Abstract reasoning is a key ability for an intelligent system. Large language models (LMs) achieve above-chance performance on abstract reasoning tasks, but exhibit many imperfections. However, human abstract reasoning is also imperfect. For example, human reasoning is affected by our real-world knowledge and beliefs, and shows notable "content effects"; humans reason more reliably when the semantic content of a problem supports the correct logical inferences. These content-entangled reasoning patterns play a central role in debates about the fundamental nature of human intelligence. Here, we investigate whether language models $\unicode{x2014}$ whose prior expectations capture some aspects of human knowledge $\unicode{x2014}$ similarly mix content into their answers to logical problems. We explored this question across three logical reasoning tasks: natural language inference, judging the logical validity of syllogisms, and the Wason selection task. We evaluate state of the art large language models, as well as humans, and find that the language models reflect many of the same patterns observed in humans across these tasks $\unicode{x2014}$ like humans, models answer more accurately when the semantic content of a task supports the logical inferences. These parallels are reflected both in answer patterns, and in lower-level features like the relationship between model answer distributions and human response times. Our findings have implications for understanding both these cognitive effects in humans, and the factors that contribute to language model performance.

During in-hand manipulation, robots must be able to continuously estimate the pose of the object in order to generate appropriate control actions. The performance of algorithms for pose estimation hinges on the robot's sensors being able to detect discriminative geometric object features, but previous sensing modalities are unable to make such measurements robustly. The robot's fingers can occlude the view of environment- or robot-mounted image sensors, and tactile sensors can only measure at the local areas of contact. Motivated by fingertip-embedded proximity sensors' robustness to occlusion and ability to measure beyond the local areas of contact, we present the first evaluation of proximity sensor based pose estimation for in-hand manipulation. We develop a novel two-fingered hand with fingertip-embedded optical time-of-flight proximity sensors as a testbed for pose estimation during planar in-hand manipulation. Here, the in-hand manipulation task consists of the robot moving a cylindrical object from one end of its workspace to the other. We demonstrate, with statistical significance, that proximity-sensor based pose estimation via particle filtering during in-hand manipulation: a) exhibits 50% lower average pose error than a tactile-sensor based baseline; b) empowers a model predictive controller to achieve 30% lower final positioning error compared to when using tactile-sensor based pose estimates.

We systematically study a wide variety of generative models spanning semantically-diverse image datasets to understand and improve the feature extractors and metrics used to evaluate them. Using best practices in psychophysics, we measure human perception of image realism for generated samples by conducting the largest experiment evaluating generative models to date, and find that no existing metric strongly correlates with human evaluations. Comparing to 17 modern metrics for evaluating the overall performance, fidelity, diversity, rarity, and memorization of generative models, we find that the state-of-the-art perceptual realism of diffusion models as judged by humans is not reflected in commonly reported metrics such as FID. This discrepancy is not explained by diversity in generated samples, though one cause is over-reliance on Inception-V3. We address these flaws through a study of alternative self-supervised feature extractors, find that the semantic information encoded by individual networks strongly depends on their training procedure, and show that DINOv2-ViT-L/14 allows for much richer evaluation of generative models. Next, we investigate data memorization, and find that generative models do memorize training examples on simple, smaller datasets like CIFAR10, but not necessarily on more complex datasets like ImageNet. However, our experiments show that current metrics do not properly detect memorization: none in the literature is able to separate memorization from other phenomena such as underfitting or mode shrinkage. To facilitate further development of generative models and their evaluation we release all generated image datasets, human evaluation data, and a modular library to compute 17 common metrics for 9 different encoders at https://github.com/layer6ai-labs/dgm-eval.

Variational inference is a technique that approximates a target distribution by optimizing within the parameter space of variational families. On the other hand, Wasserstein gradient flows describe optimization within the space of probability measures where they do not necessarily admit a parametric density function. In this paper, we bridge the gap between these two methods. We demonstrate that, under certain conditions, the Bures-Wasserstein gradient flow can be recast as the Euclidean gradient flow where its forward Euler scheme is the standard black-box variational inference algorithm. Specifically, the vector field of the gradient flow is generated via the path-derivative gradient estimator. We also offer an alternative perspective on the path-derivative gradient, framing it as a distillation procedure to the Wasserstein gradient flow. Distillations can be extended to encompass $f$-divergences and non-Gaussian variational families. This extension yields a new gradient estimator for $f$-divergences, readily implementable using contemporary machine learning libraries like PyTorch or TensorFlow.

Network clustering tackles the problem of identifying sets of nodes (communities) that have similar connection patterns. However, in many scenarios, nodes also have attributes that are correlated with the clustering structure. Thus, network information (edges) and node information (attributes) can be jointly leveraged to design high-performance clustering algorithms. Under a general model for the network and node attributes, this work establishes an information-theoretic criterion for the exact recovery of community labels and characterizes a phase transition determined by the Chernoff-Hellinger divergence of the model. The criterion shows how network and attribute information can be exchanged in order to have exact recovery (e.g., more reliable network information requires less reliable attribute information). This work also presents an iterative clustering algorithm that maximizes the joint likelihood, assuming that the probability distribution of network interactions and node attributes belong to exponential families. This covers a broad range of possible interactions (e.g., edges with weights) and attributes (e.g., non-Gaussian models), as well as sparse networks, while also exploring the connection between exponential families and Bregman divergences. Extensive numerical experiments using synthetic data indicate that the proposed algorithm outperforms classic algorithms that leverage only network or only attribute information as well as state-of-the-art algorithms that also leverage both sources of information. The contributions of this work provide insights into the fundamental limits and practical techniques for inferring community labels on node-attributed networks.

