Pacific Ocean
AI-GOMS: Large AI-Driven Global Ocean Modeling System
Xiong, Wei, Xiang, Yanfei, Wu, Hao, Zhou, Shuyi, Sun, Yuze, Ma, Muyuan, Huang, Xiaomeng
Ocean modeling is a powerful tool for simulating the physical, chemical, and biological processes of the ocean, which is the foundation for marine science research and operational oceanography. Modern numerical ocean modeling mainly consists of governing equations and numerical algorithms. Nonlinear instability, computational expense, low reusability efficiency and high coupling costs have gradually become the main bottlenecks for the further development of numerical ocean modeling. Recently, artificial intelligence-based modeling in scientific computing has shown revolutionary potential for digital twins and scientific simulations, but the bottlenecks of numerical ocean modeling have not been further solved. Here, we present AI-GOMS, a large AI-driven global ocean modeling system, for accurate and efficient global ocean daily prediction. AI-GOMS consists of a backbone model with the Fourier-based Masked Autoencoder structure for basic ocean variable prediction and lightweight fine-tuning models incorporating regional downscaling, wave decoding, and biochemistry coupling modules. AI-GOMS has achieved the best performance in 30 days of prediction for the global ocean basic variables with 15 depth layers at 1/4{\deg} spatial resolution. Beyond the good performance in statistical metrics, AI-GOMS realizes the simulation of mesoscale eddies in the Kuroshio region at 1/12{\deg} spatial resolution and ocean stratification in the tropical Pacific Ocean. AI-GOMS provides a new backbone-downstream paradigm for Earth system modeling, which makes the system transferable, scalable and reusable.
Deep Learning Driven Detection of Tsunami Related Internal GravityWaves: a path towards open-ocean natural hazards detection
Constantinou, Valentino, Ravanelli, Michela, Liu, Hamlin, Bortnik, Jacob
Tsunamis can trigger internal gravity waves (IGWs) in the ionosphere, perturbing the Total Electron Content (TEC) - referred to as Traveling Ionospheric Disturbances (TIDs) that are detectable through the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). The GNSS are constellations of satellites providing signals from Earth orbit - Europe's Galileo, the United States' Global Positioning System (GPS), Russia's Global'naya Navigatsionnaya Sputnikovaya Sistema (GLONASS) and China's BeiDou. The real-time detection of TIDs provides an approach for tsunami detection, enhancing early warning systems by providing open-ocean coverage in geographic areas not serviceable by buoy-based warning systems. Large volumes of the GNSS data is leveraged by deep learning, which effectively handles complex non-linear relationships across thousands of data streams. We describe a framework leveraging slant total electron content (sTEC) from the VARION (Variometric Approach for Real-Time Ionosphere Observation) algorithm by Gramian Angular Difference Fields (from Computer Vision) and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to detect TIDs in near-real-time. Historical data from the 2010 Maule, 2011 Tohoku and the 2012 Haida-Gwaii earthquakes and tsunamis are used in model training, and the later-occurring 2015 Illapel earthquake and tsunami in Chile for out-of-sample model validation. Using the experimental framework described in the paper, we achieved a 91.7% F1 score. Source code is available at: https://github.com/vc1492a/tidd. Our work represents a new frontier in detecting tsunami-driven IGWs in open-ocean, dramatically improving the potential for natural hazards detection for coastal communities.
Towards Machine Learning-based Fish Stock Assessment
Lüdtke, Stefan, Pierce, Maria E.
The accurate assessment of fish stocks is crucial for sustainable fisheries management. However, existing statistical stock assessment models can have low forecast performance of relevant stock parameters like recruitment or spawning stock biomass, especially in ecosystems that are changing due to global warming and other anthropogenic stressors. In this paper, we investigate the use of machine learning models to improve the estimation and forecast of such stock parameters. We propose a hybrid model that combines classical statistical stock assessment models with supervised ML, specifically gradient boosted trees. Our hybrid model leverages the initial estimate provided by the classical model and uses the ML model to make a post-hoc correction to improve accuracy. We experiment with five different stocks and find that the forecast accuracy of recruitment and spawning stock biomass improves considerably in most cases.
