Time-series forecasting has been an important research domain for so many years. Its applications include ECG predictions, sales forecasting, weather conditions, even COVID-19 spread predictions. These applications have motivated many researchers to figure out an optimal forecasting approach, but the modeling approach also changes as the application domain changes. This work has focused on reviewing different forecasting approaches for telemetry data predictions collected at data centers. Forecasting of telemetry data is a critical feature of network and data center management products. However, there are multiple options of forecasting approaches that range from a simple linear statistical model to high capacity deep learning architectures. In this paper, we attempted to summarize and evaluate the performance of well known time series forecasting techniques. We hope that this evaluation provides a comprehensive summary to innovate in forecasting approaches for telemetry data.

In spite that Federated Learning (FL) is well known for its privacy protection when training machine learning models among distributed clients collaboratively, recent studies have pointed out that the naive FL is susceptible to gradient leakage attacks. In the meanwhile, Differential Privacy (DP) emerges as a promising countermeasure to defend against gradient leakage attacks. However, the adoption of DP by clients in FL may significantly jeopardize the model accuracy. It is still an open problem to understand the practicality of DP from a theoretic perspective. In this paper, we make the first attempt to understand the practicality of DP in FL through tuning the number of conducted iterations. Based on the FedAvg algorithm, we formally derive the convergence rate with DP noises in FL. Then, we theoretically derive: 1) the conditions for the DP based FedAvg to converge as the number of global iterations (GI) approaches infinity; 2) the method to set the number of local iterations (LI) to minimize the negative influence of DP noises. By further substituting the Laplace and Gaussian mechanisms into the derived convergence rate respectively, we show that: 3) The DP based FedAvg with the Laplace mechanism cannot converge, but the divergence rate can be effectively prohibited by setting the number of LIs with our method; 4) The learning error of the DP based FedAvg with the Gaussian mechanism can converge to a constant number finally if we use a fixed number of LIs per GI. To verify our theoretical findings, we conduct extensive experiments using two real-world datasets. The results not only validate our analysis results, but also provide useful guidelines on how to optimize model accuracy when incorporating DP into FL

Amid the pandemic COVID-19, the world is facing unprecedented infodemic with the proliferation of both fake and real information. Considering the problematic consequences that the COVID-19 fake-news have brought, the scientific community has put effort to tackle it. To contribute to this fight against the infodemic, we aim to achieve a robust model for the COVID-19 fake-news detection task proposed at CONSTRAINT 2021 (FakeNews-19) by taking two separate approaches: 1) fine-tuning transformers based language models with robust loss functions and 2) removing harmful training instances through influence calculation. We further evaluate the robustness of our models by evaluating on different COVID-19 misinformation test set (Tweets-19) to understand model generalization ability. With the first approach, we achieve 98.13% for weighted F1 score (W-F1) for the shared task, whereas 38.18% W-F1 on the Tweets-19 highest. On the contrary, by performing influence data cleansing, our model with 99% cleansing percentage can achieve 54.33% W-F1 score on Tweets-19 with a trade-off. By evaluating our models on two COVID-19 fake-news test sets, we suggest the importance of model generalization ability in this task to step forward to tackle the COVID-19 fake-news problem in online social media platforms.

Getting a robust time-series clustering with best choice of distance measure and appropriate representation is always a challenge. We propose a novel mechanism to identify the clusters combining learned compact representation of time-series, Auto Encoded Compact Sequence (AECS) and hierarchical clustering approach. Proposed algorithm aims to address the large computing time issue of hierarchical clustering as learned latent representation AECS has a length much less than the original length of time-series and at the same time want to enhance its performance.Our algorithm exploits Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) based under complete Sequence to Sequence(seq2seq) autoencoder and agglomerative hierarchical clustering with a choice of best distance measure to recommend the best clustering. Our scheme selects the best distance measure and corresponding clustering for both univariate and multivariate time-series. We have experimented with real-world time-series from UCR and UCI archive taken from diverse application domains like health, smart-city, manufacturing etc. Experimental results show that proposed method not only produce close to benchmark results but also in some cases outperform the benchmark.

