Pacific Ocean
Iffy-Or-Not: Extending the Web to Support the Critical Evaluation of Fallacious Texts
Lim, Gionnieve, Kim, Juho, Perrault, Simon T.
Social platforms have expanded opportunities for deliberation with the comments being used to inform one's opinion. However, using such information to form opinions is challenged by unsubstantiated or false content. To enhance the quality of opinion formation and potentially confer resistance to misinformation, we developed Iffy-Or-Not (ION), a browser extension that seeks to invoke critical thinking when reading texts. With three features guided by argumentation theory, ION highlights fallacious content, suggests diverse queries to probe them with, and offers deeper questions to consider and chat with others about. From a user study (N=18), we found that ION encourages users to be more attentive to the content, suggests queries that align with or are preferable to their own, and poses thought-provoking questions that expands their perspectives. However, some participants expressed aversion to ION due to misalignments with their information goals and thinking predispositions. Potential backfiring effects with ION are discussed.
Generative AI in Transportation Planning: A Survey
Da, Longchao, Chen, Tiejin, Li, Zhuoheng, Bachiraju, Shreyas, Yao, Huaiyuan, Li, Li, Dong, Yushun, Hu, Xiyang, Tu, Zhengzhong, Wang, Dongjie, Zhao, Yue, Xuanyu, null, Zhou, null, Pendyala, Ram, Stabler, Benjamin, Yang, Yezhou, Zhou, Xuesong, Wei, Hua
The integration of generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) into transportation planning has the potential to revolutionize tasks such as demand forecasting, infrastructure design, policy evaluation, and traffic simulation. However, there is a critical need for a systematic framework to guide the adoption of GenAI in this interdisciplinary domain. In this survey, we, a multidisciplinary team of researchers spanning computer science and transportation engineering, present the first comprehensive framework for leveraging GenAI in transportation planning. Specifically, we introduce a new taxonomy that categorizes existing applications and methodologies into two perspectives: transportation planning tasks and computational techniques. From the transportation planning perspective, we examine the role of GenAI in automating descriptive, predictive, generative, simulation, and explainable tasks to enhance mobility systems. From the computational perspective, we detail advancements in data preparation, domain-specific fine-tuning, and inference strategies, such as retrieval-augmented generation and zero-shot learning tailored to transportation applications. Additionally, we address critical challenges, including data scarcity, explainability, bias mitigation, and the development of domain-specific evaluation frameworks that align with transportation goals like sustainability, equity, and system efficiency. This survey aims to bridge the gap between traditional transportation planning methodologies and modern AI techniques, fostering collaboration and innovation. By addressing these challenges and opportunities, we seek to inspire future research that ensures ethical, equitable, and impactful use of generative AI in transportation planning.
Where do Large Vision-Language Models Look at when Answering Questions?
Xing, Xiaoying, Kuo, Chia-Wen, Fuxin, Li, Niu, Yulei, Chen, Fan, Li, Ming, Wu, Ying, Wen, Longyin, Zhu, Sijie
Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) have shown promising performance in vision-language understanding and reasoning tasks. However, their visual understanding behaviors remain underexplored. A fundamental question arises: to what extent do LVLMs rely on visual input, and which image regions contribute to their responses? It is non-trivial to interpret the free-form generation of LVLMs due to their complicated visual architecture (e.g., multiple encoders and multi-resolution) and variable-length outputs. In this paper, we extend existing heatmap visualization methods (e.g., iGOS++) to support LVLMs for open-ended visual question answering. We propose a method to select visually relevant tokens that reflect the relevance between generated answers and input image. Furthermore, we conduct a comprehensive analysis of state-of-the-art LVLMs on benchmarks designed to require visual information to answer. Our findings offer several insights into LVLM behavior, including the relationship between focus region and answer correctness, differences in visual attention across architectures, and the impact of LLM scale on visual understanding. The code and data are available at https://github.com/bytedance/LVLM_Interpretation.
Language Independent Named Entity Recognition via Orthogonal Transformation of Word Vectors
Rakha, Omar E., Abbas, Hazem M.
