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Elon Musk Is No Climate Hero

WIRED

WIRED has been writing about Elon Musk--he of the electric cars, space rockets, tunnel-boring machines, implantable brain interfaces, Mars mission, and internet shitposting--for a long time. And yet the most shocking part of his two-hour interview with Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, broadcast live on X earlier this week, may just have been what Musk didn't say. It happened around the 50-minute mark, during a very Trumpian discussion of gas and electricity prices. They were up nationally, Trump said, but "when that comes down and [sic] we're going to drill, baby, drill." And Musk, he of the--I'm going to say it again--electric cars and "saving the world" schtick, didn't pipe up until a full two minutes later, when he suggested that Trump set up a "government efficiency commission" to curb government spending.


Speckle Noise Analysis for Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) Space Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This research tackles the challenge of speckle noise in Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) space data, a prevalent issue that hampers the clarity and utility of SAR images. The study presents a comparative analysis of six distinct speckle noise reduction techniques: Lee Filtering, Frost Filtering, Kuan Filtering, Gaussian Filtering, Median Filtering, and Bilateral Filtering. These methods, selected for their unique approaches to noise reduction and image preservation, were applied to SAR datasets sourced from the Alaska Satellite Facility (ASF). The performance of each technique was evaluated using a comprehensive set of metrics, including Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio (PSNR), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Structural Similarity Index (SSIM), Equivalent Number of Looks (ENL), and Speckle Suppression Index (SSI). The study concludes that both the Lee and Kuan Filters are effective, with the choice of filter depending on the specific application requirements for image quality and noise suppression. This work provides valuable insights into optimizing SAR image processing, with significant implications for remote sensing, environmental monitoring, and geological surveying.


S-RAF: A Simulation-Based Robustness Assessment Framework for Responsible Autonomous Driving

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As artificial intelligence (AI) technology advances, ensuring the robustness and safety of AI-driven systems has become paramount. However, varying perceptions of robustness among AI developers create misaligned evaluation metrics, complicating the assessment and certification of safety-critical and complex AI systems such as autonomous driving (AD) agents. To address this challenge, we introduce Simulation-Based Robustness Assessment Framework (S-RAF) for autonomous driving. S-RAF leverages the CARLA Driving simulator to rigorously assess AD agents across diverse conditions, including faulty sensors, environmental changes, and complex traffic situations. By quantifying robustness and its relationship with other safety-critical factors, such as carbon emissions, S-RAF aids developers and stakeholders in building safe and responsible driving agents, and streamlining safety certification processes. Furthermore, S-RAF offers significant advantages, such as reduced testing costs, and the ability to explore edge cases that may be unsafe to test in the real world. The code for this framework is available here: https://github.com/cognitive-robots/rai-leaderboard


GeoTransformer: Enhancing Urban Forecasting with Geospatial Attention Mechanisms

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent advancements have focused on encoding urban spatial information into high-dimensional spaces, with notable efforts dedicated to integrating sociodemographic data and satellite imagery. These efforts have established foundational models in this field. However, the effective utilization of these spatial representations for urban forecasting applications remains under-explored. To address this gap, we introduce GeoTransformer, a novel structure that synergizes the Transformer architecture with geospatial statistics prior. GeoTransformer employs an innovative geospatial attention mechanism to incorporate extensive urban information and spatial dependencies into a unified predictive model. Specifically, we compute geospatial weighted attention scores between the target region and surrounding regions and leverage the integrated urban information for predictions. Extensive experiments on GDP and ride-share demand prediction tasks demonstrate that GeoTransformer significantly outperforms existing baseline models, showcasing its potential to enhance urban forecasting tasks.


Linking Robustness and Generalization: A k* Distribution Analysis of Concept Clustering in Latent Space for Vision Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Most evaluations of vision models use indirect methods to assess latent space quality. These methods often involve adding extra layers to project the latent space into a new one. This projection makes it difficult to analyze and compare the original latent space. This article uses the k* Distribution, a local neighborhood analysis method, to examine the learned latent space at the level of individual concepts, which can be extended to examine the entire latent space. We introduce skewness-based true and approximate metrics for interpreting individual concepts to assess the overall quality of vision models' latent space. Our findings indicate that current vision models frequently fracture the distributions of individual concepts within the latent space. Nevertheless, as these models improve in generalization across multiple datasets, the degree of fracturing diminishes. A similar trend is observed in robust vision models, where increased robustness correlates with reduced fracturing. Ultimately, this approach enables a direct interpretation and comparison of the latent spaces of different vision models and reveals a relationship between a model's generalizability and robustness. Results show that as a model becomes more general and robust, it tends to learn features that result in better clustering of concepts. Project Website is available online at https://shashankkotyan.github.io/k-Distribution/


See What LLMs Cannot Answer: A Self-Challenge Framework for Uncovering LLM Weaknesses