We introduce the "Incremental Implicitly-Refined Classi-fication (IIRC)" setup, an extension to the class incremental learning setup where the incoming batches of classes have two granularity levels. i.e., each sample could have a high-level (coarse) label like "bear" and a low-level (fine) label like "polar bear". Only one label is provided at a time, and the model has to figure out the other label if it has already learnfed it. This setup is more aligned with real-life scenarios, where a learner usually interacts with the same family of entities multiple times, discovers more granularity about them, while still trying not to forget previous knowledge. Moreover, this setup enables evaluating models for some important lifelong learning challenges that cannot be easily addressed under the existing setups. These challenges can be motivated by the example "if a model was trained on the class bear in one task and on polar bear in another task, will it forget the concept of bear, will it rightfully infer that a polar bear is still a bear? and will it wrongfully associate the label of polar bear to other breeds of bear?". We develop a standardized benchmark that enables evaluating models on the IIRC setup. We evaluate several state-of-the-art lifelong learning algorithms and highlight their strengths and limitations. For example, distillation-based methods perform relatively well but are prone to incorrectly predicting too many labels per image. We hope that the proposed setup, along with the benchmark, would provide a meaningful problem setting to the practitioners

The emergence and continued reliance on the Internet and related technologies has resulted in the generation of large amounts of data that can be made available for analyses. However, humans do not possess the cognitive capabilities to understand such large amounts of data. Machine learning (ML) provides a mechanism for humans to process large amounts of data, gain insights about the behavior of the data, and make more informed decision based on the resulting analysis. ML has applications in various fields. This review focuses on some of the fields and applications such as education, healthcare, network security, banking and finance, and social media. Within these fields, there are multiple unique challenges that exist. However, ML can provide solutions to these challenges, as well as create further research opportunities. Accordingly, this work surveys some of the challenges facing the aforementioned fields and presents some of the previous literature works that tackled them. Moreover, it suggests several research opportunities that benefit from the use of ML to address these challenges.

Theoretical and abstract approaches to information have made great advances, but human information processing is still unmatched in many areas, including information management, representation and understanding. Neurocognitive informatics is a new, emerging field that should help to improve the matching of artificial and natural systems, and inspire better computational algorithms to solve problems that are still beyond the reach of machines. In this position paper examples of neurocognitive inspirations and promising directions in this area are given.

Nested Rollout Policy Adaptation (NRPA) is a Monte Carlo search algorithm for single player games. In this paper we propose to modify NRPA in order to improve the stability of the algorithm. Experiments show it improves the algorithm for different application domains: SameGame, Traveling Salesman with Time Windows and Expression Discovery.

This work is based on the submission to the competition Hindi Constraint conducted by AAAI@2021 for detection of hostile posts in Hindi on social media platforms. Here, a model is presented for detection and classification of hostile posts and further classify into fake, offensive, hate and defamation using Relational Graph Convolutional Networks. Unlike other existing work, our approach is focused on using semantic meaning along with contextutal information for better classification. The results from AAAI@2021 indicates that the proposed model is performing at par with Google's XLM-RoBERTa on the given dataset. Our best submission with RGCN achieves an F1 score of 0.97 (7th Rank) on coarse-grained evaluation and achieved best performance on identifying fake posts. Among all submissions to the challenge, our classification system with XLM-Roberta secured 2nd rank on fine-grained classification.

Network homophily, the tendency of similar nodes to be connected, and transitivity, the tendency of two nodes being connected if they share a common neighbor, are conflated properties in network analysis, since one mechanism can drive the other. Here we present a generative model and corresponding inference procedure that is capable of distinguishing between both mechanisms. Our approach is based on a variation of the stochastic block model (SBM) with the addition of triadic closure edges, and its inference can identify the most plausible mechanism responsible for the existence of every edge in the network, in addition to the underlying community structure itself. We show how the method can evade the detection of spurious communities caused solely by the formation of triangles in the network, and how it can improve the performance of link prediction when compared to the pure version of the SBM without triadic closure.