We develop an end-to-end deep-neural-network-based algorithm for classifying animal behavior using accelerometry data on the embedded system of an artificial intelligence of things (AIoT) device installed in a wearable collar tag. The proposed algorithm jointly performs feature extraction and classification utilizing a set of infinite-impulse-response (IIR) and finite-impulse-response (FIR) filters together with a multilayer perceptron. The utilized IIR and FIR filters can be viewed as specific types of recurrent and convolutional neural network layers, respectively. We evaluate the performance of the proposed algorithm via two real-world datasets collected from grazing cattle. The results show that the proposed algorithm offers good intra- and inter-dataset classification accuracy and outperforms its closest contenders including two state-of-the-art convolutional-neural-network-based time-series classification algorithms, which are significantly more complex. We implement the proposed algorithm on the embedded system of the collar tag's AIoT device to perform in-situ classification of animal behavior. We achieve real-time in-situ behavior inference from accelerometry data without imposing any strain on the available computational, memory, or energy resources of the embedded system.

Globally, workers want to maintain a hybrid working model where more than half of their time is spent working remotely (53%); with the rest of the time in the office (47%), and workers feel as productive or more productive than before with remote work arrangements (82%). More than half of young leaders (54%) reported they have suffered burnout, and three in 10 stated their mental and physical health has declined in the last 12 months. Nearly two in five employees are already changing or considering new careers, while 41% are considering moving to jobs with more flexible working options. And a quarter of the workforce is considering moving to another country or region. Pardon the overwhelming information, but these are some important data to take note of from HR companies Lee Hecht Harrison (LHH) and The Adecco Group's Resetting Normal: Defining the New Era of Work study, which unearthed insights into how attitudes have changed, and the implications for companies to successfully adapt in this period of transition following the pandemic, and progress in the future of work.

There is a lot more than the usual amount of handwringing over AI these days. Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt and former US Secretary of State and National Security Advisor Henry Kissinger put out a new book last week warning of AI's dangers. Fresh AI warnings have also been issued by professors Stuart Russell (UC Berkeley) and Youval Harari (University of Jerusalem). Op-eds from the editorial board at the Guardian and Maureen Dowd at the New York Times have amplified these concerns. Facebook -- now rebranded as Meta -- has come under growing pressure for its algorithms creating social toxicity, but it is hardly alone.

We develop a new method to find the number of volatility regimes in a nonstationary financial time series by applying unsupervised learning to its volatility structure. We use change point detection to partition a time series into locally stationary segments and then compute a distance matrix between segment distributions. The segments are clustered into a learned number of discrete volatility regimes via an optimization routine. Using this framework, we determine a volatility clustering structure for financial indices, large-cap equities, exchange-traded funds and currency pairs. Our method overcomes the rigid assumptions necessary to implement many parametric regime-switching models, while effectively distilling a time series into several characteristic behaviours. Our results provide significant simplification of these time series and a strong descriptive analysis of prior behaviours of volatility. Finally, we create and validate a dynamic trading strategy that learns the optimal match between the current distribution of a time series and its past regimes, thereby making online risk-avoidance decisions in the present.

The amount of data for machine learning (ML) applications is constantly growing. Not only the number of observations, especially the number of measured variables (features) increases with ongoing digitization. Selecting the most appropriate features for predictive modeling is an important lever for the success of ML applications in business and research. Feature selection methods (FSM) that are independent of a certain ML algorithm - so-called filter methods - have been numerously suggested, but little guidance for researchers and quantitative modelers exists to choose appropriate approaches for typical ML problems. This review synthesizes the substantial literature on feature selection benchmarking and evaluates the performance of 58 methods in the widely used R environment. For concrete guidance, we consider four typical dataset scenarios that are challenging for ML models (noisy, redundant, imbalanced data and cases with more features than observations). Drawing on the experience of earlier benchmarks, which have considered much fewer FSMs, we compare the performance of the methods according to four criteria (predictive performance, number of relevant features selected, stability of the feature sets and runtime). We found methods relying on the random forest approach, the double input symmetrical relevance filter (DISR) and the joint impurity filter (JIM) were well-performing candidate methods for the given dataset scenarios.

