Oceania
An Approach to Inference-Driven Dialogue Management within a Social Chatbot
Finch, Sarah E., Finch, James D., Huryn, Daniil, Hutsell, William, Huang, Xiaoyuan, He, Han, Choi, Jinho D.
We present a chatbot implementing a novel dialogue management approach based on logical inference. Instead of framing conversation a sequence of response generation tasks, we model conversation as a collaborative inference process in which speakers share information to synthesize new knowledge in real time. Our chatbot pipeline accomplishes this modelling in three broad stages. The first stage translates user utterances into a symbolic predicate representation. The second stage then uses this structured representation in conjunction with a larger knowledge base to synthesize new predicates using efficient graph matching. In the third and final stage, our bot selects a small subset of predicates and translates them into an English response. This approach lends itself to understanding latent semantics of user inputs, flexible initiative taking, and responses that are novel and coherent with the dialogue context.
Safe Learning of Linear Time-Invariant Systems
Farokhi, Farhad, Leong, Alex S., Zamani, Mohammad, Shames, Iman
We consider safety in simultaneous learning and control of discrete-time linear time-invariant systems. We provide rigorous confidence bounds on the learned model of the system based on the number of utilized state measurements. These bounds are used to modify control inputs to the system via an optimization problem with potentially time-varying safety constraints. We prove that the state can only exit the safe set with small probability, provided a feasible solution to the safety-constrained optimization exists. This optimization problem is then reformulated in a more computationally-friendly format by tightening the safety constraints to account for model uncertainty during learning. The tightening decreases as the confidence in the learned model improves. We finally prove that, under persistence of excitation, the tightening becomes negligible as more measurements are gathered.
Predicting Cancer Using Supervised Machine Learning: Mesothelioma
Background: Pleural Mesothelioma (PM) is an unusual, belligerent tumor that rapidly develops into cancer in the pleura of the lungs. Pleural Mesothelioma is a common type of Mesothelioma that accounts for about 75% of all Mesothelioma diagnosed yearly in the U.S. Diagnosis of Mesothelioma takes several months and is expensive. Given the risk and constraints associated with PM diagnosis, early identification of this ailment is essential for patient health. Objective: In this study, we use artificial intelligence algorithms recommending the best fit model for early diagnosis and prognosis of MPM. Methods: We retrospectively retrieved patients clinical data collected by Dicle University, Turkey, and applied multilayered perceptron (MLP), voted perceptron (VP), Clojure classifier (CC), kernel logistic regression (KLR), stochastic gradient decent SGD), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), Hoeffding tree (VFDT), and primal estimated sub-gradient solver for support vector machine (s-Pegasos). We evaluated the models, compared and tested using paired T-test (corrected) at 0.05 significance based on their respective classification accuracy, f-measure, precision, recall, root mean squared error, receivers characteristic curve (ROC), and precision-recall curve (PRC). Results: In phase-1, SGD, AdaBoost. M1, KLR, MLP, VFDT generate optimal results with the highest possible performance measures. In phase 2, AdaBoost, with a classification accuracy of 71.29%, outperformed all other algorithms. C-reactive protein, platelet count, duration of symptoms, gender, and pleural protein were found to be the most relevant predictors that can prognosticate Mesothelioma. Conclusion: This study confirms that data obtained from Biopsy and imagining tests are strong predictors of Mesothelioma but are associated with a high cost; however, they can identify Mesothelioma with optimal accuracy.
Clinical Evidence Engine: Proof-of-Concept For A Clinical-Domain-Agnostic Decision Support Infrastructure
Hou, Bojian, Zhang, Hao, Ladizhinsky, Gur, Ladizhinsky, Gur, Yang, Stephen, Kuleshov, Volodymyr, Wang, Fei, Yang, Qian
Abstruse learning algorithms and complex datasets increasingly characterize modern clinical decision support systems (CDSS). As a result, clinicians cannot easily or rapidly scrutinize the CDSS recommendation when facing a difficult diagnosis or treatment decision in practice. Over-trust or under-trust are frequent. Prior research has explored supporting such assessments by explaining DST data inputs and algorithmic mechanisms. This paper explores a different approach: Providing precisely relevant, scientific evidence from biomedical literature. We present a proof-of-concept system, Clinical Evidence Engine, to demonstrate the technical and design feasibility of this approach across three domains (cardiovascular diseases, autism, cancer). Leveraging Clinical BioBERT, the system can effectively identify clinical trial reports based on lengthy clinical questions (e.g., "risks of catheter infection among adult patients in intensive care unit who require arterial catheters, if treated with povidone iodine-alcohol"). This capability enables the system to identify clinical trials relevant to diagnostic/treatment hypotheses -- a clinician's or a CDSS's. Further, Clinical Evidence Engine can identify key parts of a clinical trial abstract, including patient population (e.g., adult patients in intensive care unit who require arterial catheters), intervention (povidone iodine-alcohol), and outcome (risks of catheter infection). This capability opens up the possibility of enabling clinicians to 1) rapidly determine the match between a clinical trial and a clinical question, and 2) understand the result and contexts of the trial without extensive reading. We demonstrate this potential by illustrating two example use scenarios of the system. We discuss the idea of designing DST explanations not as specific to a DST or an algorithm, but as a domain-agnostic decision support infrastructure.
