Oceania
Matrix factorisation and the interpretation of geodesic distance Annie Gray University of Bristol
Given a graph or similarity matrix, we consider the problem of recovering a notion of true distance between the nodes, and so their true positions. We show that this can be accomplished in two steps: matrix factorisation, followed by nonlinear dimension reduction. This combination is effective because the point cloud obtained in the first step lives close to a manifold in which latent distance is encoded as geodesic distance. Hence, a nonlinear dimension reduction tool, approximating geodesic distance, can recover the latent positions, up to a simple transformation. We give a detailed account of the case where spectral embedding is used, followed by Isomap, and provide encouraging experimental evidence for other combinations of techniques.
Feint in Multi-Player Games
Liu, Junyu, Jin, Wangkai, Peng, Xiangjun
This paper introduces the first formalization, implementation and quantitative evaluation of Feint in Multi-Player Games. Our work first formalizes Feint from the perspective of Multi-Player Games, in terms of the temporal, spatial, and their collective impacts. The formalization is built upon Non-transitive Active Markov Game Model, where Feint can have a considerable amount of impacts. Then, our work considers practical implementation details of Feint in Multi-Player Games, under the state-of-the-art progress of multi-agent modeling to date (namely Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning). Finally, our work quantitatively examines the effectiveness of our design, and the results show that our design of Feint can (1) greatly improve the reward gains from the game; (2) significantly improve the diversity of Multi-Player Games; and (3) only incur negligible overheads in terms of time consumption. We conclude that our design of Feint is effective and practical, to make Multi-Player Games more interesting.
Topic Modeling Analysis of Aviation Accident Reports: A Comparative Study between LDA and NMF Models
Nanyonga, Aziida, Wasswa, Hassan, Wild, Graham
Aviation safety is paramount in the modern world, with a continuous commitment to reducing accidents and improving safety standards. Central to this endeavor is the analysis of aviation accident reports, rich textual resources that hold insights into the causes and contributing factors behind aviation mishaps. This paper compares two prominent topic modeling techniques, Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) and Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF), in the context of aviation accident report analysis. The study leverages the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) Dataset with the primary objective of automating and streamlining the process of identifying latent themes and patterns within accident reports. The Coherence Value (C_v) metric was used to evaluate the quality of generated topics. LDA demonstrates higher topic coherence, indicating stronger semantic relevance among words within topics. At the same time, NMF excelled in producing distinct and granular topics, enabling a more focused analysis of specific aspects of aviation accidents.
One-Step Multi-View Clustering Based on Transition Probability
Zhao, Wenhui, Gao, Quanxue, Li, Guangfei, Deng, Cheng, Yang, Ming
The large-scale multi-view clustering algorithms, based on the anchor graph, have shown promising performance and efficiency and have been extensively explored in recent years. Despite their successes, current methods lack interpretability in the clustering process and do not sufficiently consider the complementary information across different views. To address these shortcomings, we introduce the One-Step Multi-View Clustering Based on Transition Probability (OSMVC-TP). This method adopts a probabilistic approach, which leverages the anchor graph, representing the transition probabilities from samples to anchor points. Our method directly learns the transition probabilities from anchor points to categories, and calculates the transition probabilities from samples to categories, thus obtaining soft label matrices for samples and anchor points, enhancing the interpretability of clustering. Furthermore, to maintain consistency in labels across different views, we apply a Schatten p-norm constraint on the tensor composed of the soft labels. This approach effectively harnesses the complementary information among the views. Extensive experiments have confirmed the effectiveness and robustness of OSMVC-TP.
Exploring the Design of Generative AI in Supporting Music-based Reminiscence for Older Adults
Jin, Yucheng, Cai, Wanling, Chen, Li, Zhang, Yizhe, Doherty, Gavin, Jiang, Tonglin
Music-based reminiscence has the potential to positively impact the psychological well-being of older adults. However, the aging process and physiological changes, such as memory decline and limited verbal communication, may impede the ability of older adults to recall their memories and life experiences. Given the advanced capabilities of generative artificial intelligence (AI) systems, such as generated conversations and images, and their potential to facilitate the reminiscing process, this study aims to explore the design of generative AI to support music-based reminiscence in older adults. This study follows a user-centered design approach incorporating various stages, including detailed interviews with two social workers and two design workshops (involving ten older adults). Our work contributes to an in-depth understanding of older adults' attitudes toward utilizing generative AI for supporting music-based reminiscence and identifies concrete design considerations for the future design of generative AI to enhance the reminiscence experience of older adults.