Cyber attacks are increasing in volume, frequency, and complexity. In response, the security community is looking toward fully automating cyber defense systems using machine learning. However, so far the resultant effects on the coevolutionary dynamics of attackers and defenders have not been examined. In this whitepaper, we hypothesise that increased automation on both sides will accelerate the coevolutionary cycle, thus begging the question of whether there are any resultant fixed points, and how they are characterised. Working within the threat model of Locked Shields, Europe's largest cyberdefense exercise, we study blackbox adversarial attacks on network classifiers. Given already existing attack capabilities, we question the utility of optimal evasion attack frameworks based on minimal evasion distances. Instead, we suggest a novel reinforcement learning setting that can be used to efficiently generate arbitrary adversarial perturbations. We then argue that attacker-defender fixed points are themselves general-sum games with complex phase transitions, and introduce a temporally extended multi-agent reinforcement learning framework in which the resultant dynamics can be studied. We hypothesise that one plausible fixed point of AI-NIDS may be a scenario where the defense strategy relies heavily on whitelisted feature flow subspaces. Finally, we demonstrate that a continual learning approach is required to study attacker-defender dynamics in temporally extended general-sum games.

Analyzing the behaviour of a population in response to disease and interventions is critical to unearth variability in healthcare as well as understand sub-populations that require specialized attention, but also to assist in designing future interventions. Two aspects become very essential in such analysis namely: i) Discovery of differentiating patterns exhibited by sub-populations, and ii) Characterization of the identified subpopulations. For the discovery phase, an array of approaches in the anomalous pattern detection literature have been employed to reveal differentiating patterns, especially to identify anomalous subgroups. However, these techniques are limited to describing the anomalous subgroups and offer little in form of insightful characterization, thereby limiting interpretability and understanding of these data-driven techniques in clinical practices. In this work, we propose an analysis of differentiated output (rather than discovery) and quantify anomalousness similarly to the counter-factual setting. To this end we design an approach to perform post-discovery analysis of anomalous subsets, in which we initially identify the most important features on the anomalousness of the subsets, then by perturbation, the approach seeks to identify the least number of changes necessary to lose anomalousness. Our approach is presented and the evaluation results on the 2019 MarketScan Commercial Claims and Medicare data, show that extra insights can be obtained by extrapolated examination of the identified subgroups.

Recent advances in path-based explainable recommendation systems have attracted increasing attention thanks to the rich information provided by knowledge graphs. Most existing explainable recommendations only utilize static knowledge graphs and ignore the dynamic user-item evolutions, leading to less convincing and inaccurate explanations. Although there are some works that realize that modelling user's temporal sequential behaviour could boost the performance and explainability of the recommender systems, most of them either only focus on modelling user's sequential interactions within a path or independently and separately of the recommendation mechanism. In this paper, we propose a novel Temporal Meta-path Guided Explainable Recommendation leveraging Reinforcement Learning (TMER-RL), which utilizes reinforcement item-item path modelling between consecutive items with attention mechanisms to sequentially model dynamic user-item evolutions on dynamic knowledge graph for explainable recommendation. Compared with existing works that use heavy recurrent neural networks to model temporal information, we propose simple but effective neural networks to capture users' historical item features and path-based context to characterize the next purchased item. Extensive evaluations of TMER on two real-world datasets show state-of-the-art performance compared against recent strong baselines.

Humans' continual learning (CL) ability is closely related to Stability Versus Plasticity Dilemma that describes how humans achieve ongoing learning capacity and preservation for learned information. The notion of CL has always been present in artificial intelligence (AI) since its births. This paper proposes a comprehensive review of CL. Different from previous reviews that mainly focus on the catastrophic forgetting phenomenon in CL, this paper surveys CL from a more macroscopic perspective based on the Stability Versus Plasticity mechanism. Analogous to biological counterpart, "smart" AI agents are supposed to i) remember previously learned information (information retrospection); ii) infer on new information continuously (information prospection:); iii) transfer useful information (information transfer), to achieve high-level CL. According to the taxonomy, evaluation metrics, algorithms, applications as well as some open issues are then introduced. Our main contributions concern i) rechecking CL from the level of artificial general intelligence; ii) providing a detailed and extensive overview on CL topics; iii) presenting some novel ideas on the potential development of CL.

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) provides a framework for learning decision-making from offline data and therefore constitutes a promising approach for real-world applications as automated driving. Self-driving vehicles (SDV) learn a policy, which potentially even outperforms the behavior in the sub-optimal data set. Especially in safety-critical applications as automated driving, explainability and transferability are key to success. This motivates the use of model-based offline RL approaches, which leverage planning. However, current state-of-the-art methods often neglect the influence of aleatoric uncertainty arising from the stochastic behavior of multi-agent systems. This work proposes a novel approach for Uncertainty-aware Model-Based Offline REinforcement Learning Leveraging plAnning (UMBRELLA), which solves the prediction, planning, and control problem of the SDV jointly in an interpretable learning-based fashion. A trained action-conditioned stochastic dynamics model captures distinctively different future evolutions of the traffic scene. The analysis provides empirical evidence for the effectiveness of our approach in challenging automated driving simulations and based on a real-world public dataset.