RAIST: Learning Risk Aware Traffic Interactions via Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks
Suman, Videsh, Pham, Phu, Bera, Aniket
A key aspect of driving a road vehicle is to interact with other road users, assess their intentions and make risk-aware tactical decisions. An intuitive approach to enabling an intelligent automated driving system would be incorporating some aspects of human driving behavior. To this end, we propose a novel driving framework for egocentric views based on spatio-temporal traffic graphs. The traffic graphs model not only the spatial interactions amongst the road users but also their individual intentions through temporally associated message passing. We leverage a spatio-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) to train the graph edges. These edges are formulated using parameterized functions of 3D positions and scene-aware appearance features of road agents. Along with tactical behavior prediction, it is crucial to evaluate the risk-assessing ability of the proposed framework. We claim that our framework learns risk-aware representations by improving on the task of risk object identification, especially in identifying objects with vulnerable interactions like pedestrians and cyclists.
Spatial-Temporal Data Mining for Ocean Science: Data, Methodologies, and Opportunities
Yang, Hanchen, Li, Wengen, Wang, Shuyu, Li, Hui, Guan, Jihong, Zhou, Shuigeng, Cao, Jiannong
With the rapid amassing of spatial-temporal (ST) ocean data, many spatial-temporal data mining (STDM) studies have been conducted to address various oceanic issues, including climate forecasting and disaster warning. Compared with typical ST data (e.g., traffic data), ST ocean data is more complicated but with unique characteristics, e.g., diverse regionality and high sparsity. These characteristics make it difficult to design and train STDM models on ST ocean data. To the best of our knowledge, a comprehensive survey of existing studies remains missing in the literature, which hinders not only computer scientists from identifying the research issues in ocean data mining but also ocean scientists to apply advanced STDM techniques. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive survey of existing STDM studies for ocean science. Concretely, we first review the widely-used ST ocean datasets and highlight their unique characteristics. Then, typical ST ocean data quality enhancement techniques are explored. Next, we classify existing STDM studies in ocean science into four types of tasks, i.e., prediction, event detection, pattern mining, and anomaly detection, and elaborate on the techniques for these tasks. Finally, promising research opportunities are discussed. This survey can help scientists from both computer science and ocean science better understand the fundamental concepts, key techniques, and open challenges of STDM for ocean science.
BEAM: The Modeling Framework for Behavior, Energy, Autonomy & Mobility
Laarabi, Haitam, Needell, Zachary, Waraich, Rashid, Poliziani, Cristian, Wenzel, Tom
This report outlines the concepts, mechanisms and inner dynamics of the BEAM (Behavior, Energy, Autonomy, and Mobility) modeling framework. BEAM is an open-source large-scale high-resolution transportation model that harnesses the principles of the actor model of computation to build a powerful and efficient agent-based model of travel behavior. It allows a detailed microscopic view of how people make travel choices and interact with the transportation system, enabling more accurate simulations of human mobility and urban transport networks. It also allows the analysis of numerous spatially defined but interacting layers, and integrates them into a cohesive representation of a regional transportation system. This integrated picture provides invaluable insights to policy makers and other stakeholders about how changes to the transportation system result in changes to traffic congestion, mode share, energy use, and emissions throughout a modeled region. These capabilities are demonstrated with a case study of New York City that showcase BEAM's application in a very large and intricate urban transportation system, without relying on existing travel demand models. The unique ability of BEAM to simulate individual behaviors, integrate with other models, and adapt to different real-world scenarios underscores its importance in the rapidly evolving field of transportation and emphasizes its potential as a valuable proof-of-concept tool to contribute to more informed and effective policy and planning decisions.
Comparing scalable strategies for generating numerical perspectives
Cao, Hancheng, Spatharioti, Sofia Eleni, Goldstein, Daniel G., Hofman, Jake M.
