Pacific Ocean
QASE Enhanced PLMs: Improved Control in Text Generation for MRC
Ai, Lin, Hui, Zheng, Liu, Zizhou, Hirschberg, Julia
To address the challenges of out-of-control generation in generative models for machine reading comprehension (MRC), we introduce the Question-Attended Span Extraction (QASE) module. Integrated during the fine-tuning of pre-trained generative language models (PLMs), QASE enables these PLMs to match SOTA extractive methods and outperform leading LLMs like GPT-4 in MRC tasks, without significant increases in computational costs.
Rainbow Teaming: Open-Ended Generation of Diverse Adversarial Prompts
Samvelyan, Mikayel, Raparthy, Sharath Chandra, Lupu, Andrei, Hambro, Eric, Markosyan, Aram H., Bhatt, Manish, Mao, Yuning, Jiang, Minqi, Parker-Holder, Jack, Foerster, Jakob, Rocktäschel, Tim, Raileanu, Roberta
Large language models (LLMs) have recently experienced remarkable growth in both their capabilities (OpenAI, 2023; Gemini Team et al., 2023; Touvron et al., 2023) and their applications in various fields (NLLB Team et al., 2022; Thirunavukarasu et al., 2023; Schick et al., 2023; Bubeck et al., 2023). As LLMs become increasingly complex and are deployed in safety-critical environments (Singhal et al., 2022; Li et al., 2023; Maddela et al., 2023), it is essential to thoroughly understand their robustness to different inputs. Indeed, the susceptibility of LLMs to user inputs and adversarial prompts -- prompts crafted to mislead the model or exploit its weaknesses, potentially leading to unsafe, biased, or incorrect outputs -- poses a significant challenge (Perez et al., 2022; Wei et al., 2023; Zou et al., 2023). Identifying these vulnerabilities and subsequently mitigating such risks is therefore vital to ensure the safe and reliable operation of LLMs in the real world. Current methods for identifying adversarial prompts aimed at "attacking" LLMs and eliciting undesirable outputs are limited by several factors.
Barrier-Enhanced Homotopic Parallel Trajectory Optimization for Safety-Critical Autonomous Driving
Zheng, Lei, Yang, Rui, Wang, Michael Yu, Ma, Jun
Enforcing safety while preventing overly conservative behaviors is essential for autonomous vehicles to achieve high task performance. In this paper, we propose a barrier-enhanced homotopic parallel trajectory optimization (BHPTO) approach with over-relaxed alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) for real-time integrated decision-making and planning. To facilitate safety interactions between the ego vehicle (EV) and surrounding vehicles, a spatiotemporal safety module exhibiting bi-convexity is developed on the basis of barrier function. Varying barrier coefficients are adopted for different time steps in a planning horizon to account for the motion uncertainties of surrounding HVs and mitigate conservative behaviors. Additionally, we exploit the discrete characteristics of driving maneuvers to initialize nominal behavior-oriented free-end homotopic trajectories based on reachability analysis, and each trajectory is locally constrained to a specific driving maneuver while sharing the same task objectives. By leveraging the bi-convexity of the safety module and the kinematics of the EV, we formulate the BHPTO as a bi-convex optimization problem. Then constraint transcription and over-relaxed ADMM are employed to streamline the optimization process, such that multiple trajectories are generated in real time with feasibility guarantees. Through a series of experiments, the proposed development demonstrates improved task accuracy, stability, and consistency in various traffic scenarios using synthetic and real-world traffic datasets.
