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An Integrated Framework for Team Formation and Winner Prediction in the FIRST Robotics Competition: Model, Algorithm, and Analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This research work aims to develop an analytical approach for optimizing team formation and predicting team performance in a competitive environment based on data on the competitors' skills prior to the team formation. There are several approaches in scientific literature to optimize and predict a team's performance. However, most studies employ fine-grained skill statistics of the individual members or constraints such as teams with a set group of members. Currently, no research tackles the highly constrained domain of the FIRST Robotics Competition. This research effort aims to fill this gap by providing an analytical method for optimizing and predicting team performance in a competitive environment while allowing these constraints and only using metrics on previous team performance, not on each individual member's performance. We apply our method to the drafting process of the FIRST Robotics competition, a domain in which the skills change year-over-year, team members change throughout the season, each match only has a superficial set of statistics, and alliance formation is key to competitive success. First, we develop a method that could extrapolate individual members' performance based on overall team performance. An alliance optimization algorithm is developed to optimize team formation and a deep neural network model is trained to predict the winning team, both using highly post-processed real-world data. Our method is able to successfully extract individual members' metrics from overall team statistics, form competitive teams, and predict the winning team with 84.08% accuracy.


Enhancing Essay Scoring with Adversarial Weights Perturbation and Metric-specific AttentionPooling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The objective of this study is to improve automated feedback tools designed for English Language Learners (ELLs) through the utilization of data science techniques encompassing machine learning, natural language processing, and educational data analytics. Automated essay scoring (AES) research has made strides in evaluating written essays, but it often overlooks the specific needs of English Language Learners (ELLs) in language development. This study explores the application of BERT-related techniques to enhance the assessment of ELLs' writing proficiency within AES. To address the specific needs of ELLs, we propose the use of DeBERTa, a state-of-the-art neural language model, for improving automated feedback tools. DeBERTa, pretrained on large text corpora using self-supervised learning, learns universal language representations adaptable to various natural language understanding tasks. The model incorporates several innovative techniques, including adversarial training through Adversarial Weights Perturbation (AWP) and Metric-specific AttentionPooling (6 kinds of AP) for each label in the competition. The primary focus of this research is to investigate the impact of hyperparameters, particularly the adversarial learning rate, on the performance of the model. By fine-tuning the hyperparameter tuning process, including the influence of 6AP and AWP, the resulting models can provide more accurate evaluations of language proficiency and support tailored learning tasks for ELLs. This work has the potential to significantly benefit ELLs by improving their English language proficiency and facilitating their educational journey.


Using Large Language Models to Assess Tutors' Performance in Reacting to Students Making Math Errors

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Research suggests that tutors should adopt a strategic approach when addressing math errors made by low-efficacy students. Rather than drawing direct attention to the error, tutors should guide the students to identify and correct their mistakes on their own. While tutor lessons have introduced this pedagogical skill, human evaluation of tutors applying this strategy is arduous and time-consuming. Large language models (LLMs) show promise in providing real-time assessment to tutors during their actual tutoring sessions, yet little is known regarding their accuracy in this context. In this study, we investigate the capacity of generative AI to evaluate real-life tutors' performance in responding to students making math errors. By analyzing 50 real-life tutoring dialogues, we find both GPT-3.5-Turbo and GPT-4 demonstrate proficiency in assessing the criteria related to reacting to students making errors. However, both models exhibit limitations in recognizing instances where the student made an error. Notably, GPT-4 tends to overidentify instances of students making errors, often attributing student uncertainty or inferring potential errors where human evaluators did not. Future work will focus on enhancing generalizability by assessing a larger dataset of dialogues and evaluating learning transfer. Specifically, we will analyze the performance of tutors in real-life scenarios when responding to students' math errors before and after lesson completion on this crucial tutoring skill.


A Joint-Reasoning based Disease Q&A System

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Medical question answer (QA) assistants respond to lay users' health-related queries by synthesizing information from multiple sources using natural language processing and related techniques. They can serve as vital tools to alleviate issues of misinformation, information overload, and complexity of medical language, thus addressing lay users' information needs while reducing the burden on healthcare professionals. QA systems, the engines of such assistants, have typically used either language models (LMs) or knowledge graphs (KG), though the approaches could be complementary. LM-based QA systems excel at understanding complex questions and providing well-formed answers, but are prone to factual mistakes. KG-based QA systems, which represent facts well, are mostly limited to answering short-answer questions with pre-created templates. While a few studies have jointly used LM and KG approaches for text-based QA, this was done to answer multiple-choice questions. Extant QA systems also have limitations in terms of automation and performance. We address these challenges by designing a novel, automated disease QA system which effectively utilizes both LM and KG techniques through a joint-reasoning approach to answer disease-related questions appropriate for lay users. Our evaluation of the system using a range of quality metrics demonstrates its efficacy over benchmark systems, including the popular ChatGPT.


Examining Forgetting in Continual Pre-training of Aligned Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have exhibited remarkable proficiency across various tasks. Given the potent applications of LLMs in numerous fields, there has been a surge in LLM development. In developing LLMs, a common practice involves continual pre-training on previously fine-tuned models. However, this can lead to catastrophic forgetting. In our work, we investigate the phenomenon of forgetting that occurs during continual pre-training on an existing fine-tuned LLM. We evaluate the impact of continuous pre-training on the fine-tuned LLM across various dimensions, including output format, knowledge, and reliability. Experiment results highlight the non-trivial challenge of addressing catastrophic forgetting during continual pre-training, especially the repetition issue.


