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A First Course in Machine Learning, Second Edition

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A First Course in Machine Learning by Simon Rogers and Mark Girolami is the best introductory book for ML currently available. It combines rigor and precision with accessibility, starts from a detailed explanation of the basic foundations of Bayesian analysis in the simplest of settings, and goes all the way to the frontiers of the subject such as infinite mixture models, GPs, and MCMC.


To supervise or not to supervise in AI?

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To learn more about opportunities in applied AI, join us at the O'Reilly Artificial Intelligence Conference, September 26-27, 2016 in New York. One of the truisms of modern AI is that the next big step is to move from supervised to unsupervised learning. In the last few years, we've made tremendous progress in supervised learning: photo classification, speech recognition, even playing Go (which represents a partial, but only partial, transition to unsupervised learning). Unsupervised learning is still an unsolved problem. As Yann LeCun says, "We need to solve the unsupervised learning problem before we can even think of getting to true AI."


Probably Overthinking It: Learning to Love Bayesian Statistics

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I did a webcast earlier today about Bayesian statistics. Some time in the next week, the video should be available from O'Reilly. In the meantime, you can see my slides here: And here's a transcript of what I said: Thanks everyone for joining me for this webcast. At the bottom of this slide you can see the URL for my slides, so you can follow along at home. I'm Allen Downey and I'm a professor at Olin College, which is a new engineering college right outside Boston. Our mission is to fix engineering education, and one of the ways I'm working on that is by teaching Bayesian statistics. Bayesian methods have been the victim of a 200 year smear campaign. If you are interested in the history and the people involved, I recommend this book, The Theory That Would Not Die.


Collaborative Learning of Stochastic Bandits over a Social Network

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider a collaborative online learning paradigm, wherein a group of agents connected through a social network are engaged in playing a stochastic multi-armed bandit game. Each time an agent takes an action, the corresponding reward is instantaneously observed by the agent, as well as its neighbours in the social network. We perform a regret analysis of various policies in this collaborative learning setting. A key finding of this paper is that natural extensions of widely-studied single agent learning policies to the network setting need not perform well in terms of regret. In particular, we identify a class of non-altruistic and individually consistent policies, and argue by deriving regret lower bounds that they are liable to suffer a large regret in the networked setting. We also show that the learning performance can be substantially improved if the agents exploit the structure of the network, and develop a simple learning algorithm based on dominating sets of the network. Specifically, we first consider a star network, which is a common motif in hierarchical social networks, and show analytically that the hub agent can be used as an information sink to expedite learning and improve the overall regret. We also derive networkwide regret bounds for the algorithm applied to general networks. We conduct numerical experiments on a variety of networks to corroborate our analytical results.


Organizing for the future

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Platform-based talent markets help put the emphasis in human-capital management back where it belongs--on humans. The best way to organize corporations--it's a perennial debate. But the discussion is becoming more urgent as digital technology begins to penetrate the labor force. Although consumers have largely gone digital, the digitization of jobs, and of the tasks and activities within them, is still in the early stages, according to a recent study by McKinsey Global Institute (MGI). Even companies and industries at the forefront of digital spending and usage have yet to digitize the workforce fully (Exhibit 1).1 1.See McKinsey Global Institute, "Digital America: A tale of the haves and have-mores," December 2015. The stage is set for sweeping change as artificial intelligence, after years of hype and debate, brings workplace automation not just to physically intensive roles and repetitive routines but also to a wide range of other tasks. MGI estimates that roughly up to 45 percent of the activities employees perform can be automated by adapting currently demonstrated technologies.


The Mathematics of Machine Learning R-bloggers

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This post was first published on my Linkedin page and posted here as a contributed post. In the last few months, I have had several people contact me about their enthusiasm for venturing into the world of data science and using Machine Learning (ML) techniques to probe statistical regularities and build impeccable data-driven products. However, I've observed that some actually lack the necessary mathematical intuition and framework to get useful results. This is the main reason I decided to write this blog post. Recently, there has been an upsurge in the availability of many easy-to-use machine and deep learning packages such as scikit-learn, Weka, Tensorflow etc. Machine Learning theory is a field that intersects statistical, probabilistic, computer science and algorithmic aspects arising from learning iteratively from data and finding hidden insights which can be used to build intelligent applications. Despite the immense possibilities of Machine and Deep Learning, a thorough mathematical understanding of many of these techniques is necessary for a good grasp of the inner workings of the algorithms and getting good results.


What it actually takes for schools to 'go digital' - The Hechinger Report

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Soon, the glow of hundreds of screens illuminates each face in every classroom. Inside Skye Templeton's seventh-grade Social Studies class, students are enthralled by online documents and videos about the casualties of World War II. Nearby, in Sara Sharpe's sixth-grade math class, a small group of students works through computer drills covering ratios and percents. And, across the hallway, English and Language Arts teacher Lori Meyer expresses amazement at how much her eighth graders enjoyed doing their final project: a research paper and iMovie on the 1960s. With their MacBooks, students researched topics, wrote their papers, and submitted to their teacher via email. "This is the first time in my 12 years of teaching that students said writing the research paper was their favorite assignment," Meyer said, "and I know it was due to the laptops."


Free Online Data Science Course

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If free books on machine learning aren't enough for you, Open Source Society University has a free online course on Data Science. I wonder how their football team will do this Fall?


Applying Machine Learning Techniques to Classify Musical Instrument Loudspeakers

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Celestion loudspeakers have powered the performances of many noted guitar and bass players, including legends such as Jimi Hendrix. Deciding whether a loudspeaker is good enough for professional musicians is a lengthy and painstaking process. Each speaker has its own unique sound based on a combination of sonic characteristics, such as midrange character and brightness. Evaluating a musical instrument loudspeaker involves subjective judgement about whether it generates a "good" sound. Only engineers with years of experience can reliably make that decision, and then only after repeated listening to a single loudspeaker and comparing the sounds it produces with those produced by a reference speaker.


Global Bigdata Conference

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You can hardly talk to a technology executive or developer today without talking about artificial intelligence, machine learning or bots. While everyone agrees on the importance of machine learning to their company and industry, few companies have adequate expertise to do what they wanted the technology to do. Here are some insights into what we can expect in the coming years around ML and AI. If your company isn't using machine learning to detect anomalies, recommend products or predict churn, you will start doing it soon. Because of the rapid generation of new data, availability of massive amounts of compute power and ease of use of new ML platforms (whether it is from large technology companies like Amazon, Google and Microsoft or from startups like Dato), we expect to see more and more applications that generate real-time predictions and continuously get better over time.