Oceania
A Framework for Empowering Reinforcement Learning Agents with Causal Analysis: Enhancing Automated Cryptocurrency Trading
Amirzadeh, Rasoul, Thiruvady, Dhananjay, Nazari, Asef, Ee, Mong Shan
Despite advances in artificial intelligence-enhanced trading methods, developing a profitable automated trading system remains challenging in the rapidly evolving cryptocurrency market. This study aims to address these challenges by developing a reinforcement learning-based automated trading system for five popular altcoins~(cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin): Binance Coin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, and Tether. To this end, we present CausalReinforceNet, a framework framed as a decision support system. Designed as the foundational architecture of the trading system, the CausalReinforceNet framework enhances the capabilities of the reinforcement learning agent through causal analysis. Within this framework, we use Bayesian networks in the feature engineering process to identify the most relevant features with causal relationships that influence cryptocurrency price movements. Additionally, we incorporate probabilistic price direction signals from dynamic Bayesian networks to enhance our reinforcement learning agent's decision-making. Due to the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, we design our framework to adopt a conservative approach that limits sell and buy position sizes to manage risk. We develop two agents using the CausalReinforceNet framework, each based on distinct reinforcement learning algorithms. The results indicate that our framework substantially surpasses the Buy-and-Hold benchmark strategy in profitability. Additionally, both agents generated notable returns on investment for Binance Coin and Ethereum.
Semantics Alignment via Split Learning for Resilient Multi-User Semantic Communication
Choi, Jinhyuk, Park, Jihong, Ko, Seung-Woo, Choi, Jinho, Bennis, Mehdi, Kim, Seong-Lyun
Recent studies on semantic communication commonly rely on neural network (NN) based transceivers such as deep joint source and channel coding (DeepJSCC). Unlike traditional transceivers, these neural transceivers are trainable using actual source data and channels, enabling them to extract and communicate semantics. On the flip side, each neural transceiver is inherently biased towards specific source data and channels, making different transceivers difficult to understand intended semantics, particularly upon their initial encounter. To align semantics over multiple neural transceivers, we propose a distributed learning based solution, which leverages split learning (SL) and partial NN fine-tuning techniques. In this method, referred to as SL with layer freezing (SLF), each encoder downloads a misaligned decoder, and locally fine-tunes a fraction of these encoder-decoder NN layers. By adjusting this fraction, SLF controls computing and communication costs. Simulation results confirm the effectiveness of SLF in aligning semantics under different source data and channel dissimilarities, in terms of classification accuracy, reconstruction errors, and recovery time for comprehending intended semantics from misalignment.
Identifying and examining machine learning biases on Adult dataset
This research delves into the reduction of machine learning model bias through Ensemble Learning. Our rigorous methodology comprehensively assesses bias across various categorical variables, ultimately revealing a pronounced gender attribute bias. The empirical evidence unveils a substantial gender-based wage prediction disparity: wages predicted for males, initially at \$902.91, significantly decrease to \$774.31 when the gender attribute is alternated to females. Notably, Kullback-Leibler divergence scores point to gender bias, with values exceeding 0.13, predominantly within tree-based models. Employing Ensemble Learning elucidates the quest for fairness and transparency. Intriguingly, our findings reveal that the stacked model aligns with individual models, confirming the resilience of model bias. This study underscores ethical considerations and advocates the implementation of hybrid models for a data-driven society marked by impartiality and inclusivity.
PromptRE: Weakly-Supervised Document-Level Relation Extraction via Prompting-Based Data Programming
Gao, Chufan, Fan, Xulin, Sun, Jimeng, Wang, Xuan
Relation extraction aims to classify the relationships between two entities into pre-defined categories. While previous research has mainly focused on sentence-level relation extraction, recent studies have expanded the scope to document-level relation extraction. Traditional relation extraction methods heavily rely on human-annotated training data, which is time-consuming and labor-intensive. To mitigate the need for manual annotation, recent weakly-supervised approaches have been developed for sentence-level relation extraction while limited work has been done on document-level relation extraction. Weakly-supervised document-level relation extraction faces significant challenges due to an imbalanced number "no relation" instances and the failure of directly probing pretrained large language models for document relation extraction. To address these challenges, we propose PromptRE, a novel weakly-supervised document-level relation extraction method that combines prompting-based techniques with data programming. Furthermore, PromptRE incorporates the label distribution and entity types as prior knowledge to improve the performance. By leveraging the strengths of both prompting and data programming, PromptRE achieves improved performance in relation classification and effectively handles the "no relation" problem. Experimental results on ReDocRED, a benchmark dataset for document-level relation extraction, demonstrate the superiority of PromptRE over baseline approaches.
Table-GPT: Table-tuned GPT for Diverse Table Tasks
Li, Peng, He, Yeye, Yashar, Dror, Cui, Weiwei, Ge, Song, Zhang, Haidong, Fainman, Danielle Rifinski, Zhang, Dongmei, Chaudhuri, Surajit
Language models, such as GPT-3.5 and ChatGPT, demonstrate remarkable abilities to follow diverse human instructions and perform a wide range of tasks. However, when probing language models using a range of basic table-understanding tasks, we observe that today's language models are still sub-optimal in many table-related tasks, likely because they are pre-trained predominantly on \emph{one-dimensional} natural-language texts, whereas relational tables are \emph{two-dimensional} objects. In this work, we propose a new "\emph{table-tuning}" paradigm, where we continue to train/fine-tune language models like GPT-3.5 and ChatGPT, using diverse table-tasks synthesized from real tables as training data, with the goal of enhancing language models' ability to understand tables and perform table tasks. We show that our resulting Table-GPT models demonstrate (1) better \emph{table-understanding} capabilities, by consistently outperforming the vanilla GPT-3.5 and ChatGPT, on a wide-range of table tasks, including holdout unseen tasks, and (2) strong \emph{generalizability}, in its ability to respond to diverse human instructions to perform new table-tasks, in a manner similar to GPT-3.5 and ChatGPT.
