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How the Benefits--and Harms--of AI Grew in 2024

TIME - Tech

In 2024, both cutting-edge technology and the companies controlling it grew increasingly powerful, provoking euphoric wonderment and existential dread. Companies like Nvidia and Alphabet soared in value, fueled by expectations that artificial intelligence (AI) will become a cornerstone of modern life. While those grand visions are still far into the future, tech undeniably shaped markets, warfare, elections, climate, and daily life this year. Perhaps technology's biggest impact this year was on the global economy. The so-called Magnificent Seven--the stocks of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla--thrived in large part because of the AI boom, propelling the S&P 500 to new highs.


A Fourfold Pathogen Reference Ontology Suite

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Infectious diseases remain a critical global health challenge, and the integration of standardized ontologies plays a vital role in managing related data. The Infectious Disease Ontology (IDO) and its extensions, such as the Coronavirus Infectious Disease Ontology (CIDO), are essential for organizing and disseminating information related to infectious diseases. The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need for updating IDO and its virus-specific extensions. There is an additional need to update IDO extensions specific to bacteria, fungus, and parasite infectious diseases. We adopt the "hub and spoke" methodology to generate pathogen-specific extensions of IDO: Virus Infectious Disease Ontology (VIDO), Bacteria Infectious Disease Ontology (BIDO), Mycosis Infectious Disease Ontology (MIDO), and Parasite Infectious Disease Ontology (PIDO). The creation of pathogen-specific reference ontologies advances modularization and reusability of infectious disease data within the IDO ecosystem. Future work will focus on further refining these ontologies, creating new extensions, and developing application ontologies based on them, in line with ongoing efforts to standardize biological and biomedical terminologies for improved data sharing and analysis.


Gaussian Mixture Models Based Augmentation Enhances GNN Generalization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown great promise in tasks like node and graph classification, but they often struggle to generalize, particularly to unseen or out-of-distribution (OOD) data. These challenges are exacerbated when training data is limited in size or diversity. To address these issues, we introduce a theoretical framework using Rademacher complexity to compute a regret bound on the generalization error and then characterize the effect of data augmentation. This framework informs the design of GMM-GDA, an efficient graph data augmentation (GDA) algorithm leveraging the capability of Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) to approximate any distribution. Our approach not only outperforms existing augmentation techniques in terms of generalization but also offers improved time complexity, making it highly suitable for real-world applications.


Steppability-informed Quadrupedal Contact Planning through Deep Visual Search Heuristics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we introduce a method for predicting environment steppability -- the ability of a legged robot platform to place a foothold at a particular location in the local environment -- in the image space. This novel environment representation captures this critical geometric property of the local terrain while allowing us to exploit the computational benefits of sensing and planning in the image space. We adapt a primitive shapes-based synthetic data generation scheme to create geometrically rich and diverse simulation scenes and extract ground truth semantic information in order to train a steppability model. We then integrate this steppability model into an existing interleaved graph search and trajectory optimization-based footstep planner to demonstrate how this steppability paradigm can inform footstep planning in complex, unknown environments. We analyze the steppability model performance to demonstrate its validity, and we deploy the perception-informed footstep planner both in offline and online settings to experimentally verify planning performance.


Ontology-grounded Automatic Knowledge Graph Construction by LLM under Wikidata schema

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose an ontology-grounded approach to Knowledge Graph (KG) construction using Large Language Models (LLMs) on a knowledge base. An ontology is authored by generating Competency Questions (CQ) on knowledge base to discover knowledge scope, extracting relations from CQs, and attempt to replace equivalent relations by their counterpart in Wikidata. To ensure consistency and interpretability in the resulting KG, we ground generation of KG with the authored ontology based on extracted relations. Evaluation on benchmark datasets demonstrates competitive performance in knowledge graph construction task. Our work presents a promising direction for scalable KG construction pipeline with minimal human intervention, that yields high quality and human-interpretable KGs, which are interoperable with Wikidata semantics for potential knowledge base expansion.


Adaptive Prompting for Continual Relation Extraction: A Within-Task Variance Perspective

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

To address catastrophic forgetting in Continual Relation Extraction (CRE), many current approaches rely on memory buffers to rehearse previously learned knowledge while acquiring new tasks. Recently, prompt-based methods have emerged as potent alternatives to rehearsal-based strategies, demonstrating strong empirical performance. However, upon analyzing existing prompt-based approaches for CRE, we identified several critical limitations, such as inaccurate prompt selection, inadequate mechanisms for mitigating forgetting in shared parameters, and suboptimal handling of cross-task and within-task variances. To overcome these challenges, we draw inspiration from the relationship between prefix-tuning and mixture of experts, proposing a novel approach that employs a prompt pool for each task, capturing variations within each task while enhancing cross-task variances. Furthermore, we incorporate a generative model to consolidate prior knowledge within shared parameters, eliminating the need for explicit data storage. Extensive experiments validate the efficacy of our approach, demonstrating superior performance over state-of-the-art prompt-based and rehearsal-free methods in continual relation extraction.


