South America
Preference and Priorities: A Study Based on Contrction
Souza, Marlo (Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul) | Moreira, Alvaro (Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul) | Vieira, Renata (Ponthifical Catholic University of Rio Grande do Sul) | Meyer, John-Jules Ch. (Utrecht University)
Preference models lie at the core of the formalization for several related notions, such as non-monotonic reasoning,obligations, goals, beliefs, etc. Recently, the interest in integrating dynamic operators in the logics of belief, preference and obligation has gained momentum.This integration sheds light on similarities among several change operations traditionally studied independently of each other. While a prolific approach, important operations, such as the well-known contraction of beliefs or derogation of norms studied in the AGM tradition,have not received proper attention in this framework.In this work, we study codifications of contraction operations, stemming from the work on iterate dbelief change, in the logic of preferences, by means of both semantically defined operations and their counterpart in syntactical priority structures.
Consolidating Probabilistic Knowledge Bases via Belief Contraction
Bona, Glauber De (University of São Paulo) | Finger, Marcelo (University of São Paulo) | Ribeiro, Márcio Moretto (University of São Paulo) | Santos, Yuri David (University of São Paulo) | Wassermann, Renata (University of São Paulo)
This paper is set to study the applicability of AGM-like operations to probabilistic bases. We focus on the problem of consistency restoration, also called consolidation or contraction by falsity. We aim to identify the reasons why the set of AGM postulates based on discrete operations of deletions and accretions is too coarse to treat finely adjustable probabilistic formulas. We propose new principles that allow one to deal with the consolidation of inconsistent probabilistic bases, presenting a finer method called liftable contraction. Furthermore, we show that existing methods for probabilistic consolidation via distance minimization are particular cases of the methods proposed.
Indexable Probabilistic Matrix Factorization for Maximum Inner Product Search
Fraccaro, Marco (Technical University of Denmark) | Paquet, Ulrich (Microsoft Research, Cambridge) | Winther, Ole (Technical University of Denmark)
The Maximum Inner Product Search (MIPS) problem, prevalent in matrix factorization-based recommender systems, scales linearly with the number of objects to score. Recent work has shown that clever post-processing steps can turn the MIPS problem into a nearest neighbour one, allowing sublinear retrieval time either through Locality Sensitive Hashing or various tree structures that partition the Euclidian space. This work shows that instead of employing post-processing steps, substantially faster retrieval times can be achieved for the same accuracy when inference is not decoupled from the indexing process. By framing matrix factorization to be natively indexable, so that any solution is immediately sublinearly searchable, we use the machinery of Machine Learning to best learn such a solution. We introduce Indexable Probabilistic Matrix Factorization (IPMF) to shift the traditional post-processing complexity into the training phase of the model. Its inference procedure is based on Geodesic Monte Carlo, and adds minimal additional computational cost to standard Monte Carlo methods for matrix factorization. By coupling inference and indexing in this way, we achieve more than a 50% improvement in retrieval time against two state of the art methods, for a given level of accuracy in the recommendations of two large-scale recommender systems.
Incremental Stochastic Factorization for Online Reinforcement Learning
Barreto, Andre M. S. (Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica) | Beirigo, Rafael L. (Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica) | Pineau, Joelle (McGill University) | Precup, Doina (McGill University)
A construct that has been receiving attention recently in reinforcement learning is stochastic factorization (SF), a particular case of non-negative factorization (NMF) in which the matrices involved are stochastic. The idea is to use SF to approximate the transition matrices of a Markov decision process (MDP). This is useful for two reasons. First, learning the factors of the SF instead of the transition matrices can reduce significantly the number of parameters to be estimated. Second, it has been shown that SF can be used to reduce the number of operations needed to compute an MDP's value function. Recently, an algorithm called expectation-maximization SF (EMSF) has been proposed to compute a SF directly from transitions sampled from an MDP. In this paper we take a closer look at EMSF. First, by exploiting the assumptions underlying the algorithm, we show that it is possible to reduce it to simple multiplicative update rules similar to the ones that helped popularize NMF. Second, we analyze the optimization process underlying EMSF and find that it minimizes a modified version of the Kullback-Leibler divergence that is particularly well-suited for learning a SF from data sampled from an arbitrary distribution. Third, we build on this improved understanding of EMSF to draw an interesting connection with NMF and probabilistic latent semantic analysis. We also exploit the simplified update rules to introduce a new version of EMSF that generalizes and significantly improves its precursor. This new algorithm provides a practical mechanism to control the trade-off between memory usage and computing time, essentially freeing the space complexity of EMSF from its dependency on the number of sample transitions. The algorithm can also compute its approximation incrementally, which makes it possible to use it concomitantly with the collection of data. This feature makes the new version of EMSF particularly suitable for online reinforcement learning. Empirical results support the utility of the proposed algorithm.
