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On mechanisms for transfer using landmark value functions in multi-task lifelong reinforcement learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Transfer learning across different reinforcement learning (RL) tasks is becoming an increasingly valuable area of research. We consider a goal-based multi-task RL framework and mechanisms by which previously solved tasks can reduce sample complexity and regret when the agent is faced with a new task. Specifically, we introduce two metrics on the state space that encode notions of traversibility of the state space for an agent. Using these metrics a topological covering is constructed by way of a set of landmark states in a fully self-supervised manner. We show that these landmark coverings confer theoretical advantages for transfer learning within the goal-based multi-task RL setting. Specifically, we demonstrate three mechanisms by which landmark coverings can be used for successful transfer learning. First, we extend the Landmark Options Via Reflection (LOVR) framework to this new topological covering; second, we use the landmark-centric value functions themselves as features and define a greedy zombie policy that achieves near oracle performance on a sequence of zero-shot transfer tasks; finally, motivated by the second transfer mechanism, we introduce a learned reward function that provides a more dense reward signal for goal-based RL. Our novel topological landmark covering confers beneficial theoretical results, bounding the Q values at each state-action pair. In doing so, we introduce a mechanism that performs action-pruning at infeasible actions which cannot possibly be part of an optimal policy for the current goal.


A Unified Approach to Robust Mean Estimation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modern data sets that arise in various branches of science and engineering are characterized by their ever increasing scale and richness. This is spurred in part by easier access to computer, internet and various sensor-based technologies that enable the collection of such varied datasets. But on the flip side, these large and rich data-sets are no longer carefully curated, are often collected in a decentralized, distributed fashion, and consequently are plagued with the complexities of heterogeneity, adversarial manipulations, and outliers. The analysis of these huge datasets is thus fraught with methodological challenges. To understand the fundamental challenges and tradeoffs in handling such "dirty data" is precisely the premise of the field of robust statistics. Here, the aforementioned complexities are largely formalized under two different models of robustness: (1) The heavy-tailed model: Here the sampling distribution can have thick tails, for instance, only low-order moments of the distribution are assumed to be finite; and (2) The ǫ-contamination model: Here the sampling distribution is modeled as a well-behaved distribution contaminated by an ǫ fraction of arbitrary outliers. In each case, classical estimators of the distribution (based for instance on the maximum likelihood estimator) can behave considerably worse (potentially arbitrarily worse) than under standard settings where the data is better behaved, satisfying various regularity properties. In particular, these classical estimators can be extremely sensitive to the tails of the distribution or to the outliers, so that the broad goal in robust statistics is to construct estimators that improve on these classical estimators by reducing their sensitivity to outliers.


An Open Source AutoML Benchmark

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In recent years, an active field of research has developed around automated machine learning (AutoML). Unfortunately, comparing different AutoML systems is hard and often done incorrectly. We introduce an open, ongoing, and extensible benchmark framework which follows best practices and avoids common mistakes. The framework is open-source, uses public datasets and has a website with up-to-date results. We use the framework to conduct a thorough comparison of 4 AutoML systems across 39 datasets and analyze the results.


Cryo-EM reconstruction of continuous heterogeneity by Laplacian spectral volumes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Single-particle electron cryomicroscopy is an essential tool for high-resolution 3D reconstruction of proteins and other biological macromolecules. An important challenge in cryo-EM is the reconstruction of non-rigid molecules with parts that move and deform. Traditional reconstruction methods fail in these cases, resulting in smeared reconstructions of the moving parts. This poses a major obstacle for structural biologists, who need high-resolution reconstructions of entire macromolecules, moving parts included. To address this challenge, we present a new method for the reconstruction of macromolecules exhibiting continuous heterogeneity. The proposed method uses projection images from multiple viewing directions to construct a graph Laplacian through which the manifold of three-dimensional conformations is analyzed. The 3D molecular structures are then expanded in a basis of Laplacian eigenvectors, using a novel generalized tomographic reconstruction algorithm to compute the expansion coefficients. These coefficients, which we name spectral volumes, provide a high-resolution visualization of the molecular dynamics. We provide a theoretical analysis and evaluate the method empirically on several simulated data sets.


Location Anomalies Detection for Connected and Autonomous Vehicles

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Future Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAV), and more generally ITS, will form a highly interconnected system. Such a paradigm is referred to as the Internet of Vehicles (herein Internet of CAVs) and is a prerequisite to orchestrate traffic flows in cities. For optimal decision making and supervision, traffic centres will have access to suitably anonymized CAV mobility information. Safe and secure operations will then be contingent on early detection of anomalies. In this paper, a novel unsupervised learning model based on deep autoencoder is proposed to detect the self-reported location anomaly in CAVs, using vehicle locations and the Received Signal Strength Indicator (RSSI) as features. Quantitative experiments on simulation datasets show that the proposed approach is effective and robust in detecting self-reported location anomalies.


