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Provable Multi-Objective Reinforcement Learning with Generative Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multi-objective reinforcement learning (MORL) is an extension of ordinary, single-objective reinforcement learning (RL) that is applicable to many real world tasks where multiple objectives exist without known relative costs. We study the problem of single policy MORL, which learns an optimal policy given the preference of objectives. Existing methods require strong assumptions such as exact knowledge of the multi-objective Markov decision process, and are analyzed in the limit of infinite data and time. We propose a new algorithm called model-based envelop value iteration (EVI), which generalizes the enveloped multi-objective $Q$-learning algorithm in Yang, 2019. Our method can learn a near-optimal value function with polynomial sample complexity and linear convergence speed. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first finite-sample analysis of MORL algorithms.


Next generation particle precipitation: Mesoscale prediction through machine learning (a case study and framework for progress)

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We advance the modeling capability of electron particle precipitation from the magnetosphere to the ionosphere through a new database and use of machine learning tools to gain utility from those data. We have compiled, curated, analyzed, and made available a new and more capable database of particle precipitation data that includes 51 satellite years of Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) observations temporally aligned with solar wind and geomagnetic activity data. The new total electron energy flux particle precipitation nowcast model, a neural network called PrecipNet, takes advantage of increased expressive power afforded by machine learning approaches to appropriately utilize diverse information from the solar wind and geomagnetic activity and, importantly, their time histories. With a more capable representation of the organizing parameters and the target electron energy flux observations, PrecipNet achieves a >50% reduction in errors from a current state-of-the-art model (OVATION Prime), better captures the dynamic changes of the auroral flux, and provides evidence that it can capably reconstruct mesoscale phenomena. We create and apply a new framework for space weather model evaluation that culminates previous guidance from across the solar-terrestrial research community. The research approach and results are representative of the `new frontier' of space weather research at the intersection of traditional and data science-driven discovery and provides a foundation for future efforts.


List-Decodable Mean Estimation in Nearly-PCA Time

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Traditionally, robust statistics has focused on designing estimators tolerant to a minority of contaminated data. Robust list-decodable learning focuses on the more challenging regime where only a minority $\frac 1 k$ fraction of the dataset is drawn from the distribution of interest, and no assumptions are made on the remaining data. We study the fundamental task of list-decodable mean estimation in high dimensions. Our main result is a new list-decodable mean estimation algorithm for bounded covariance distributions with optimal sample complexity and error rate, running in nearly-PCA time. Assuming the ground truth distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d$ has bounded covariance, our algorithm outputs a list of $O(k)$ candidate means, one of which is within distance $O(\sqrt{k})$ from the truth. Our algorithm runs in time $\widetilde{O}(ndk)$ for all $k = O(\sqrt{d}) \cup \Omega(d)$, where $n$ is the size of the dataset. We also show that a variant of our algorithm has runtime $\widetilde{O}(ndk)$ for all $k$, at the expense of an $O(\sqrt{\log k})$ factor in the recovery guarantee. This runtime matches up to logarithmic factors the cost of performing a single $k$-PCA on the data, which is a natural bottleneck of known algorithms for (very) special cases of our problem, such as clustering well-separated mixtures. Prior to our work, the fastest list-decodable mean estimation algorithms had runtimes $\widetilde{O}(n^2 d k^2)$ and $\widetilde{O}(nd k^{\ge 6})$. Our approach builds on a novel soft downweighting method, $\mathsf{SIFT}$, which is arguably the simplest known polynomial-time mean estimation technique in the list-decodable learning setting. To develop our fast algorithms, we boost the computational cost of $\mathsf{SIFT}$ via a careful "win-win-win" analysis of an approximate Ky Fan matrix multiplicative weights procedure we develop, which we believe may be of independent interest.


Preparing Weather Data for Real-Time Building Energy Simulation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This study introduces a framework for quality control of measured weather data, including anomaly detection, and infilling missing values. Weather data is a fundamental input to building performance simulations, in which anomalous values defect the results while missing data lead to an unexpected termination of the simulation process. Traditionally, infilling missing values in weather data is performed through periodic or linear interpolations. However, when missing values exceed many consecutive hours, the accuracy of traditional methods is subject to debate. This study demonstrates how Neural Networks can increase the accuracy of data imputation when compared to other supervised learning methods. The framework is validated by predicting missing temperature and relative humidity data for an observation site, through a network of nearby weather stations in Milan, Italy. Results show that the proposed method can facilitate real-time building simulations with accurate and rapid quality control.


