Oceania
Neural Recursive Belief States in Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning
Moreno, Pol, Hughes, Edward, McKee, Kevin R., Pires, Bernardo Avila, Weber, Théophane
In multi-agent reinforcement learning, the problem of learning to act is particularly difficult because the policies of co-players may be heavily conditioned on information only observed by them. On the other hand, humans readily form beliefs about the knowledge possessed by their peers and leverage beliefs to inform decision-making. Such abilities underlie individual success in a wide range of Markov games, from bluffing in Poker to conditional cooperation in the Prisoner's Dilemma, to convention-building in Bridge. Classical methods are usually not applicable to complex domains due to the intractable nature of hierarchical beliefs (i.e. beliefs of other agents' beliefs). We propose a scalable method to approximate these belief structures using recursive deep generative models, and to use the belief models to obtain representations useful to acting in complex tasks. Our agents trained with belief models outperform model-free baselines with equivalent representational capacity using common training paradigms. We also show that higher-order belief models outperform agents with lower-order models.
Problematic Machine Behavior: A Systematic Literature Review of Algorithm Audits
While algorithm audits are growing rapidly in commonality and public importance, relatively little scholarly work has gone toward synthesizing prior work and strategizing future research in the area. This systematic literature review aims to do just that, following PRISMA guidelines in a review of over 500 English articles that yielded 62 algorithm audit studies. The studies are synthesized and organized primarily by behavior (discrimination, distortion, exploitation, and misjudgement), with codes also provided for domain (e.g. search, vision, advertising, etc.), organization (e.g. Google, Facebook, Amazon, etc.), and audit method (e.g. sock puppet, direct scrape, crowdsourcing, etc.). The review shows how previous audit studies have exposed public-facing algorithms exhibiting problematic behavior, such as search algorithms culpable of distortion and advertising algorithms culpable of discrimination. Based on the studies reviewed, it also suggests some behaviors (e.g. discrimination on the basis of intersectional identities), domains (e.g. advertising algorithms), methods (e.g. code auditing), and organizations (e.g. Twitter, TikTok, LinkedIn) that call for future audit attention. The paper concludes by offering the common ingredients of successful audits, and discussing algorithm auditing in the context of broader research working toward algorithmic justice.
Hybrid consistency and plausibility verification of product data according to FIC
The labelling of food products in the EU is regulated by the Food Information of Customers (FIC). Companies are required to provide the corresponding information regarding nutrients and allergens among others. With the rise of e-commerce more and more food products are sold online. There are often errors in the online product descriptions regarding the FIC-relevant information due to low data quality in the vendors' product data base. In this paper we propose a hybrid approach of both rule-based and machine learning to verify nutrient declaration and allergen labelling according to FIC requirements. Special focus is given to the problem of false negatives in allergen prediction since this poses a significant health risk to customers. Results show that a neural net trained on a subset of the ingredients of a product is capable of predicting the allergens contained with a high reliability.
A Possible Artificial Intelligence Ecosystem Avatar: the Moorea case (IDEA)
Barriot, Jean-Pierre, Davies, Neil, Stoll, Benoît, Chabrier, Sébastien, Gabillon, Alban
Unlike some aspects of climate change, processes related to biodiversity and ecosystem services are typically place-based. Inspired by successes in modeling complex systems at other scales of organization, notably the cell (Karr et al., 2012), the Island Digital Ecosystem Avatars (IDEA) Consortium aims to build computer simulations ("avatars") to the scale of whole social-ecological systems. With a common boundary constraining their physical, ecological, and social networks, islands have long been recognized as model systems for ecology and evolution. This is why the island of Moorea (French Polynesia) was selected to build such an "avatar". The Moorea IDEA aims to understand how biodiversity, ecosystem services, and society will co-evolve over the next several decades on this island, depending upon what actions are taken. Specifically: (1) what is the physical biological, and social state of the island system today?
