Compared to K-12, US institutions of higher education, particularly four-year universities, give students a high amount of elective course choice. This choice comes with unique challenges that can inhibit their learning path, such as the choice to overload on credit hours causing early undergraduate dropout among older students with prior vocational training and completed degrees [22]. Conversely, low enrollment levels have also been found to be associated with worse educational outcomes, potentially due to a lack of financial and academic support [5]. These findings, though seemingly contradictory, suggest that semester workload may play an important role in explaining the complicated story of student success in higher education. However, recent work has found that credit hours is not a suitable proxy for course workload, as it captures only 6% of the variance in student reported course load compared to 36% captured by LMS features [36]. In this paper, we introduce course load analytics (CLA) as a machine learning approach to producing metrics about course workload relevant to student course selection. This work is the first to predict course load at scale, generalizing to over 10,000 courses at a large public institution and going beyond time load considerations by incorporating more holistic measures such as mental effort and psychological stress. Our findings suggest that the discrepancy between anticipated course load (i.e., as calculated by credit hours) and actual course load (i.e., as estimated by CLA) may be a significant factor in program stop-out.

Factorization machines (FMs) are a powerful tool for regression and classification in the context of sparse observations, that has been successfully applied to collaborative filtering, especially when side information over users or items is available. Bayesian formulations of FMs have been proposed to provide confidence intervals over the predictions made by the model, however they usually involve Markov-chain Monte Carlo methods that require many samples to provide accurate predictions, resulting in slow training in the context of large-scale data. In this paper, we propose a variational formulation of factorization machines that allows us to derive a simple objective that can be easily optimized using standard mini-batch stochastic gradient descent, making it amenable to large-scale data. Our algorithm learns an approximate posterior distribution over the user and item parameters, which leads to confidence intervals over the predictions. We show, using several datasets, that it has comparable or better performance than existing methods in terms of prediction accuracy, and provide some applications in active learning strategies, e.g., preference elicitation techniques.

Noise is conventionally viewed as a severe problem in diverse fields, e.g., engineering, learning systems. However, this paper aims to investigate whether the conventional proposition always holds. It begins with the definition of task entropy, which extends from the information entropy and measures the complexity of the task. After introducing the task entropy, the noise can be classified into two kinds, Positive-incentive noise (Pi-noise or $\pi$-noise) and pure noise, according to whether the noise can reduce the complexity of the task. Interestingly, as shown theoretically and empirically, even the simple random noise can be the $\pi$-noise that simplifies the task. $\pi$-noise offers new explanations for some models and provides a new principle for some fields, such as multi-task learning, adversarial training, etc. Moreover, it reminds us to rethink the investigation of noises.

Open-retrieval conversational machine reading comprehension (OCMRC) simulates reallife conversational interaction scenes. Machines are required to make a decision of Yes/No/Inquire or generate a follow-up question when the decision is Inquire based on retrieved rule texts, user scenario, user question, and dialogue history. Recent studies explored the methods to reduce the information gap between decision-making and question generation and thus improve the performance of generation. However, the information gap still exists because these pipeline structures are still limited in decision-making, span extraction, and question rephrasing three stages. Decision-making and generation are reasoning separately, and the entailment reasoning utilized in decision-making is hard to share through all stages. To tackle the above problem, we proposed a novel one-stage endto-end framework, called Entailment Fused-Figure 1: An example in the OCMRC dataset. Given T5 (EFT), to bridge the information gap between the user scenario and user question, machines are decision-making and generation in a required to first retrieve related rule texts in the global understanding manner. The extensive knowledge database, and then make a decision of experimental results demonstrate that our proposed Yes/No/Inquire or generate a follow-up question framework achieves new state-of-the-art when the decision is Inquire based on retrieved rule performance on the OR-ShARC benchmark.

This study evaluated the ability of ChatGPT, a recently developed artificial intelligence (AI) agent, to perform high-level cognitive tasks and produce text that is indistinguishable from human-generated text. This capacity raises concerns about the potential use of ChatGPT as a tool for academic misconduct in online exams. The study found that ChatGPT is capable of exhibiting critical thinking skills and generating highly realistic text with minimal input, making it a potential threat to the integrity of online exams, particularly in tertiary education settings where such exams are becoming more prevalent. Returning to invigilated and oral exams could form part of the solution, while using advanced proctoring techniques and AI-text output detectors may be effective in addressing this issue, they are not likely to be foolproof solutions. Further research is needed to fully understand the implications of large language models like ChatGPT and to devise strategies for combating the risk of cheating using these tools. It is crucial for educators and institutions to be aware of the possibility of ChatGPT being used for cheating and to investigate measures to address it in order to maintain the fairness and validity of online exams for all students.

