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The CAST package for training and assessment of spatial prediction models in R

arXiv.org Machine Learning

One key task in environmental science is to map environmental variables continuously in space or even in space and time. Machine learning algorithms are frequently used to learn from local field observations to make spatial predictions by estimating the value of the variable of interest in places where it has not been measured. However, the application of machine learning strategies for spatial mapping involves additional challenges compared to "non-spatial" prediction tasks that often originate from spatial autocorrelation and from training data that are not independent and identically distributed. In the past few years, we developed a number of methods to support the application of machine learning for spatial data which involves the development of suitable cross-validation strategies for performance assessment and model selection, spatial feature selection, and methods to assess the area of applicability of the trained models. The intention of the CAST package is to support the application of machine learning strategies for predictive mapping by implementing such methods and making them available for easy integration into modelling workflows. Here we introduce the CAST package and its core functionalities. At the case study of mapping plant species richness, we will go through the different steps of the modelling workflow and show how CAST can be used to support more reliable spatial predictions.


Spain on high alert amid ISIS threats as European leaders warn of conflict with Russia: 'prewar era'

FOX News

Fox News senior foreign affairs correspondent Greg Palkot reports on the state of the suspected terrorists in Russia and the Kremlin's'spin machine.' Spain's Ministry of the Interior, on Tuesday, announced that it is on high alert and has activated all alert and response systems to prevent jihadist attacks during the Champions League quarterfinal matches scheduled to take place in Madrid on Tuesday and Wednesday, according to reports. On Tuesday, Real Madrid will take on Manchester City, while on Wednesday, Atlético Madrid will play against Borussia Dortmund. As the quarterfinals approach, threats have been made by the Islamic State terrorist network, which has threatened drone attacks on the soccer tournament, a reminder of the resurgence of the network after several deadly attacks earlier this year in places like Iran and Moscow. The ministry, led by Fernando Grand-Marlask, said the "State Security Forces and Bodies have all their early warning and protection systems activated, as well as their response systems ready" in response to preventing a terrorist attack, according to Spanish newspaper La Vanguardia.


Exploring the limitations of blood pressure estimation using the photoplethysmography signal

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Hypertension, a leading contributor to cardiovascular morbidity, underscores the need for accurate and continuous blood pressure (BP) monitoring. Photoplethysmography (PPG) presents a promising approach to this end. However, the precision of BP estimates derived from PPG signals has been the subject of ongoing debate, necessitating a comprehensive evaluation of their effectiveness and constraints. We developed a calibration-based Siamese ResNet model for BP estimation, using a signal input paired with a reference BP reading. We compared the use of normalized PPG (N-PPG) against the normalized Invasive Arterial Blood Pressure (N-IABP) signals as input. The N-IABP signals do not directly present systolic and diastolic values but theoretically provide a more accurate BP measure than PPG signals since it is a direct pressure sensor inside the body. Our strategy establishes a critical benchmark for PPG performance, realistically calibrating expectations for PPG's BP estimation capabilities. Nonetheless, we compared the performance of our models using different signal-filtering conditions to evaluate the impact of filtering on the results. We evaluated our method using the AAMI and the BHS standards employing the VitalDB dataset. The N-IABP signals meet with AAMI standards for both Systolic Blood Pressure (SBP) and Diastolic Blood Pressure (DBP), with errors of 1.29+-6.33mmHg for systolic pressure and 1.17+-5.78mmHg for systolic and diastolic pressure respectively for the raw N-IABP signal. In contrast, N-PPG signals, in their best setup, exhibited inferior performance than N-IABP, presenting 1.49+-11.82mmHg and 0.89+-7.27mmHg for systolic and diastolic pressure respectively. Our findings highlight the potential and limitations of employing PPG for BP estimation, showing that these signals contain information correlated to BP but may not be sufficient for predicting it accurately.