Basic Probabilistic Ontological Data Exchange with Existential Rules
Lukasiewicz, Thomas (University of Oxford) | Martinez, Maria Vanina (Universidad Nacional del Sur-CONICET) | Predoiu, Livia (University of Oxford) | Simari, Gerardo I. (Universidad Nacional del Sur-CONICET)
We study the complexity of exchanging probabilistic data between ontology-based probabilistic databases. We consider the Datalog+/- family of languages as ontology and ontology mapping languages, and we assume different compact encodings of the probabilities of the probabilistic source databases via Boolean events. We provide an extensive complexity analysis of the problem of deciding the existence of a probabilistic (universal) solution for a given probabilistic source database relative to a (probabilistic) data exchange problem for the different languages considered.
Optimizing Trading Assignments in Water Right Markets
Liu, Yicheng (Tsinghua University) | Tang, Pingzhong (Tsinghua University) | Xu, Tingting (Tsinghua University) | Zheng, Hang (Tsinghua University)
Over the past two decades, water markets have been successfully fielded in countries such as Australia, the United states, Chile, China, etc. Water users, mainly irrigators, have benefited immensely from water markets. However, the current water market design also faces certain serious barriers. It has been pointed out that transaction costs, which exists in most markets, induce great welfare loss. For example, for water markets in western China discussed in this paper, the influence of transaction costs is significant. Another important barrier is the locality of trades due to geographical constraints. Based on the water market at Xiying Irrigation, one of the most successful water market in western China, we model the water market as a graph with minimum transaction thresholds on edges. Our goal is to maximize the transaction volume or welfare. We prove that the existence of transaction costs results in no polynomial time approximation scheme (PTAS) to maximize social welfare (MAX SNP-hard). The complexities on special graphs are also presented. From a practical point of view, however, optimal social welfare can be obtained via a well-designed mixed integer linear program and can be approximated near optimally at a large scale via a heuristic algorithm. Both algorithms are tested on data sets generated from real historical trading data. Our study also suggests the importance of reducing transaction costs, for example, institutional costs in water market design. Our work opens a potentially important avenue of market design within the agenda of computational sustainability.
'Machines can't make life & death decisions': Nobel laureate Jody Williams on new-age weapons - Firstpost
Jody Williams received the Nobel Peace Prize in 1997 together with the International Campaign to Ban Landmines for their central role in establishing the 1997 Mine Ban Treaty. The US-based political activist is known across the world for her efforts to enhance understandings of security and related issues in the world today. She is also the chair of the Noble Women's Initiative that she founded in 2006 together with five other women Nobel Peace laureates. She, along with 20 of her fellow Nobel Peace laureates have called for a preemptive ban on Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems (LAWS)--weapons that could operate without human supervision once activated even in matters of killing human beings. The UN's Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW) held their third informal government's meet in Geneva from 11-15 April.
Singularity University: meet the people who are building our future
It's day one at the Singularity University: the opening address has just been delivered by a hologram. Craig Venter, who was one of the first scientists to sequence the human genome and created the first synthetic life form, is up next. And later, we will see two people, paralysed from the waist down, use robotic exoskeletons to rise up and walk. But first, the co-founder of the Singularity University, Peter Diamandis, gives us our instructions for the day. Your task, he says, is to pick one of the "grand challenges of humanity" – the lack of clean drinking water, say. And then come up with an idea that "can positively impact the lives of a billion people". Some of us haven't even had coffee yet. There's about 50 of us present and the room has been divided up into tables, one for education, another for poverty, another for water, and I'm not sure where I should sit. Diane Murphy, the university's PR executive, hesitates for a moment and then directs me over to the table marked "food". "Tell you what," she says.
This isn't a sci-fi film: Autonomous Weapons Systems could be a reality soon - Firstpost
The threat from such machines is real enough for 100 states to come together and debate the matter of their ban for three consecutive years now. The use of autonomous machines could potentially change the vocabulary of warfare, just like gun powder and nuclear arsenal upon their entry into the battlefield. In April 2013, NGOs associated with successful efforts to ban landmines and cluster munitions got together in London and issued a call to governments urging the negotiation of a treaty preventing the development, deployment and use of what are known as'Killer Robots' in popular parlance. In July 2015, some of the world's leading Artificial Intelligence (AI) scientists including Apple co-founder Steven Wozniak, Skype co-founder Jaan Tallin and Professor Stephen Hawking signed a letter with nearly 21,000 signatures asking for an outright ban on these autonomous weapons systems (AWS). "Autonomous weapons will become the Kalashnikovs of tomorrow," states the letter.
California Inc.: Anyone in the market for a slightly used search engine?
Welcome to California Inc., the weekly newsletter of the L.A. Times Business Section. Expect financial markets to face headwinds today after the Federal Reserve reported Friday that U.S. industrial production fell more than expected in March. This is the latest sign that economic growth slowed significantly in the first quarter. On the plus side, though, many economists still forecast a rebound in growth as the year plods ahead. Tax deadline: Monday is the deadline for most Americans to submit their tax returns.