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PDETime: Rethinking Long-Term Multivariate Time Series Forecasting from the perspective of partial differential equations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the development of various models for long-term multivariate time-series forecasting (LMTF), many of which have shown promising results. Generally, the focus has been on historical-value-based models, which rely on past observations to predict future series. Notably, a new trend has emerged with time-index-based models, offering a more nuanced understanding of the continuous dynamics underlying time series. Unlike these two types of models that aggregate the information of spatial domains or temporal domains, in this paper, we consider multivariate time series as spatiotemporal data regularly sampled from a continuous dynamical system, which can be represented by partial differential equations (PDEs), with the spatial domain being fixed. Building on this perspective, we present PDETime, a novel LMTF model inspired by the principles of Neural PDE solvers, following the encoding-integration-decoding operations. Our extensive experimentation across seven diverse real-world LMTF datasets reveals that PDETime not only adapts effectively to the intrinsic spatiotemporal nature of the data but also sets new benchmarks, achieving state-of-the-art results


HSONet:A Siamese foreground association-driven hard case sample optimization network for high-resolution remote sensing image change detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the later training stages, further improvement of the models ability to determine changes relies on how well the change detection (CD) model learns hard cases; however, there are two additional challenges to learning hard case samples: (1) change labels are limited and tend to pointer only to foreground targets, yet hard case samples are prevalent in the background, which leads to optimizing the loss function focusing on the foreground targets and ignoring the background hard cases, which we call imbalance. (2) Complex situations, such as light shadows, target occlusion, and seasonal changes, induce hard case samples, and in the absence of both supervisory and scene information, it is difficult for the model to learn hard case samples directly to accurately obtain the feature representations of the change information, which we call missingness. We propose a Siamese foreground association-driven hard case sample optimization network (HSONet). To deal with this imbalance, we propose an equilibrium optimization loss function to regulate the optimization focus of the foreground and background, determine the hard case samples through the distribution of the loss values, and introduce dynamic weights in the loss term to gradually shift the optimization focus of the loss from the foreground to the background hard cases as the training progresses. To address this missingness, we understand hard case samples with the help of the scene context, propose the scene-foreground association module, use potential remote sensing spatial scene information to model the association between the target of interest in the foreground and the related context to obtain scene embedding, and apply this information to the feature reinforcement of hard cases. Experiments on four public datasets show that HSONet outperforms current state-of-the-art CD methods, particularly in detecting hard case samples.


Selective Task offloading for Maximum Inference Accuracy and Energy efficient Real-Time IoT Sensing Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The recent advancements in small-size inference models facilitated AI deployment on the edge. However, the limited resource nature of edge devices poses new challenges especially for real-time applications. Deploying multiple inference models (or a single tunable model) varying in size and therefore accuracy and power consumption, in addition to an edge server inference model, can offer a dynamic system in which the allocation of inference models to inference jobs is performed according to the current resource conditions. Therefore, in this work, we tackle the problem of selectively allocating inference models to jobs or offloading them to the edge server to maximize inference accuracy under time and energy constraints. This problem is shown to be an instance of the unbounded multidimensional knapsack problem which is considered a strongly NP-hard problem. We propose a lightweight hybrid genetic algorithm (LGSTO) to solve this problem. We introduce a termination condition and neighborhood exploration techniques for faster evolution of populations. We compare LGSTO with the Naive and Dynamic programming solutions. In addition to classic genetic algorithms using different reproduction methods including NSGA-II, and finally we compare to other evolutionary methods such as Particle swarm optimization (PSO) and Ant colony optimization (ACO). Experiment results show that LGSTO performed 3 times faster than the fastest comparable schemes while producing schedules with higher average accuracy.


Sustainable Supercomputing for AI: GPU Power Capping at HPC Scale

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As research and deployment of AI grows, the computational burden to support and sustain its progress inevitably does too. To train or fine-tune state-of-the-art models in NLP, computer vision, etc., some form of AI hardware acceleration is virtually a requirement. Recent large language models require considerable resources to train and deploy, resulting in significant energy usage, potential carbon emissions, and massive demand for GPUs and other hardware accelerators. However, this surge carries large implications for energy sustainability at the HPC/datacenter level. In this paper, we study the aggregate effect of power-capping GPUs on GPU temperature and power draw at a research supercomputing center. With the right amount of power-capping, we show significant decreases in both temperature and power draw, reducing power consumption and potentially improving hardware life-span with minimal impact on job performance. While power-capping reduces power draw by design, the aggregate system-wide effect on overall energy consumption is less clear; for instance, if users notice job performance degradation from GPU power-caps, they may request additional GPU-jobs to compensate, negating any energy savings or even worsening energy consumption. To our knowledge, our work is the first to conduct and make available a detailed analysis of the effects of GPU power-capping at the supercomputing scale. We hope our work will inspire HPCs/datacenters to further explore, evaluate, and communicate the impact of power-capping AI hardware accelerators for more sustainable AI.


Hierarchical energy signatures using machine learning for operational visibility and diagnostics in automotive manufacturing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Manufacturing energy consumption data contains important process signatures required for operational visibility and diagnostics. These signatures may be of different temporal scales, ranging from monthly to sub-second resolutions. We introduce a hierarchical machine learning approach to identify automotive process signatures from paint shop electricity consumption data at varying temporal scales (weekly and daily). A Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) combined with Logistic Regression (LR) are used for the analysis. We validate the utility of the developed algorithms with subject matter experts for (i) better operational visibility, and (ii) identifying energy saving opportunities.


