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Multi Type Mean Field Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Mean field theory provides an effective way of scaling multiagent reinforcement learning algorithms to environments with many agents that can be abstracted by a virtual mean agent. In this paper, we extend mean field multiagent algorithms to multiple types. The types enable the relaxation of a core assumption in mean field games, which is that all agents in the environment are playing almost similar strategies and have the same goal. We conduct experiments on three different testbeds for the field of many agent reinforcement learning, based on the standard MAgents framework. We consider two different kinds of mean field games: a) Games where agents belong to predefined types that are known a priori and b) Games where the type of each agent is unknown and therefore must be learned based on observations. We introduce new algorithms for each type of game and demonstrate their superior performance over state of the art algorithms that assume that all agents belong to the same type and other baseline algorithms in the MAgent framework.


Three ways AI can support the Sustainable Development Goals GovInsider

#artificialintelligence

Wild Sumatran rhinos were once a common sight in northern Borneo, gamboling through the rainforests, but that ended last month when the last of their number died in a cage. Their habitat was eroded and Malaysia's rhinos are officially extinct. The TECH4ALLL programme exists to see how tech and AI can save the homes of creatures like the Sumatran rhinos, and build opportunities for the humans who live alongside them. "We want to protect vulnerable groups and make ordinary people extraordinary," said Ken Hu, Huawei's Deputy Chairman, at Huawei Connect 2019. Huawei created this programme to tie into the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and is working with partners to protect tropical rainforests, keep food sources sustainable and diagnose visual disorders in children early.


Incorporating Expert Prior Knowledge into Experimental Design via Posterior Sampling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Scientific experiments are usually expensive due to complex experimental preparation and processing. Experimental design is therefore involved with the task of finding the optimal experimental input that results in the desirable output by using as few experiments as possible. Experimenters can often acquire the knowledge about the location of the global optimum. However, they do not know how to exploit this knowledge to accelerate experimental design. In this paper, we adopt the technique of Bayesian optimization for experimental design since Bayesian optimization has established itself as an efficient tool for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Again, it is unknown how to incorporate the expert prior knowledge about the global optimum into Bayesian optimization process. To address it, we represent the expert knowledge about the global optimum via placing a prior distribution on it and we then derive its posterior distribution. An efficient Bayesian optimization approach has been proposed via posterior sampling on the posterior distribution of the global optimum. We theoretically analyze the convergence of the proposed algorithm and discuss the robustness of incorporating expert prior. We evaluate the efficiency of our algorithm by optimizing synthetic functions and tuning hyperparameters of classifiers along with a real-world experiment on the synthesis of short polymer fiber. The results clearly demonstrate the advantages of our proposed method.


Supervised Categorical Metric Learning with Schatten p-Norms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Metric learning has been successful in learning new metrics adapted to numerical datasets. However, its development on categorical data still needs further exploration. In this paper, we propose a method, called CPML for \emph{categorical projected metric learning}, that tries to efficiently~(i.e. less computational time and better prediction accuracy) address the problem of metric learning in categorical data. We make use of the Value Distance Metric to represent our data and propose new distances based on this representation. We then show how to efficiently learn new metrics. We also generalize several previous regularizers through the Schatten $p$-norm and provides a generalization bound for it that complements the standard generalization bound for metric learning. Experimental results show that our method provides


Deep Learning and Statistical Models for Time-Critical Pedestrian Behaviour Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The time it takes for a classifier to make an accurate prediction can be crucial in many behaviour recognition problems. For example, an autonomous vehicle should detect hazardous pedestrian behaviour early enough for it to take appropriate measures. In this context, we compare the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and a three-layered bi-directional long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network, which are applied to infer pedestrian behaviour from motion tracks. We show that, though the neural network model achieves an accuracy of 80%, it requires long sequences to achieve this (100 samples or more). The SLDS, has a lower accuracy of 74%, but it achieves this result with short sequences (10 samples). To our knowledge, such a comparison on sequence length has not been considered in the literature before. The results provide a key intuition of the suitability of the models in time-critical problems.


