Bayesian networks faithfully represent the symmetric conditional independences existing between the components of a random vector. Staged trees are an extension of Bayesian networks for categorical random vectors whose graph represents non-symmetric conditional independences via vertex coloring. However, since they are based on a tree representation of the sample space, the underlying graph becomes cluttered and difficult to visualize as the number of variables increases. Here we introduce the first structural learning algorithms for the class of simple staged trees, entertaining a compact coalescence of the underlying tree from which non-symmetric independences can be easily read. We show that data-learned simple staged trees often outperform Bayesian networks in model fit and illustrate how the coalesced graph is used to identify non-symmetric conditional independences.

This paper aims to develop a global perspective of the complexity of the relationship between the standardised per-capita growth rate of Covid-19 cases, deaths, and the OxCGRT Covid-19 Stringency Index, a measure describing a country's stringency of lockdown policies. To achieve our goal, we use a heterogeneous intrinsic dimension estimator implemented as a Bayesian mixture model, called Hidalgo. We identify that the Covid-19 dataset may project onto two low-dimensional manifolds without significant information loss. The low dimensionality suggests strong dependency among the standardised growth rates of cases and deaths per capita and the OxCGRT Covid-19 Stringency Index for a country over 2020-2021. Given the low dimensional structure, it may be feasible to model observable Covid-19 dynamics with few parameters. Importantly, we identify spatial autocorrelation in the intrinsic dimension distribution worldwide. Moreover, we highlight that high-income countries are more likely to lie on low-dimensional manifolds, likely arising from aging populations, comorbidities, and increased per capita mortality burden from Covid-19. Finally, we temporally stratify the dataset to examine the intrinsic dimension at a more granular level throughout the Covid-19 pandemic.

A global audience of a half-billion gamers have gotten to know the axolotl, which largely cluster in the canals around Mexico City and look like little dragons with a goofy smile. The videogame "Fortnite" trotted out axolotl characters in 2020, and "Minecraft" followed suit last summer. Roblox, a platform with millions of user-made games, has dozens of axolotl-centric ones, including "Axolotl Tycoon" and "Axolotl Paradise." Axolotls appear in "Adopt Me!," one of the most-played games on Roblox. All of the exposure has spawned axolotl memes, YouTube videos, coloring books and nonfungible tokens.

The world of pi is an all-out pi extravaganza with labs and demos, streaming icons, and free swag. Check out this video to see for yourself. Choose from tech demos and hands-on labs to talks about Linux, Graal, MySQL, and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) including deep dives into analytics and AI/machine learning. All attendees receive a Pi Day 2022 swag kit. And the first 500 to sign up for a free-tier trial account for OCI get a bonus gift.

We present a planning framework for minimising the deterministic worst-case error in sparse Gaussian process (GP) regression. We first derive a universal worst-case error bound for sparse GP regression with bounded noise using interpolation theory on reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs). By exploiting the conditional independence (CI) assumption central to sparse GP regression, we show that the worst-case error minimisation can be achieved by solving a posterior entropy minimisation problem. In turn, the posterior entropy minimisation problem is solved using a Gaussian belief space planning algorithm. We corroborate the proposed worst-case error bound in a simple 1D example, and test the planning framework in simulation for a 2D vehicle in a complex flow field. Our results demonstrate that the proposed posterior entropy minimisation approach is effective in minimising deterministic error, and outperforms the conventional measurement entropy maximisation formulation when the inducing points are fixed.

Artificial Intelligence (AI), along with the recent progress in biomedical language understanding, is gradually changing medical practice. With the development of biomedical language understanding benchmarks, AI applications are widely used in the medical field. However, most benchmarks are limited to English, which makes it challenging to replicate many of the successes in English for other languages. To facilitate research in this direction, we collect real-world biomedical data and present the first Chinese Biomedical Language Understanding Evaluation (CBLUE) benchmark: a collection of natural language understanding tasks including named entity recognition, information extraction, clinical diagnosis normalization, single-sentence/sentence-pair classification, and an associated online platform for model evaluation, comparison, and analysis. To establish evaluation on these tasks, we report empirical results with the current 11 pre-trained Chinese models, and experimental results show that state-of-the-art neural models perform by far worse than the human ceiling. Our benchmark is released at \url{https://tianchi.aliyun.com/dataset/dataDetail?dataId=95414&lang=en-us}.

To improve users' experience as they navigate the myriad of options offered by online marketplaces, it is essential to have well-organized product catalogs. One key ingredient to that is the availability of product attributes such as color or material. However, on some marketplaces such as Rakuten-Ichiba, which we focus on, attribute information is often incomplete or even missing. One promising solution to this problem is to rely on deep models pre-trained on large corpora to predict attributes from unstructured data, such as product descriptive texts and images (referred to as modalities in this paper). However, we find that achieving satisfactory performance with this approach is not straightforward but rather the result of several refinements, which we discuss in this paper. We provide a detailed description of our approach to attribute extraction, from investigating strong single-modality methods, to building a solid multimodal model combining textual and visual information. One key component of our multimodal architecture is a novel approach to seamlessly combine modalities, which is inspired by our single-modality investigations. In practice, we notice that this new modality-merging method may suffer from a modality collapse issue, i.e., it neglects one modality. Hence, we further propose a mitigation to this problem based on a principled regularization scheme. Experiments on Rakuten-Ichiba data provide empirical evidence for the benefits of our approach, which has been also successfully deployed to Rakuten-Ichiba. We also report results on publicly available datasets showing that our model is competitive compared to several recent multimodal and unimodal baselines.

Full Bayesian posteriors are rarely analytically tractable, which is why real-world Bayesian inference heavily relies on approximate techniques. Approximations generally differ from the true posterior and require diagnostic tools to assess whether the inference can still be trusted. We investigate a new approach to diagnosing approximate inference: the approximation mismatch is attributed to a change in the inductive bias by treating the approximations as exact and reverse-engineering the corresponding prior. We show that the problem is more complicated than it appears to be at first glance, because the solution generally depends on the observation. By reframing the problem in terms of incompatible conditional distributions we arrive at a natural solution: the Gibbs prior. The resulting diagnostic is based on pseudo-Gibbs sampling, which is widely applicable and easy to implement. We illustrate how the Gibbs prior can be used to discover the inductive bias in a controlled Gaussian setting and for a variety of Bayesian models and approximations.

From speed RADAR guns to high tech riot gear, the role of technology in policing is always evolving. Police departments around the world are always looking for new technologies to help them monitor and protect their communities. One of the areas where police departments always need as much help as possible is in monitoring. Police can't prevent crimes or intervene if they don't know that they're happening, but watching the community is time-intensive work – as much as they may try, they can't be everywhere at once. Two of the most significant advances in this area in recent years has been the wide implementation of CCTV cameras and, more recently, facial recognition software.

There are now some 120,000 warehouses globally, and another 50,000 are likely to be added before 2025. Over the next few years, more robots will be deployed into these warehouses--the logistics market--than in all other application categories combined, including farming, medicine, and home use. Just as the 1960s saw the mechanization of industry, with an accompanying boom in productivity and prosperity, the 2020s will be the dawn of the robotification of services. Industrial robots came into use in 1961 when General Motors (G.M.) installed a simple robotic arm on its New Jersey production line. The machine had been invented by Unimation, a company founded by the father of robotics, Joseph Engelberger--a self-professed Isaac Asimov enthusiast.