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The impressive performance of Large Language Models (LLMs) has consistently surpassed numerous human-designed benchmarks, presenting new challenges in assessing the shortcomings of LLMs. Designing tasks and finding LLMs' limitations are becoming increasingly important. In this paper, we investigate the question of whether an LLM can discover its own limitations from the errors it makes. To this end, we propose a Self-Challenge evaluation framework with human-in-the-loop. Starting from seed instances that GPT-4 fails to answer, we prompt GPT-4 to summarize error patterns that can be used to generate new instances and incorporate human feedback on them to refine these patterns for generating more challenging data, iteratively. We end up with 8 diverse patterns, such as text manipulation and questions with assumptions. We then build a benchmark, SC-G4, consisting of 1,835 instances generated by GPT-4 using these patterns, with human-annotated gold responses. The SC-G4 serves as a challenging benchmark that allows for a detailed assessment of LLMs' abilities. Our results show that only 44.96\% of instances in SC-G4 can be answered correctly by GPT-4. Interestingly, our pilot study indicates that these error patterns also challenge other LLMs, such as Claude-3 and Llama-3, and cannot be fully resolved through fine-tuning. Our work takes the first step to demonstrate that LLMs can autonomously identify their inherent flaws and provide insights for future dynamic and automatic evaluation.


A survey on secure decentralized optimization and learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Decentralized optimization has become a standard paradigm for solving large-scale decision-making problems and training large machine learning models without centralizing data. However, this paradigm introduces new privacy and security risks, with malicious agents potentially able to infer private data or impair the model accuracy. Over the past decade, significant advancements have been made in developing secure decentralized optimization and learning frameworks and algorithms. This survey provides a comprehensive tutorial on these advancements. We begin with the fundamentals of decentralized optimization and learning, highlighting centralized aggregation and distributed consensus as key modules exposed to security risks in federated and distributed optimization, respectively. Next, we focus on privacy-preserving algorithms, detailing three cryptographic tools and their integration into decentralized optimization and learning systems. Additionally, we examine resilient algorithms, exploring the design and analysis of resilient aggregation and consensus protocols that support these systems. We conclude the survey by discussing current trends and potential future directions.


The computational power of a human society: a new model of social evolution

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Social evolutionary theory seeks to explain increases in the scale and complexity of human societies, from origins to present. Over the course of the twentieth century, social evolutionary theory largely fell out of favor as a way of investigating human history, just as advances in complex systems science and computer science saw the emergence of powerful new conceptions of complex systems, and in particular new methods of measuring complexity. We propose that these advances in our understanding of complex systems and computer science should be brought to bear on our investigations into human history. To that end, we present a new framework for modeling how human societies co-evolve with their biotic environments, recognizing that both a society and its environment are computers. This leads us to model the dynamics of each of those two systems using the same, new kind of computational machine, which we define here. For simplicity, we construe a society as a set of interacting occupations and technologies. Similarly, under such a model, a biotic environment is a set of interacting distinct ecological and climatic processes. This provides novel ways to characterize social complexity, which we hope will cast new light on the archaeological and historical records. Our framework also provides a natural way to formalize both the energetic (thermodynamic) costs required by a society as it runs, and the ways it can extract thermodynamic resources from the environment in order to pay for those costs -- and perhaps to grow with any left-over resources.


Web Retrieval Agents for Evidence-Based Misinformation Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper develops an agent-based automated fact-checking approach for detecting misinformation. We demonstrate that combining a powerful LLM agent, which does not have access to the internet for searches, with an online web search agent yields better results than when each tool is used independently. Our approach is robust across multiple models, outperforming alternatives and increasing the macro F1 of misinformation detection by as much as 20 percent compared to LLMs without search. We also conduct extensive analyses on the sources our system leverages and their biases, decisions in the construction of the system like the search tool and the knowledge base, the type of evidence needed and its impact on the results, and other parts of the overall process. By combining strong performance with in-depth understanding, we hope to provide building blocks for future search-enabled misinformation mitigation systems.


Federated Sequence-to-Sequence Learning for Load Disaggregation from Unbalanced Low-Resolution Smart Meter Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The importance of Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM) has been increasingly recognized, given that NILM can enhance energy awareness and provide valuable insights for energy program design. Many existing NILM methods often rely on specialized devices to retrieve high-sampling complex signal data and focus on the high consumption appliances, hindering their applicability in real-world applications, especially when smart meters only provide low-resolution active power readings for households. In this paper, we propose a new approach using easily accessible weather data to achieve load disaggregation for a total of 12 appliances, encompassing both high and low consumption, in scenarios with very low sampling rates (hourly). Moreover, We develop a federated learning (FL) model that builds upon a sequence-to-sequence model to fulfil load disaggregation without data sharing. Our experiments demonstrate that the FL framework - L2GD can effectively handle statistical heterogeneity and avoid overfitting problems. By incorporating weather data, our approach significantly improves the performance of NILM.