Education
Counterfactual Explanations of Concept Drift
Hinder, Fabian, Hammer, Barbara
The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. While there do exist methods to detect concept drift or to adjust models in the presence of observed drift, the question of explaining drift has hardly been considered so far. This problem is of importance, since it enables an inspection of the most prominent features where drift manifests itself; hence it enables human understanding of the necessity of change and it increases acceptance of life-long learning models. In this paper we present a novel technology, which characterizes concept drift in terms of the characteristic change of spatial features represented by typical examples based on counterfactual explanations. We establish a formal definition of this problem, derive an efficient algorithmic solution based on counterfactual explanations, and demonstrate its usefulness in several examples.
Fair Regression with Wasserstein Barycenters
Chzhen, Evgenii, Denis, Christophe, Hebiri, Mohamed, Oneto, Luca, Pontil, Massimiliano
We study the problem of learning a real-valued function that satisfies the Demographic Parity constraint. It demands the distribution of the predicted output to be independent of the sensitive attribute. We consider the case that the sensitive attribute is available for prediction. We establish a connection between fair regression and optimal transport theory, based on which we derive a close form expression for the optimal fair predictor. Specifically, we show that the distribution of this optimum is the Wasserstein barycenter of the distributions induced by the standard regression function on the sensitive groups. This result offers an intuitive interpretation of the optimal fair prediction and suggests a simple post-processing algorithm to achieve fairness. We establish risk and distribution-free fairness guarantees for this procedure. Numerical experiments indicate that our method is very effective in learning fair models, with a relative increase in error rate that is inferior to the relative gain in fairness.
Learning with AMIGo: Adversarially Motivated Intrinsic Goals
Campero, Andres, Raileanu, Roberta, Küttler, Heinrich, Tenenbaum, Joshua B., Rocktäschel, Tim, Grefenstette, Edward
A key challenge for reinforcement learning (RL) consists of learning in environments with sparse extrinsic rewards. In contrast to current RL methods, humans are able to learn new skills with little or no reward by using various forms of intrinsic motivation. We propose AMIGo, a novel agent incorporating a goal-generating teacher that proposes Adversarially Motivated Intrinsic Goals to train a goal-conditioned "student" policy in the absence of (or alongside) environment reward. Specifically, through a simple but effective "constructively adversarial" objective, the teacher learns to propose increasingly challenging---yet achievable---goals that allow the student to learn general skills for acting in a new environment, independent of the task to be solved. We show that our method generates a natural curriculum of self-proposed goals which ultimately allows the agent to solve challenging procedurally-generated tasks where other forms of intrinsic motivation and state-of-the-art RL methods fail.
Iterative Effect-Size Bias in Ridehailing: Measuring Social Bias in Dynamic Pricing of 100 Million Rides
Pandey, Akshat, Caliskan, Aylin
Algorithmic bias is the systematic preferential or discriminatory treatment of a group of people by an artificial intelligence system. In this work we develop a random-effects based metric for the analysis of social bias in supervised machine learning prediction models where model outputs depend on U.S. locations. We define a methodology for using U.S. Census data to measure social bias on user attributes legally protected against discrimination, such as ethnicity, sex, and religion, also known as protected attributes. We evaluate our method on the Strategic Subject List (SSL) gun-violence prediction dataset, where we have access to both U.S. Census data as well as ground truth protected attributes for 224,235 individuals in Chicago being assessed for participation in future gun-violence incidents. Our results indicate that quantifying social bias using U.S. Census data provides a valid approach to auditing a supervised algorithmic decision-making system. Using our methodology, we then quantify the potential social biases of 100 million ridehailing samples in the city of Chicago. This work is the first large-scale fairness analysis of the dynamic pricing algorithms used by ridehailing applications. An analysis of Chicago ridehailing samples in conjunction with American Community Survey data indicates possible disparate impact due to social bias based on age, house pricing, education, and ethnicity in the dynamic fare pricing models used by ridehailing applications, with effect-sizes of 0.74, 0.70, 0.34, and -0.31 (using Cohen's d) for each demographic respectively. Further, our methodology provides a principled approach to quantifying algorithmic bias on datasets where protected attributes are unavailable, given that U.S. geolocations and algorithmic decisions are provided.
Limits of Transfer Learning
Williams, Jake, Tadesse, Abel, Sam, Tyler, Sun, Huey, Montanez, George D.