Like other extreme quantities (for example, a distance of 34 parsecs), unfamiliar dollar amounts can be hard to fathom without comparison to something else [7, 18]. To address this issue, it can be useful to employ perspectives: re-phrasings of measurements that make them easier to understand, via a change of units to express the focal number on a different scale, or a comparison to a reference object. For instance, $330 billion can be re-expressed using perspectives of "about $1,000 per person in the United States" or "about 5% of the United States Federal Budget". In addition to being intuitively appealing and perceived as helpful [6, 10, 13], perspectives have been shown to aid numerical comprehension by boosting recall, estimation, error detection, and prediction [3, 12, 27], which could find relevance in a wide variety of downstream applications. These demonstrations of the benefits of perspectives have led to questions around what makes some analogies better than others, and if and how one can generate high-quality perspectives at scale for naturally occurring mentions of measurements. Approaches to automated perspective generation have varied, but they generally rely on first constructing a database of reference objects to compare measurements to and then prioritizing analogies to these reference objects that are both familiar and helpful to the reader [10, 27]. Prioritizing reference objects is complicated by the fact that what is most helpful for understanding a measurement can be difficult to quantify and can depend on the context in which the measurement occurs.
AI-Enhanced Data Processing and Discovery Crowd Sourcing for Meteor Shower Mapping
Ganju, Siddha, Hatua, Amartya, Jenniskens, Peter, Krishna, Sahyadri, Ren, Chicheng, Ambardar, Surya
The Cameras for Allsky Meteor Surveillance (CAMS) project, funded by NASA starting in 2010, aims to map our meteor showers by triangulating meteor trajectories detected in low-light video cameras from multiple locations across 16 countries in both the northern and southern hemispheres. Its mission is to validate, discover, and predict the upcoming returns of meteor showers. Our research aimed to streamline the data processing by implementing an automated cloud-based AI-enabled pipeline and improve the data visualization to improve the rate of discoveries by involving the public in monitoring the meteor detections. This article describes the process of automating the data ingestion, processing, and insight generation using an interpretable Active Learning and AI pipeline. This work also describes the development of an interactive web portal (the NASA Meteor Shower portal) to facilitate the visualization of meteor radiant maps. To date, CAMS has discovered over 200 new meteor showers and has validated dozens of previously reported showers.
Sea level Projections with Machine Learning using Altimetry and Climate Model ensembles
Sinha, Saumya, Fasullo, John, Nerem, R. Steven, Monteleoni, Claire
Satellite altimeter observations retrieved since 1993 show that the global mean sea level is rising at an unprecedented rate (3.4mm/year). With almost three decades of observations, we can now investigate the contributions of anthropogenic climate-change signals such as greenhouse gases, aerosols, and biomass burning in this rising sea level. We use machine learning (ML) to investigate future patterns of sea level change. To understand the extent of contributions from the climate-change signals, and to help in forecasting sea level change in the future, we turn to climate model simulations. This work presents a machine learning framework that exploits both satellite observations and climate model simulations to generate sea level rise projections at a 2-degree resolution spatial grid, 30 years into the future. We train fully connected neural networks (FCNNs) to predict altimeter values through a non-linear fusion of the climate model hindcasts (for 1993-2019). The learned FCNNs are then applied to future climate model projections to predict future sea level patterns. We propose segmenting our spatial dataset into meaningful clusters and show that clustering helps to improve predictions of our ML model.
Trigger-Level Event Reconstruction for Neutrino Telescopes Using Sparse Submanifold Convolutional Neural Networks
Yu, Felix J., Lazar, Jeffrey, Argüelles, Carlos A.
Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have seen extensive applications in scientific data analysis, including in neutrino telescopes. However, the data from these experiments present numerous challenges to CNNs, such as non-regular geometry, sparsity, and high dimensionality. Consequently, CNNs are highly inefficient on neutrino telescope data, and require significant pre-processing that results in information loss. We propose sparse submanifold convolutions (SSCNNs) as a solution to these issues and show that the SSCNN event reconstruction performance is comparable to or better than traditional and machine learning algorithms. Additionally, our SSCNN runs approximately 16 times faster than a traditional CNN on a GPU. As a result of this speedup, it is expected to be capable of handling the trigger-level event rate of IceCube-scale neutrino telescopes. These networks could be used to improve the first estimation of the neutrino energy and direction to seed more advanced reconstructions, or to provide this information to an alert-sending system to quickly follow-up interesting events.