Improved Cooperation by Exploiting a Common Signal
Danassis, Panayiotis, Erden, Zeki Doruk, Faltings, Boi
Can artificial agents benefit from human conventions? Human societies manage to successfully self-organize and resolve the tragedy of the commons in common-pool resources, in spite of the bleak prediction of non-cooperative game theory. On top of that, real-world problems are inherently large-scale and of low observability. One key concept that facilitates human coordination in such settings is the use of conventions. Inspired by human behavior, we investigate the learning dynamics and emergence of temporal conventions, focusing on common-pool resources. Extra emphasis was given in designing a realistic evaluation setting: (a) environment dynamics are modeled on real-world fisheries, (b) we assume decentralized learning, where agents can observe only their own history, and (c) we run large-scale simulations (up to 64 agents). Uncoupled policies and low observability make cooperation hard to achieve; as the number of agents grow, the probability of taking a correct gradient direction decreases exponentially. By introducing an arbitrary common signal (e.g., date, time, or any periodic set of numbers) as a means to couple the learning process, we show that temporal conventions can emerge and agents reach sustainable harvesting strategies. The introduction of the signal consistently improves the social welfare (by 258% on average, up to 3306%), the range of environmental parameters where sustainability can be achieved (by 46% on average, up to 300%), and the convergence speed in low abundance settings (by 13% on average, up to 53%).
Variational Bayes survival analysis for unemployment modelling
Boškoski, Pavle, Perne, Matija, Rameša, Martina, Boshkoska, Biljana Mileva
Mathematical modelling of unemployment dynamics attempts to predict the probability of a job seeker finding a job as a function of time. This is typically achieved by using information in unemployment records. These records are right censored, making survival analysis a suitable approach for parameter estimation. The proposed model uses a deep artificial neural network (ANN) as a non-linear hazard function. Through embedding, high-cardinality categorical features are analysed efficiently. The posterior distribution of the ANN parameters are estimated using a variational Bayes method. The model is evaluated on a time-to-employment data set spanning from 2011 to 2020 provided by the Slovenian public employment service. It is used to determine the employment probability over time for each individual on the record. Similar models could be applied to other questions with multi-dimensional, high-cardinality categorical data including censored records. Such data is often encountered in personal records, for example in medical records.
Bootstrapping Multilingual AMR with Contextual Word Alignments
Sheth, Janaki, Lee, Young-Suk, Astudillo, Ramon Fernandez, Naseem, Tahira, Florian, Radu, Roukos, Salim, Ward, Todd
We develop high performance multilingualAbstract Meaning Representation (AMR) sys-tems by projecting English AMR annotationsto other languages with weak supervision. Weachieve this goal by bootstrapping transformer-based multilingual word embeddings, in partic-ular those from cross-lingual RoBERTa (XLM-R large). We develop a novel technique forforeign-text-to-English AMR alignment, usingthe contextual word alignment between En-glish and foreign language tokens. This wordalignment is weakly supervised and relies onthe contextualized XLM-R word embeddings.We achieve a highly competitive performancethat surpasses the best published results forGerman, Italian, Spanish and Chinese.
Pitfalls of Static Language Modelling
Lazaridou, Angeliki, Kuncoro, Adhiguna, Gribovskaya, Elena, Agrawal, Devang, Liska, Adam, Terzi, Tayfun, Gimenez, Mai, d'Autume, Cyprien de Masson, Ruder, Sebastian, Yogatama, Dani, Cao, Kris, Kocisky, Tomas, Young, Susannah, Blunsom, Phil
Our world is open-ended, non-stationary and constantly evolving; thus what we talk about and how we talk about it changes over time. This inherent dynamic nature of language comes in stark contrast to the current static language modelling paradigm, which constructs training and evaluation sets from overlapping time periods. Despite recent progress, we demonstrate that state-of-the-art Transformer models perform worse in the realistic setup of predicting future utterances from beyond their training period -- a consistent pattern across three datasets from two domains. We find that, while increasing model size alone -- a key driver behind recent progress -- does not provide a solution for the temporal generalization problem, having models that continually update their knowledge with new information can indeed slow down the degradation over time. Hence, given the compilation of ever-larger language modelling training datasets, combined with the growing list of language-model-based NLP applications that require up-to-date knowledge about the world, we argue that now is the right time to rethink our static language modelling evaluation protocol, and develop adaptive language models that can remain up-to-date with respect to our ever-changing and non-stationary world.
