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Sharp Calibrated Gaussian Processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

While Gaussian processes are a mainstay for various engineering and scientific applications, the uncertainty estimates don't satisfy frequentist guarantees and can be miscalibrated in practice. State-of-the-art approaches for designing calibrated models rely on inflating the Gaussian process posterior variance, which yields confidence intervals that are potentially too coarse. To remedy this, we present a calibration approach that generates predictive quantiles using a computation inspired by the vanilla Gaussian process posterior variance but using a different set of hyperparameters chosen to satisfy an empirical calibration constraint. This results in a calibration approach that is considerably more flexible than existing approaches, which we optimize to yield tight predictive quantiles. Our approach is shown to yield a calibrated model under reasonable assumptions. Furthermore, it outperforms existing approaches in sharpness when employed for calibrated regression.


The Biggest Questions: Is it possible to really understand someone else's mind?

MIT Technology Review

That's because machine-learning algorithms need both brain signals and information about what they correspond to, paired in perfect synchrony, to learn what the signals mean. When studying inner experience, all scientists have to go on is what people say is going on inside their head, and that can be reliable. "It's not like it's directly measuring as a ground truth what people experienced," says Raphaël Millière, a lecturer in philosophy at Macquarie University in Australia. Tying brain activity to subjective experience requires facing up to the slipperiness and inexactitude of language, particularly when deployed to capture the richness of one's inner life. In order to meet that demanding brief, scientists like Millière are marrying contemporary artificial intelligence with centuries-old techniques, from philosophical interview strategies to ancient meditation practices.


Do Localization Methods Actually Localize Memorized Data in LLMs?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large language models (LLMs) can memorize many pretrained sequences verbatim. This paper studies if we can locate a small set of neurons in LLMs responsible for memorizing a given sequence. While the concept of localization is often mentioned in prior work, methods for localization have never been systematically and directly evaluated; we address this with two benchmarking approaches. In our INJ Benchmark, we actively inject a piece of new information into a small subset of LLM weights and measure whether localization methods can identify these "ground truth" weights. In the DEL Benchmark, we study localization of pretrained data that LLMs have already memorized; while this setting lacks ground truth, we can still evaluate localization by measuring whether dropping out located neurons erases a memorized sequence from the model. We evaluate five localization methods on our two benchmarks, and both show similar rankings. All methods exhibit promising localization ability, especially for pruning-based methods, though the neurons they identify are not necessarily specific to a single memorized sequence.


Predicting generalization performance with correctness discriminators

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The ability to predict an NLP model's accuracy on unseen, potentially out-of-distribution data is a prerequisite for trustworthiness. We present a novel model that establishes upper and lower bounds on the accuracy, without requiring gold labels for the unseen data. We achieve this by training a discriminator which predicts whether the output of a given sequence-to-sequence model is correct or not. We show across a variety of tagging, parsing, and semantic parsing tasks that the gold accuracy is reliably between the predicted upper and lower bounds, and that these bounds are remarkably close together.


Machine Translation for Nko: Tools, Corpora and Baseline Results

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Unfortunately, to over 40 million people across West African countries date, there isn't any usable machine translation including Mali, Guinea, Ivory Coast, Gambia, (MT) system for Nko, in part due to the unavailability Burkina Faso, Sierra Leone, Senegal, Liberia, and of large text corpora required by state-of-the-art Guinea-Bissau. Nko, which means'I say' in all neural machine translation (NMT) algorithms. Manding languages, was developed as both the Nko is a representative case study of the broader Manding literary standard language and a writing issues that interfere with the goal of universal machine system by Soulemana Kanté in 1949 for the translation. Thousands of languages still purpose of sustaining the strong oral tradition of don't have available or usable MT systems, mainly Manding languages (Niane, 1974; Conde, 2017; due to the unavailability of high-quality parallel Eberhard et al., 2023).


InCA: Rethinking In-Car Conversational System Assessment Leveraging Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The assessment of advanced generative large language models (LLMs) poses a significant challenge, given their heightened complexity in recent developments. Furthermore, evaluating the performance of LLM-based applications in various industries, as indicated by Key Performance Indicators (KPIs), is a complex undertaking. This task necessitates a profound understanding of industry use cases and the anticipated system behavior. Within the context of the automotive industry, existing evaluation metrics prove inadequate for assessing in-car conversational question answering (ConvQA) systems. The unique demands of these systems, where answers may relate to driver or car safety and are confined within the car domain, highlight the limitations of current metrics. To address these challenges, this paper introduces a set of KPIs tailored for evaluating the performance of in-car ConvQA systems, along with datasets specifically designed for these KPIs. A preliminary and comprehensive empirical evaluation substantiates the efficacy of our proposed approach. Furthermore, we investigate the impact of employing varied personas in prompts and found that it enhances the model's capacity to simulate diverse viewpoints in assessments, mirroring how individuals with different backgrounds perceive a topic.