Cross-Domain Reasoning via Template Filling
Rajagopal, Dheeraj, Khetan, Vivek, Sacaleanu, Bogdan, Gershman, Anatole, Fano, Andrew, Hovy, Eduard
In this paper, we explore the ability of sequence to sequence models to perform cross-domain reasoning. Towards this, we present a prompt-template-filling approach to enable sequence to sequence models to perform cross-domain reasoning. We also present a case-study with commonsense and health and well-being domains, where we study how prompt-template-filling enables pretrained sequence to sequence models across domains. Our experiments across several pretrained encoder-decoder models show that cross-domain reasoning is challenging for current models. We also show an in-depth error analysis and avenues for future research for reasoning across domains
Could a Dog Truly Love a Robot?
The author of Dog Is Love: Why and How Your Dog Loves You responds to Andrew Silverman's "Furgen." It doesn't take any special technology to see that dogs love people. Hildegard von Bingen, in the 11th century, noted that "a certain natural community of behavior binds [the dog] to humans. Therefore, he responds to man, understand him, loves him and likes to stay with him." It could fairly be said that, like Othello, dogs love not wisely, but too well.
China and the West can build a better world, together
In The Feeling of Power, a story by celebrated American science fiction author Isaac Asimov, humanity has forgotten how to conduct even the simplest mathematical equations. In a distant future, complex machines conduct all operations, as men and women watch bewildered. Suddenly a man rediscovers pencil and paper arithmetic, empowering him to perform simple multiplications without relying on machine aid. Stunned by his new powers, he shares the discovery with Earth's government. The military establishment quickly seizes on the new powers to build a more effective, human-run space fleet to replace artificial intelligence and defeat Earth's enemy, planet Deneb.
Making machine learning more useful to high-stakes decision makers
The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that one in seven children in the United States experienced abuse or neglect in the past year. Child protective services agencies around the nation receive a high number of reports each year (about 4.4 million in 2019) of alleged neglect or abuse. With so many cases, some agencies are implementing machine learning models to help child welfare specialists screen cases and determine which to recommend for further investigation. But these models don't do any good if the humans they are intended to help don't understand or trust their outputs. Researchers at MIT and elsewhere launched a research project to identify and tackle machine learning usability challenges in child welfare screening.
One Step at a Time: Pros and Cons of Multi-Step Meta-Gradient Reinforcement Learning
Bonnet, Clément, Caron, Paul, Barrett, Thomas, Davies, Ian, Laterre, Alexandre
Self-tuning algorithms that adapt the learning process online encourage more effective and robust learning. Among all the methods available, meta-gradients have emerged as a promising approach. They leverage the differentiability of the learning rule with respect to some hyper-parameters to adapt them in an online fashion. Although meta-gradients can be accumulated over multiple learning steps to avoid myopic updates, this is rarely used in practice. In this work, we demonstrate that whilst multi-step meta-gradients do provide a better learning signal in expectation, this comes at the cost of a significant increase in variance, hindering performance. In the light of this analysis, we introduce a novel method mixing multiple inner steps that enjoys a more accurate and robust meta-gradient signal, essentially trading off bias and variance in meta-gradient estimation. When applied to the Snake game, the mixing meta-gradient algorithm can cut the variance by a factor of 3 while achieving similar or higher performance.
Conical Classification For Computationally Efficient One-Class Topic Determination
As the Internet grows in size, so does the amount of text based information that exists. For many application spaces it is paramount to isolate and identify texts that relate to a particular topic. While one-class classification would be ideal for such analysis, there is a relative lack of research regarding efficient approaches with high predictive power. By noting that the range of documents we wish to identify can be represented as positive linear combinations of the Vector Space Model representing our text, we propose Conical classification, an approach that allows us to identify if a document is of a particular topic in a computationally efficient manner. We also propose Normal Exclusion, a modified version of Bi-Normal Separation that makes it more suitable within the one-class classification context. We show in our analysis that our approach not only has higher predictive power on our datasets, but is also faster to compute.