Enhanced User Interaction in Operating Systems through Machine Learning Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the large language model showing human-like logical reasoning and understanding ability, whether agents based on the large language model can simulate the interaction behavior of real users, so as to build a reliable virtual recommendation A/B test scene to help the application of recommendation research is an urgent, important and economic value problem. The combination of interaction design and machine learning can provide a more efficient and personalized user experience for products and services. This personalized service can meet the specific needs of users and improve user satisfaction and loyalty. Second, the interactive system can understand the user's views and needs for the product by providing a good user interface and interactive experience, and then use machine learning algorithms to improve and optimize the product. This iterative optimization process can continuously improve the quality and performance of the product to meet the changing needs of users. At the same time, designers need to consider how these algorithms and tools can be combined with interactive systems to provide a good user experience. This paper explores the potential applications of large language models, machine learning and interaction design for user interaction in recommendation systems and operating systems. By integrating these technologies, more intelligent and personalized services can be provided to meet user needs and promote continuous improvement and optimization of products. This is of great value for both recommendation research and user experience applications.


Data-Efficient Operator Learning via Unsupervised Pretraining and In-Context Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recent years have witnessed the promise of coupling machine learning methods and physical domain-specific insight for solving scientific problems based on partial differential equations (PDEs). However, being data-intensive, these methods still require a large amount of PDE data. This reintroduces the need for expensive numerical PDE solutions, partially undermining the original goal of avoiding these expensive simulations. In this work, seeking data efficiency, we design unsupervised pretraining and in-context learning methods for PDE operator learning. To reduce the need for training data with simulated solutions, we pretrain neural operators on unlabeled PDE data using reconstruction-based proxy tasks. To improve out-of-distribution performance, we further assist neural operators in flexibly leveraging in-context learning methods, without incurring extra training costs or designs. Extensive empirical evaluations on a diverse set of PDEs demonstrate that our method is highly data-efficient, more generalizable, and even outperforms conventional vision-pretrained models.


Classification of compact radio sources in the Galactic plane with supervised machine learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Generation of science-ready data from processed data products is one of the major challenges in next-generation radio continuum surveys with the Square Kilometre Array (SKA) and its precursors, due to the expected data volume and the need to achieve a high degree of automated processing. Source extraction, characterization, and classification are the major stages involved in this process. In this work we focus on the classification of compact radio sources in the Galactic plane using both radio and infrared images as inputs. To this aim, we produced a curated dataset of ~20,000 images of compact sources of different astronomical classes, obtained from past radio and infrared surveys, and novel radio data from pilot surveys carried out with the Australian SKA Pathfinder (ASKAP). Radio spectral index information was also obtained for a subset of the data. We then trained two different classifiers on the produced dataset. The first model uses gradient-boosted decision trees and is trained on a set of pre-computed features derived from the data, which include radio-infrared colour indices and the radio spectral index. The second model is trained directly on multi-channel images, employing convolutional neural networks. Using a completely supervised procedure, we obtained a high classification accuracy (F1-score>90%) for separating Galactic objects from the extragalactic background. Individual class discrimination performances, ranging from 60% to 75%, increased by 10% when adding far-infrared and spectral index information, with extragalactic objects, PNe and HII regions identified with higher accuracies. The implemented tools and trained models were publicly released, and made available to the radioastronomical community for future application on new radio data.


Parameter-Free Algorithms for Performative Regret Minimization under Decision-Dependent Distributions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider the general case where the per-formative risk can be non-convex, for which we develop efficient parameter-free optimistic optimization-based methods. Our algorithms significantly improve upon the existing Lips-chitz bandit-based method in many aspects. In particular, our framework does not require knowledge about the sensitivity parameter of the distribution map and the Lipshitz constant of the loss function. This makes our framework practically favorable, together with the efficient optimistic optimization-based tree-search mechanism. We provide experimental results that demonstrate the numerical superiority of our algorithms over the existing method and other black-box optimistic optimization methods.


A mathematical model for simultaneous personnel shift planning and unrelated parallel machine scheduling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper addresses a production scheduling problem derived from an industrial use case, focusing on unrelated parallel machine scheduling with the personnel availability constraint. The proposed model optimizes the production plan over a multi-period scheduling horizon, accommodating variations in personnel shift hours within each time period. It assumes shared personnel among machines, with one personnel required per machine for setup and supervision during job processing. Available personnel are fewer than the machines, thus limiting the number of machines that can operate in parallel. The model aims to minimize the total production time considering machine-dependent processing times and sequence-dependent setup times. The model handles practical scenarios like machine eligibility constraints and production time windows. A Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model is introduced to formulate the problem, taking into account both continuous and district variables. A two-step solution approach enhances computational speed, first maximizing accepted jobs and then minimizing production time. Validation with synthetic problem instances and a real industrial case study of a food processing plant demonstrates the performance of the model and its usefulness in personnel shift planning. The findings offer valuable insights for practical managerial decision-making in the context of production scheduling.