Diffusion based Zero-shot Medical Image-to-Image Translation for Cross Modality Segmentation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cross-modality image segmentation aims to segment the target modalities using a method designed in the source modality. Deep generative models can translate the target modality images into the source modality, thus enabling cross-modality segmentation. However, a vast body of existing cross-modality image translation methods relies on supervised learning. In this work, we aim to address the challenge of zero-shot learning-based image translation tasks (extreme scenarios in the target modality is unseen in the training phase). To leverage generative learning for zero-shot cross-modality image segmentation, we propose a novel unsupervised image translation method. The framework learns to translate the unseen source image to the target modality for image segmentation by leveraging the inherent statistical consistency between different modalities for diffusion guidance. Our framework captures identical cross-modality features in the statistical domain, offering diffusion guidance without relying on direct mappings between the source and target domains. This advantage allows our method to adapt to changing source domains without the need for retraining, making it highly practical when sufficient labeled source domain data is not available. The proposed framework is validated in zero-shot cross-modality image segmentation tasks through empirical comparisons with influential generative models, including adversarial-based and diffusion-based models.


EPL: Evidential Prototype Learning for Semi-supervised Medical Image Segmentation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Although current semi-supervised medical segmentation methods can achieve decent performance, they are still affected by the uncertainty in unlabeled data and model predictions, and there is currently a lack of effective strategies that can explore the uncertain aspects of both simultaneously. To address the aforementioned issues, we propose Evidential Prototype Learning (EPL), which utilizes an extended probabilistic framework to effectively fuse voxel probability predictions from different sources and achieves prototype fusion utilization of labeled and unlabeled data under a generalized evidential framework, leveraging voxel-level dual uncertainty masking. The uncertainty not only enables the model to self-correct predictions but also improves the guided learning process with pseudo-labels and is able to feed back into the construction of hidden features. The method proposed in this paper has been experimented on LA, Pancreas-CT and TBAD datasets, achieving the state-of-the-art performance in three different labeled ratios, which strongly demonstrates the effectiveness of our strategy.


Causal Unit Selection using Tractable Arithmetic Circuits

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The unit selection problem aims to find objects, called units, that optimize a causal objective function which describes the objects' behavior in a causal context (e.g., selecting customers who are about to churn but would most likely change their mind if encouraged). While early studies focused mainly on bounding a specific class of counterfactual objective functions using data, more recent work allows one to find optimal units exactly by reducing the causal objective to a classical objective on a meta-model, and then applying a variant of the classical Variable Elimination (VE) algorithm to the meta-model -- assuming a fully specified causal model is available. In practice, however, finding optimal units using this approach can be very expensive because the used VE algorithm must be exponential in the constrained treewidth of the meta-model, which is larger and denser than the original model. We address this computational challenge by introducing a new approach for unit selection that is not necessarily limited by the constrained treewidth. This is done through compiling the meta-model into a special class of tractable arithmetic circuits that allows the computation of optimal units in time linear in the circuit size. We finally present empirical results on random causal models that show order-of-magnitude speedups based on the proposed method for solving unit selection.


Better Monocular 3D Detectors with LiDAR from the Past

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurate 3D object detection is crucial to autonomous driving. Though LiDAR-based detectors have achieved impressive performance, the high cost of LiDAR sensors precludes their widespread adoption in affordable vehicles. Camera-based detectors are cheaper alternatives but often suffer inferior performance compared to their LiDAR-based counterparts due to inherent depth ambiguities in images. In this work, we seek to improve monocular 3D detectors by leveraging unlabeled historical LiDAR data. Specifically, at inference time, we assume that the camera-based detectors have access to multiple unlabeled LiDAR scans from past traversals at locations of interest (potentially from other high-end vehicles equipped with LiDAR sensors). Under this setup, we proposed a novel, simple, and end-to-end trainable framework, termed AsyncDepth, to effectively extract relevant features from asynchronous LiDAR traversals of the same location for monocular 3D detectors. We show consistent and significant performance gain (up to 9 AP) across multiple state-of-the-art models and datasets with a negligible additional latency of 9.66 ms and a small storage cost.


