Energy
Thermal Crosstalk Modelling and Compensation Methods for Programmable Photonic Integrated Circuits
Teofilovic, Isidora, Cem, Ali, Sanchez-Jacome, David, Perez-Lopez, Daniel, Da Ros, Francesco
Photonic integrated circuits play an important role in the field of optical computing, promising faster and more energy-efficient operations compared to their digital counterparts. This advantage stems from the inherent suitability of optical signals to carry out matrix multiplication. However, even deterministic phenomena such as thermal crosstalk make precise programming of photonic chips a challenging task. Here, we train and experimentally evaluate three models incorporating varying degrees of physics intuition to predict the effect of thermal crosstalk in different locations of an integrated programmable photonic mesh. We quantify the effect of thermal crosstalk by the resonance wavelength shift in the power spectrum of a microring resonator implemented in the chip, achieving modelling errors <0.5 pm. We experimentally validate the models through compensation of the crosstalk-induced wavelength shift. Finally, we evaluate the generalization capabilities of one of the models by employing it to predict and compensate for the effect of thermal crosstalk for parts of the chip it was not trained on, revealing root-mean-square-errors of <2.0 pm.
AI Robots and Humanoid AI: Review, Perspectives and Directions
In the approximately century-long journey of robotics, humanoid robots made their debut around six decades ago. The rapid advancements in generative AI, large language models (LLMs), and large multimodal models (LMMs) have reignited interest in humanoids, steering them towards real-time, interactive, and multimodal designs and applications. This resurgence unveils boundless opportunities for AI robotics and novel applications, paving the way for automated, real-time and humane interactions with humanoid advisers, educators, medical professionals, caregivers, and receptionists. However, while current humanoid robots boast human-like appearances, they have yet to embody true humaneness, remaining distant from achieving human-like intelligence. In our comprehensive review, we delve into the intricate landscape of AI robotics and AI humanoid robots in particular, exploring the challenges, perspectives and directions in transitioning from human-looking to humane humanoids and fostering human-like robotics. This endeavour synergizes the advancements in LLMs, LMMs, generative AI, and human-level AI with humanoid robotics, omniverse, and decentralized AI, ushering in the era of AI humanoids and humanoid AI.
Tighter Confidence Bounds for Sequential Kernel Regression
Confidence bounds are an essential tool for rigorously quantifying the uncertainty of predictions. In this capacity, they can inform the exploration-exploitation trade-off and form a core component in many sequential learning and decision-making algorithms. Tighter confidence bounds give rise to algorithms with better empirical performance and better performance guarantees. In this work, we use martingale tail bounds and finite-dimensional reformulations of infinite-dimensional convex programs to establish new confidence bounds for sequential kernel regression. We prove that our new confidence bounds are always tighter than existing ones in this setting. We apply our confidence bounds to the kernel bandit problem, where future actions depend on the previous history. When our confidence bounds replace existing ones, the KernelUCB (GP-UCB) algorithm has better empirical performance, a matching worst-case performance guarantee and comparable computational cost. Our new confidence bounds can be used as a generic tool to design improved algorithms for other kernelised learning and decision-making problems.
Modal Analysis of Spatiotemporal Data via Multivariate Gaussian Process Regression
Modal analysis has become an essential tool to understand the coherent structure of complex flows. The classical modal analysis methods, such as dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) and spectral proper orthogonal decomposition (SPOD), rely on a sufficient amount of data that is regularly sampled in time. However, often one needs to deal with sparse temporally irregular data, e.g., due to experimental measurements and simulation algorithm. To overcome the limitations of data scarcity and irregular sampling, we propose a novel modal analysis technique using multi-variate Gaussian process regression (MVGPR). We first establish the connection between MVGPR and the existing modal analysis techniques, DMD and SPOD, from a linear system identification perspective. Next, leveraging this connection, we develop a MVGPR-based modal analysis technique that addresses the aforementioned limitations. The capability of MVGPR is endowed by its judiciously designed kernel structure for correlation function, that is derived from the assumed linear dynamics. Subsequently, the proposed MVGPR method is benchmarked against DMD and SPOD on a range of examples, from academic and synthesized data to unsteady airfoil aerodynamics. The results demonstrate MVGPR as a promising alternative to classical modal analysis methods, especially in the scenario of scarce and temporally irregular data.
Short-Term Solar Irradiance Forecasting Under Data Transmission Constraints
Hammond, Joshua Edward, Orozco, Ricardo A. Lara, Baldea, Michael, Korgel, Brian A.
We report a data-parsimonious machine learning model for short-term forecasting of solar irradiance. The model inputs include sky camera images that are reduced to scalar features to meet data transmission constraints. The output irradiance values are transformed to focus on unknown short-term dynamics. Inspired by control theory, a noise input is used to reflect unmeasured variables and is shown to improve model predictions, often considerably. Five years of data from the NREL Solar Radiation Research Laboratory were used to create three rolling train-validate sets and determine the best representations for time, the optimal span of input measurements, and the most impactful model input data (features). For the chosen test data, the model achieves a mean absolute error of 74.34 $W/m^2$ compared to a baseline 134.35 $W/m^2$ using the persistence of cloudiness model.