Word embeddings have been a key building block for NLP in which models relied heavily on word embeddings in many different tasks. In this paper, a model is proposed based on using Bidirectional LSTM/CRF with word embeddings to perform named entity recognition for any language. This is done by training a model on a source language (English) and transforming word embeddings from the target language into word embeddings of the source language by using an orthogonal linear transformation matrix. Evaluation of the model shows that by training a model on an English dataset the model was capable of detecting named entities in an Arabic dataset without neither training or fine tuning the model on an Arabic language dataset.
Evaluating Global Geo-alignment for Precision Learned Autonomous Vehicle Localization using Aerial Data
Yang, Yi, Zhao, Xuran, Zhao, H. Charles, Yuan, Shumin, Bateman, Samuel M., Huang, Tiffany A., Beall, Chris, Maddern, Will
Recently there has been growing interest in the use of aerial and satellite map data for autonomous vehicles, primarily due to its potential for significant cost reduction and enhanced scalability. Despite the advantages, aerial data also comes with challenges such as a sensor-modality gap and a viewpoint difference gap. Learned localization methods have shown promise for overcoming these challenges to provide precise metric localization for autonomous vehicles. Most learned localization methods rely on coarsely aligned ground truth, or implicit consistency-based methods to learn the localization task -- however, in this paper we find that improving the alignment between aerial data and autonomous vehicle sensor data at training time is critical to the performance of a learning-based localization system. We compare two data alignment methods using a factor graph framework and, using these methods, we then evaluate the effects of closely aligned ground truth on learned localization accuracy through ablation studies. Finally, we evaluate a learned localization system using the data alignment methods on a comprehensive (1600km) autonomous vehicle dataset and demonstrate localization error below 0.3m and 0.5$^{\circ}$ sufficient for autonomous vehicle applications.
Bayesian Modeling of Zero-Shot Classifications for Urban Flood Detection
Franchi, Matt, Garg, Nikhil, Ju, Wendy, Pierson, Emma
Street scene datasets, collected from Street View or dashboard cameras, offer a promising means of detecting urban objects and incidents like street flooding. However, a major challenge in using these datasets is their lack of reliable labels: there are myriad types of incidents, many types occur rarely, and ground-truth measures of where incidents occur are lacking. Here, we propose BayFlood, a two-stage approach which circumvents this difficulty. First, we perform zero-shot classification of where incidents occur using a pretrained vision-language model (VLM). Second, we fit a spatial Bayesian model on the VLM classifications. The zero-shot approach avoids the need to annotate large training sets, and the Bayesian model provides frequent desiderata in urban settings - principled measures of uncertainty, smoothing across locations, and incorporation of external data like stormwater accumulation zones. We comprehensively validate this two-stage approach, showing that VLMs provide strong zero-shot signal for floods across multiple cities and time periods, the Bayesian model improves out-of-sample prediction relative to baseline methods, and our inferred flood risk correlates with known external predictors of risk. Having validated our approach, we show it can be used to improve urban flood detection: our analysis reveals 113,738 people who are at high risk of flooding overlooked by current methods, identifies demographic biases in existing methods, and suggests locations for new flood sensors. More broadly, our results showcase how Bayesian modeling of zero-shot LM annotations represents a promising paradigm because it avoids the need to collect large labeled datasets and leverages the power of foundation models while providing the expressiveness and uncertainty quantification of Bayesian models.
Integrating Product Coefficients for Improved 3D LiDAR Data Classification
In this paper, we address the enhancement of classification accuracy for 3D point cloud Lidar data, an optical remote sensing technique that estimates the three-dimensional coordinates of a given terrain. Our approach introduces product coefficients, theoretical quantities derived from measure theory, as additional features in the classification process. We define and present the formulation of these product coefficients and conduct a comparative study, using them alongside principal component analysis (PCA) as feature inputs. Results demonstrate that incorporating product coefficients into the feature set significantly improves classification accuracy within this new framework.