Video as the New Language for Real-World Decision Making
Yang, Sherry, Walker, Jacob, Parker-Holder, Jack, Du, Yilun, Bruce, Jake, Barreto, Andre, Abbeel, Pieter, Schuurmans, Dale
Both text and video data are abundant on the internet and support large-scale self-supervised learning through next token or frame prediction. However, they have not been equally leveraged: language models have had significant real-world impact, whereas video generation has remained largely limited to media entertainment. Yet video data captures important information about the physical world that is difficult to express in language. To address this gap, we discuss an under-appreciated opportunity to extend video generation to solve tasks in the real world. We observe how, akin to language, video can serve as a unified interface that can absorb internet knowledge and represent diverse tasks. Moreover, we demonstrate how, like language models, video generation can serve as planners, agents, compute engines, and environment simulators through techniques such as in-context learning, planning and reinforcement learning. We identify major impact opportunities in domains such as robotics, self-driving, and science, supported by recent work that demonstrates how such advanced capabilities in video generation are plausibly within reach. Lastly, we identify key challenges in video generation that mitigate progress. Addressing these challenges will enable video generation models to demonstrate unique value alongside language models in a wider array of AI applications.
PDETime: Rethinking Long-Term Multivariate Time Series Forecasting from the perspective of partial differential equations
Qi, Shiyi, Xu, Zenglin, Li, Yiduo, Wen, Liangjian, Wen, Qingsong, Wang, Qifan, Qi, Yuan
Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the development of various models for long-term multivariate time-series forecasting (LMTF), many of which have shown promising results. Generally, the focus has been on historical-value-based models, which rely on past observations to predict future series. Notably, a new trend has emerged with time-index-based models, offering a more nuanced understanding of the continuous dynamics underlying time series. Unlike these two types of models that aggregate the information of spatial domains or temporal domains, in this paper, we consider multivariate time series as spatiotemporal data regularly sampled from a continuous dynamical system, which can be represented by partial differential equations (PDEs), with the spatial domain being fixed. Building on this perspective, we present PDETime, a novel LMTF model inspired by the principles of Neural PDE solvers, following the encoding-integration-decoding operations. Our extensive experimentation across seven diverse real-world LMTF datasets reveals that PDETime not only adapts effectively to the intrinsic spatiotemporal nature of the data but also sets new benchmarks, achieving state-of-the-art results
Don't Forget Your Reward Values: Language Model Alignment via Value-based Calibration
Mao, Xin, Li, Feng-Lin, Xu, Huimin, Zhang, Wei, Luu, Anh Tuan
While Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) significantly enhances the generation quality of Large Language Models (LLMs), recent studies have raised concerns regarding the complexity and instability associated with the Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) algorithm, proposing a series of order-based calibration methods as viable alternatives. This paper delves further into current order-based methods, examining their inefficiencies in utilizing reward values and addressing misalignment issues. Building upon these findings, we propose a novel \textbf{V}alue-based \textbf{C}ali\textbf{B}ration (VCB) method to better align LLMs with human preferences. Experimental results demonstrate that VCB surpasses existing alignment methods on AI assistant and summarization datasets, providing impressive generalizability, robustness, and stability in diverse settings.
San Mateo County is the latest community expressing concern against Waymo, driverless cars
Another California community is raising concerns about plans to unleash the Waymo self-driving vehicle in its jurisdiction, following several incidents involving autonomous ride-hailing cars that resulted in injuries. San Mateo County, in the San Francisco Bay Area, has requested more information from state regulators before allowing Google-owned Waymo to operate its driverless vehicles in the county. San Mateo County made the request after Waymo submitted a letter Jan. 19 to the California Public Utilities Commission, asking the agency to approve its proposed expansion of its Automated Vehicle Passenger Services into portions of the San Francisco Peninsula, which includes San Mateo County, as well as the southwest region of Los Angeles County. The company has already been serving a portion of San Francisco, from Lands End to Bernal Heights. The autonomous car began offering rides for a limited time in November in Santa Monica, Century City, West Hollywood, Mid-City Koreatwon and downtown L.A., giving residents a chance at testing the driverless ride.
Infrastructure Ombudsman: Mining Future Failure Concerns from Structural Disaster Response
Chowdhury, Md Towhidul Absar, Datta, Soumyajit, Sharma, Naveen, KhudaBukhsh, Ashiqur R.