In contextual linear bandits, the reward function is assumed to be a linear combination of an unknown reward vector and a given embedding of context-arm pairs. In practice, the embedding is often learned at the same time as the reward vector, thus leading to an online representation learning problem. Existing approaches to representation learning in contextual bandits are either very generic (e.g., model-selection techniques or algorithms for learning with arbitrary function classes) or specialized to particular structures (e.g., nested features or representations with certain spectral properties). As a result, the understanding of the cost of representation learning in contextual linear bandit is still limited. In this paper, we take a systematic approach to the problem and provide a comprehensive study through an instance-dependent perspective. We show that representation learning is fundamentally more complex than linear bandits (i.e., learning with a given representation). In particular, learning with a given set of representations is never simpler than learning with the worst realizable representation in the set, while we show cases where it can be arbitrarily harder. We complement this result with an extensive discussion of how it relates to existing literature and we illustrate positive instances where representation learning is as complex as learning with a fixed representation and where sub-logarithmic regret is achievable.

As language models (LMs) scale, they develop many novel behaviors, good and bad, exacerbating the need to evaluate how they behave. Prior work creates evaluations with crowdwork (which is time-consuming and expensive) or existing data sources (which are not always available). Here, we automatically generate evaluations with LMs. We explore approaches with varying amounts of human effort, from instructing LMs to write yes/no questions to making complex Winogender schemas with multiple stages of LM-based generation and filtering. Crowdworkers rate the examples as highly relevant and agree with 90-100% of labels, sometimes more so than corresponding human-written datasets. We generate 154 datasets and discover new cases of inverse scaling where LMs get worse with size. Larger LMs repeat back a dialog user's preferred answer ("sycophancy") and express greater desire to pursue concerning goals like resource acquisition and goal preservation. We also find some of the first examples of inverse scaling in RL from Human Feedback (RLHF), where more RLHF makes LMs worse. For example, RLHF makes LMs express stronger political views (on gun rights and immigration) and a greater desire to avoid shut down. Overall, LM-written evaluations are high-quality and let us quickly discover many novel LM behaviors.

We consider an online estimation problem involving a set of agents. Each agent has access to a (personal) process that generates samples from a real-valued distribution and seeks to estimate its mean. We study the case where some of the distributions have the same mean, and the agents are allowed to actively query information from other agents. The goal is to design an algorithm that enables each agent to improve its mean estimate thanks to communication with other agents. The means as well as the number of distributions with same mean are unknown, which makes the task nontrivial. We introduce a novel collaborative strategy to solve this online personalized mean estimation problem. We analyze its time complexity and introduce variants that enjoy good performance in numerical experiments. We also extend our approach to the setting where clusters of agents with similar means seek to estimate the mean of their cluster.

We propose P4E, an identify-and-localize event detection framework that integrates the best of few-shot prompting and structured prediction. Our framework decomposes event detection into an identification task and a localization task. For the identification task, which we formulate as multi-label classification, we leverage cloze-based prompting to align our objective with the pre-training task of language models, allowing our model to quickly adapt to new event types. We then employ an event type-agnostic sequence labeling model to localize the event trigger conditioned on the identification output. This heterogeneous model design allows P4E to quickly learn new event types without sacrificing the ability to make structured predictions. Our experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed design, and P4E shows superior performance for few-shot event detection on benchmark datasets FewEvent and MAVEN and comparable performance to SOTA for fully-supervised event detection on ACE.

Natural Language Understanding has seen an increasing number of publications in the last few years, especially after robust word embeddings models became prominent, when they proved themselves able to capture and represent semantic relationships from massive amounts of data. Nevertheless, traditional models often fall short in intrinsic issues of linguistics, such as polysemy and homonymy. Any expert system that makes use of natural language in its core, can be affected by a weak semantic representation of text, resulting in inaccurate outcomes based on poor decisions. To mitigate such issues, we propose a novel approach called Most Suitable Sense Annotation (MSSA), that disambiguates and annotates each word by its specific sense, considering the semantic effects of its context. Our approach brings three main contributions to the semantic representation scenario: (i) an unsupervised technique that disambiguates and annotates words by their senses, (ii) a multi-sense embeddings model that can be extended to any traditional word embeddings algorithm, and (iii) a recurrent methodology that allows our models to be re-used and their representations refined. We test our approach on six different benchmarks for the word similarity task, showing that our approach can produce state-of-the-art results and outperforms several more complex state-of-the-art systems.