Evaluating Machine Perception of Indigeneity: An Analysis of ChatGPT's Perceptions of Indigenous Roles in Diverse Scenarios
Solorzano, Cecilia Delgado, Hernandez, Carlos Toxtli
Large Language Models (LLMs), like ChatGPT, are fundamentally tools trained on vast data, reflecting diverse societal impressions. This paper aims to investigate LLMs' self-perceived bias concerning indigeneity when simulating scenarios of indigenous people performing various roles. Through generating and analyzing multiple scenarios, this work offers a unique perspective on how technology perceives and potentially amplifies societal biases related to indigeneity in social computing. The findings offer insights into the broader implications of indigeneity in critical computing.
mnmDTW: An extension to Dynamic Time Warping for Camera-based Movement Error Localization
Dill, Sebastian, Rohr, Maurice
In this proof of concept, we use Computer Vision (CV) methods to extract pose information out of exercise videos. We then employ a modified version of Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) to calculate the deviation from a gold standard execution of the exercise. Specifically, we calculate the distance between each body part individually to get a more precise measure for exercise accuracy. We can show that exercise mistakes are clearly visible, identifiable and localizable through this metric.
Learning To Teach Large Language Models Logical Reasoning
Chen, Meiqi, Ma, Yubo, Song, Kaitao, Cao, Yixin, Zhang, Yan, Li, Dongsheng
Large language models (LLMs) have gained enormous attention from both academia and industry, due to their exceptional ability in language generation and extremely powerful generalization. However, current LLMs still output unreliable content in practical reasoning tasks due to their inherent issues (e.g., hallucination). To better disentangle this problem, in this paper, we conduct an in-depth investigation to systematically explore the capability of LLMs in logical reasoning. More in detail, we first investigate the deficiency of LLMs in logical reasoning on different tasks, including event relation extraction and deductive reasoning. Our study demonstrates that LLMs are not good reasoners in solving tasks with rigorous reasoning and will produce counterfactual answers, which require us to iteratively refine. Therefore, we comprehensively explore different strategies to endow LLMs with logical reasoning ability, and thus enable them to generate more logically consistent answers across different scenarios. Based on our approach, we also contribute a synthesized dataset (LLM-LR) involving multi-hop reasoning for evaluation and pre-training. Extensive quantitative and qualitative analyses on different tasks also validate the effectiveness and necessity of teaching LLMs with logic and provide insights for solving practical tasks with LLMs in future work.
Goodhart's Law in Reinforcement Learning
Karwowski, Jacek, Hayman, Oliver, Bai, Xingjian, Kiendlhofer, Klaus, Griffin, Charlie, Skalse, Joar
Implementing a reward function that perfectly captures a complex task in the real world is impractical. As a result, it is often appropriate to think of the reward function as a proxy for the true objective rather than as its definition. We study this phenomenon through the lens of Goodhart's law, which predicts that increasing optimisation of an imperfect proxy beyond some critical point decreases performance on the true objective. First, we propose a way to quantify the magnitude of this effect and show empirically that optimising an imperfect proxy reward often leads to the behaviour predicted by Goodhart's law for a wide range of environments and reward functions. We then provide a geometric explanation for why Goodhart's law occurs in Markov decision processes. We use these theoretical insights to propose an optimal early stopping method that provably avoids the aforementioned pitfall and derive theoretical regret bounds for this method. Moreover, we derive a training method that maximises worst-case reward, for the setting where there is uncertainty about the true reward function. Finally, we evaluate our early stopping method experimentally. Our results support a foundation for a theoretically-principled study of reinforcement learning under reward misspecification.
The Consensus Game: Language Model Generation via Equilibrium Search
Jacob, Athul Paul, Shen, Yikang, Farina, Gabriele, Andreas, Jacob
When applied to question answering and other text generation tasks, language models (LMs) may be queried generatively (by sampling answers from their output distribution) or discriminatively (by using them to score or rank a set of candidate outputs). These procedures sometimes yield very different predictions. How do we reconcile mutually incompatible scoring procedures to obtain coherent LM predictions? We introduce a new, a training-free, game-theoretic procedure for language model decoding. Our approach casts language model decoding as a regularized imperfect-information sequential signaling game - which we term the CONSENSUS GAME - in which a GENERATOR seeks to communicate an abstract correctness parameter using natural language sentences to a DISCRIMINATOR. We develop computational procedures for finding approximate equilibria of this game, resulting in a decoding algorithm we call EQUILIBRIUM-RANKING. Applied to a large number of tasks (including reading comprehension, commonsense reasoning, mathematical problem-solving, and dialog), EQUILIBRIUM-RANKING consistently, and sometimes substantially, improves performance over existing LM decoding procedures - on multiple benchmarks, we observe that applying EQUILIBRIUM-RANKING to LLaMA-7B outperforms the much larger LLaMA-65B and PaLM-540B models. These results highlight the promise of game-theoretic tools for addressing fundamental challenges of truthfulness and consistency in LMs.