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Disturbance Observer for Estimating Coupled Disturbances

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

High-precision control for nonlinear systems is impeded by the low-fidelity dynamical model and external disturbance. Especially, the intricate coupling between internal uncertainty and external disturbance is usually difficult to be modeled explicitly. Here we show an effective and convergent algorithm enabling accurate estimation of the coupled disturbance via combining control and learning philosophies. Specifically, by resorting to Chebyshev series expansion, the coupled disturbance is firstly decomposed into an unknown parameter matrix and two known structures depending on system state and external disturbance respectively. A Regularized Least Squares (RLS) algorithm is subsequently formalized to learn the parameter matrix by using historical time-series data. Finally, a higher-order disturbance observer (HODO) is developed to achieve a high-precision estimation of the coupled disturbance by utilizing the learned portion. The efficiency of the proposed algorithm is evaluated through extensive simulations. We believe this work can offer a new option to merge learning schemes into the control framework for addressing existing intractable control problems.


Deep Reinforcement Learning for Multi-Objective Optimization: Enhancing Wind Turbine Energy Generation while Mitigating Noise Emissions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We develop a torque-pitch control framework using deep reinforcement learning for wind turbines to optimize the generation of wind turbine energy while minimizing operational noise. We employ a double deep Q-learning, coupled to a blade element momentum solver, to enable precise control over wind turbine parameters. In addition to the blade element momentum, we use the wind turbine acoustic model of Brooks Pope and Marcolini. Through training with simple winds, the agent learns optimal control policies that allow efficient control for complex turbulent winds. Our experiments demonstrate that the reinforcement learning is able to find optima at the Pareto front, when maximizing energy while minimizing noise. In addition, the adaptability of the reinforcement learning agent to changing turbulent wind conditions, underscores its efficacy for real-world applications. We validate the methodology using a SWT2.3-93 wind turbine with a rated power of 2.3 MW. We compare the reinforcement learning control to classic controls to show that they are comparable when not taking into account noise emissions. When including a maximum limit of 45 dB to the noise produced (100 meters downwind of the turbine), the extracted yearly energy decreases by 22%. The methodology is flexible and allows for easy tuning of the objectives and constraints through the reward definitions, resulting in a flexible multi-objective optimization framework for wind turbine control. Overall, our findings highlight the potential of RL-based control strategies to improve wind turbine efficiency while mitigating noise pollution, thus advancing sustainable energy generation technologies


Deterministic Trajectory Optimization through Probabilistic Optimal Control

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This article proposes two new algorithms tailored to discrete-time deterministic finite-horizon nonlinear optimal control problems or so-called trajectory optimization problems. Both algorithms are inspired by a novel theoretical paradigm known as probabilistic optimal control, that reformulates optimal control as an equivalent probabilistic inference problem. This perspective allows to address the problem using the Expectation-Maximization algorithm. We show that the application of this algorithm results in a fixed point iteration of probabilistic policies that converge to the deterministic optimal policy. Two strategies for policy evaluation are discussed, using state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification methods resulting into two distinct algorithms. The algorithms are structurally closest related to the differential dynamic programming algorithm and related methods that use sigma-point methods to avoid direct gradient evaluations. The main advantage of our work is an improved balance between exploration and exploitation over the iterations, leading to improved numerical stability and accelerated convergence. These properties are demonstrated on different nonlinear systems.


Model Predictive Path Integral Methods with Reach-Avoid Tasks and Control Barrier Functions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The rapid advancement of robotics necessitates robust tools for developing and testing safe control architectures in dynamic and uncertain environments. Ensuring safety and reliability in robotics, especially in safety-critical applications, is crucial, driving substantial industrial and academic efforts. In this context, we extend CBFkit, a Python/ROS2 toolbox, which now incorporates a planner using reach-avoid specifications as a cost function. This integration with the Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) controllers enables the toolbox to satisfy complex tasks while ensuring formal safety guarantees under various sources of uncertainty using Control Barrier Functions (CBFs). CBFkit is optimized for speed using JAX for automatic differentiation and jaxopt for quadratic program solving. The toolbox supports various robotic applications, including autonomous navigation, human-robot interaction, and multi-robot coordination. The toolbox also offers a comprehensive library of planner, controller, sensor, and estimator implementations. Through a series of examples, we demonstrate the enhanced capabilities of CBFkit in different robotic scenarios.


EnergyDiff: Universal Time-Series Energy Data Generation using Diffusion Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

High-resolution time series data are crucial for operation and planning in energy systems such as electrical power systems and heating systems. However, due to data collection costs and privacy concerns, such data is often unavailable or insufficient for downstream tasks. Data synthesis is a potential solution for this data scarcity. With the recent development of generative AI, we propose EnergyDiff, a universal data generation framework for energy time series data. EnergyDiff builds on state-of-the-art denoising diffusion probabilistic models, utilizing a proposed denoising network dedicated to high-resolution time series data and introducing a novel Marginal Calibration technique. Our extensive experimental results demonstrate that EnergyDiff achieves significant improvement in capturing temporal dependencies and marginal distributions compared to baselines, particularly at the 1-minute resolution. Additionally, EnergyDiff consistently generates high-quality time series data across diverse energy domains, time resolutions, and at both customer and transformer levels with reduced computational need.