LLMs in the Heart of Differential Testing: A Case Study on a Medical Rule Engine

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Cancer Registry of Norway (CRN) uses an automated cancer registration support system (CaReSS) to support core cancer registry activities, i.e, data capture, data curation, and producing data products and statistics for various stakeholders. GURI is a core component of CaReSS, which is responsible for validating incoming data with medical rules. Such medical rules are manually implemented by medical experts based on medical standards, regulations, and research. Since large language models (LLMs) have been trained on a large amount of public information, including these documents, they can be employed to generate tests for GURI. Thus, we propose an LLM-based test generation and differential testing approach (LLMeDiff) to test GURI. We experimented with four different LLMs, two medical rule engine implementations, and 58 real medical rules to investigate the hallucination, success, time efficiency, and robustness of the LLMs to generate tests, and these tests' ability to find potential issues in GURI. Our results showed that GPT-3.5 hallucinates the least, is the most successful, and is generally the most robust; however, it has the worst time efficiency. Our differential testing revealed 22 medical rules where implementation inconsistencies were discovered (e.g., regarding handling rule versions). Finally, we provide insights for practitioners and researchers based on the results.


Evolving Loss Functions for Specific Image Augmentation Techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Previous work in Neural Loss Function Search (NLFS) has shown a lack of correlation between smaller surrogate functions and large convolutional neural networks with massive regularization. We expand upon this research by revealing another disparity that exists, correlation between different types of image augmentation techniques. We show that different loss functions can perform well on certain image augmentation techniques, while performing poorly on others. We exploit this disparity by performing an evolutionary search on five types of image augmentation techniques in the hopes of finding image augmentation specific loss functions. The best loss functions from each evolution were then taken and transferred to WideResNet-28-10 on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 across each of the five image augmentation techniques. The best from that were then taken and evaluated by fine-tuning EfficientNetV2Small on the CARS, Oxford-Flowers, and Caltech datasets across each of the five image augmentation techniques. Multiple loss functions were found that outperformed cross-entropy across multiple experiments. In the end, we found a single loss function, which we called the inverse bessel logarithm loss, that was able to outperform cross-entropy across the majority of experiments. Neural loss function search (NFLS) is the field of automated machine learning dedicated to finding loss functions better than cross entropy for machine learning and deep learning tasks. NLFS has been applied to object detection (Liu et al., 2021), image segmentation (Li et al., 2022), and person re-identification (Gu et al., 2022).


Generative Pre-Trained Transformer for Symbolic Regression Base In-Context Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The mathematical formula is the human language to describe nature and is the essence of scientific research. Finding mathematical formulas from observational data is a major demand of scientific research and a major challenge of artificial intelligence. This area is called symbolic regression. Originally symbolic regression was often formulated as a combinatorial optimization problem and solved using GP or reinforcement learning algorithms. These two kinds of algorithms have strong noise robustness ability and good Versatility. However, inference time usually takes a long time, so the search efficiency is relatively low. Later, based on large-scale pre-training data proposed, such methods use a large number of synthetic data points and expression pairs to train a Generative Pre-Trained Transformer(GPT). Then this GPT can only need to perform one forward propagation to obtain the results, the advantage is that the inference speed is very fast. However, its performance is very dependent on the training data and performs poorly on data outside the training set, which leads to poor noise robustness and Versatility of such methods. So, can we combine the advantages of the above two categories of SR algorithms? In this paper, we propose \textbf{FormulaGPT}, which trains a GPT using massive sparse reward learning histories of reinforcement learning-based SR algorithms as training data. After training, the SR algorithm based on reinforcement learning is distilled into a Transformer. When new test data comes, FormulaGPT can directly generate a "reinforcement learning process" and automatically update the learning policy in context. Tested on more than ten datasets including SRBench, formulaGPT achieves the state-of-the-art performance in fitting ability compared with four baselines. In addition, it achieves satisfactory results in noise robustness, versatility, and inference efficiency.