A Semi-Supervised Self-Organizing Map for Clustering and Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

There has been an increasing interest in semi-supervised learning in the recent years because of the great number of datasets with a large number of unlabeled data but only a few labeled samples. Semi-supervised learning algorithms can work with both types of data, combining them to obtain better performance for both clustering and classification. Also, these datasets commonly have a high number of dimensions. This article presents a new semi-supervised method based on self-organizing maps (SOMs) for clustering and classification, called Semi-Supervised Self-Organizing Map (SS-SOM). The method can dynamically switch between supervised and unsupervised learning during the training according to the availability of the class labels for each pattern. Our results show that the SS-SOM outperforms other semi-supervised methods in conditions in which there is a low amount of labeled samples, also achieving good results when all samples are labeled.


The Sensitivity of Counterfactual Fairness to Unmeasured Confounding

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Causal approaches to fairness have seen substantial recent interest, both from the machine learning community and from wider parties interested in ethical prediction algorithms. In no small part, this has been due to the fact that causal models allow one to simultaneously leverage data and expert knowledge to remove discriminatory effects from predictions. However, one of the primary assumptions in causal modeling is that you know the causal graph. This introduces a new opportunity for bias, caused by misspecifying the causal model. One common way for misspecification to occur is via unmeasured confounding: the true causal effect between variables is partially described by unobserved quantities. In this work we design tools to assess the sensitivity of fairness measures to this confounding for the popular class of non-linear additive noise models (ANMs). Specifically, we give a procedure for computing the maximum difference between two counterfactually fair predictors, where one has become biased due to confounding. For the case of bivariate confounding our technique can be swiftly computed via a sequence of closed-form updates. For multivariate confounding we give an algorithm that can be efficiently solved via automatic differentiation. We demonstrate our new sensitivity analysis tools in real-world fairness scenarios to assess the bias arising from confounding.


Forecasting high-dimensional dynamics exploiting suboptimal embeddings

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be applied to yield a single forecast combining multiple forecasts derived from various embeddings. However, the performance of these frameworks is not always satisfactory because they randomly select embeddings or use brute force and do not consider the diversity of the embeddings to combine. Herein, we develop a forecasting framework that overcomes these existing problems. The framework exploits various "suboptimal embeddings" obtained by minimizing the in-sample error via combinatorial optimization. The framework achieves the best results among existing frameworks for sample toy datasets and a real-world flood dataset. We show that the framework is applicable to a wide range of data lengths and dimensions. Therefore, the framework can be applied to various fields such as neuroscience, ecology, finance, fluid dynamics, weather, and disaster prevention.


Comparison of Lattice-Free and Lattice-Based Sequence Discriminative Training Criteria for LVCSR

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Sequence discriminative training criteria have long been a standard tool in automatic speech recognition for improving the performance of acoustic models over their maximum likelihood / cross entropy trained counterparts. While previously a lattice approximation of the search space has been necessary to reduce computational complexity, recently proposed methods use other approximations to dispense of the need for the computationally expensive step of separate lattice creation. In this work we present a memory efficient implementation of the forward-backward computation that allows us to use uni-gram word-level language models in the denominator calculation while still doing a full summation on GPU. This allows for a direct comparison of lattice-based and lattice-free sequence discriminative training criteria such as MMI and sMBR, both using the same language model during training. We compared performance, speed of convergence, and stability on large vocabulary continuous speech recognition tasks like Switchboard and Quaero. We found that silence modeling seriously impacts the performance in the lattice-free case and needs special treatment. In our experiments lattice-free MMI comes on par with its lattice-based counterpart. Lattice-based sMBR still outperforms all lattice-free training criteria.


Using Subset Log-Likelihoods to Trim Outliers in Gaussian Mixture Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Mixtures of Gaussian distributions are a popular choice in model-based clustering. Outliers can affect parameters estimation and, as such, must be accounted for. Algorithms such as TCLUST discern the most likely outliers, but only when the proportion of outlying points is known \textit{a priori}. It is proved that, for a finite Gaussian mixture model, the log-likelihoods of the subset models are beta-distributed. An algorithm is then proposed that predicts the proportion of outliers by measuring the adherence of a set of subset log-likelihoods to a beta reference distribution. This algorithm removes the least likely points, which are deemed outliers, until model assumptions are met.