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Distributionally Robust Causal Inference with Observational Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider the estimation of average treatment effects in observational studies and propose a new framework of robust causal inference with unobserved confounders. Our approach is based on distributionally robust optimization and proceeds in two steps. We first specify the maximal degree to which the distribution of unobserved potential outcomes may deviate from that of observed outcomes. We then derive sharp bounds on the average treatment effects under this assumption. Our framework encompasses the popular marginal sensitivity model as a special case, and we demonstrate how the proposed methodology can address a primary challenge of the marginal sensitivity model that it produces uninformative results when unobserved confounders substantially affect treatment and outcome. Specifically, we develop an alternative sensitivity model, called the distributional sensitivity model, under the assumption that heterogeneity of treatment effect due to unobserved variables is relatively small. Unlike the marginal sensitivity model, the distributional sensitivity model allows for potential lack of overlap and often produces informative bounds even when unobserved variables substantially affect both treatment and outcome. Finally, we show how to extend the distributional sensitivity model to difference-in-differences designs and settings with instrumental variables. Through simulation and empirical studies, we demonstrate the applicability of the proposed methodology.


ChatGPT firm trials $20 monthly subscription fee

BBC News

ChatGPT is known as a language learning model and many other firms are developing them. Google's is called Lamda, and was so convincing that Blake Lemoine, one of the engineers who worked on it, was convinced it was sentient.


Oferta de Empleo machine learning engineering lead en Sevilla Page Personnel

#artificialintelligence

Perfil buscado (Hombre/Mujer) The successful candidate will join the company s Technology Department as a Machine Learning Engineering Lead. In partnership with multiple stakeholders, you will focus on developing and delivering leading edge analytics solutions using Google Cloud and, as a key member of our engineering practice, you will mentor a small team of data scientists and analysts as we grow and drive the data science capability of the team. He/she will assume the following responsibilities: • Define and support the research and analytical process to deliver business insights • Responsible for advanced statistical and machine learning modeling • Develop data driven analytical tools • Machine learning - build models that can be used for asset health and grid operations • Lead a small team of data scientists and data engineers • Machine Learning Engineering Lead International technology company that develops its own product. International technology company that develops its own product.


New AI classifier for indicating AI-written text

#artificialintelligence

We're launching a classifier trained to distinguish between AI-written and human-written text. We've trained a classifier to distinguish between text written by a human and text written by AIs from a variety of providers. While it is impossible to reliably detect all AI-written text, we believe good classifiers can inform mitigations for false claims that AI-generated text was written by a human: for example, running automated misinformation campaigns, using AI tools for academic dishonesty, and positioning an AI chatbot as a human. Our classifier is not fully reliable. In our evaluations on a "challenge set" of English texts, our classifier correctly identifies 26% of AI-written text (true positives) as "likely AI-written," while incorrectly labeling human-written text as AI-written 9% of the time (false positives).


ChatGPT maker OpenAI releases 'not fully reliable' tool to detect AI generated content

The Guardian

OpenAI, the research laboratory behind AI program ChatGPT, has released a tool designed to detect whether text has been written by artificial intelligence, but warns it's not completely reliable – yet. In a blog post on Tuesday, OpenAI linked to a new classifier tool that has been trained to distinguish between text written by a human and that written by a variety of AI, not just ChatGPT. Open AI researchers said that while it was "impossible to reliably detect all AI-written text", good classifiers could pick up signs that text was written by AI. The tool could be useful in cases where AI was used for "academic dishonesty" and when AI chatbots were positioned as humans, they said. But they admited the classifier "is not fully reliable" and only correctly identified 26% of AI-written English texts.


Elixir Chatbot Developer (Remote) at Rising Academies - Warsaw, Masovian Voivodeship, Poland - Remote

#artificialintelligence

Across the developing world, more children than ever are in school – but they are not learning. A recent study estimated that less than 1% of school children in Sub-Saharan Africa attend a school where the teaching meets basic standards of quality. At Rising Academies, we're changing that, and we want your help. We are a growing network of inspiring schools in West Africa. Our mission is to unleash the full potential of every student, equipping them with the knowledge, skills, and character to succeed in further study, work, and day-to-day life.


