The data scarcity of user preferences and the cold-start problem often appear in real-world applications and limit the recommendation accuracy of collaborative filtering strategies. Leveraging the selections of social friends and foes can efficiently face both problems. In this study, we propose a strategy that performs social deep pairwise learning. Firstly, we design a ranking loss function incorporating multiple ranking criteria based on the choice in users, and the choice in their friends and foes to improve the accuracy in the top-k recommendation task. We capture the nonlinear correlations between user preferences and the social information of trust and distrust relationships via a deep learning strategy. In each backpropagation step, we follow a social negative sampling strategy to meet the multiple ranking criteria of our ranking loss function. We conduct comprehensive experiments on a benchmark dataset from Epinions, among the largest publicly available that has been reported in the relevant literature. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model beats other state-of-the art methods, attaining an 11.49% average improvement over the most competitive model. We show that our deep learning strategy plays an important role in capturing the nonlinear correlations between user preferences and the social information of trust and distrust relationships, and demonstrate the importance of our social negative sampling strategy on the proposed model.

Bottom-Up Hidden Tree Markov Model is a highly expressive model for tree-structured data. Unfortunately, it cannot be used in practice due to the intractable size of its state-transition matrix. We propose a new approximation which lies on the Tucker factorisation of tensors. The probabilistic interpretation of such approximation allows us to define a new probabilistic model for tree-structured data. Hence, we define the new approximated model and we derive its learning algorithm. Then, we empirically assess the effective power of the new model evaluating it on two different tasks. In both cases, our model outperforms the other approximated model known in the literature.

We study the complexity of sampling from a distribution over all index subsets of the set $\{1,...,n\}$ with the probability of a subset $S$ proportional to the determinant of the submatrix $\mathbf{L}_S$ of some $n\times n$ p.s.d. matrix $\mathbf{L}$, where $\mathbf{L}_S$ corresponds to the entries of $\mathbf{L}$ indexed by $S$. Known as a determinantal point process, this distribution is used in machine learning to induce diversity in subset selection. In practice, we often wish to sample multiple subsets $S$ with small expected size $k = E[|S|] \ll n$ from a very large matrix $\mathbf{L}$, so it is important to minimize the preprocessing cost of the procedure (performed once) as well as the sampling cost (performed repeatedly). For this purpose, we propose a new algorithm which, given access to $\mathbf{L}$, samples exactly from a determinantal point process while satisfying the following two properties: (1) its preprocessing cost is $n \cdot \text{poly}(k)$, i.e., sublinear in the size of $\mathbf{L}$, and (2) its sampling cost is $\text{poly}(k)$, i.e., independent of the size of $\mathbf{L}$. Prior to our results, state-of-the-art exact samplers required $O(n^3)$ preprocessing time and sampling time linear in $n$ or dependent on the spectral properties of $\mathbf{L}$. We also give a reduction which allows using our algorithm for exact sampling from cardinality constrained determinantal point processes with $n\cdot\text{poly}(k)$ time preprocessing.

Ensemble approaches for uncertainty estimation have recently been applied to the tasks of misclassification detection, out-of-distribution input detection and adversarial attack detection. Prior Networks have been proposed as an approach to efficiently emulating an ensemble of models by parameterising a Dirichlet prior distribution over output distributions. These models have been shown to outperform ensemble approaches, such as Monte-Carlo Dropout, on the task of out-of-distribution input detection. However, scaling Prior Networks to complex datasets with many classes is difficult using the training criteria originally proposed. This paper makes two contributions. Firstly, we show that the appropriate training criterion for Prior Networks is the reverse KL-divergence between Dirichlet distributions. Using this loss we successfully train Prior Networks on image classification datasets with up to 200 classes and improve out-of-distribution detection performance. Secondly, taking advantage of the new training criterion, this paper investigates using Prior Networks to detect adversarial attacks. It is shown that the construction of successful adaptive whitebox attacks, which affect the prediction and evade detection, against Prior Networks trained on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 takes a greater amount of computational effort than against standard neural networks, adversarially trained neural networks and dropout-defended networks.

We introduce Neural Markov Logic Networks (NMLNs), a statistical relational learning system that borrows ideas from Markov logic. Like Markov Logic Networks (MLNs), NMLNs are an exponential-family model for modelling distributions over possible worlds, but unlike MLNs, they do not rely on explicitly specified first-order logic rules. Instead, NMLNs learn an implicit representation of such rules as a neural network that acts as a potential function on fragments of the relational structure. Interestingly, any MLN can be represented as an NMLN. Similarly to recently proposed Neural theorem provers (NTPs) [Rocktäschel and Riedel, 2017], NMLNs can exploit embeddings of constants but, unlike NTPs, NMLNs work well also in their absence. This is extremely important for predicting in settings other than the transductive one.

