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What's in store for 2024? Read our experts' predictions, from Trump 2.0 to a super el Niño
Fashion and lifestyle have a knack for the surprise. The out-of-the-blue rise of butter moulding, say, or the sudden coolness of a shoe with a cloven toe. Divergence and disparateness are the mood music for 2024. What this means for fashion is yet more extreme luxury, both of the stealth wealth and exhibitionist varieties. But there will also be more emphasis than ever on thrifting, textile recycling, and the development of new materials, especially in the luxury market. Expect more seaweed yarns, plastic-free sequins and grape leathers like those shown by designer Stella McCartney at Cop28. With several elections set for 2024, slogan T-shirts will be used once more for political statements and to pledge allegiance rather than for more personal messages. Expect Maga caps and merch in the vein of Keir Starmer's Sparkle With Starmer tee, turned around at speed after he was glitter-bombed at Labour conference.
Global $\mathcal{L}^2$ minimization at uniform exponential rate via geometrically adapted gradient descent in Deep Learning
We consider the gradient descent flow widely used for the minimization of the $\mathcal{L}^2$ cost function in Deep Learning networks, and introduce two modified versions; one adapted for the overparametrized setting, and the other for the underparametrized setting. Both have a clear and natural invariant geometric meaning, taking into account the pullback vector bundle structure in the overparametrized, and the pushforward vector bundle structure in the underparametrized setting. In the overparametrized case, we prove that, provided that a rank condition holds, all orbits of the modified gradient descent drive the $\mathcal{L}^2$ cost to its global minimum at a uniform exponential convergence rate; one thereby obtains an a priori stopping time for any prescribed proximity to the global minimum. We point out relations of the latter to sub-Riemannian geometry.
Simplicity bias, algorithmic probability, and the random logistic map
Hamzi, Boumediene, Dingle, Kamaludin
Simplicity bias is an intriguing phenomenon prevalent in various input-output maps, characterized by a preference for simpler, more regular, or symmetric outputs. Notably, these maps typically feature high-probability outputs with simple patterns, whereas complex patterns are exponentially less probable. This bias has been extensively examined and attributed to principles derived from algorithmic information theory and algorithmic probability. In a significant advancement, it has been demonstrated that the renowned logistic map $x_{k+1}=\mu x_k(1-x_k)$, and other one-dimensional maps exhibit simplicity bias when conceptualized as input-output systems. Building upon this foundational work, our research delves into the manifestations of simplicity bias within the random logistic map, specifically focusing on scenarios involving additive noise. This investigation is driven by the overarching goal of formulating a comprehensive theory for the prediction and analysis of time series.Our primary contributions are multifaceted. We discover that simplicity bias is observable in the random logistic map for specific ranges of $\mu$ and noise magnitudes. Additionally, we find that this bias persists even with the introduction of small measurement noise, though it diminishes as noise levels increase. Our studies also revisit the phenomenon of noise-induced chaos, particularly when $\mu=3.83$, revealing its characteristics through complexity-probability plots. Intriguingly, we employ the logistic map to underscore a paradoxical aspect of data analysis: more data adhering to a consistent trend can occasionally lead to reduced confidence in extrapolation predictions, challenging conventional wisdom.We propose that adopting a probability-complexity perspective in analyzing dynamical systems could significantly enrich statistical learning theories related to series prediction.
Generation Z's Ability to Discriminate Between AI-generated and Human-Authored Text on Discord
Ramu, Dhruv, Jain, Rishab, Jain, Aditya
The growing popularity of generative artificial intelligence (AI) chatbots such as ChatGPT is having transformative effects on social media. As the prevalence of AI-generated content grows, concerns have been raised regarding privacy and misinformation online. Among social media platforms, Discord enables AI integrations -- making their primarily "Generation Z" userbase particularly exposed to AI-generated content. We surveyed Generation Z aged individuals (n = 335) to evaluate their proficiency in discriminating between AI-generated and human-authored text on Discord. The investigation employed one-shot prompting of ChatGPT, disguised as a text message received on the Discord.com platform. We explore the influence of demographic factors on ability, as well as participants' familiarity with Discord and artificial intelligence technologies. We find that Generation Z individuals are unable to discern between AI and human-authored text (p = 0.011), and that those with lower self-reported familiarity with Discord demonstrated an improved ability in identifying human-authored compared to those with self-reported experience with AI (p << 0.0001). Our results suggest that there is a nuanced relationship between AI technology and popular modes of communication for Generation Z, contributing valuable insights into human-computer interactions, digital communication, and artificial intelligence literacy.
DocLLM: A layout-aware generative language model for multimodal document understanding
Wang, Dongsheng, Raman, Natraj, Sibue, Mathieu, Ma, Zhiqiang, Babkin, Petr, Kaur, Simerjot, Pei, Yulong, Nourbakhsh, Armineh, Liu, Xiaomo
Enterprise documents such as forms, invoices, receipts, reports, contracts, and other similar records, often carry rich semantics at the intersection of textual and spatial modalities. The visual cues offered by their complex layouts play a crucial role in comprehending these documents effectively. In this paper, we present DocLLM, a lightweight extension to traditional large language models (LLMs) for reasoning over visual documents, taking into account both textual semantics and spatial layout. Our model differs from existing multimodal LLMs by avoiding expensive image encoders and focuses exclusively on bounding box information to incorporate the spatial layout structure. Specifically, the cross-alignment between text and spatial modalities is captured by decomposing the attention mechanism in classical transformers to a set of disentangled matrices. Furthermore, we devise a pre-training objective that learns to infill text segments. This approach allows us to address irregular layouts and heterogeneous content frequently encountered in visual documents. The pre-trained model is fine-tuned using a large-scale instruction dataset, covering four core document intelligence tasks. We demonstrate that our solution outperforms SotA LLMs on 14 out of 16 datasets across all tasks, and generalizes well to 4 out of 5 previously unseen datasets.