Not All Frequencies Are Created Equal:Towards a Dynamic Fusion of Frequencies in Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Long-term time series forecasting is a long-standing challenge in various applications. A central issue in time series forecasting is that methods should expressively capture long-term dependency. Furthermore, time series forecasting methods should be flexible when applied to different scenarios. Although Fourier analysis offers an alternative to effectively capture reusable and periodic patterns to achieve long-term forecasting in different scenarios, existing methods often assume high-frequency components represent noise and should be discarded in time series forecasting. However, we conduct a series of motivation experiments and discover that the role of certain frequencies varies depending on the scenarios. In some scenarios, removing high-frequency components from the original time series can improve the forecasting performance, while in others scenarios, removing them is harmful to forecasting performance. Therefore, it is necessary to treat the frequencies differently according to specific scenarios. To achieve this, we first reformulate the time series forecasting problem as learning a transfer function of each frequency in the Fourier domain. Further, we design Frequency Dynamic Fusion (FreDF), which individually predicts each Fourier component, and dynamically fuses the output of different frequencies. Moreover, we provide a novel insight into the generalization ability of time series forecasting and propose the generalization bound of time series forecasting. Then we prove FreDF has a lower bound, indicating that FreDF has better generalization ability. Extensive experiments conducted on multiple benchmark datasets and ablation studies demonstrate the effectiveness of FreDF.


HPix: Generating Vector Maps from Satellite Images

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Vector maps find widespread utility across diverse domains due to their capacity to not only store but also represent discrete data boundaries such as building footprints, disaster impact analysis, digitization, urban planning, location points, transport links, and more. Although extensive research exists on identifying building footprints and road types from satellite imagery, the generation of vector maps from such imagery remains an area with limited exploration. Furthermore, conventional map generation techniques rely on labor-intensive manual feature extraction or rule-based approaches, which impose inherent limitations. To surmount these limitations, we propose a novel method called HPix, which utilizes modified Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to generate vector tile map from satellite images. HPix incorporates two hierarchical frameworks: one operating at the global level and the other at the local level, resulting in a comprehensive model. Through empirical evaluations, our proposed approach showcases its effectiveness in producing highly accurate and visually captivating vector tile maps derived from satellite images. We further extend our study's application to include mapping of road intersections and building footprints cluster based on their area.


The 289 Best Prime Day Deals and Biggest Discounts On Our Favorite Gadgets

WIRED

WIRED's coverage of the best Amazon Prime Day deals and biggest discounts is, as they say, built different. For starters, we only include products someone from our team has personally tested and reviewed. That means you will not find flimsy fad gadgets or shoddy dupes among our recommendations. What remains is all solid stuff. You'll often find a link to a longer write-up to a review or buying guide if you want to make a fully informed buying decision. Additionally, we obsessively track prices to make sure everything on the list is a genuinely good price right now. For more on that, consult our helpful guide to shopping like a pro on Prime Day. Today is the last day of Prime Day, so you might not see some of these deals until Amazon's second Prime Day event in October or Black Friday in November. We test products year-round and handpicked these Prime Day deals. Products that are sold out or no longer discounted will be crossed out. We'll update this guide regularly throughout Prime ...


Balancing Immediate Revenue and Future Off-Policy Evaluation in Coupon Allocation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Coupon allocation drives customer purchases and boosts revenue. However, it presents a fundamental trade-off between exploiting the current optimal policy to maximize immediate revenue and exploring alternative policies to collect data for future policy improvement via off-policy evaluation (OPE). While online A/B testing can validate new policies, it risks compromising short-term revenue. Conversely, relying solely on an exploitative policy hinders the ability to reliably estimate and enhance future policies. To balance this trade-off, we propose a novel approach that combines a model-based revenue maximization policy and a randomized exploration policy for data collection. Our framework enables flexibly adjusting the mixture ratio between these two policies to optimize the balance between short-term revenue and future policy improvement. We formulate the problem of determining the optimal mixture ratio between a model-based revenue maximization policy and a randomized exploration policy for data collection. We empirically verified the effectiveness of the proposed mixed policy using both synthetic and real-world data. Our main contributions are: (1) Demonstrating a mixed policy combining deterministic and probabilistic policies, flexibly adjusting the data collection vs. revenue trade-off. (2) Formulating the optimal mixture ratio problem as multi-objective optimization, enabling quantitative evaluation of this trade-off. By optimizing the mixture ratio, businesses can maximize revenue while ensuring reliable future OPE and policy improvement. This framework is applicable in any context where the exploration-exploitation trade-off is relevant.


Neural Compression of Atmospheric States

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a family of neural network compression methods of simulated atmospheric states, with the aim of reducing the currently immense storage requirements of such data from cloud scale (petabytes) to desktop scale (terabytes). This need for compression has come about over past 50 years, characterized by a steady push to increase the resolution of atmospheric simulations, increasing the size and storage demands of the resulting datasets (e.g., Neumann et al. (2019), Schneider et al. (2023), Stevens et al. (2024)), while atmospheric simulation has come to play an increasingly critical role in scientific, industrial and policy-level pursuits. Higher spatial resolutions unlock the ability of simulators to deliver more accurate predictions and resolve ever more atmospheric phenomena. For example, while current models often operate at 25 - 50 km resolution, resolving storms requires 1 km resolution (Stevens et al., 2020), while resolving the motion of (and radiative effects due to) low clouds require 100 m resolution (Satoh et al., 2019; Schneider et al., 2017). Machine learning models for weather prediction also face opportunities and challenges with higher resolution: while additional granularity may afford better modeling opportunities, even the present size of atmospheric states poses a significant bottleneck for loading training data and serving model outputs (Chantry et al., 2021). To put the data storage problem in perspective, storing 40 years of reanalysis data from the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 dataset (ERA5, Hersbach et al. (2020)) at full spatial and temporal resolution (i.e.