LEEETs-Dial: Linguistic Entrainment in End-to-End Task-oriented Dialogue systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Linguistic entrainment, or alignment, represents a phenomenon where linguistic patterns employed by conversational participants converge to one another. While alignment has been shown to produce a more natural user experience, most dialogue systems do not have any provisions for it. In this work, we introduce methods for achieving dialogue alignment in a GPT-2-based end-to-end dialogue system through the utilization of shared vocabulary. We experiment with training instance weighting, alignment-specific loss, and additional conditioning to generate responses that align with the user. By comparing different entrainment techniques on the MultiWOZ dataset, we demonstrate that all three approaches produce significantly better-aligned results than the baseline, as confirmed by both automated and manual evaluation metrics.


ToolTalk: Evaluating Tool-Usage in a Conversational Setting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large language models (LLMs) have displayed massive improvements in reasoning and decision-making skills and can hold natural conversations with users. Many recent works seek to augment LLM-based assistants with external tools so they can access private or up-to-date information and carry out actions on behalf of users. To better measure the performance of these assistants, this paper introduces ToolTalk, a benchmark consisting of complex user intents requiring multi-step tool usage specified through dialogue. ToolTalk contains 28 tools grouped into 7 plugins, and includes a complete simulated implementation of each tool, allowing for fully automated evaluation of assistants that rely on execution feedback. ToolTalk also emphasizes tools that externally affect the world rather than only tools for referencing or searching information. We evaluate GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 on ToolTalk resulting in success rates of 26% and 50% respectively. Our analysis of the errors reveals three major categories and suggests some future directions for improvement. Large language models (LLMs) can perform impressive feats in natural language understanding, generation, and other tasks involving manipulation of text. With appropriate adjustments after pretraining, they can hold fluent and natural conversations with users. However, the scope of such conversations is still limited by LLMs lacking access to knowledge outside of their training data, exhibiting limited mathematical reasoning and computational abilities, and otherwise being unable to interact with the outside world. To overcome these limitations, various prior works have proposed integrating LLM-powered chatbots with the ability to use tools such as search engines (Nakano et al., 2022), calculators, or web APIs (Mialon et al., 2023).


Zero-Shot Relational Learning on Temporal Knowledge Graphs with Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, modeling evolving knowledge over temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) has become a heated topic. Various methods have been proposed to forecast links on TKGs. Most of them are embedding-based, where hidden representations are learned to represent knowledge graph (KG) entities and relations based on the observed graph contexts. Although these methods show strong performance on traditional TKG forecasting (TKGF) benchmarks, they naturally face a strong challenge when they are asked to model the unseen zero-shot relations that has no prior graph context. In this paper, we try to mitigate this problem as follows. We first input the text descriptions of KG relations into large language models (LLMs) for generating relation representations, and then introduce them into embedding-based TKGF methods. LLM-empowered representations can capture the semantic information in the relation descriptions. This makes the relations, whether seen or unseen, with similar semantic meanings stay close in the embedding space, enabling TKGF models to recognize zero-shot relations even without any observed graph context. Experimental results show that our approach helps TKGF models to achieve much better performance in forecasting the facts with previously unseen relations, while still maintaining their ability in link forecasting regarding seen relations.


Pachinko: Patching Interpretable QA Models through Natural Language Feedback

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Eliciting feedback from end users of NLP models can be beneficial for improving models. However, how should we present model responses to users so they are most amenable to be corrected from user feedback? Further, what properties do users value to understand and trust responses? We answer these questions by analyzing the effect of rationales generated by QA models to support their answers. We specifically consider decomposed question-answering models that first extract an intermediate rationale based on a context and a question and then use solely this rationale to answer the question. A rationale outlines the approach followed by the model to answer the question. Our work considers various formats of these rationales that vary according to well-defined properties of interest. We sample these rationales from large language models using few-shot prompting for two reading comprehension datasets, and then perform two user studies. In the first one, we present users with incorrect answers and corresponding rationales of various formats and ask them to provide natural language feedback to revise the rationale. We then measure the effectiveness of this feedback in patching these rationales through in-context learning. The second study evaluates how well different rationale formats enable users to understand and trust model answers, when they are correct. We find that rationale formats significantly affect how easy it is (1) for users to give feedback for rationales, and (2) for models to subsequently execute this feedback. In addition to influencing critiquablity, certain formats significantly enhance user reported understanding and trust of model outputs.