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Support-aware offline policy selection for advertising marketplaces

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Logged advertising auctions make offline reserve-price evaluation attractive but risky. Replay tables can identify policies with large apparent yield gains, yet they can also hide weak threshold support, multiple-comparison effects, subgroup harm, and bidder-response uncertainty. Existing replay and off-policy evaluation methods estimate or rank policy values, but they do not directly answer the operational question of whether the available evidence is strong enough to justify validation. This paper develops a support-aware offline decision framework for reserve-policy selection. Rather than outputting a single point-estimate winner, the framework converts logged evidence into a conservative decision object consisting of certified policies, statistically dominated alternatives, and unresolved candidates requiring further validation. The main theoretical result gives a unified finite-catalog guarantee showing that, under simultaneous uncertainty control and conservative support gates, the framework preserves the best gate-passing policy while eliminating only policies with certified regret. Supporting results characterize support-localized replay generalization, establish information-theoretic threshold-resolution limits, and quantify when heterogeneous bidder response can overturn localized replay rankings. Experiments on iPinYou real-time-bidding logs show that the leading reserve rule achieves a 47.66% replay lift in season two, a 40.71% simultaneous lower-bound lift, and a 43.87% frozen out-of-time replay lift in season three. The framework reduces a 19-policy catalog to a two-policy validation shortlist while certifying non-harm across 44 advertiser, exchange, and region segments. The results support the central claim that offline reserve-policy evaluation should produce certified validation decisions rather than point-estimate rankings alone.


DHS Plans Experiment Running 'Reconnaissance' Drones Along the US-Canada Border

WIRED

The US Department of Homeland Security, in collaboration with the Defense Research and Development Canada, is looking to send autonomous drones and vehicles along the US-Canada border this fall, testing which products can stream surveillance video and sensor data between the two countries using commercial 5G networks. A new DHS call for participants frames the experiment, known as ACE-CASPER, as a multiday exercise "simulating a national emergency response scenario," with drones and ground vehicles relaying live feeds to a bi-national command-and-control center as they cross the border. Vehicle autonomy, the document notes, is secondary to its primary aim: demonstrating "resilient, persistent 5G communications." DHS and DRDC did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Scheduled for November, the tests would be the first joint US-Canada cross-border technology experiment along their shared border in nearly a decade.


Disney wants to scan your face at the gate: Here's why

FOX News

Disneyland uses facial recognition at certain entry gates to speed up arrival and prevent fraud. Participation is optional, and data is deleted within 30 days.


Female Looksmaxxer Alorah Ziva Is Suing Clavicular for Alleged Battery

WIRED

Aleksandra Mendoza, aka Alorah Ziva, alleges that the 20-year-old influencer injected her with drugs on a livestream and had nonconsensual sex with her while she was underage. An 18-year-old woman who promotes herself as the "#1 female looksmaxxer" is suing the highly controversial streamer Braden Eric Peters, aka Clavicular, for fraud, battery, and alleged sexual assault. In the suit, which was filed in Miami-Dade County court and obtained by WIRED, Aleksandra Mendoza, who goes by the name @zahloria, or Alorah Ziva, on Instagram, alleges that she first encountered Peters in May 2025, when she was just 16 years old. According to the complaint, Peters promised Mendoza he could make her "the female face of looksmaxxing," the online trend of using surgery or drugs to enhance one's facial features. Eager to grow her social media following, Mendoza agreed to make four looksmaxxing videos for Peters in exchange for a $1,000 payment, court documents say.



Amazon just put Elon Musk's Starlink on notice

FOX News

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Oilers fan throws rotisserie chicken on ice in loss to Anaheim

FOX News

New Russini-Vrabel photos raise ESPN conflict questions but the network won't answer them ESPN's Mad Dog Russo melts down over'U-S-A' chants at the RBC Heritage A piece of the UFC White House event's setup is sitting in Pennsylvania Amish country Viral Ottawa Senators fan blamed for team's 0-2 playoff start banished to Taiwan'First Take' host acts disgusted when she has to cover Vrabel-Russini drama Edward Cabrera's strikeout prop is the play as struggling Phillies face surging Cubs today Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 pick hinges on Jaden McDaniels calling out Denver's entire defense Charles Barkley was disgusted by Magic's highly questionable pregame handshake ChatGPT predicted the first round of the NFL Draft and here's what it said Trump: Why would I use a nuclear weapon? California governor's race intensifies as six candidates face off Trump: US Navy to'shoot and kill' any boat placing mines in Hormuz Virginia court blocks Democrats' redistricting effort, Florida next Trump weighs in on Iran's internal power struggle and Strait of Hormuz control Hasan Piker justifies'social murder' of CEO Restaurant owner says hockey win was'beautiful sight,' defends patriotic response to media slam John Minadakis, the owner of Jimmy's Famous Seafood in Baltimore, tells Fox News Digital why he felt a need to defend USA pride after an Olympic article slam. As we have discussed several times recently, the Stanley Cup Playoffs are home to some of the most superstitious human beings on the planet. Several of the most famous traditions in the sport stem from fans and players alike doing something born out of superstition. Take the Detroit Red Wings and their octopus toss, whose eight legs symbolize the eight wins it took to win a Stanley Cup back when the league was much smaller.