InRank: Incremental Low-Rank Learning
Zhao, Jiawei, Zhang, Yifei, Chen, Beidi, Schäfer, Florian, Anandkumar, Anima
The theory of greedy low-rank learning (GLRL) aims to explain the impressive generalization capabilities of deep learning. It proves that stochastic gradient-based training implicitly regularizes neural networks towards low-rank solutions through a gradual increase of the rank during training. However, there is a gap between theory and practice since GLRL requires an infinitesimal initialization of the weights, which is not practical due to the fact that it is a saddle point. In this work, we remove the assumption of infinitesimal initialization by focusing on cumulative weight updates. We prove the cumulative weight updates follow an incremental low-rank trajectory for arbitrary orthogonal initialization of weights in a three-layer linear network. Empirically, we demonstrate that our theory holds on a broad range of neural networks (e.g., transformers) and standard training algorithms (e.g., SGD, Adam). However, existing training algorithms do not exploit the low-rank property to improve computational efficiency as the networks are not parameterized in low-rank. To remedy this, we design a new training algorithm Incremental Low-Rank Learning (InRank), which explicitly expresses cumulative weight updates as low-rank matrices while incrementally augmenting their ranks during training. We evaluate InRank on GPT-2, and our results indicate that InRank achieves comparable prediction performance as the full-rank counterpart while requiring at most 33% of the total ranks throughout training. We also propose an efficient version of InRank that achieves a reduction of 37% in total training time and 36% in model size when training GPT-medium on WikiText-103 from scratch.
A Survey of Methods, Challenges and Perspectives in Causality
Gendron, Gaël, Witbrock, Michael, Dobbie, Gillian
Deep Learning models have shown success in a large variety of tasks by extracting correlation patterns from high-dimensional data but still struggle when generalizing out of their initial distribution. As causal engines aim to learn mechanisms independent from a data distribution, combining Deep Learning with Causality can have a great impact on the two fields. In this paper, we further motivate this assumption. We perform an extensive overview of the theories and methods for Causality from different perspectives, with an emphasis on Deep Learning and the challenges met by the two domains. We show early attempts to bring the fields together and the possible perspectives for the future. We finish by providing a large variety of applications for techniques from Causality.
Differentially Private Diffusion Models
Dockhorn, Tim, Cao, Tianshi, Vahdat, Arash, Kreis, Karsten
While modern machine learning models rely on increasingly large training datasets, data is often limited in privacy-sensitive domains. Generative models trained with differential privacy (DP) on sensitive data can sidestep this challenge, providing access to synthetic data instead. We build on the recent success of diffusion models (DMs) and introduce Differentially Private Diffusion Models (DPDMs), which enforce privacy using differentially private stochastic gradient descent (DP-SGD). We investigate the DM parameterization and the sampling algorithm, which turn out to be crucial ingredients in DPDMs, and propose noise multiplicity, a powerful modification of DP-SGD tailored to the training of DMs. We validate our novel DPDMs on image generation benchmarks and achieve state-of-the-art performance in all experiments. Moreover, on standard benchmarks, classifiers trained on DPDM-generated synthetic data perform on par with task-specific DP-SGD-trained classifiers, which has not been demonstrated before for DP generative models.
Symbolic Cognitive Diagnosis via Hybrid Optimization for Intelligent Education Systems
Shen, Junhao, Qian, Hong, Zhang, Wei, Zhou, Aimin
Cognitive diagnosis assessment is a fundamental and crucial task for student learning. It models the student-exercise interaction, and discovers the students' proficiency levels on each knowledge attribute. In real-world intelligent education systems, generalization and interpretability of cognitive diagnosis methods are of equal importance. However, most existing methods can hardly make the best of both worlds due to the complicated student-exercise interaction. To this end, this paper proposes a symbolic cognitive diagnosis~(SCD) framework to simultaneously enhance generalization and interpretability. The SCD framework incorporates the symbolic tree to explicably represent the complicated student-exercise interaction function, and utilizes gradient-based optimization methods to effectively learn the student and exercise parameters. Meanwhile, the accompanying challenge is that we need to tunnel the discrete symbolic representation and continuous parameter optimization. To address this challenge, we propose to hybridly optimize the representation and parameters in an alternating manner. To fulfill SCD, it alternately learns the symbolic tree by derivative-free genetic programming and learns the student and exercise parameters via gradient-based Adam. The extensive experimental results on various real-world datasets show the superiority of SCD on both generalization and interpretability. The ablation study verifies the efficacy of each ingredient in SCD, and the case study explicitly showcases how the interpretable ability of SCD works.