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Low-Bandwidth Communication Emerges Naturally in Multi-Agent Learning Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we study emergent communication through the lens of cooperative multi-agent behavior in nature. Using insights from animal communication, we propose a spectrum from low-bandwidth (e.g. pheromone trails) to high-bandwidth (e.g. compositional language) communication that is based on the cognitive, perceptual, and behavioral capabilities of social agents. Through a series of experiments with pursuit-evasion games, we identify multi-agent reinforcement learning algorithms as a computational model for the low-bandwidth end of the communication spectrum.


Variational Nonlinear System Identification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has deep connections to maximum likelihood estimation. This VI approach ultimately provides estimates of the model as solutions to an optimisation problem, which is deterministic, tractable and can be solved using standard optimisation tools. A specialisation of this approach for systems with additive Gaussian noise is also detailed. The proposed method is examined numerically on a range of simulation and real examples with a focus on robustness to parameter initialisations; we additionally perform favourable comparisons against state-of-the-art alternatives.


Optimal Mean Estimation without a Variance

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the problem of heavy-tailed mean estimation in settings where the variance of the data-generating distribution does not exist. Concretely, given a sample $\mathbf{X} = \{X_i\}_{i = 1}^n$ from a distribution $\mathcal{D}$ over $\mathbb{R}^d$ with mean $\mu$ which satisfies the following \emph{weak-moment} assumption for some ${\alpha \in [0, 1]}$: \begin{equation*} \forall \|v\| = 1: \mathbb{E}_{X \thicksim \mathcal{D}}[\lvert \langle X - \mu, v\rangle \rvert^{1 + \alpha}] \leq 1, \end{equation*} and given a target failure probability, $\delta$, our goal is to design an estimator which attains the smallest possible confidence interval as a function of $n,d,\delta$. For the specific case of $\alpha = 1$, foundational work of Lugosi and Mendelson exhibits an estimator achieving subgaussian confidence intervals, and subsequent work has led to computationally efficient versions of this estimator. Here, we study the case of general $\alpha$, and establish the following information-theoretic lower bound on the optimal attainable confidence interval: \begin{equation*} \Omega \left(\sqrt{\frac{d}{n}} + \left(\frac{d}{n}\right)^{\frac{\alpha}{(1 + \alpha)}} + \left(\frac{\log 1 / \delta}{n}\right)^{\frac{\alpha}{(1 + \alpha)}}\right). \end{equation*} Moreover, we devise a computationally-efficient estimator which achieves this lower bound.


Australia Gears Up for the Great Koala Count, Using Drones, Droppings and Dogs

NYT > Asia Pacific

Estimates of koala populations have historically varied wildly. In 2016, scientists estimated there were over 300,000 koalas in Australia. In mid-2019, the Australian Koala Foundation estimated that fewer than 80,000 remained in the country, and said the number could be as low as 43,000. Concern and confusion over the koalas' numbers intensified during Australia's devastating bushfires last year, leading to news articles that the animals were "functionally extinct." But scientists challenged the accuracy of that narrative.


Privacy and Robustness in Federated Learning: Attacks and Defenses

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As data are increasingly being stored in different silos and societies becoming more aware of data privacy issues, the traditional centralized training of artificial intelligence (AI) models is facing efficiency and privacy challenges. Recently, federated learning (FL) has emerged as an alternative solution and continue to thrive in this new reality. Existing FL protocol design has been shown to be vulnerable to adversaries within or outside of the system, compromising data privacy and system robustness. Besides training powerful global models, it is of paramount importance to design FL systems that have privacy guarantees and are resistant to different types of adversaries. In this paper, we conduct the first comprehensive survey on this topic. Through a concise introduction to the concept of FL, and a unique taxonomy covering: 1) threat models; 2) poisoning attacks and defenses against robustness; 3) inference attacks and defenses against privacy, we provide an accessible review of this important topic. We highlight the intuitions, key techniques as well as fundamental assumptions adopted by various attacks and defenses. Finally, we discuss promising future research directions towards robust and privacy-preserving federated learning.


Deep Learning Methods for Credit Card Fraud Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Credit card frauds are at an ever-increasing rate and have become a major problem in the financial sector. Because of these frauds, card users are hesitant in making purchases and both the merchants and financial institutions bear heavy losses. Some major challenges in credit card frauds involve the availability of public data, high class imbalance in data, changing nature of frauds and the high number of false alarms. Machine learning techniques have been used to detect credit card frauds but no fraud detection systems have been able to offer great efficiency to date. Recent development of deep learning has been applied to solve complex problems in various areas. This paper presents a thorough study of deep learning methods for the credit card fraud detection problem and compare their performance with various machine learning algorithms on three different financial datasets. Experimental results show great performance of the proposed deep learning methods against traditional machine learning models and imply that the proposed approaches can be implemented effectively for real-world credit card fraud detection systems.