A piece of the UFC White House event's setup is sitting in Pennsylvania Amish country

FOX News

Viral Ottawa Senators fan blamed for team's 0-2 playoff start banished to Taiwan Edward Cabrera's strikeout prop is the play as struggling Phillies face surging Cubs today Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 pick hinges on Jaden McDaniels calling out Denver's entire defense Charles Barkley was disgusted by Magic's highly questionable pregame handshake ChatGPT predicted the first round of the NFL Draft and here's what it said Curt Cignetti was so focused this offseason, he turned down all external requests: 'I'm 95% football' Former MLB owner claims'despicable' San Francisco Giants are the reason the A's left Oakland Trump: US Navy to'shoot and kill' any boat placing mines in Hormuz Virginia court blocks Democrats' redistricting effort, Florida next Trump weighs in on Iran's internal power struggle and Strait of Hormuz control Hasan Piker justifies'social murder' of CEO Fox News celebrates'Bring Your Kids to Work Day' Trump says there's'no time frame' to secure Iran deal OutKick A piece of the UFC White House event's setup is sitting in Pennsylvania Amish country Tait Global, which built the Backstreet Boys' Sphere stage, is constructing the dome near Lititz, Pennsylvania UFC reveals details for'Freedom 250' White House fights: 'It's absolutely massive' UFC star Michael Chandler joins'Fox & Friends' to discuss headlining the first-ever fight card on the White House South Lawn to celebrate America 250 and explains the new partnership between UFC athletes and the FBI. There's a lot of buzz around the upcoming UFC Freedom 250 UFC Freedom 250, the UFC event set to take place at the White House, but right now a huge chunk of the event's setup is sitting somewhere you probably wouldn't expect: Pennsylvania Amish country. Before moving down to the sunny, state-income-tax-free state of Florida, I was born and raised in south central Pennsylvania, a place with rolling hills and horse and buggies, and where people order scrapple because they want to and not because they're being dared to. Recently, a giant metal dome popped up in the area near Lititz, PA -- just outside of Lancaster and about an hour and a half west of Philadelphia -- that left residents pretty confused. I mean, it's not like the Amish suddenly revamped their barn designs.


How Florida retiree lost 200K in fake PayPal refund scam

FOX News

This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Factset . Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions . Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by LSEG . Toyota's CUE7 robot shoots hoops using AI You don't need an SSN to open a credit card: Scammers know that Mexico's climate supercomputer could change forecasting Michael Easter and Gary Brecka discuss the'choice' to live to be 100 'CyberGuy' warns of creepy privacy clauses in smart devices Brian Oliver of Gainesville, Florida, spoke with Kurt CyberGuy Knutsson about losing money to scammers claiming to be with PayPal. NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles! Brian Oliver is retired, sharp and financially savvy enough to have a stock-and-bond portfolio worth hundreds of thousands of dollars. He is not the type of person you picture getting scammed.


Former Dodgers star Yasiel Puig joins a semi-pro baseball team while facing up to 15 years in prison

FOX News

Edward Cabrera's strikeout prop is the play as struggling Phillies face surging Cubs today Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 pick hinges on Jaden McDaniels calling out Denver's entire defense Charles Barkley was disgusted by Magic's highly questionable pregame handshake ChatGPT predicted the first round of the NFL Draft and here's what it said Curt Cignetti was so focused this offseason, he turned down all external requests: 'I'm 95% football' Former MLB owner claims'despicable' San Francisco Giants are the reason the A's left Oakland Longtime NASCAR crew chief tells wild story about one of the sport's biggest characters WNBA finally embraces Caitlin Clark's stardom with unprecedented national TV schedule Why are the Mets so bad? Flyers mascot Gritty pens letter to fans ahead of first playoff game... eight years after he debuted Hasan Piker justifies'social murder' of CEO Fox News celebrates'Bring Your Kids to Work Day' Trump says there's'no time frame' to secure Iran deal Iranian activist praises Trump's intervention after female protesters saved from execution Steve Hilton praised for'offering solutions' in CA gubernatorial debate Middle East tensions escalate over US blockade, Iran's actions The former All-Star joined the Canadian Baseball League's Maple Leafs with the season opener set for May 10 Ricky Cobb breaks down some of the most creative (and wild) MLB giveaway nights happening right now -- from Shohei Ohtani must-have promos to Ichiro's statue in Seattle, plus some hilarious curveballs like the Bobby Valentine disguise and Imagine my surprise when I fired up the ol' internet machine today to see that Yasiel Puig has signed with the Toronto Maple Leafs. You remember him -- billed as MLB's next humongous superstar when the Los Angeles Dodgers first called him up in 2013, and then he just sort of faded into obscurity. Yasiel Puig of the Los Angeles Dodgers celebrates running to first base after hitting a three-run home run in the sixth inning of Game Four of the 2018 World Series at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles on Oct. 27, 2018. The 35-year-old outfielder has signed with the Maple Leafs of the Canadian Baseball League, a semi-pro league based in Ontario.