A Scalable Two Stage Approach to Computing Optimal Decision Sets
Ignatiev, Alexey, Lam, Edward, Stuckey, Peter J., Marques-Silva, Joao
Machine learning (ML) is ubiquitous in modern life. Since it is being deployed in technologies that affect our privacy and safety, it is often crucial to understand the reasoning behind its decisions, warranting the need for explainable AI. Rule-based models, such as decision trees, decision lists, and decision sets, are conventionally deemed to be the most interpretable. Recent work uses propositional satisfiability (SAT) solving (and its optimization variants) to generate minimum-size decision sets. Motivated by limited practical scalability of these earlier methods, this paper proposes a novel approach to learn minimum-size decision sets by enumerating individual rules of the target decision set independently of each other, and then solving a set cover problem to select a subset of rules. The approach makes use of modern maximum satisfiability and integer linear programming technologies. Experiments on a wide range of publicly available datasets demonstrate the advantage of the new approach over the state of the art in SAT-based decision set learning.
The GEM Benchmark: Natural Language Generation, its Evaluation and Metrics
Gehrmann, Sebastian, Adewumi, Tosin, Aggarwal, Karmanya, Ammanamanchi, Pawan Sasanka, Anuoluwapo, Aremu, Bosselut, Antoine, Chandu, Khyathi Raghavi, Clinciu, Miruna, Das, Dipanjan, Dhole, Kaustubh D., Du, Wanyu, Durmus, Esin, Dušek, Ondřej, Emezue, Chris, Gangal, Varun, Garbacea, Cristina, Hashimoto, Tatsunori, Hou, Yufang, Jernite, Yacine, Jhamtani, Harsh, Ji, Yangfeng, Jolly, Shailza, Kumar, Dhruv, Ladhak, Faisal, Madaan, Aman, Maddela, Mounica, Mahajan, Khyati, Mahamood, Saad, Majumder, Bodhisattwa Prasad, Martins, Pedro Henrique, McMillan-Major, Angelina, Mille, Simon, van Miltenburg, Emiel, Nadeem, Moin, Narayan, Shashi, Nikolaev, Vitaly, Niyongabo, Rubungo Andre, Osei, Salomey, Parikh, Ankur, Perez-Beltrachini, Laura, Rao, Niranjan Ramesh, Raunak, Vikas, Rodriguez, Juan Diego, Santhanam, Sashank, Sedoc, João, Sellam, Thibault, Shaikh, Samira, Shimorina, Anastasia, Cabezudo, Marco Antonio Sobrevilla, Strobelt, Hendrik, Subramani, Nishant, Xu, Wei, Yang, Diyi, Yerukola, Akhila, Zhou, Jiawei
We introduce GEM, a living benchmark for natural language Generation (NLG), its Evaluation, and Metrics. Measuring progress in NLG relies on a constantly evolving ecosystem of automated metrics, datasets, and human evaluation standards. However, due to this moving target, new models often still evaluate on divergent anglo-centric corpora with well-established, but flawed, metrics. This disconnect makes it challenging to identify the limitations of current models and opportunities for progress. Addressing this limitation, GEM provides an environment in which models can easily be applied to a wide set of corpora and evaluation strategies can be tested. Regular updates to the benchmark will help NLG research become more multilingual and evolve the challenge alongside models. This paper serves as the description of the initial release for which we are organizing a shared task at our ACL 2021 Workshop and to which we invite the entire NLG community to participate.