Smoothing Graphons for Modelling Exchangeable Relational Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Modelling exchangeable relational data can be described by \textit{graphon theory}. Most Bayesian methods for modelling exchangeable relational data can be attributed to this framework by exploiting different forms of graphons. However, the graphons adopted by existing Bayesian methods are either piecewise-constant functions, which are insufficiently flexible for accurate modelling of the relational data, or are complicated continuous functions, which incur heavy computational costs for inference. In this work, we introduce a smoothing procedure to piecewise-constant graphons to form {\em smoothing graphons}, which permit continuous intensity values for describing relations, but without impractically increasing computational costs. In particular, we focus on the Bayesian Stochastic Block Model (SBM) and demonstrate how to adapt the piecewise-constant SBM graphon to the smoothed version. We initially propose the Integrated Smoothing Graphon (ISG) which introduces one smoothing parameter to the SBM graphon to generate continuous relational intensity values. We then develop the Latent Feature Smoothing Graphon (LFSG), which improves on the ISG by introducing auxiliary hidden labels to decompose the calculation of the ISG intensity and enable efficient inference. Experimental results on real-world data sets validate the advantages of applying smoothing strategies to the Stochastic Block Model, demonstrating that smoothing graphons can greatly improve AUC and precision for link prediction without increasing computational complexity.


Stochastic Normalizing Flows

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Normalizing flows (Rezende & Mohamed, 2015) are probabilistic models constructed as a sequence of successive transformations applied to some initial distribution. A key strength of normalizing flows is their expressive power as generative models, while enjoying an explicitly computable form of the likelihood function evaluated on the transformed space. This makes them especially well-equipped for variational inference (VI). Neural networks are often used as inspiration for finding effective transformations (Dinh et al., 2015; van den Berg et al., 2018). Continuous normalizing flows were later developed in Chen et al. (2018) as a means to perform maximum likelihood estimation and VI for large-scale probabilistic models derived from ordinary differential equations (ODEs).


Variational Inference and Bayesian CNNs for Uncertainty Estimation in Multi-Factorial Bone Age Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Additionally to the extensive use in clinical medicine, biological age (BA) in legal medicine is used to assess unknown chronological age (CA) in applications where identification documents are not available. Automatic methods for age estimation proposed in the literature are predicting point estimates, which can be misleading without the quantification of predictive uncertainty. In our multi-factorial age estimation method from MRI data, we used the Variational Inference approach to estimate the uncertainty of a Bayesian CNN model. Distinguishing model uncertainty from data uncertainty, we interpreted data uncertainty as biological variation, i.e. the range of possible CA of subjects having the same BA.


Sequence-to-Sequence Imputation of Missing Sensor Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Although the sequence-to-sequence (encoder-decoder) model is considered the state-of-the-art in deep learning sequence models, there is little research into using this model for recovering missing sensor data. The key challenge is that the missing sensor data problem typically comprises three sequences (a sequence of observed samples, followed by a sequence of missing samples, followed by another sequence of observed samples) whereas, the sequence-to-sequence model only considers two sequences (an input sequence and an output sequence). We address this problem by formulating a sequence-to-sequence in a novel way. A forward RNN encodes the data observed before the missing sequence and a backward RNN encodes the data observed after the missing sequence. A decoder decodes the two encoders in a novel way to predict the missing data. We demonstrate that this model produces the lowest errors in 12% more cases than the current state-of-the-art.


Denoising IMU Gyroscopes with Deep Learning for Open-Loop Attitude Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper proposes a learning method for denois-ing gyroscopes of Inertial Measurement Units (IMUs) using ground truth data, to estimate in real time the orientation (attitude) of a robot in dead reckoning. The obtained algorithm outperforms the state-of-the-art on the (unseen) test sequences. The obtained performances are achieved thanks to a well chosen model, a proper loss function for orientation increments, and through the identification of key points when training with high-frequency inertial data. Our approach builds upon a neural network based on dilated convolutions, without requiring any recurrent neural network. We demonstrate how efficient our strategy is for 3D attitude estimation on the EuRoC and TUM-VI datasets. Interestingly, we observe our dead reckoning algorithm manages to beat top-ranked visual-inertial odometry systems in terms of attitude estimation although it does not use vision sensors. We believe this paper offers new perspectives for visual-inertial localization and constitutes a step toward more efficient learning methods involving IMUs. Our open-source implementation is available at https://github.com/ mbrossar/denoise-imu-gyro.