Twitter round-up: Evan Kirstel's tweet on bionic gloves most popular tweet in October 2020 - Verdict

#artificialintelligence

Verdict lists ten of the most popular tweets on robotics in October 2020 based on data from GlobalData's Influencer Platform. The top tweets were chosen from influencers as tracked by GlobalData's Influencer Platform, which is based on a scientific process that works on pre-defined parameters. Influencers are selected after a deep analysis of the influencer's relevance, network strength, engagement, and leading discussions on new and emerging trends. Evan Kirstel, a top B2B analyst and influencer, shared a video on how a pair of bionic gloves helped an 80-year-old classical pianist, João Carlos Martins, to play the piano again. The maestro had lost dexterity in his hands due to aging and health issues.


The State of 5G in 2020 -- Where the World and U.S. Are

#artificialintelligence

In this post, we examine the state of 5G in 2020. And while the United States is seeing good growth with this technology, it lags in average download speeds. Last year, we presented a post asking and answering: Do YOU Know What 5G Is? In March 2020, we noted that a BI Intelligence study found that "39% of respondents to our survey saying they plan to support 5G in IoT products and services before 2021." All the things we hope will make our lives easier, safer, and healthier will require high-speed, always-on internet connections.


Mind Your Inflections! Improving NLP for Non-Standard Englishes with Base-Inflection Encoding

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Inflectional variation is a common feature of World Englishes such as Colloquial Singapore English and African American Vernacular English. Although comprehension by human readers is usually unimpaired by non-standard inflections, current NLP systems are not yet robust. We propose Base-Inflection Encoding (BITE), a method to tokenize English text by reducing inflected words to their base forms before reinjecting the grammatical information as special symbols. Fine-tuning pretrained NLP models for downstream tasks using our encoding defends against inflectional adversaries while maintaining performance on clean data. Models using BITE generalize better to dialects with non-standard inflections without explicit training and translation models converge faster when trained with BITE. Finally, we show that our encoding improves the vocabulary efficiency of popular data-driven subword tokenizers. Since there has been no prior work on quantitatively evaluating vocabulary efficiency, we propose metrics to do so.


Generic Ontology Design Patterns: Roles and Change over Time

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this chapter we propose Generic Ontology Design Patterns, GODPs, as a methodology for representing and instantiating ontology design patterns in a way that is adaptable, and allows domain experts (and other users) to safely use them without cluttering their ontologies.


Non-Linear Multiple Field Interactions Neural Document Ranking

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Ranking tasks are usually based on the text of the main body of the page and the actions (clicks) of users on the page. There are other elements that could be leveraged to better contextualise the ranking experience (e.g. text in other fields, query made by the user, images, etc). We present one of the first in-depth analyses of field interaction for multiple field ranking in two separate datasets. While some works have taken advantage of full document structure, some aspects remain unexplored. In this work we build on previous analyses to show how query-field interactions, non-linear field interactions, and the architecture of the underlying neural model affect performance.


Introduction to Core-sets: an Updated Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In optimization or machine learning problems we are given a set of items, usually points in some metric space, and the goal is to minimize or maximize an objective function over some space of candidate solutions. For example, in clustering problems, the input is a set of points in some metric space, and a common goal is to compute a set of centers in some other space (points, lines) that will minimize the sum of distances to these points. In database queries, we may need to compute such a some for a specific query set of k centers. However, traditional algorithms cannot handle modern systems that require parallel real-time computations of infinite distributed streams from sensors such as GPS, audio or video that arrive to a cloud, or networks of weaker devices such as smartphones or robots. Core-set is a "small data" summarization of the input "big data", where every possible query has approximately the same answer on both data sets. Generic techniques enable efficient coreset maintenance of streaming, distributed and dynamic data. Traditional algorithms can then be applied on these coresets to maintain the approximated optimal solutions. The challenge is to design coresets with provable tradeoff between their size and approximation error. This survey summarizes such constructions in a retrospective way, that aims to unified and simplify the state-of-the-art. Bringing big data to the enterprise, 2012) are generated by cheap and numerous information-sensing mobile devices, remote sensing, software logs, cameras, microphones, RFID readers and wireless sensor networks (Segaran & Hammerbacher, 2009; Hellerstein, 2008; Funke & Laue, 2007). These require clustering algorithms that, unlike traditional algorithms, (a) learn unbounded streaming data that cannot fit into main memory, (b) run in parallel on distributed data among thousands of machines, (c) use low communication between the machines (d) apply real-time computations on the device, (e) handle privacy and security issues. A common approach is to reinvent computer science for handling these new computational models, and develop new algorithms "from scratch" independently of existing solutions.