Day-ahead regional solar power forecasting with hierarchical temporal convolutional neural networks using historical power generation and weather data
Perera, Maneesha, De Hoog, Julian, Bandara, Kasun, Senanayake, Damith, Halgamuge, Saman
Regional solar power forecasting, which involves predicting the total power generation from all rooftop photovoltaic systems in a region holds significant importance for various stakeholders in the energy sector. However, the vast amount of solar power generation and weather time series from geographically dispersed locations that need to be considered in the forecasting process makes accurate regional forecasting challenging. Therefore, previous work has limited the focus to either forecasting a single time series (i.e., aggregated time series) which is the addition of all solar generation time series in a region, disregarding the location-specific weather effects or forecasting solar generation time series of each PV site (i.e., individual time series) independently using location-specific weather data, resulting in a large number of forecasting models. In this work, we propose two deep-learning-based regional forecasting methods that can effectively leverage both types of time series (aggregated and individual) with weather data in a region. We propose two hierarchical temporal convolutional neural network architectures (HTCNN) and two strategies to adapt HTCNNs for regional solar power forecasting. At first, we explore generating a regional forecast using a single HTCNN. Next, we divide the region into multiple sub-regions based on weather information and train separate HTCNNs for each sub-region; the forecasts of each sub-region are then added to generate a regional forecast. The proposed work is evaluated using a large dataset collected over a year from 101 locations across Western Australia to provide a day ahead forecast. We compare our approaches with well-known alternative methods and show that the sub-region HTCNN requires fewer individual networks and achieves a forecast skill score of 40.2% reducing a statistically significant error by 6.5% compared to the best counterpart.
Geometry and Stability of Supervised Learning Problems
Mémoli, Facundo, Vose, Brantley, Williamson, Robert C.
We introduce a notion of distance between supervised learning problems, which we call the Risk distance. This optimal-transport-inspired distance facilitates stability results; one can quantify how seriously issues like sampling bias, noise, limited data, and approximations might change a given problem by bounding how much these modifications can move the problem under the Risk distance. With the distance established, we explore the geometry of the resulting space of supervised learning problems, providing explicit geodesics and proving that the set of classification problems is dense in a larger class of problems. We also provide two variants of the Risk distance: one that incorporates specified weights on a problem's predictors, and one that is more sensitive to the contours of a problem's risk landscape.
Controlling Cloze-test Question Item Difficulty with PLM-based Surrogate Models for IRT Assessment
Zhang, Jingshen, Xie, Jiajun, Qiu, Xinying
Item difficulty plays a crucial role in adaptive testing. However, few works have focused on generating questions of varying difficulty levels, especially for multiple-choice (MC) cloze tests. We propose training pre-trained language models (PLMs) as surrogate models to enable item response theory (IRT) assessment, avoiding the need for human test subjects. We also propose two strategies to control the difficulty levels of both the gaps and the distractors using ranking rules to reduce invalid distractors. Experimentation on a benchmark dataset demonstrates that our proposed framework and methods can effectively control and evaluate the difficulty levels of MC cloze tests.
Answerability in Retrieval-Augmented Open-Domain Question Answering
Abdumalikov, Rustam, Minervini, Pasquale, Kementchedjhieva, Yova
The performance of Open-Domain Question Answering (ODQA) retrieval systems can exhibit sub-optimal behavior, providing text excerpts with varying degrees of irrelevance. Unfortunately, many existing ODQA datasets lack examples specifically targeting the identification of irrelevant text excerpts. Previous attempts to address this gap have relied on a simplistic approach of pairing questions with random text excerpts. This paper aims to investigate the effectiveness of models trained using this randomized strategy, uncovering an important limitation in their ability to generalize to irrelevant text excerpts with high semantic overlap. As a result, we observed a substantial decrease in predictive accuracy, from 98% to 1%. To address this limitation, we discovered an efficient approach for training models to recognize such excerpts. By leveraging unanswerable pairs from the SQuAD 2.0 dataset, our models achieve a nearly perfect (~100%) accuracy when confronted with these challenging text excerpts.
Can Poverty Be Reduced by Acting on Discrimination? An Agent-based Model for Policy Making
Aguilera, Alba, Montes, Nieves, Curto, Georgina, Sierra, Carles, Osman, Nardine
In the last decades, there has been a deceleration in the rates of According to the World Bank [43], over six hundred and fifty million poverty reduction, suggesting that traditional redistributive approaches people (10% of the global population) still live in extreme poverty to poverty mitigation could be losing effectiveness, and and COVID-19 has particularly affected the poorest: the number alternative insights to advance the number one UN Sustainable of people living in extreme poverty rose by 11 % in 2020 [45]. In Development Goal are required. The criminalization of poor people this context, urgent and innovative measures are required to work has been denounced by several NGOs, and an increasing number towards poverty eradication, the number one UN Sustainable Development of voices suggest that discrimination against the poor (a phenomenon Goal. Traditional policies based on the redistribution of known as aporophobia) could be an impediment to mitigating wealth could be losing effectiveness, since there has been a deceleration poverty. In this paper, we present the novel Aporophobia in the poverty reduction rates throughout the last decades Agent-Based Model (AABM) to provide evidence of the correlation [12]. Artificial Intelligence tools can provide alternative insights to between aporophobia and poverty computationally. We present this global challenge.