Transfer learning involves taking information and insight from one problem domain and applying it to a new problem domain. Although widely used in practice, theory for transfer learning remains less well-developed. To address this, we prove several novel results related to transfer learning, showing the need to carefully select which sets of information to transfer and the need for dependence between transferred information and target problems. Furthermore, we prove how the degree of probabilistic change in an algorithm using transfer learning places an upper bound on the amount of improvement possible. These results build on the algorithmic search framework for machine learning, allowing the results to apply to a wide range of learning problems using transfer.
Online Handbook of Argumentation for AI: Volume 1
OHAAI Collaboration, null, Castagna, Federico, Kampik, Timotheus, Zafarghandi, Atefeh Keshavarzi, Lafages, Mickaël, Mumford, Jack, Rodosthenous, Christos T., Sá, Samy, Sarkadi, Stefan, Singleton, Joseph, Skiba, Kenneth, Xydis, Andreas
This volume contains revised versions of the papers selected for the first volume of the Online Handbook of Argumentation for AI (OHAAI). Previously, formal theories of argument and argument interaction have been proposed and studied, and this has led to the more recent study of computational models of argument. Argumentation, as a field within artificial intelligence (AI), is highly relevant for researchers interested in symbolic representations of knowledge and defeasible reasoning. The purpose of this handbook is to provide an open access and curated anthology for the argumentation research community. OHAAI is designed to serve as a research hub to keep track of the latest and upcoming PhD-driven research on the theory and application of argumentation in all areas related to AI.
Organising a Successful AI Online Conference: Lessons from SoCS 2020
Harabor, Daniel, Vallati, Mauro
The 13th Symposium on Combinatorial Search (SoCS) was held May 26-28, 2020. Originally scheduled to take place in Vienna, Austria, the symposium pivoted toward a fully online technical program in early March. As an in-person event SoCS offers participants a diverse array of scholarly activities including technical talks (long and short), poster sessions, plenary sessions, a community meeting and, new for 2020, a Master Class tutorial program. This paper describes challenges, approaches and opportunities associated with adapting these many different activities to the online setting. We consider issues such as scheduling, dissemination, attendee interaction and community engagement before, during and after the event. We report on the approaches taken by SoCS in each case, we give a post-hoc analysis of their their effectiveness and we discuss how these decisions continue to impact the SoCS community in the days after SoCS 2020.
Multi-view redescription mining using tree-based multi-target prediction models
Mihelčić, Matej, Džeroski, Sašo, Šmuc, Tomislav
The task of redescription mining is concerned with re-describing different subsets of entities contained in a dataset and revealing non-trivial associations between different subsets of attributes, called views. This interesting and challenging task is encountered in different scientific fields, and is addressed by a number of approaches that obtain redescriptions and allow for the exploration and analysis of attribute associations. The main limitation of existing approaches to this task is their inability to use more than two views. Our work alleviates this drawback. We present a memory efficient, extensible multi-view redescription mining framework that can be used to relate multiple, i.e. more than two views, disjoint sets of attributes describing one set of entities. The framework includes: a) the use of random forest of Predictive Clustering trees, with and without random output selection, and random forests of Extra Predictive Clustering trees, b) using Extra Predictive Clustering trees as a main rule generation mechanism in the framework and c) using random view subset projections. We provide multiple performance analyses of the proposed framework and demonstrate its usefulness in increasing the understanding of different machine learning models, which has become a topic of growing importance in machine learning and especially in the field of computer science called explainable data science.
Optimal Rates for Averaged Stochastic Gradient Descent under Neural Tangent Kernel Regime
Nitanda, Atsushi, Suzuki, Taiji
We analyze the convergence of the averaged stochastic gradient descent for over-parameterized two-layer neural networks for regression problems. It was recently found that, under the neural tangent kernel (NTK) regime, where the learning dynamics for overparameterized neural networks can be mostly characterized by that for the associated reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), an NTK plays an important role in revealing the global convergence of gradient-based methods. However, there is still room for a convergence rate analysis in the NTK regime. In this study, we show the global convergence of the averaged stochastic gradient descent and derive the optimal convergence rate by exploiting the complexities of the target function and the RKHS associated with the NTK. Moreover, we show that the target function specified by the NTK of a ReLU network can be learned at the optimal convergence rate through a smooth approximation of ReLU networks under certain conditions.
Bayesian Neural Networks: An Introduction and Survey
Neural Networks (NNs) have provided state-of-the-art results for many challenging machine learning tasks such as detection, regression and classification across the domains of computer vision, speech recognition and natural language processing. Despite their success, they are often implemented in a frequentist scheme, meaning they are unable to reason about uncertainty in their predictions. This article introduces Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and the seminal research regarding their implementation. Different approximate inference methods are compared, and used to highlight where future research can improve on current methods.