Toward Sustainable GenAI using Generation Directives for Carbon-Friendly Large Language Model Inference
Li, Baolin, Jiang, Yankai, Gadepally, Vijay, Tiwari, Devesh
The rapid advancement of Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) across diverse sectors raises significant environmental concerns, notably the carbon emissions from their cloud and high performance computing (HPC) infrastructure. This paper presents Sprout, an innovative framework designed to address these concerns by reducing the carbon footprint of generative Large Language Model (LLM) inference services. Sprout leverages the innovative concept of "generation directives" to guide the autoregressive generation process, thereby enhancing carbon efficiency. Our proposed method meticulously balances the need for ecological sustainability with the demand for high-quality generation outcomes. Employing a directive optimizer for the strategic assignment of generation directives to user prompts and an original offline quality evaluator, Sprout demonstrates a significant reduction in carbon emissions by over 40% in real-world evaluations using the Llama2 LLM and global electricity grid data. This research marks a critical step toward aligning AI technology with sustainable practices, highlighting the potential for mitigating environmental impacts in the rapidly expanding domain of generative artificial intelligence.
Supporting Energy Policy Research with Large Language Models
Buster, Grant, Pinchuk, Pavlo, Barrons, Jacob, McKeever, Ryan, Levine, Aaron, Lopez, Anthony
The recent growth in renewable energy development in the United States has been accompanied by a simultaneous surge in renewable energy siting ordinances. These zoning laws play a critical role in dictating the placement of wind and solar resources that are critical for achieving low-carbon energy futures. In this context, efficient access to and management of siting ordinance data becomes imperative. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) recently introduced a public wind and solar siting database to fill this need. This paper presents a method for harnessing Large Language Models (LLMs) to automate the extraction of these siting ordinances from legal documents, enabling this database to maintain accurate up-to-date information in the rapidly changing energy policy landscape. A novel contribution of this research is the integration of a decision tree framework with LLMs. Our results show that this approach is 85 to 90% accurate with outputs that can be used directly in downstream quantitative modeling. We discuss opportunities to use this work to support similar large-scale policy research in the energy sector. By unlocking new efficiencies in the extraction and analysis of legal documents using LLMs, this study enables a path forward for automated large-scale energy policy research.
Evaluation of GlassNet for physics-informed machine learning of glass stability and glass-forming ability
Allec, Sarah I., Lu, Xiaonan, Cassar, Daniel R., Nguyen, Xuan T., Hegde, Vinay I., Mahadevan, Thiruvillamalai, Peterson, Miroslava, Du, Jincheng, Riley, Brian J., Vienna, John D., Saal, James E.
Glasses form the basis of many modern applications and also hold great potential for future medical and environmental applications. However, their structural complexity and large composition space make design and optimization challenging for certain applications. Of particular importance for glass processing is an estimate of a given composition's glass-forming ability (GFA). However, there remain many open questions regarding the physical mechanisms of glass formation, especially in oxide glasses. It is apparent that a proxy for GFA would be highly useful in glass processing and design, but identifying such a surrogate property has proven itself to be difficult. Here, we explore the application of an open-source pre-trained NN model, GlassNet, that can predict the characteristic temperatures necessary to compute glass stability (GS) and assess the feasibility of using these physics-informed ML (PIML)-predicted GS parameters to estimate GFA. In doing so, we track the uncertainties at each step of the computation - from the original ML prediction errors, to the compounding of errors during GS estimation, and finally to the final estimation of GFA. While GlassNet exhibits reasonable accuracy on all individual properties, we observe a large compounding of error in the combination of these individual predictions for the prediction of GS, finding that random forest models offer similar accuracy to GlassNet. We also breakdown the ML performance on different glass families and find that the error in GS prediction is correlated with the error in crystallization peak temperature prediction. Lastly, we utilize this finding to assess the relationship between top-performing GS parameters and GFA for two ternary glass systems: sodium borosilicate and sodium iron phosphate glasses. We conclude that to obtain true ML predictive capability of GFA, significantly more data needs to be collected.
Neural Differential Algebraic Equations
Koch, James, Shapiro, Madelyn, Sharma, Himanshu, Vrabie, Draguna, Drgona, Jan
Differential-Algebraic Equations (DAEs) describe the temporal evolution of systems that obey both differential and algebraic constraints. Of particular interest are systems that contain implicit relationships between their components, such as conservation relationships. Here, we present Neural Differential-Algebraic Equations (NDAEs) suitable for data-driven modeling of DAEs. This methodology is built upon the concept of the Universal Differential Equation; that is, a model constructed as a system of Neural Ordinary Differential Equations informed by theory from particular science domains. In this work, we show that the proposed NDAEs abstraction is suitable for relevant system-theoretic data-driven modeling tasks. Presented examples include (i) the inverse problem of tank-manifold dynamics and (ii) discrepancy modeling of a network of pumps, tanks, and pipes. Our experiments demonstrate the proposed method's robustness to noise and extrapolation ability to (i) learn the behaviors of the system components and their interaction physics and (ii) disambiguate between data trends and mechanistic relationships contained in the system.
A conditional latent autoregressive recurrent model for generation and forecasting of beam dynamics in particle accelerators
Rautela, Mahindra, Williams, Alan, Scheinker, Alexander
Particle accelerators are complex systems that focus, guide, and accelerate intense charged particle beams to high energy. Beam diagnostics present a challenging problem due to limited non-destructive measurements, computationally demanding simulations, and inherent uncertainties in the system. We propose a two-step unsupervised deep learning framework named as Conditional Latent Autoregressive Recurrent Model (CLARM) for learning the spatiotemporal dynamics of charged particles in accelerators. CLARM consists of a Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE) transforming six-dimensional phase space into a lower-dimensional latent distribution and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network capturing temporal dynamics in an autoregressive manner. The CLARM can generate projections at various accelerator modules by sampling and decoding the latent space representation. The model also forecasts future states (downstream locations) of charged particles from past states (upstream locations). The results demonstrate that the generative and forecasting ability of the proposed approach is promising when tested against a variety of evaluation metrics.