Many potential applications of reinforcement learning in the real world involve interacting with other agents whose numbers vary over time. We propose new neural policy architectures for these multi-agent problems. In contrast to other methods of training an individual, discrete policy for each agent and then enforcing cooperation through some additional inter-policy mechanism, we follow the spirit of recent work on the power of relational inductive biases in deep networks by learning multi-agent relationships at the policy level via an attentional architecture. In our method, all agents share the same policy, but independently apply it in their own context to aggregate the other agents' state information when selecting their next action. The structure of our architectures allow them to be applied on environments with varying numbers of agents. We demonstrate our architecture on a benchmark multi-agent autonomous vehicle coordination problem, obtaining superior results to a full-knowledge, fully-centralized reference solution, and significantly outperforming it when scaling to large numbers of agents.

Recent advances in deep reinforcement learning algorithms have shown great potential and success for solving many challenging real-world problems, including Go game and robotic applications. Usually, these algorithms need a carefully designed reward function to guide training in each time step. However, in real world, it is non-trivial to design such a reward function, and the only signal available is usually obtained at the end of a trajectory, also known as the episodic reward or return. In this work, we introduce a new algorithm for temporal credit assignment, which learns to decompose the episodic return back to each time-step in the trajectory using deep neural networks. With this learned reward signal, the learning efficiency can be substantially improved for episodic reinforcement learning. In particular, we find that expressive language models such as the Transformer can be adopted for learning the importance and the dependency of states in the trajectory, therefore providing high-quality and interpretable learned reward signals. We have performed extensive experiments on a set of MuJoCo continuous locomotive control tasks with only episodic returns and demonstrated the effectiveness of our algorithm.

Effective medical test suggestions benefit both patients and physicians to conserve time and improve diagnosis accuracy. In this work, we show that an agent can learn to suggest effective medical tests. We formulate the problem as a stage-wise Markov decision process and propose a reinforcement learning method to train the agent. We introduce a new representation of multiple action policy along with the training method of the proposed representation. Furthermore, a new exploration scheme is proposed to accelerate the learning of disease distributions. Our experimental results demonstrate that the accuracy of disease diagnosis can be significantly improved with good medical test suggestions.

In recent years, impressive progress has been made in the design of implicit probabilistic models via Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) and its extension, the Conditional GAN (CGAN). Excellent solutions have been demonstrated mostly in image processing applications which involve large, continuous output spaces. There is almost no application of these powerful tools to problems having small dimensional output spaces. Regression problems involving the inductive learning of a map, $y=f(x,z)$, $z$ denoting noise, $f:\mathbb{R}^n\times \mathbb{R}^k \rightarrow \mathbb{R}^m$, with $m$ small (e.g., $m=1$ or just a few) is one good case in point. The standard approach to solve regression problems is to probabilistically model the output $y$ as the sum of a mean function $m(x)$ and a noise term $z$; it is also usual to take the noise to be a Gaussian. These are done for convenience sake so that the likelihood of observed data is expressible in closed form. In the real world, on the other hand, stochasticity of the output is usually caused by missing or noisy input variables. Such a real world situation is best represented using an implicit model in which an extra noise vector, $z$ is included with $x$ as input. CGAN is naturally suited to design such implicit models. This paper makes the first step in this direction. Through several artificial and real world datasets, we demonstrate CGAN to be an effective approach for solving regression problems. We compare against Gaussian Processes and show that CGAN has excellent output likelihood properties and possesses the ability to model complex noise forms in a better way.

Data-driven approaches which aim to identify and predict player engagement are becoming increasingly popular in games industry contexts. This is due to the growing practice of tracking and storing large volumes of in-game telemetries coupled with a desire to tailor the gaming experience to the end-user's needs. These approaches are particularly useful not just for companies adopting Game-as-a-Service (GaaS) models (e.g. for re-engagement strategies) but also for those working under persistent content-delivery regimes (e.g. for better audience targeting). A major challenge for the latter is to build engagement models of the user which are data-efficient, holistic and can generalize across multiple game titles and genres with minimal adjustments. This work leverages a theoretical framework rooted in engagement and behavioural science research for building a model able to estimate engagement-related behaviours employing only a minimal set of game-agnostic metrics. Through a series of experiments we show how, by modelling early user-game interactions, this approach can make joint estimates of long-term survival time and churn probability across several single-player games in a range of genres. The model proposed is very suitable for industry applications since it relies on a minimal set of metrics and observations, scales well with the number of users and is explicitly designed to work across a diverse range of titles.