This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through feature maps; in this way, in addition to treating the consistency of logistic regression, this analysis also handles boosting over a finite weak learning class with, for instance, the exponential, logistic, and hinge losses. In this finite-dimensional setting, it is still possible to fit arbitrary decision boundaries: scaling the complexity of the weak learning class with the sample size leads to the optimal classification risk almost surely.

Many algorithms and applications involve repeatedly solving variations of the same inference problem; for example we may want to introduce new evidence to the model or perform updates to conditional dependencies. The goal of adaptive inference is to take advantage of what is preserved in the model and perform inference more rapidly than from scratch. In this paper, we describe techniques for adaptive inference on general graphs that support marginal computation and updates to the conditional probabilities and dependencies in logarithmic time. We give experimental results for an implementation of our algorithm, and demonstrate its potential performance benefit in the study of protein structure.

We consider conditions that allow us to find an optimal strategy for sequential decisions from a given data situation. For the case where all interventions are unconditional (atomic), identifiability has been discussed by Pearl & Robins (1995). We argue here that an optimal strategy must be conditional, i.e. take the information available at each decision point into account. We show that the identification of an optimal sequential decision strategy is more restrictive, in the sense that conditional interventions might not always be identified when atomic interventions are. We further demonstrate that a simple graphical criterion for the identifiability of an optimal strategy can be given.

When related learning tasks are naturally arranged in a hierarchy, an appealing approach for coping with scarcity of instances is that of transfer learning using a hierarchical Bayes framework. As fully Bayesian computations can be difficult and computationally demanding, it is often desirable to use posterior point estimates that facilitate (relatively) efficient prediction. However, the hierarchical Bayes framework does not always lend itself naturally to this maximum aposteriori goal. In this work we propose an undirected reformulation of hierarchical Bayes that relies on priors in the form of similarity measures. We introduce the notion of "degree of transfer" weights on components of these similarity measures, and show how they can be automatically learned within a joint probabilistic framework. Importantly, our reformulation results in a convex objective for many learning problems, thus facilitating optimal posterior point estimation using standard optimization techniques. In addition, we no longer require proper priors, allowing for flexible and straightforward specification of joint distributions over transfer hierarchies. We show that our framework is effective for learning models that are part of transfer hierarchies for two real-life tasks: object shape modeling using Gaussian density estimation and document classification.

Much recent work has concerned sparse approximations to speed up the Gaussian process regression from the unfavorable O(n3) scaling in computational time to O(nm2). Thus far, work has concentrated on models with one covariance function. However, in many practical situations additive models with multiple covariance functions may perform better, since the data may contain both long and short length-scale phenomena. The long length-scales can be captured with global sparse approximations, such as fully independent conditional (FIC), and the short length-scales can be modeled naturally by covariance functions with compact support (CS). CS covariance functions lead to naturally sparse covariance matrices, which are computationally cheaper to handle than full covariance matrices. In this paper, we propose a new sparse Gaussian process model with two additive components: FIC for the long length-scales and CS covariance function for the short length-scales. We give theoretical and experimental results and show that under certain conditions the proposed model has the same computational complexity as FIC. We also compare the model performance of the proposed model to additive models approximated by fully and partially independent conditional (PIC). We use real data sets and show that our model outperforms FIC and PIC approximations for data sets with two additive phenomena.

We propose an approach for approximating the partition function which is based on two steps: (1) computing the partition function of a simplified model which is obtained by deleting model edges, and (2) rectifying the result by applying an edge-by-edge correction. The approach leads to an intuitive framework in which one can trade-off the quality of an approximation with the complexity of computing it. It also includes the Bethe free energy approximation as a degenerate case. We develop the approach theoretically in this paper and provide a number of empirical results that reveal its practical utility.

Inference problems in graphical models can be represented as a constrained optimization of a free energy function. It is known that when the Bethe free energy is used, the fixedpoints of the belief propagation (BP) algorithm correspond to the local minima of the free energy. However BP fails to converge in many cases of interest. Moreover, the Bethe free energy is non-convex for graphical models with cycles thus introducing great difficulty in deriving efficient algorithms for finding local minima of the free energy for general graphs. In this paper we introduce two efficient BP-like algorithms, one sequential and the other parallel, that are guaranteed to converge to the global minimum, for any graph, over the class of energies known as "convex free energies". In addition, we propose an efficient heuristic for setting the parameters of the convex free energy based on the structure of the graph.

Traditional multi-view learning approaches suffer in the presence of view disagreement,i.e., when samples in each view do not belong to the same class due to view corruption, occlusion or other noise processes. In this paper we present a multi-view learning approach that uses a conditional entropy criterion to detect view disagreement. Once detected, samples with view disagreement are filtered and standard multi-view learning methods can be successfully applied to the remaining samples. Experimental evaluation on synthetic and audio-visual databases demonstrates that the detection and filtering of view disagreement considerably increases the performance of traditional multi-view learning approaches.

Latent topic models have been successfully applied as an unsupervised topic discovery technique in large document collections. With the proliferation of hypertext document collection such as the Internet, there has also been great interest in extending these approaches to hypertext [6, 9]. These approaches typically model links in an analogous fashion to how they model words - the document-link co-occurrence matrix is modeled in the same way that the document-word co-occurrence matrix is modeled in standard topic models. In this paper we present a probabilistic generative model for hypertext document collections that explicitly models the generation of links. Specifically, links from a word w to a document d depend directly on how frequent the topic of w is in d, in addition to the in-degree of d. We show how to perform EM learning on this model efficiently. By not modeling links as analogous to words, we end up using far fewer free parameters and obtain better link prediction results.

We propose a variable decomposition algorithm -greedy block coordinate descent (GBCD)- in order to make dense Gaussian process regression practical for large scale problems. GBCD breaks a large scale optimization into a series of small sub-problems. The challenge in variable decomposition algorithms is the identification of a subproblem (the active set of variables) that yields the largest improvement. We analyze the limitations of existing methods and cast the active set selection into a zero-norm constrained optimization problem that we solve using greedy methods. By directly estimating the decrease in the objective function, we obtain not only efficient approximate solutions for GBCD, but we are also able to demonstrate that the method is globally convergent. Empirical comparisons against competing dense methods like Conjugate Gradient or SMO show that GBCD is an order of magnitude faster. Comparisons against sparse GP methods show that GBCD is both accurate and capable of handling datasets of 100,000 samples or more.