Weiskittel featured as VIP caller for Maine Public segment about artificial intelligence - UMaine News - University of Maine

#artificialintelligence

Aaron Weiskittel, professor of forest biometrics and modeling at the University of Maine School of Forest Resources, was featured as a VIP caller on a Maine Public segment about how artificial intelligence is being used in Maine, and the potential harms and benefits of AI to society.


Model-Parallel Fourier Neural Operators as Learned Surrogates for Large-Scale Parametric PDEs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fourier neural operators (FNOs) are a recently introduced neural network architecture for learning solution operators of partial differential equations (PDEs), which have been shown to perform significantly better than comparable deep learning approaches. Once trained, FNOs can achieve speed-ups of multiple orders of magnitude over conventional numerical PDE solvers. However, due to the high dimensionality of their input data and network weights, FNOs have so far only been applied to two-dimensional or small three-dimensional problems. To remove this limited problem-size barrier, we propose a model-parallel version of FNOs based on domain-decomposition of both the input data and network weights. We demonstrate that our model-parallel FNO is able to predict time-varying PDE solutions of over 2.6 billion variables on Perlmutter using up to 512 A100 GPUs and show an example of training a distributed FNO on the Azure cloud for simulating multiphase CO$_2$ dynamics in the Earth's subsurface.


Summarization Programs: Interpretable Abstractive Summarization with Neural Modular Trees

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Current abstractive summarization models either suffer from a lack of clear interpretability or provide incomplete rationales by only highlighting parts of the source document. To this end, we propose the Summarization Program (SP), an interpretable modular framework consisting of an (ordered) list of binary trees, each encoding the step-by-step generative process of an abstractive summary sentence from the source document. A Summarization Program contains one root node per summary sentence, and a distinct tree connects each summary sentence (root node) to the document sentences (leaf nodes) from which it is derived, with the connecting nodes containing intermediate generated sentences. Edges represent different modular operations involved in summarization such as sentence fusion, compression, and paraphrasing. We first propose an efficient best-first search method over neural modules, SP-Search that identifies SPs for human summaries by directly optimizing for ROUGE scores. Next, using these programs as automatic supervision, we propose seq2seq models that generate Summarization Programs, which are then executed to obtain final summaries. We demonstrate that SP-Search effectively represents the generative process behind human summaries using modules that are typically faithful to their intended behavior. We also conduct a simulation study to show that Summarization Programs improve the interpretability of summarization models by allowing humans to better simulate model reasoning. Summarization Programs constitute a promising step toward interpretable and modular abstractive summarization, a complex task previously addressed primarily through blackbox end-to-end neural systems. Supporting code available at https://github.com/swarnaHub/SummarizationPrograms


Netizens, Academicians, and Information Professionals' Opinions About AI With Special Reference To ChatGPT

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/libphilprac Subaveerapandiyan A Ph.D. Research Scholar Department of Library and Information Science Yenepoya (Deemed to be University), Mangalore, Karnataka, India Email: subaveerapandiyan@gmail.com ORCiD: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2149-9897 Abstract This study aims to understand the perceptions and opinions of academicians towards ChatGPT-3 by collecting and analyzing social media comments, and a survey was conducted with library and information science professionals. The research uses a content analysis method and finds that while ChatGPT-3 can be a valuable tool for research and writing, it is not 100% accurate and should be cross-checked. The study also finds that while some academicians may not accept ChatGPT-3, most are starting to accept it. The study is beneficial for academicians, content developers, and librarians. Keywords: Conversational Generative Pre-training Transformer (ChatGPT), Artificial Intelligence in Academia, Academic Writing with ChatGPT, Library Services Introduction The OpenAI-developed GPT (Generative Pre-trained Transformer) model has a variation called ChatGPT. The GPT model was initially released in 2018 and trained using the Common Crawl, a sizable dataset of text from the internet. The Transformer design, revealed in a 2017 study by Google researchers, served as the model's foundation. Unsupervised learning was used to train the initial GPT model, which meant that it was trained on a sizable text dataset without any explicit labels or annotations.