Efficient and Scalable Structure Learning for Bayesian Networks: Algorithms and Applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Structure Learning for Bayesian network (BN) is an important problem with extensive research. It plays central roles in a wide variety of applications in Alibaba Group. However, existing structure learning algorithms suffer from considerable limitations in real world applications due to their low efficiency and poor scalability. To resolve this, we propose a new structure learning algorithm LEAST, which comprehensively fulfills our business requirements as it attains high accuracy, efficiency and scalability at the same time. The core idea of LEAST is to formulate the structure learning into a continuous constrained optimization problem, with a novel differentiable constraint function measuring the acyclicity of the resulting graph. Unlike with existing work, our constraint function is built on the spectral radius of the graph and could be evaluated in near linear time w.r.t. the graph node size. Based on it, LEAST can be efficiently implemented with low storage overhead. According to our benchmark evaluation, LEAST runs 1 to 2 orders of magnitude faster than state of the art method with comparable accuracy, and it is able to scale on BNs with up to hundreds of thousands of variables. In our production environment, LEAST is deployed and serves for more than 20 applications with thousands of executions per day. We describe a concrete scenario in a ticket booking service in Alibaba, where LEAST is applied to build a near real-time automatic anomaly detection and root error cause analysis system. We also show that LEAST unlocks the possibility of applying BN structure learning in new areas, such as large-scale gene expression data analysis and explainable recommendation system.


CycleQSM: Unsupervised QSM Deep Learning using Physics-Informed CycleGAN

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) is a useful magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) technique which provides spatial distribution of magnetic susceptibility values of tissues. QSMs can be obtained by deconvolving the dipole kernel from phase images, but the spectral nulls in the dipole kernel make the inversion ill-posed. In recent times, deep learning approaches have shown a comparable QSM reconstruction performance as the classic approaches, despite the fast reconstruction time. Most of the existing deep learning methods are, however, based on supervised learning, so matched pairs of input phase images and the ground-truth maps are needed. Moreover, it was reported that the supervised learning often leads to underestimated QSM values. To address this, here we propose a novel unsupervised QSM deep learning method using physics-informed cycleGAN, which is derived from optimal transport perspective. In contrast to the conventional cycleGAN, our novel cycleGAN has only one generator and one discriminator thanks to the known dipole kernel. Experimental results confirm that the proposed method provides more accurate QSM maps compared to the existing deep learning approaches, and provide competitive performance to the best classical approaches despite the ultra-fast reconstruction.


A PAC-Bayesian Perspective on Structured Prediction with Implicit Loss Embeddings

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many practical machine learning tasks can be framed as Structured prediction problems, where several output variables are predicted and considered interdependent. Recent theoretical advances in structured prediction have focused on obtaining fast rates convergence guarantees, especially in the Implicit Loss Embedding (ILE) framework. PAC-Bayes has gained interest recently for its capacity of producing tight risk bounds for predictor distributions. This work proposes a novel PAC-Bayes perspective on the ILE Structured prediction framework. We present two generalization bounds, on the risk and excess risk, which yield insights into the behavior of ILE predictors. Two learning algorithms are derived from these bounds.


DiffPrune: Neural Network Pruning with Deterministic Approximate Binary Gates and $L_0$ Regularization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Modern neural network architectures typically have many millions of parameters and can be pruned significantly without substantial loss in effectiveness which demonstrates they are over-parameterized. The contribution of this work is two-fold. The first is a method for approximating a multivariate Bernoulli random variable by means of a deterministic and differentiable transformation of any real-valued multivariate random variable. The second is a method for model selection by element-wise multiplication of parameters with approximate binary gates that may be computed deterministically or stochastically and take on exact zero values. Sparsity is encouraged by the inclusion of a surrogate regularization to the $L_0$ loss. Since the method is differentiable it enables straightforward and efficient learning of model architectures by an empirical risk minimization procedure with stochastic gradient descent and theoretically enables conditional computation during training. The method also supports any arbitrary group sparsity over parameters or activations and therefore offers a framework for unstructured or flexible structured model pruning. To conclude experiments are performed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.