On January 28, 2022, at 6.39 a.m. EST, the Fern Hollow Bridge in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania collapsed. Due to the timing of the failure, thankfully, fewer vehicles were on the bridge and only ten people were injured with no fatalities. Pittsburgh, also known as the City of Bridges, was getting ready for a visit from President Biden that day. Biden visited the collapse site and assured federal assistance to rebuild the bridge on the spot. This infrastructural failure, coinciding with a high-profile political visit and a push towards passing the Build Back Better infrastructure bill, attracted considerable media attention to the flailing infrastructural health in the US. As we were sifting through the social web discussions surrounding this issue, broad themes such as words of compassion for the victims and typical responses in social web political discourse such as political name-calling, conspiracy theories, and partisan mud-slinging emerged. However, apart from these expected social web reactions, we noticed a small minority of interactions that talked about anticipatory failures of other bridges in the US.
The Importance of Architecture Choice in Deep Learning for Climate Applications
Dräger, Simon, Sonnewald, Maike
Machine Learning has become a pervasive tool in climate science applications. However, current models fail to address nonstationarity induced by anthropogenic alterations in greenhouse emissions and do not routinely quantify the uncertainty of proposed projections. In this paper, we model the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) which is of major importance to climate in Europe and the US East Coast by transporting warm water to these regions, and has the potential for abrupt collapse. We can generate arbitrarily extreme climate scenarios through arbitrary time scales which we then predict using neural networks. Our analysis shows that the AMOC is predictable using neural networks under a diverse set of climate scenarios. Further experiments reveal that MLPs and Deep Ensembles can learn the physics of the AMOC instead of imitating its progression through autocorrelation. With quantified uncertainty, an intriguing pattern of "spikes" before critical points of collapse in the AMOC casts doubt on previous analyses that predicted an AMOC collapse within this century. Our results show that Bayesian Neural Networks perform poorly compared to more dense architectures and care should be taken when applying neural networks to nonstationary scenarios such as climate projections. Further, our results highlight that big NN models might have difficulty in modeling global Earth System dynamics accurately and be successfully applied in nonstationary climate scenarios due to the physics being challenging for neural networks to capture.
Quantitative causality, causality-guided scientific discovery, and causal machine learning
Liang, X. San, Chen, Dake, Zhang, Renhe
It has been said, arguably, that causality analysis should pave a promising way to interpretable deep learning and generalization. Incorporation of causality into artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms, however, is challenged with its vagueness, non-quantitiveness, computational inefficiency, etc. During the past 18 years, these challenges have been essentially resolved, with the establishment of a rigorous formalism of causality analysis initially motivated from atmospheric predictability. This not only opens a new field in the atmosphere-ocean science, namely, information flow, but also has led to scientific discoveries in other disciplines, such as quantum mechanics, neuroscience, financial economics, etc., through various applications. This note provides a brief review of the decade-long effort, including a list of major theoretical results, a sketch of the causal deep learning framework, and some representative real-world applications in geoscience pertaining to this journal, such as those on the anthropogenic cause of global warming, the decadal prediction of El Niño Modoki, the forecasting of an extreme drought in China, among others. Keywords: Causality, Liang-Kleeman information flow, Causal artificial intelligence, Fuzzy cognitive map, Interpretability, Frobenius-Perron operator, Weather/Climate forecasting 1. Introduction Causality analysis is a fundamental problem in scientific research, as commented by Einstein in 1953 in response to a question on the status quo of science in China at that time (cf. the historical record in Hu, 2005).The recent rush in artificial intelligence (AI) has stimulated enormous interest in causal inference, partly due to the realization that it may take the field to the next level to approach human intelligence (see Pearl, 2018; Bengio, 2019; Schölkopf, 2022). In the fields pertaining to this journal, assessment of the cause-effect relations between dynamic events makes a natural objective for the corresponding researches.