decision problem with fairness constraints over a period as a constrained online optimization problem. A novel online algorithm, named LoTFair, is presented that solves the problem 'on the fly'. We prove that LoTFair can make overall fairness violations negligible while maintaining the performance over the long run.
Quantitative Technology Forecasting: a Review of Trend Extrapolation Methods
Tsai, Peng-Hung, Berleant, Daniel, Segall, Richard S., Aboudja, Hyacinthe, Batthula, Venkata Jaipal R., Duggirala, Sheela, Howell, Michael
Quantitative technology forecasting uses quantitative methods to understand and project technological changes. It is a broad field encompassing many different techniques and has been applied to a vast range of technologies. A widely used approach in this field is trend extrapolation. Based on the publications available to us, there has been little or no attempt made to systematically review the empirical evidence on quantitative trend extrapolation techniques. This study attempts to close this gap by conducting a systematic review of technology forecasting literature addressing the application of quantitative trend extrapolation techniques. We identified 25 studies relevant to the objective of this research and classified the techniques used in the studies into different categories, among which growth curves and time series methods were shown to remain popular over the past decade, while newer methods, such as machine learning-based hybrid models, have emerged in recent years. As more effort and evidence are needed to determine if hybrid models are superior to traditional methods, we expect to see a growing trend in the development and application of hybrid models to technology forecasting.
AERIAL-CORE: AI-Powered Aerial Robots for Inspection and Maintenance of Electrical Power Infrastructures
Ollero, Anibal, Suarez, Alejandro, Papaioannidis, Christos, Pitas, Ioannis, Marredo, Juan M., Duong, Viet, Ebeid, Emad, Kratky, Vit, Saska, Martin, Hanoune, Chloe, Afifi, Amr, Franchi, Antonio, Vourtsis, Charalampos, Floreano, Dario, Vasiljevic, Goran, Bogdan, Stjepan, Caballero, Alvaro, Ruggiero, Fabio, Lippiello, Vincenzo, Matilla, Carlos, Cioffi, Giovanni, Scaramuzza, Davide, Martinez-de-Dios, Jose R., Arrue, Begona C., Martin, Carlos, Zurad, Krzysztof, Gaitan, Carlos, Rodriguez, Jacob, Munoz, Antonio, Viguria, Antidio
Large-scale infrastructures are prone to deterioration due to age, environmental influences, and heavy usage. Ensuring their safety through regular inspections and maintenance is crucial to prevent incidents that can significantly affect public safety and the environment. This is especially pertinent in the context of electrical power networks, which, while essential for energy provision, can also be sources of forest fires. Intelligent drones have the potential to revolutionize inspection and maintenance, eliminating the risks for human operators, increasing productivity, reducing inspection time, and improving data collection quality. However, most of the current methods and technologies in aerial robotics have been trialed primarily in indoor testbeds or outdoor settings under strictly controlled conditions, always within the line of sight of human operators. Additionally, these methods and technologies have typically been evaluated in isolation, lacking comprehensive integration. This paper introduces the first autonomous system that combines various innovative aerial robots. This system is designed for extended-range inspections beyond the visual line of sight, features aerial manipulators for maintenance tasks, and includes support mechanisms for human operators working at elevated heights. The paper further discusses the successful validation of this system on numerous electrical power lines, with aerial robots executing flights over 10 kilometers away from their ground control stations.