FLARE: Faithful Logic-Aided Reasoning and Exploration

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modern Question Answering (QA) and Reasoning approaches based on Large Language Models (LLMs) commonly use prompting techniques, such as Chain-of-Thought (CoT), assuming the resulting generation will have a more granular exploration and reasoning over the question space and scope. However, such methods struggle with generating outputs that are faithful to the intermediate chain of reasoning produced by the model. On the other end of the spectrum, neuro-symbolic methods such as Faithful CoT (F-CoT) propose to combine LLMs with external symbolic solvers. While such approaches boast a high degree of faithfulness, they usually require a model trained for code generation and struggle with tasks that are ambiguous or hard to formalise strictly. We introduce $\textbf{F}$aithful $\textbf{L}$ogic-$\textbf{A}$ided $\textbf{R}$easoning and $\textbf{E}$xploration ($\textbf{FLARE}$), a novel interpretable approach for traversing the problem space using task decompositions. We use the LLM to plan a solution, soft-formalise the query into facts and predicates using a logic programming code and simulate that code execution using an exhaustive multi-hop search over the defined space. Our method allows us to compute the faithfulness of the reasoning process w.r.t. the generated code and analyse the steps of the multi-hop search without relying on external solvers. Our methods achieve SOTA results on $\mathbf{7}$ out of $\mathbf{9}$ diverse reasoning benchmarks. We also show that model faithfulness positively correlates with overall performance and further demonstrate that $\textbf{FLARE}$ allows pinpointing the decisive factors sufficient for and leading to the correct answer with optimal reasoning during the multi-hop search.


AverageLinear: Enhance Long-Term Time series forcasting with simple averaging

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Long-term time series prediction involves forecasting future trends over extended periods based on historical changes. This approach is crucial in various fields such as weather [1], traffic [2], and power [3]. The exceptionally long forecast horizon and the complex correlations between channels pose significant challenges to modeling. Traditional methods often fall short in capturing the sequence and inter-channel relationships. In contrast, deep learning architectures, with their superior fitting capabilities, have emerged as effective tools for addressing long-term time series prediction. Consequently, the primary methodologies in this field have shifted towards deep learning models. The core issue in long time series analysis is extracting dependencies within sequences and correlations across channels, which significantly benefits model performance in multi-channel prediction and robustness. Various methods have been developed to capture this information from time series data. Commonly used techniques include Transformers [4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10], which apply attention mechanisms to effectively capture correlations both within sequences and across channels; Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) [11, 12] that use 1D or multidimensional convolutions to capture these dependencies; and structures based on Multilayer Perceptrons[13, 14, 15, 16, 17], such as DLinear, which decompose sequences and apply multiple linear layers to capture sequence correlations.


Automatic feature selection and weighting in molecular systems using Differentiable Information Imbalance

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Feature selection is essential in the analysis of molecular systems and many other fields, but several uncertainties remain: What is the optimal number of features for a simplified, interpretable model that retains essential information? How should features with different units be aligned, and how should their relative importance be weighted? Here, we introduce the Differentiable Information Imbalance (DII), an automated method to rank information content between sets of features. Using distances in a ground truth feature space, DII identifies a low-dimensional subset of features that best preserves these relationships. Each feature is scaled by a weight, which is optimized by minimizing the DII through gradient descent. This allows simultaneously performing unit alignment and relative importance scaling, while preserving interpretability. DII can also produce sparse solutions and determine the optimal size of the reduced feature space. We demonstrate the usefulness of this approach on two benchmark molecular problems: (1) identifying collective variables that describe conformations of a biomolecule, and (2) selecting features for training a machine-learning force field. These results show the potential of DII in addressing feature selection challenges and optimizing dimensionality in various applications. The method is available in the Python library DADApy.


Open RAN-Enabled Deep Learning-Assisted Mobility Management for Connected Vehicles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Connected Vehicles (CVs) can leverage the unique features of 5G and future 6G/NextG networks to enhance Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) services. However, even with advancements in cellular network generations, CV applications may experience communication interruptions in high-mobility scenarios due to frequent changes of serving base station, also known as handovers (HOs). This paper proposes the adoption of Open Radio Access Network (Open RAN/O-RAN) and deep learning models for decision-making to prevent Quality of Service (QoS) degradation due to HOs and to ensure the timely connectivity needed for CV services. The solution utilizes the O-RAN Software Community (OSC), an open-source O-RAN platform developed by the collaboration between the O-RAN Alliance and Linux Foundation, to develop xApps that are executed in the near-Real-Time RIC of OSC. To demonstrate the proposal's effectiveness, an integrated framework combining the OMNeT++ simulator and OSC was created. Evaluations used real-world datasets in urban application scenarios, such as video streaming transmission and over-the-air (OTA) updates. Results indicate that the proposal achieved superior performance and reduced latency compared to the standard 3GPP HO procedure.