Exploring the Frontiers of LLMs in Psychological Applications: A Comprehensive Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper explores the frontiers of large language models (LLMs) in psychology applications. Psychology has undergone several theoretical changes, and the current use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning, particularly LLMs, promises to open up new research directions. We provide a detailed exploration of how LLMs like ChatGPT are transforming psychological research. It discusses the impact of LLMs across various branches of psychology, including cognitive and behavioral, clinical and counseling, educational and developmental, and social and cultural psychology, highlighting their potential to simulate aspects of human cognition and behavior. The paper delves into the capabilities of these models to emulate human-like text generation, offering innovative tools for literature review, hypothesis generation, experimental design, experimental subjects, data analysis, academic writing, and peer review in psychology. While LLMs are essential in advancing research methodologies in psychology, the paper also cautions about their technical and ethical challenges. There are issues like data privacy, the ethical implications of using LLMs in psychological research, and the need for a deeper understanding of these models' limitations. Researchers should responsibly use LLMs in psychological studies, adhering to ethical standards and considering the potential consequences of deploying these technologies in sensitive areas. Overall, the article provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of LLMs in psychology, exploring potential benefits and challenges. It serves as a call to action for researchers to leverage LLMs' advantages responsibly while addressing associated risks.


Continual Learning: Forget-free Winning Subnetworks for Video Representations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Inspired by the Lottery Ticket Hypothesis (LTH), which highlights the existence of efficient subnetworks within larger, dense networks, a high-performing Winning Subnetwork (WSN) in terms of task performance under appropriate sparsity conditions is considered for various continual learning tasks. It leverages pre-existing weights from dense networks to achieve efficient learning in Task Incremental Learning (TIL) scenarios. In Few-Shot Class Incremental Learning (FSCIL), a variation of WSN referred to as the Soft subnetwork (SoftNet) is designed to prevent overfitting when the data samples are scarce. Furthermore, the sparse reuse of WSN weights is considered for Video Incremental Learning (VIL). The use of Fourier Subneural Operator (FSO) within WSN is considered. It enables compact encoding of videos and identifies reusable subnetworks across varying bandwidths. We have integrated FSO into different architectural frameworks for continual learning, including VIL, TIL, and FSCIL. Our comprehensive experiments demonstrate FSO's effectiveness, significantly improving task performance at various convolutional representational levels. Specifically, FSO enhances higher-layer performance in TIL and FSCIL and lower-layer performance in VIL


Long-Term Ad Memorability: Understanding and Generating Memorable Ads

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Marketers spend billions of dollars on advertisements but to what end? At the time of purchase, if customers cannot recognize the brand for which they saw an ad, the money spent on the ad is essentially wasted. Despite its importance in marketing, until now, there has been no study on the memorability of ads in the ML literature. Most studies have been conducted on short-term recall (<5 mins) on specific content types like object and action videos. On the other hand, the advertising industry only cares about long-term memorability, and ads are almost always highly multimodal, depicting a story through its different modalities. With this motivation, we release the first large-scale memorability dataset, LAMDBA, consisting of 1749 participants and 2205 ads covering 276 brands. Running statistical tests over different participant subpopulations and ad types, we find many interesting insights into what makes an ad memorable. For e.g., we find that brands that use commercials with fast-moving scenes are more memorable than those with slower scenes (p=8e-10) and that people who use ad-blockers remember fewer ads than those who don't (p=5e-3). Next, to simulate the memorability of marketing materials for a particular audience, we present a novel model, Henry, trained to leverage real-world knowledge of LLMs and visual knowledge to predict the memorability. We test Henry on all the prominent memorability datasets in literature (both images and videos) and achieve state-of-the-art performance across all of them. Henry shows strong generalization showing better results in 0-shot on unseen datasets. Next, we propose the task of memorable ad generation and release a large-scale ad dataset, UltraLAMBDA, consisting of 4 million ads with their Henry-assigned memorability scores. We show that aligning Henry to generate memorable content improves memorability scores by more than 25%.


Stochastic Graph Bandit Learning with Side-Observations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The bandit framework has garnered significant attention from the online learning community due to its widespread applicability in diverse fields such as recommendation systems, portfolio selection, and clinical trials [21]. Among the significant aspects of sequential decision making within this framework are side observations, which can be feedback from multiple sources [25] or contextual knowledge about the environment [1, 2]. These are typically represented as graph feedback and contextual bandits respectively. The multi-armed bandits framework with feedback graphs has emerged as a mature approach, providing a solid theoretical foundation for incorporating additional feedback into the exploration strategy [4, 7, 3]. The contextual bandit problem is another well-established framework for decisionmaking under uncertainty [20, 11, 1]. Despite the considerable attention given to non-contextual bandits with feedback graphs, the exploration of contextual bandits with feedback graphs has been limited [32, 30, 28].


From Attribution Maps to Human-Understandable Explanations through Concept Relevance Propagation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The field of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) aims to bring transparency to today's powerful but opaque deep learning models. While local XAI methods explain individual predictions in form of attribution maps, thereby identifying where important features occur (but not providing information about what they represent), global explanation techniques visualize what concepts a model has generally learned to encode. Both types of methods thus only provide partial insights and leave the burden of interpreting the model's reasoning to the user. In this work we introduce the Concept Relevance Propagation (CRP) approach, which combines the local and global perspectives and thus allows answering both the "where" and "what" questions for individual predictions. We demonstrate the capability of our method in various settings, showcasing that CRP leads to more human interpretable explanations and provides deep insights into the model's representation and reasoning through concept atlases, concept composition analyses, and quantitative investigations of concept subspaces and their role in fine-grained decision making.