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this technique to higher dimensions is to leverage the implicit low-dimensional manifold upon which the data actually lies, as postulated by the manifold hypothesis. Prior work ordinarily requires the manifold structure to be explicitly provided though, i.e. given by a mesh or be known to be one of the well-known manifolds like the sphere. In contrast, in this paper we propose a Gaussian process regression technique capable of inferring implicit structure directly from data (labeled and unlabeled) in a fully differentiable way. For the resulting model, we discuss its convergence to the Mat\'ern Gaussian process on the assumed manifold. Our technique scales up to hundreds of thousands of data points, and may improve the predictive performance and calibration of the standard Gaussian process regression in high-dimensional~settings.

We present a new representation learning framework, Intensity Profile Projection, for continuous-time dynamic network data. Given triples $(i,j,t)$, each representing a time-stamped ($t$) interaction between two entities ($i,j$), our procedure returns a continuous-time trajectory for each node, representing its behaviour over time. The framework consists of three stages: estimating pairwise intensity functions, e.g. via kernel smoothing; learning a projection which minimises a notion of intensity reconstruction error; and constructing evolving node representations via the learned projection. The trajectories satisfy two properties, known as structural and temporal coherence, which we see as fundamental for reliable inference. Moreoever, we develop estimation theory providing tight control on the error of any estimated trajectory, indicating that the representations could even be used in quite noise-sensitive follow-on analyses. The theory also elucidates the role of smoothing as a bias-variance trade-off, and shows how we can reduce the level of smoothing as the signal-to-noise ratio increases on account of the algorithm `borrowing strength' across the network.

As algorithmic decision-making continues to increase in prevalence across both the private and public sectors [1, 2], there has been an increasing push to scrutinize the fairness of these systems. This has lead to an explosion of interest in so-called "algorithmic fairness", and a significant body of work has focused on both defining fairness and training models in fair ways (e.g., [3-5]). However, preventing and redressing harms in real systems also requires the ability to audit models in order to assess their impact; such algorithmic audits are an increasing area of focus for researchers and practitioners [6-9]. Auditing may begin during model development [10], but as model behavior often changes over time throughout real-world deployment in response to distribution shift or model updates [11, 12], it is often necessary to repeatedly audit the performance of algorithmic systems over time [8, 13]. Detecting whether deployed models continue to meet various fairness criteria is of paramount importance to deciding whether an automated decision-making system continues to act reliably and whether intervention is necessary. In this work, we consider the perspective of an auditor or auditing agency tasked with determining if a model deployed "in the wild" is fair or not. Data concerning the system's decisions are gathered over time (perhaps with the purpose of testing fairness but perhaps for another purpose) and our goal is to determine if there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the system is unfair. If a system is in fact unfair, we want to determine so as early as possible, both in order to avert harms to users and because auditing may require expensive investment to collect or label samples [8, 13]. Following the recent work of Taskesen et al. [14] and Si et al. [15], a natural statistical framework for thinking about this problem is hypothesis testing.

Differentially private (DP) synthetic data sets are a solution for sharing data while preserving the privacy of individual data providers. Understanding the effects of utilizing DP synthetic data in end-to-end machine learning pipelines impacts areas such as health care and humanitarian action, where data is scarce and regulated by restrictive privacy laws. In this work, we investigate the extent to which synthetic data can replace real, tabular data in machine learning pipelines and identify the most effective synthetic data generation techniques for training and evaluating machine learning models. We systematically investigate the impacts of differentially private synthetic data on downstream classification tasks from the point of view of utility as well as fairness. Our analysis is comprehensive and includes representatives of the two main types of synthetic data generation algorithms: marginal-based and GAN-based. To the best of our knowledge, our work is the first that: (i) proposes a training and evaluation framework that does not assume that real data is available for testing the utility and fairness of machine learning models trained on synthetic data; (ii) presents the most extensive analysis of synthetic data set generation algorithms in terms of utility and fairness when used for training machine learning models; and (iii) encompasses several different definitions of fairness. Our findings demonstrate that marginal-based synthetic data generators surpass GAN-based ones regarding model training utility for tabular data. Indeed, we show that models trained using data generated by marginal-based algorithms can exhibit similar utility to models trained using real data. Our analysis also reveals that the marginal-based synthetic data generator MWEM PGM can train models that simultaneously achieve utility and fairness characteristics close to those obtained by models trained with real data.

Carefully curated and annotated datasets are the foundation of machine learning, with particularly data-hungry deep neural networks forming the core of what is often called Artificial Intelligence (AI). Due to the massive success of deep learning applied to Earth Observation (EO) problems, the focus of the community has been largely on the development of ever-more sophisticated deep neural network architectures and training strategies largely ignoring the overall importance of datasets. For that purpose, numerous task-specific datasets have been created that were largely ignored by previously published review articles on AI for Earth observation. With this article, we want to change the perspective and put machine learning datasets dedicated to Earth observation data and applications into the spotlight. Based on a review of the historical developments, currently available resources are described and a perspective for future developments is formed. We hope to contribute to an understanding that the nature of our data is what distinguishes the Earth observation community from many other communities that apply deep learning techniques to image data, and that a detailed understanding of EO data peculiarities is among the core competencies of our discipline.