Climate land use and other drivers impacts on island ecosystem services: a global review
Moustakas, Aristides, Zemah-Shamir, Shiri, Tase, Mirela, Zotos, Savvas, Demirel, Nazli, Zoumides, Christos, Christoforidi, Irene, Dindaroglu, Turgay, Albayrak, Tamer, Ayhan, Cigdem Kaptan, Fois, Mauro, Manolaki, Paraskevi, Sandor, Attila D., Sieber, Ina, Stamatiadou, Valentini, Tzirkalli, Elli, Vogiatzakis, Ioannis N., Zemah-Shamir, Ziv, Zittis, George
Islands are diversity hotspots and vulnerable to environmental degradation, climate variations, land use changes and societal crises. These factors can exhibit interactive impacts on ecosystem services. The study reviewed a large number of papers on the climate change-islands-ecosystem services topic worldwide. Potential inclusion of land use changes and other drivers of impacts on ecosystem services were sequentially also recorded. The study sought to investigate the impacts of climate change, land use change, and other non-climatic driver changes on island ecosystem services. Explanatory variables examined were divided into two categories: environmental variables and methodological ones. Environmental variables include sea zone geographic location, ecosystem, ecosystem services, climate, land use, other driver variables, Methodological variables include consideration of policy interventions, uncertainty assessment, cumulative effects of climate change, synergistic effects of climate change with land use change and other anthropogenic and environmental drivers, and the diversity of variables used in the analysis. Machine learning and statistical methods were used to analyze their effects on island ecosystem services. Negative climate change impacts on ecosystem services are better quantified by land use change or other non-climatic driver variables than by climate variables. The synergy of land use together with climate changes is modulating the impact outcome and critical for a better impact assessment. Analyzed together, there is little evidence of more pronounced for a specific sea zone, ecosystem, or ecosystem service. Climate change impacts may be underestimated due to the use of a single climate variable deployed in most studies. Policy interventions exhibit low classification accuracy in quantifying impacts indicating insufficient efficacy or integration in the studies.
Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: A Survey
Kong, Xiangjie, Chen, Zhenghao, Liu, Weiyao, Ning, Kaili, Zhang, Lechao, Marier, Syauqie Muhammad, Liu, Yichen, Chen, Yuhao, Xia, Feng
Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic, meteorology, and economics, especially when high accuracy is required. With the continuous development of deep learning, numerous new models have emerged in the field of time series forecasting in recent years. However, existing surveys have not provided a unified summary of the wide range of model architectures in this field, nor have they given detailed summaries of works in feature extraction and datasets. To address this gap, in this review, we comprehensively study the previous works and summarize the general paradigms of Deep Time Series Forecasting (DTSF) in terms of model architectures. Besides, we take an innovative approach by focusing on the composition of time series and systematically explain important feature extraction methods. Additionally, we provide an overall compilation of datasets from various domains in existing works. Finally, we systematically emphasize the significant challenges faced and future research directions in this field.
Mamba time series forecasting with uncertainty propagation
Pessoa, Pedro, Campitelli, Paul, Shepherd, Douglas P., Ozkan, S. Banu, Pressé, Steve
State space models, such as Mamba, have recently garnered attention in time series forecasting due to their ability to capture sequence patterns. However, in electricity consumption benchmarks, Mamba forecasts exhibit a mean error of approximately 8\%. Similarly, in traffic occupancy benchmarks, the mean error reaches 18\%. This discrepancy leaves us to wonder whether the prediction is simply inaccurate or falls within error given spread in historical data. To address this limitation, we propose a method to quantify the predictive uncertainty of Mamba forecasts. Here, we propose a dual-network framework based on the Mamba architecture for probabilistic forecasting, where one network generates point forecasts while the other estimates predictive uncertainty by modeling variance. We abbreviate our tool, Mamba with probabilistic time series forecasting, as Mamba-ProbTSF and the code for its implementation is available on GitHub (https://github.com/PessoaP/Mamba-ProbTSF). Evaluating this approach on synthetic and real-world benchmark datasets, we find Kullback-Leibler divergence between the learned distributions and the data--which, in the limit of infinite data, should converge to zero if the model correctly captures the underlying probability distribution--reduced to the order of $10^{-3}$ for synthetic data and $10^{-1}$ for real-world benchmark, demonstrating its effectiveness. We find that in both the electricity consumption and traffic occupancy benchmark, the true trajectory stays within the predicted uncertainty interval at the two-sigma level about 95\% of the time. We end with a consideration of potential limitations, adjustments to improve performance, and considerations for applying this framework to processes for purely or largely stochastic dynamics where the stochastic changes accumulate, as observed for example in pure Brownian motion or molecular dynamics trajectories.